AI · resolved market
Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of June 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfd7c6c1c35e1187be33845fd35f369ce67c73af516c64b2a63584d3b28e2466e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- AIevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $84,845
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $66,133
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $84,845 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 140 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in AI is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in AI | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0482…6b0abacked Yes | 16c | 7,312$1,154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,153.75 | 210 | 35.7%75 W · 135 L | +13.4wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x09e6…24a1backed Yes | 29c | 3,981$1,167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,166.86 | 109 | 33.9%37 W · 72 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 80c | 3,812$3,036 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$775.68 | 70 | 32.9%23 W · 47 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 72c | 3,328$2,386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$942.4 | 194 | 32%62 W · 132 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x564f…7026backed Yes | 14c | 3,116$446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446.36 | 369 | 45.3%167 W · 202 L | +29.3wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9aeb…2729backed Yes | 30c | 2,634$783 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$783.05 | 118 | 55.9%66 W · 52 L | +11.0wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8de5…84d7backed Yes | 7c | 2,600$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.4 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +105.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked No | 58c | 2,435$1,403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,032.4 | 198 | 18.7%37 W · 161 L | -8.1wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x511f…cbe1backed No | 72c | 2,207$1,596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$610.76 | 79 | 43%34 W · 45 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07d4…8991backed Yes | 2c | 2,100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 629 | 1.3%8 W · 621 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -88.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28b2…eb4fbacked Yes | 22c | 1,748$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.34 | 143 | 39.2%56 W · 87 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7365…64dabacked Yes | 21c | 1,570$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337 | 275 | 36.4%100 W · 175 L | +7.7wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3594…dc58backed Yes | 30c | 1,552$471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470.58 | 63 | 38.1%24 W · 39 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4906…7e10backed Yes | 21c | 1,390$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.21 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | +55%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf86f…256fbacked Yes | 40c | 1,250$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5999…ae94backed No | 78c | 1,201$932 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.46 | 79 | 51.9%41 W · 38 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0d9…9074backed Yes | 52c | 1,158$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d1b…e75cbacked Yes | 11c | 1,158$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.34 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -16%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad52…11acbacked Yes | 15c | 1,111$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.65 | 71 | 32.4%23 W · 48 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 26cpaid | +49.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7609…6c4ebacked Yes | 23c | 1,106$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.37 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 43cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc326…1db1backed Yes | 24c | 1,041$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.52 | 258 | 37.6%97 W · 161 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4266…5305backed Yes | 29c | 1,026$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.65 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -74%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 6c | 857$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.45 | 1,363 | 6.8%93 W · 1,270 L | -20.2wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a66…9051backed Yes | 18c | 797.21$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fe…423abacked Yes | 26c | 771.22$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.4 | 107 | 23.4%25 W · 82 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa284…fbbabacked Yes | 4c | 687.19$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x048a…9be4backed Yes | 22c | 650$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.65 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked No | 80c | 646$517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.2 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +29%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb89f…1c44backed Yes | 14c | 638.73$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.11 | 143 | 37.8%54 W · 89 L | +7.0wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…50c8backed Yes | 8c | 632.88$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.63 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +2.8wins | +0.23per pick | 35cpaid | +45.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 70c | 600$418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.39 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd883…4fd7backed No | 68c | 599.97$407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.99 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -2.4wins | -0.24per pick | 64cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed Yes | 8c | 596.02$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.23 | 322 | 28.9%93 W · 229 L | -16.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 77c | 556$429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.81 | 89 | 42.7%38 W · 51 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Yes | 19c | 503.5$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.69 | 207 | 31.9%66 W · 141 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ef…90e2backed Yes | 40c | 500.8$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x11f8…1c4ebacked No | 54c | 497$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.51 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +7.2wins | +0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1c40…445cbacked Yes | 41c | 487.87$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 62c | 485$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.5 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf13…00bcbacked Yes | 23c | 456.8$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.5 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.18per pick | 18cpaid | +61.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8594…7eedbacked Yes | 46c | 434.78$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 42 | 71.4%30 W · 12 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 63cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe562…4fa9backed Yes | 44c | 434.35$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.97 | 87 | 46%40 W · 47 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0739…aba8backed Yes | 16c | 431.42$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.19 | 80 | 47.5%38 W · 42 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 77c | 431.04$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.93 | 64 | 39.1%25 W · 39 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8673…4025backed Yes | 14c | 416.95$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.03 | 71 | 35.2%25 W · 46 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa98…af7fbacked Yes | 18c | 400$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.16per pick | 42cpaid | +50.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x06b6…eba6backed Yes | 30c | 400$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -12%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa794…42adbacked Yes | 32c | 367.24$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.6 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked Yes | 8c | 342.16$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.41 | 304 | 2%6 W · 298 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -70.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa90a…63e0backed Yes | 46c | 340$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 22cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 72c | 336.45$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.97 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdae0…df45backed Yes | 30c | 323.32$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60a8…7d37backed Yes | 15c | 300.13$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.72 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0b65…013ebacked Yes | 24c | 300$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf0e…c02bbacked Yes | 4c | 297.6$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.68 | 81 | 23.5%19 W · 62 L | -9.6wins | -0.12per pick | 35cpaid | -55.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe308…309cbacked Yes | 28c | 270$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.9 | 44 | 27.3%12 W · 32 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -39%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d81…fe57backed Yes | 30c | 265.83$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.5 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +4.5wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8e32…79d7backed Yes | 44c | 262.25$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.3 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 34cpaid | +409.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe0fc…b09fbacked Yes | 15c | 240$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed Yes | 25c | 227$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.82 | 164 | 18.9%31 W · 133 L | -21.7wins | -0.13per pick | 32cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 77c | 220$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.43 | 75 | 38.7%29 W · 46 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x15f6…e3f8backed Yes | 46c | 204.17$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.06 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…9cbebacked Yes | 10c | 203.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.78 | 267 | 4.9%13 W · 254 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked No | 58c | 200.09$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.73 | 256 | 32.8%84 W · 172 L | -24.1wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x927f…e7e7backed Yes | 42c | 200$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +22%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe41…9f23backed Yes | 27c | 200$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 48 | 27.1%13 W · 35 L | -3.8wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes | 41c | 198.44$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.36 | 178 | 24.2%43 W · 135 L | -12.4wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -56%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8674…0d1ebacked Yes | 41c | 195$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.95 | 55 | 38.2%21 W · 34 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa81…aaf7backed Yes | 21c | 188.66$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.96 | 220 | 19.5%43 W · 177 L | -11.7wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x03e1…e180backed Yes | 10c | 186.84$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.94 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76f7…2bf6backed Yes | 55c | 182.42$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -2.7wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 69c | 180$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.7 | 87 | 41.4%36 W · 51 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x605e…8b39backed No | 69c | 180$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.5 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e10…1186backed Yes | 19c | 177.52$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.71 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19db…7636backed Yes | 29c | 171.23$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 18c | 162.53$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.68 | 144 | 21.5%31 W · 113 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 62c | 161.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.58 | 47 | 36.2%17 W · 30 L | -3.7wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -37%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf58c…2747backed Yes | 47c | 159.91$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7761…f504backed Yes | 12c | 156.52$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.83 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6c…e3f5backed No | 57c | 150$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 51 | 62.7%32 W · 19 L | +6.5wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6dec…cefabacked Yes | 33c | 148.95$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.28 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +4.0wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb263…6484backed Yes | 22c | 147.03$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.35 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc71b…e265backed Yes | 41c | 143.76$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.41 | 288 | 26.7%77 W · 211 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27ab…e521backed No | 72c | 140.97$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.85 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf57d…bf12backed Yes | 33c | 136.68$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a98…1b92backed Yes | 42c | 132.8$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.78 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 23cpaid | -74.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21d5…6f93backed Yes | 33c | 126.85$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.81 | 60 | 16.7%10 W · 50 L | -4.6wins | -0.08per pick | 24cpaid | -67%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b1e…7854backed Yes | 9c | 122$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.98 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae28…8883backed Yes | 43c | 120.81$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.95 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Yes | 22c | 119.96$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.43 | 39 | 7.7%3 W · 36 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 14cpaid | -89.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9edf…f572backed Yes | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 29c | 113.79$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 294 | 30.6%90 W · 204 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 46c | 107.36$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.51 | 407 | 12.3%50 W · 357 L | -35.7wins | -0.09per pick | 21cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0711…f03cbacked Yes | 44c | 106$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.89 | 193 | 37.3%72 W · 121 L | +9.0wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb5ec…9782backed Yes | 48c | 105.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8575…87febacked No | 58c | 102.89$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.08 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x898c…b48fbacked Yes | 30c | 101.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -64.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…1367backed No | 74c | 101.23$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.81 | 94 | 44.7%42 W · 52 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8533…7c76backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 15cpaid | +74.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b02…b95fbacked Yes | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +3.4wins | +0.18per pick | 51cpaid | +54.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in AI and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of June 2026?this page
- Will Alibaba have the best Math AI model at the end of June 2026?No won
- Will ByteDance have the best Math AI model at the end of June 2026?No won
- Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes won
- Will Moonshot have the best Math AI model at the end of June 2026?No won
- Will OpenAI have the best Math AI model at the end of June 2026?No won
- Will Z.ai have the best Math AI model at the end of June 2026?No won
- Will xAI have the best Math AI model at the end of June 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.