AI · resolved market
Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of June 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd5eee50432903c45931da3e9eb94171579cd9513d1895a303ce736c94526fa17
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- AIevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $63,122
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $66,830
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $63,122 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 172 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in AI is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in AI | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x09e6…24a1backed Yes | 63c | 6,712$4,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,472.65 | 109 | 33.9%37 W · 72 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 38c | 3,656$1,399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,398.54 | 194 | 32%62 W · 132 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5999…ae94backed Yes | 69c | 2,636$1,827 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$808.33 | 79 | 51.9%41 W · 38 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Yes | 73c | 2,494$1,821 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$673.38 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.3wins | +0.16per pick | 48cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x28b2…eb4fbacked Yes | 74c | 2,465$1,818 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$647.39 | 143 | 39.2%56 W · 87 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 26c | 2,275$595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$594.74 | 70 | 32.9%23 W · 47 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6204…421abacked Yes | 75c | 2,148$1,621 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$526.71 | 30 | 20%6 W · 24 L | -6.4wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -73.8%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xe347…b438backed No | 29c | 2,079$604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$603.61 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed No | 33c | 1,919$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$629.86 | 39 | 7.7%3 W · 36 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 14cpaid | -89.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 28c | 1,723$478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$478.04 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e10…1186backed No | 36c | 1,544$549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.37 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x511f…cbe1backed No | 29c | 1,532$447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$447.29 | 79 | 43%34 W · 45 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc326…1db1backed Yes | 78c | 1,310$1,027 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.84 | 258 | 37.6%97 W · 161 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73ec…f5bbbacked Yes | 69c | 990.14$685 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.85 | 49 | 69.4%34 W · 15 L | +9.0wins | +0.18per pick | 51cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked Yes | 25c | 978.2$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$734.15 | 198 | 18.7%37 W · 161 L | -8.1wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf8fb…f213backed Yes | 78c | 971.7$758 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb13…2de9backed Yes | 73c | 903.15$663 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.88 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06b6…eba6backed Yes | 56c | 899.98$506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$393.99 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -12%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90cf…6cc2backed Yes | 63c | 898.37$562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.3 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7365…64dabacked Yes | 69c | 831$571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.33 | 275 | 36.4%100 W · 175 L | +7.7wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe562…4fa9backed No | 42c | 720.6$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 87 | 46%40 W · 47 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb263…6484backed No | 40c | 719.14$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.19 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe32b…626ebacked No | 14c | 705.01$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.3 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 21cpaid | -78%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc40…56a3backed Yes | 74c | 700$519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8c1…16c0backed Yes | 56c | 690.52$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.52 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 44c | 690$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.02 | 89 | 42.7%38 W · 51 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed No | 26c | 597.49$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.54 | 207 | 31.9%66 W · 141 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f66…3a50backed Yes | 70c | 574.35$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.35 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -3.1wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -27%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 37c | 565.23$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.4 | 87 | 41.4%36 W · 51 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4734…60b1backed Yes | 60c | 563.12$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.22 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe732…898fbacked Yes | 42c | 531.86$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.99 | 90 | 41.1%37 W · 53 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9b5…9db1backed No | 26c | 470$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.7 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8594…7eedbacked Yes | 57c | 451.43$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.83 | 42 | 71.4%30 W · 12 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 63cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9aeb…2729backed Yes | 36c | 448.94$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.28 | 118 | 55.9%66 W · 52 L | +11.0wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8de5…84d7backed No | 31c | 441.82$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.58 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +105.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 29c | 435.78$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.56 | 64 | 39.1%25 W · 39 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x942e…be27backed No | 33c | 346.05$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.7 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 37c | 329.52$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.66 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc66b…02aabacked No | 26c | 329.03$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.55 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -3.3wins | -0.27per pick | 36cpaid | -87.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked No | 6c | 301$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.05 | 304 | 2%6 W · 298 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -70.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf2…7279backed Yes | 57c | 295.88$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.32 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +3.7wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d1b…e75cbacked Yes | 43c | 288.37$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.41 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -16%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 50c | 287.52$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.32 | 144 | 21.5%31 W · 113 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb89f…1c44backed No | 38c | 284.98$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.29 | 143 | 37.8%54 W · 89 L | +7.0wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea39…9cb9backed Yes | 55c | 283.75$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc71b…e265backed No | 32c | 277.63$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.52 | 288 | 26.7%77 W · 211 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe086…0450backed Yes | 66c | 275.05$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.82 | 71 | 43.7%31 W · 40 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 23c | 270.08$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.17 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 40c | 263$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.75 | 729 | 35.5%259 W · 470 L | -57.8wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes | 23c | 262.58$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.19 | 178 | 24.2%43 W · 135 L | -12.4wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -56%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0739…aba8backed Yes | 74c | 241.59$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 80 | 47.5%38 W · 42 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa81…aaf7backed No | 27c | 235.73$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.05 | 220 | 19.5%43 W · 177 L | -11.7wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 35c | 225.19$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.58 | 479 | 38%182 W · 297 L | -11.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf72…2a2cbacked Yes | 78c | 218.95$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.23 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +172.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed No | 24c | 214.5$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.22 | 164 | 18.9%31 W · 133 L | -21.7wins | -0.13per pick | 32cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf6cb…8497backed Yes | 75c | 211$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.75 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15f6…e3f8backed Yes | 31c | 207.01$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.18 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4435…786fbacked Yes | 65c | 200$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7db…feb0backed Yes | 39c | 200$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -43%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ee4…4ccabacked Yes | 66c | 180.82$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.96 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 44cpaid | -53.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x605e…8b39backed No | 40c | 180$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.7 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked No | 52c | 177.93$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.97 | 62 | 16.1%10 W · 52 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -28%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce4…0fe6backed Yes | 61c | 170.57$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.99 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +49%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf333…ba41backed Yes | 65c | 169$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.15 | 84 | 33.3%28 W · 56 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 51c | 161.08$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.59 | 47 | 36.2%17 W · 30 L | -3.7wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -37%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xae28…8883backed Yes | 38c | 157.89$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.89 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbada…fe22backed Yes | 66c | 152.24$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.24 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 65cpaid | +35%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9974…2840backed Yes | 65c | 150$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.5 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.16per pick | 55cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb651…aab6backed Yes | 71c | 150$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb706…5dbcbacked Yes | 33c | 149.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.59 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.67per pick | 33cpaid | +199.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa328…4977backed No | 28c | 148.57$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.28 | 41 | 26.8%11 W · 30 L | -4.1wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbeb9…3870backed Yes | 49c | 145$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.55 | 79 | 48.1%38 W · 41 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27ab…e521backed No | 37c | 140.97$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.61 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7761…f504backed No | 17c | 130$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.69 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb31b…b140backed No | 52c | 129.97$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.54 | 75 | 29.3%22 W · 53 L | -11.8wins | -0.16per pick | 45cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x11f8…1c4ebacked Yes | 25c | 129.75$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.86 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +7.2wins | +0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5d91…3578backed Yes | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b2…4cebbacked No | 36c | 125.83$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.67 | 36 | 22.2%8 W · 28 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 14c | 124.2$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.94 | 85 | 47.1%40 W · 45 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0711…f03cbacked Yes | 36c | 123$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.83 | 193 | 37.3%72 W · 121 L | +9.0wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b1e…7854backed Yes | 73c | 122.14$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.98 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c47…37e8backed No | 30c | 122.09$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.05 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03e1…e180backed No | 9c | 121.71$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.95 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 21c | 120$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.14 | 75 | 38.7%29 W · 46 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8493…1200backed Yes | 76c | 110$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.3 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x090a…0fa6backed No | 30c | 108.24$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.24 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -29%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35b6…caadbacked Yes | 73c | 107.46$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.46 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 76cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0482…6b0abacked Yes | 21c | 107.11$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.62 | 210 | 35.7%75 W · 135 L | +13.4wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf57d…bf12backed No | 57c | 106.66$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.35 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8575…87febacked No | 54c | 106.43$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.44 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb79f…88e8backed Yes | 50c | 105.74$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +101.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe308…309cbacked No | 44c | 104.51$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.75 | 44 | 27.3%12 W · 32 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -39%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b02…b95fbacked Yes | 38c | 100$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +3.4wins | +0.18per pick | 51cpaid | +54.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x671a…2f1ebacked No | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.2 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0bfb…26a7backed Yes | 23c | 100$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77 | 84 | 42.9%36 W · 48 L | +6.1wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed Yes | 68c | 96.56$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.99 | 893 | 17.1%153 W · 740 L | -144.9wins | -0.16per pick | 33cpaid | -61.3%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xf67b…18e9backed Yes | 68c | 91.66$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.11 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +46.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f99…6734backed Yes | 69c | 91.35$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.01 | 48 | 31.3%15 W · 33 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -25%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ca…1383backed No | 32c | 88.91$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.45 | 251 | 22.7%57 W · 194 L | -9.4wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07d1…8ffabacked Yes | 50c | 85$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.55 | 79 | 6.3%5 W · 74 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 11cpaid | -74.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in AI and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of June 2026?this page
- Will Alibaba have the best Math AI model at the end of June 2026?No won
- Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of June 2026?No won
- Will ByteDance have the best Math AI model at the end of June 2026?No won
- Will Moonshot have the best Math AI model at the end of June 2026?No won
- Will OpenAI have the best Math AI model at the end of June 2026?No won
- Will Z.ai have the best Math AI model at the end of June 2026?No won
- Will xAI have the best Math AI model at the end of June 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.