CS2 · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcfbf6c68a6dc194dee415b53b7d1ca9200d2cbb9e79e3580bf9b15b5fd2a16a8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,339
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,290
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,339 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 75 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4337…8882backed Under | 49c | 11,241$5,564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,677.5 | 882 | 42.3%373 W · 509 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9a9…0c18backed Over | 50c | 5,760$2,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,900 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf97c…4b96backed Over | 51c | 5,686$2,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,900 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Over | 48c | 2,342$1,114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,114.24 | 284 | 55.6%158 W · 126 L | +15.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3881…804ebacked Under | 53c | 2,052$1,086 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$965.37 | 1,496 | 51.5%771 W · 725 L | -7.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbca…ca8dbacked Over | 50c | 2,001$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 51 | 35.3%18 W · 33 L | -6.1wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3f41…5ffcbacked Under | 50c | 1,309$655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$654.5 | 56 | 58.9%33 W · 23 L | +4.6wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa4d3…4b1fbacked Under | 50c | 1,200$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | +5.2wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a91…0776backed Under | 49c | 1,056$518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$538.79 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 50c | 814.82$407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.41 | 231 | 45.9%106 W · 125 L | -7.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b6d…27bbbacked Under | 54c | 555.74$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.74 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Under | 49c | 530.43$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.61 | 266 | 50.8%135 W · 131 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb4c…f815backed Under | 52c | 500$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1eab…4822backed Under | 51c | 429.42$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.42 | 115 | 51.3%59 W · 56 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c27…97c2backed Under | 52c | 424$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.52 | 55 | 38.2%21 W · 34 L | -7.6wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c4…0734backed Over | 52c | 420.84$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 188 | 48.4%91 W · 97 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed Under | 52c | 399.98$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.99 | 1,310 | 53.7%703 W · 607 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Under | 53c | 390.25$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.88 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c14…a9c1backed Over | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 54 | 64.8%35 W · 19 L | +5.5wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6376…0d2abacked Under | 53c | 262.5$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.5 | 892 | 48%428 W · 464 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b0…acdebacked Under | 49c | 223.44$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.95 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f87…f04ebacked Under | 59c | 209.34$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.89 | 266 | 53.4%142 W · 124 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e28…2ef4backed Over | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6401…f240backed Under | 48c | 185.89$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.66 | 350 | 54.6%191 W · 159 L | +17.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Under | 48c | 180.01$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.82 | 259 | 34%88 W · 171 L | -8.6wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7964…f585backed Over | 53c | 150.94$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 157 | 58%91 W · 66 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4105…9d06backed Over | 50c | 138$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeef9…8731backed Under | 50c | 125$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.5 | 374 | 53.2%199 W · 175 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca3…b826backed Over | 40c | 125$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 67 | 44.8%30 W · 37 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2284…e326backed Over | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 174 | 56.9%99 W · 75 L | +8.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda0d…fb82backed Over | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 133 | 50.4%67 W · 66 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0039…046ebacked Over | 53c | 101.89$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 95 | 55.8%53 W · 42 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3389…2411backed Over | 47c | 101.61$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.76 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3337…780bbacked Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccf6…52bfbacked Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 49c | 94.76$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.59 | 2,326 | 45.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b4a…3b84backed Over | 46c | 89.67$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.12 | 140 | 42.1%59 W · 81 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd374…9d82backed Over | 50c | 85.58$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.79 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x68e9…845cbacked Over | 50c | 84$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 302 | 36.8%111 W · 191 L | -12.4wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x812e…8189backed Over | 48c | 72.58$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.84 | 60 | 61.7%37 W · 23 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0762…30e7backed Over | 50c | 62$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 180 | 42.2%76 W · 104 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7d9…c572backed Over | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 187 | 50.8%95 W · 92 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71db…aba8backed Over | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 73 | 49.3%36 W · 37 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3429…38eebacked Over | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f8f…b302backed Under | 51c | 58.63$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.73 | 113 | 58.4%66 W · 47 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x282b…cc76backed Under | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 84 | 54.8%46 W · 38 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe803…b60ebacked Under | 51c | 56.27$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.57 | 324 | 58%188 W · 136 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Under | 52c | 51.07$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.51 | 2,009 | 53.9%1,082 W · 927 L | +7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Under | 51c | 51.07$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.02 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d61…eb8ebacked Over | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 812 | 46.2%375 W · 437 L | -35.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf07…4a12backed Over | 47c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 347 | 42.9%149 W · 198 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33ad…a123backed Over | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 129 | 46.5%60 W · 69 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ded…68a3backed Over | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ba2…6b6cbacked Over | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 177 | 64.4%114 W · 63 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02dc…b9c9backed Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d2a…9ee3backed Over | 48c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 216 | 50.9%110 W · 106 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a29…16c5backed Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 66 | 50%33 W · 33 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b2a…0f79backed Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -4.8wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4786…ff95backed Over | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 69 | 52.2%36 W · 33 L | -4.6wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Under | 59c | 37.33$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.45 | 1,365 | 66.3%905 W · 460 L | +76.1wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x901f…b8b0backed Over | 50c | 36$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 295 | 58.6%173 W · 122 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc7d…8895backed Over | 47c | 31.91$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 224 | 60.7%136 W · 88 L | +10.1wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2455…7559backed Over | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 48 | 62.5%30 W · 18 L | +5.1wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x66da…69b0backed Over | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 280 | 42.5%119 W · 161 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 51c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed Under | 49c | 26.68$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.51 | 686 | 59.5%408 W · 278 L | +65.9wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1d2a…7682backed Under | 53c | 26.13$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.17 | 104 | 51.9%54 W · 50 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6cd…e027backed Over | 52c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.95 | 489 | 43.6%213 W · 276 L | -12.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Under | 52c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 491 | 49.9%245 W · 246 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eba…cb3dbacked Under | 50c | 23.46$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.73 | 170 | 67.6%115 W · 55 L | +14.0wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcf08…12a3backed Over | 52c | 22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.44 | 86 | 48.8%42 W · 44 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3bac…fae6backed Over | 50c | 22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 27 | 77.8%21 W · 6 L | +6.4wins | +0.24per pick | 54cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x5cf3…1eabbacked Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 248 | 41.1%102 W · 146 L | -11.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb391…49e7backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1851…ebd3backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -65.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3Aurora Gaming won
- Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 - Map 1 WinnerAurora Gaming won
- Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 - Map 2 WinnerAurora Gaming won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: G2 (-3.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+3.5)Aurora Gaming won
- Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Under won
- Map Handicap: AUR (-1.5) vs G2 (+1.5)Aurora Gaming won
- Map Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5)Aurora Gaming won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.