CS2 · resolved market
Map Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc7990f50ca55b12660e48ad090f2d5368dc004353d13200fedf3382ed2456335
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Aurora Gamingof G2, Aurora Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,451
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,723
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,451 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5faf…1183backed G2 | 33c | 9,000$2,970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,969.97 | 109 | 35.8%39 W · 70 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x581f…9d8ebacked Aurora Gaming | 67c | 3,320$2,224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,095.5 | 145 | 51.7%75 W · 70 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Aurora Gaming | 67c | 2,000$1,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660 | 2,472 | 44.5%1,101 W · 1,371 L | -68.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf36e…f91cbacked G2 | 31c | 1,777$551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550.74 | 309 | 39.2%121 W · 188 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf95e…53ffbacked G2 | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 198 | 49.5%98 W · 100 L | +7.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccec…1dfcbacked Aurora Gaming | 67c | 929.85$623 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.85 | 211 | 46%97 W · 114 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Aurora Gaming | 67c | 895.52$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.52 | 263 | 47.1%124 W · 139 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3135…f6c3backed Aurora Gaming | 67c | 814.93$546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.93 | 127 | 48%61 W · 66 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2662…3f84backed Aurora Gaming | 69c | 727$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.37 | 209 | 58.9%123 W · 86 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6376…0d2abacked Aurora Gaming | 69c | 683.36$471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.03 | 892 | 48%428 W · 464 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73e3…1be9backed G2 | 31c | 555.09$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.08 | 218 | 53.2%116 W · 102 L | +10.1wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1025…7e11backed Aurora Gaming | 68c | 499.99$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 591 | 40.4%239 W · 352 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c0…9bf5backed Aurora Gaming | 68c | 499.82$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.94 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdec9…b8abbacked Aurora Gaming | 68c | 439.99$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.8 | 206 | 43.7%90 W · 116 L | -9.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31cb…2442backed Aurora Gaming | 67c | 322$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.26 | 97 | 48.5%47 W · 50 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28aa…28b8backed Aurora Gaming | 69c | 310.92$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.39 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c4…0734backed G2 | 33c | 299.65$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 188 | 48.4%91 W · 97 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4dd…4f27backed Aurora Gaming | 67c | 299$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.67 | 514 | 46.9%241 W · 273 L | +10.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked G2 | 31c | 272.87$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.73 | 523 | 49.3%258 W · 265 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3b…5fa5backed Aurora Gaming | 70c | 241.43$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.43 | 218 | 64.2%140 W · 78 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked G2 | 30c | 241.43$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.43 | 238 | 45.4%108 W · 130 L | -8.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x461f…8719backed Aurora Gaming | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 125 | 44.8%56 W · 69 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69b9…a5d5backed Aurora Gaming | 67c | 149.1$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.2 | 116 | 53.4%62 W · 54 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3881…804ebacked G2 | 30c | 125.71$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.71 | 1,549 | 51.3%795 W · 754 L | -11.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0584…75eabacked Aurora Gaming | 69c | 123.19$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.19 | 66 | 63.6%42 W · 24 L | +5.3wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed Aurora Gaming | 67c | 114.78$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.88 | 231 | 49.8%115 W · 116 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2f…9123backed Aurora Gaming | 67c | 105.8$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.91 | 54 | 38.9%21 W · 33 L | -4.8wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x786c…dd20backed G2 | 32c | 93.75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 219 | 42.5%93 W · 126 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14c8…c192backed Aurora Gaming | 67c | 73.13$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.13 | 100 | 52%52 W · 48 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8593…8cfbbacked Aurora Gaming | 70c | 68.57$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.57 | 56 | 64.3%36 W · 20 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc5e…f0c5backed Aurora Gaming | 70c | 63.85$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.12 | 71 | 76.1%54 W · 17 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 74cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9bf…8ec8backed G2 | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 323 | 57.6%186 W · 137 L | +13.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6919…da67backed Aurora Gaming | 69c | 57.97$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.97 | 387 | 54.8%212 W · 175 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8234…bfd0backed Aurora Gaming | 70c | 57.14$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.14 | 97 | 53.6%52 W · 45 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e46…8c1cbacked Aurora Gaming | 69c | 55.2$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.11 | 236 | 54.7%129 W · 107 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfced…6116backed G2 | 32c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 115 | 42.6%49 W · 66 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c97…5c66backed Aurora Gaming | 67c | 44.78$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.78 | 33 | 63.6%21 W · 12 L | +3.9wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8f14…ca5abacked G2 | 32c | 39.21$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.55 | 305 | 45.9%140 W · 165 L | -10.9wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a1…7c9dbacked Aurora Gaming | 68c | 34.3$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.98 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Aurora Gaming | 69c | 32.35$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.03 | 2,412 | 45.4%1,095 W · 1,317 L | -62.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x461c…20abbacked G2 | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf54b…91f7backed G2 | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 165 | 38.8%64 W · 101 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ad…34cebacked Aurora Gaming | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91df…fd49backed Aurora Gaming | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 159 | 66%105 W · 54 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e24…b6d5backed Aurora Gaming | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 123 | 51.2%63 W · 60 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52e4…7d32backed Aurora Gaming | 69c | 21.74$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.74 | 48 | 62.5%30 W · 18 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7df6…ac3bbacked Aurora Gaming | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 307 | 48.9%150 W · 157 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa372…65bbbacked Aurora Gaming | 71c | 19.72$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.72 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31c4…622fbacked Aurora Gaming | 67c | 19.21$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.34 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3Aurora Gaming won
- Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 - Map 1 WinnerAurora Gaming won
- Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 - Map 2 WinnerAurora Gaming won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: G2 (-3.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+3.5)Aurora Gaming won
- Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Under won
- Map Handicap: AUR (-1.5) vs G2 (+1.5)Aurora Gaming won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.