CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xccf8936f55a6991da10bc36639ff6b5a480d72bec891c21bf4c326a7a6422e10
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Aurora Gamingof Aurora Gaming, G2
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,009,779
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,126,322
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,009,779 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 858 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x73e3…1be9backed G2 | 57c | 103,990$59,235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59,234.5 | 201 | 53.7%108 W · 93 L | +9.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed G2 | 32c | 69,474$21,935 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,935.14 | 1,396 | 38.9%543 W · 853 L | -41.2wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -29%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1610…ae49backed Aurora Gaming | 50c | 68,231$33,826 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34,404.42 | 135 | 48.9%66 W · 69 L | +8.2wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x79ae…9a4abacked Aurora Gaming | 41c | 65,699$27,049 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38,649.51 | 141 | 45.4%64 W · 77 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb85…152fbacked Aurora Gaming | 42c | 35,714$15,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,714.29 | 163 | 44.2%72 W · 91 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67bb…b6efbacked Aurora Gaming | 74c | 25,000$18,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,499.96 | 757 | 58.3%441 W · 316 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9854…6bf2backed G2 | 59c | 21,212$12,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,500 | 103 | 61.2%63 W · 40 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6e…be00backed G2 | 56c | 20,000$11,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,200 | 416 | 49.8%207 W · 209 L | +19.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe1…4d7fbacked Aurora Gaming | 54c | 18,977$10,277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,699.48 | 56 | 41.1%23 W · 33 L | -3.8wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2a…5ae1backed G2 | 59c | 16,846$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 129 | 55%71 W · 58 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed G2 | 59c | 16,826$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 373 | 46.4%173 W · 200 L | -16.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86e9…4cdfbacked Aurora Gaming | 44c | 15,682$6,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,781.82 | 364 | 53.8%196 W · 168 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x751b…73fdbacked Aurora Gaming | 72c | 15,591$11,226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,365.55 | 256 | 55.1%141 W · 115 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fac…1feebacked G2 | 59c | 15,267$9,005 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,005.31 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5faf…1183backed G2 | 56c | 15,000$8,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,400 | 109 | 35.8%39 W · 70 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ec…c574backed G2 | 58c | 14,027$8,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,100 | 483 | 50.9%246 W · 237 L | -20.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6304…e570backed G2 | 58c | 13,166$7,636 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,636.09 | 228 | 49.6%113 W · 115 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa69d…509bbacked G2 | 59c | 12,800$7,552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,551.97 | 197 | 57.4%113 W · 84 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfa…324ebacked G2 | 57c | 12,513$7,132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,132.19 | 361 | 52.6%190 W · 171 L | +13.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe6…7027backed G2 | 26c | 11,732$3,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,050.32 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5038…6236backed Aurora Gaming | 73c | 11,400$8,322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,077.98 | 177 | 37.3%66 W · 111 L | -16.0wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x73bc…46cebacked Aurora Gaming | 42c | 11,060$4,603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,456.2 | 72 | 50%36 W · 36 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55a1…db28backed Aurora Gaming | 59c | 10,135$6,030 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,105.42 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.7wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc40…89cfbacked Aurora Gaming | 40c | 10,000$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,999.99 | 98 | 55.1%54 W · 44 L | +8.3wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2165…f598backed G2 | 26c | 10,000$2,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,600 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f69…7df1backed G2 | 58c | 10,000$5,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,799.94 | 753 | 50.5%380 W · 373 L | +16.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e5e…7315backed Aurora Gaming | 73c | 10,000$7,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,699.97 | 228 | 43.9%100 W · 128 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed Aurora Gaming | 42c | 9,000$3,770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,229.92 | 303 | 40.3%122 W · 181 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96f7…d6aebacked G2 | 27c | 8,888$2,355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,355.32 | 221 | 29.9%66 W · 155 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -15%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x930e…38cfbacked G2 | 27c | 8,047$2,164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,163.78 | 215 | 22.3%48 W · 167 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79be…b605backed G2 | 61c | 7,960$4,856 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,856.06 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x896a…688dbacked G2 | 29c | 7,768$2,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,250 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +4.6wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa83f…b857backed Aurora Gaming | 72c | 7,570$5,449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,120.35 | 127 | 49.6%63 W · 64 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked Aurora Gaming | 63c | 7,548$4,789 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,758.63 | 1,154 | 48.3%557 W · 597 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfaf1…795fbacked Aurora Gaming | 57c | 7,240$4,116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,124.37 | 290 | 46.9%136 W · 154 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd202…8973backed Aurora Gaming | 41c | 7,020$2,878 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,141.79 | 176 | 43.2%76 W · 100 L | -6.8wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Aurora Gaming | 43c | 6,493$2,796 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,696.9 | 239 | 49%117 W · 122 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a63…fc03backed G2 | 57c | 6,240$3,554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,553.96 | 421 | 42%177 W · 244 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01e6…e7e0backed Aurora Gaming | 41c | 6,191$2,568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,622.54 | 170 | 62.9%107 W · 63 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7645…3117backed Aurora Gaming | 42c | 6,000$2,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,480 | 716 | 45.9%329 W · 387 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x314c…975fbacked G2 | 60c | 5,986$3,582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,581.62 | 59 | 71.2%42 W · 17 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 68cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9a…a06bbacked G2 | 27c | 5,500$1,485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,484.99 | 696 | 24%167 W · 529 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e6…d471backed Aurora Gaming | 42c | 5,000$2,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,900 | 42 | 64.3%27 W · 15 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x83b3…b3a2backed G2 | 28c | 5,000$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400 | 185 | 47%87 W · 98 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcaf…e271backed G2 | 58c | 5,000$2,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,899.99 | 379 | 46.4%176 W · 203 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec54…e8c1backed Aurora Gaming | 40c | 4,966$1,986 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,979.58 | 219 | 45.7%100 W · 119 L | +8.3wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x927c…6633backed G2 | 34c | 4,954$1,701 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,700.55 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -3.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbeb2…79eebacked G2 | 61c | 4,892$2,980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,980.38 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc84…04b2backed Aurora Gaming | 73c | 4,763$3,492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,270.5 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a44…5770backed G2 | 44c | 4,691$2,071 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,071.44 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Aurora Gaming | 52c | 4,609$2,374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,235.04 | 2,309 | 45.1%1,041 W · 1,268 L | -62.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd88…dadbbacked Aurora Gaming | 42c | 4,539$1,906 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,632.62 | 648 | 52%337 W · 311 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8adb…e4f6backed Aurora Gaming | 41c | 4,000$1,640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,360 | 294 | 49.3%145 W · 149 L | -10.3wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed Aurora Gaming | 42c | 4,000$1,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,320 | 602 | 48.7%293 W · 309 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67ed…085abacked G2 | 31c | 3,673$1,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,120.39 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6bef…5e49backed G2 | 33c | 3,511$1,155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,154.73 | 82 | 56.1%46 W · 36 L | +6.2wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x21b7…c861backed Aurora Gaming | 41c | 3,500$1,435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,065 | 114 | 34.2%39 W · 75 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63f5…09ddbacked G2 | 1c | 3,410$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.3 | 33 | 9.1%3 W · 30 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 4cpaid | +45.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x440a…a88abacked G2 | 59c | 3,390$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked Aurora Gaming | 43c | 3,216$1,395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,821.16 | 1,621 | 44.8%726 W · 895 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Aurora Gaming | 53c | 3,068$1,618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,450.7 | 1,567 | 29.8%467 W · 1,100 L | -86.0wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -39%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe111…685abacked Aurora Gaming | 42c | 3,000$1,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,740 | 175 | 40%70 W · 105 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7951…bb41backed Aurora Gaming | 40c | 3,000$1,185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,814.98 | 967 | 40.7%394 W · 573 L | +12.6wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed G2 | 22c | 2,877$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$639.95 | 887 | 46.7%414 W · 473 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77e2…e6c0backed G2 | 41c | 2,843$1,165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,165.48 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -19%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa160…442bbacked G2 | 26c | 2,823$734 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$733.89 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.5wins | -0.23per pick | 59cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x830c…675dbacked G2 | 29c | 2,755$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | +5.5wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x31b0…69b3backed G2 | 37c | 2,729$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 66 | 56.1%37 W · 29 L | +5.0wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a74…6cd2backed G2 | 55c | 2,720$1,501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,501.1 | 242 | 62%150 W · 92 L | +11.4wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x55f2…7381backed Aurora Gaming | 70c | 2,660$1,862 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$798 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce80…08edbacked G2 | 59c | 2,629$1,551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,551 | 119 | 47.1%56 W · 63 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa804…2a75backed Aurora Gaming | 43c | 2,500$1,075 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,425 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked G2 | 57c | 2,500$1,430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,429.95 | 78 | 50%39 W · 39 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed G2 | 36c | 2,487$888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$887.73 | 207 | 45.9%95 W · 112 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5903…d02bbacked Aurora Gaming | 70c | 2,426$1,698 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$727.72 | 52 | 30.8%16 W · 36 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82d2…beeabacked Aurora Gaming | 41c | 2,400$984 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,416 | 1,007 | 52.4%528 W · 479 L | +27.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe96e…f963backed G2 | 26c | 2,325$605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$604.5 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3881…804ebacked G2 | 58c | 2,282$1,317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,316.82 | 1,476 | 51.8%765 W · 711 L | -4.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd599…bf55backed G2 | 36c | 2,244$811 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$810.7 | 74 | 39.2%29 W · 45 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd30d…05d6backed Aurora Gaming | 42c | 2,211$929 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,282.38 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c1c…7980backed G2 | 25c | 2,133$533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$533.13 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked G2 | 39c | 2,097$817 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$816.62 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5c1…7487backed Aurora Gaming | 49c | 2,023$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,022.65 | 167 | 32.9%55 W · 112 L | -9.8wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked G2 | 32c | 2,018$653 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$653.08 | 2,330 | 42.5%991 W · 1,339 L | -71.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24a5…b3bbbacked G2 | 26c | 2,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 291 | 27.5%80 W · 211 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc714…d152backed G2 | 60c | 2,000$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 119 | 49.6%59 W · 60 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b4d…5f4abacked Aurora Gaming | 42c | 2,000$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,160 | 79 | 41.8%33 W · 46 L | +5.3wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x40e8…88a4backed Aurora Gaming | 75c | 2,000$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 171 | 62%106 W · 65 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed G2 | 28c | 2,000$559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$558.64 | 2,429 | 44.6%1,083 W · 1,346 L | -63.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Aurora Gaming | 41c | 2,000$820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,179.88 | 1,080 | 50.9%550 W · 530 L | +38.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked G2 | 20c | 2,000$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.05 | 1,054 | 49%516 W · 538 L | +38.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Aurora Gaming | 34c | 1,984$674 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,309.26 | 2,608 | 30.9%807 W · 1,801 L | -103.7wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d5c…4f26backed G2 | 61c | 1,967$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 352 | 36.4%128 W · 224 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf424…9723backed G2 | 23c | 1,963$461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460.83 | 211 | 35.5%75 W · 136 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48de…95babacked G2 | 58c | 1,897$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 147 | 44.2%65 W · 82 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa6…83f9backed G2 | 60c | 1,892$1,135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,135.01 | 184 | 42.9%79 W · 105 L | -6.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a3c…38d3backed G2 | 24c | 1,890$451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$451 | 242 | 33.9%82 W · 160 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda5f…2e9bbacked G2 | 41c | 1,883$774 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$774.12 | 274 | 52.9%145 W · 129 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31cb…2442backed G2 | 31c | 1,880$581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580.82 | 97 | 48.5%47 W · 50 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa19d…3909backed Aurora Gaming | 74c | 1,814$1,342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$471.68 | 285 | 49.5%141 W · 144 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3this page
- Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 - Map 1 WinnerAurora Gaming won
- Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 - Map 2 WinnerAurora Gaming won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: G2 (-3.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+3.5)Aurora Gaming won
- Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Under won
- Map Handicap: AUR (-1.5) vs G2 (+1.5)Aurora Gaming won
- Map Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5)Aurora Gaming won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.