Fifa International · resolved market
United States to score first vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7ae5ab04d861246b3d59b4b877c81888ba1da888ff4f716cd4dbd59b31cb02ed
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $85,409
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $91,425
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $85,409 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 128 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x85bb…9adabacked Yes | 74c | 13,527$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,526.86 | 324 | 29.9%97 W · 227 L | +10.4wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Yes | 74c | 13,237$9,773 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,464.44 | 2,171 | 38.2%829 W · 1,342 L | -36.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f41…5ffcbacked No | 27c | 12,092$3,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,220.08 | 342 | 49.1%168 W · 174 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x896a…688dbacked No | 26c | 11,899$3,094 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,093.64 | 110 | 31.8%35 W · 75 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 73c | 9,457$6,948 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,509.03 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 73c | 7,019$5,152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,867.05 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked No | 25c | 5,228$1,297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,296.7 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked No | 26c | 5,000$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 1,536 | 49.1%754 W · 782 L | +32.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 27c | 4,486$1,193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,193.17 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 27c | 4,300$1,143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,142.6 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 26c | 3,585$943 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$943.03 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecaa…77a9backed Yes | 74c | 3,200$2,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$839.94 | 311 | 52.7%164 W · 147 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f41…8f27backed No | 27c | 2,140$577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$577.08 | 402 | 39.8%160 W · 242 L | -13.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40a7…ecb7backed No | 12c | 1,699$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.99 | 198 | 25.3%50 W · 148 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked No | 26c | 1,538$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 674 | 47.6%321 W · 353 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8565…0c43backed Yes | 77c | 1,500$1,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.61 | 186 | 44.6%83 W · 103 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0845…6b6fbacked Yes | 73c | 1,500$1,095 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.24per pick | 42cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 74c | 1,393$1,027 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.06 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1056…3c9dbacked Yes | 75c | 1,333$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.33 | 454 | 45.4%206 W · 248 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 19c | 1,207$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.01 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d5…df2fbacked Yes | 73c | 1,096$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.89 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6694…ea6fbacked Yes | 73c | 1,000$730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 3c | 667.35$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.02 | 2,524 | 42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed No | 27c | 628.6$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.72 | 1,702 | 36.7%625 W · 1,077 L | -31.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 19c | 622.3$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.18 | 460 | 47.2%217 W · 243 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed No | 27c | 608.88$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.4 | 1,005 | 44.3%445 W · 560 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e43…6583backed Yes | 74c | 600$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156 | 42 | 66.7%28 W · 14 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x090a…0fa6backed No | 27c | 514.99$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.05 | 179 | 53.6%96 W · 83 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Yes | 73c | 499.99$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 214 | 44.4%95 W · 119 L | +8.5wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 26c | 492.98$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.24 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0e5…9623backed No | 27c | 411.85$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.2 | 125 | 41.6%52 W · 73 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed No | 26c | 400$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 977 | 42%410 W · 567 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c25…c3bebacked Yes | 72c | 377.41$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.67 | 706 | 48.2%340 W · 366 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed No | 26c | 329.99$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.04 | 2,576 | 46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L | +35.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a30…9e38backed No | 27c | 320$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.4 | 83 | 54.2%45 W · 38 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…1816backed No | 19c | 318.55$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.41 | 847 | 38.8%329 W · 518 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 10c | 277.59$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.45 | 2,793 | 46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2284…e326backed Yes | 74c | 270.27$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.27 | 92 | 45.7%42 W · 50 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x912c…aa92backed Yes | 74c | 270.27$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.27 | 73 | 74%54 W · 19 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 69cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 7c | 262.93$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.03 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad64…50a7backed No | 27c | 240$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.8 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd48…0074backed Yes | 76c | 235.03$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.41 | 79 | 45.6%36 W · 43 L | +7.3wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc6…fb06backed Yes | 72c | 220.31$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.44 | 99 | 45.5%45 W · 54 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9d5…720fbacked Yes | 73c | 219.18$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.18 | 167 | 31.7%53 W · 114 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37f1…81e9backed Yes | 74c | 202.7$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.7 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26cf…c612backed No | 26c | 200$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 166 | 33.7%56 W · 110 L | -8.4wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed Yes | 68c | 180$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.07 | 1,795 | 44.2%794 W · 1,001 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 72c | 172.14$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.77 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 73c | 170.99$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.6 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 73c | 170.01$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.13 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d38…6f08backed No | 26c | 149.99$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 572 | 52.4%300 W · 272 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb2e…7821backed No | 26c | 140$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.6 | 1,421 | 47.8%679 W · 742 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61ac…4781backed No | 27c | 140$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.8 | 525 | 22.5%118 W · 407 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x238c…4399backed Yes | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 188 | 40.4%76 W · 112 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e47…cefdbacked Yes | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15c6…c9dcbacked Yes | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -68.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad0d…4d09backed Yes | 73c | 136.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.08 | 88 | 39.8%35 W · 53 L | -6.2wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xefb8…876cbacked Yes | 74c | 136.05$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.05 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | -3.5wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0145…35d0backed Yes | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 148 | 66.9%99 W · 49 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb15…5fefbacked Yes | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 100 | 62%62 W · 38 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf07c…78f6backed Yes | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 129 | 54.3%70 W · 59 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a1f…a962backed Yes | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 103 | 50.5%52 W · 51 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba34…32b8backed Yes | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 261 | 51.7%135 W · 126 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa135…68b8backed No | 28c | 126$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.28 | 322 | 45.3%146 W · 176 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dff…6743backed No | 28c | 125$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 346 | 46%159 W · 187 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1946…6367backed No | 27c | 120.58$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.56 | 87 | 56.3%49 W · 38 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15f4…02dfbacked Yes | 73c | 111.36$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.07 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x48e2…6d30backed No | 28c | 103.57$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 119 | 33.6%40 W · 79 L | -6.1wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x66bb…cd52backed Yes | 74c | 101.81$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.81 | 331 | 23.6%78 W · 253 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16fe…a538backed Yes | 73c | 101.73$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.47 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb299…4a62backed Yes | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.25 | 63 | 61.9%39 W · 24 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb51f…b7dbbacked Yes | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.96 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 17c | 91.14$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.26 | 2,804 | 46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L | -27.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64fd…7b28backed No | 27c | 84$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.68 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed No | 27c | 70$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 1,293 | 53.6%693 W · 600 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c6d…815fbacked Yes | 73c | 68.49$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.49 | 42 | 69%29 W · 13 L | +4.9wins | +0.12per pick | 57cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe714…0b4abacked Yes | 73c | 68.49$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.49 | 108 | 62%67 W · 41 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f2…bc78backed Yes | 74c | 67.57$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.57 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb581…b496backed Yes | 75c | 66.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 108 | 44.4%48 W · 60 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3848…12eebacked Yes | 77c | 58.4$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.43 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3561…f1b7backed No | 27c | 55.52$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.87 | 950 | 37.5%356 W · 594 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x903d…84a1backed Yes | 73c | 54.79$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.79 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b71…ad0abacked Yes | 73c | 54.79$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.79 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60a8…7d37backed Yes | 73c | 54.79$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.79 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3a5…0f18backed Yes | 75c | 53.33$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 182 | 45.6%83 W · 99 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f4…c740backed Yes | 73c | 50.68$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.68 | 119 | 39.5%47 W · 72 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd03…f45bbacked Yes | 74c | 49.7$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.92 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.14per pick | 59cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 29c | 49.68$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.44 | 2,796 | 56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L | -9.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91d8…9e8dbacked No | 29c | 47.98$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.91 | 501 | 46.1%231 W · 270 L | +14.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked No | 27c | 45$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.15 | 319 | 45.5%145 W · 174 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e24…ec07backed No | 28c | 42$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.76 | 403 | 52.1%210 W · 193 L | +16.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0cff…e98bbacked No | 27c | 42$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.34 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa42b…45d2backed Yes | 73c | 41.1$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 171 | 56.1%96 W · 75 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75ec…6b20backed Yes | 74c | 40.54$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.54 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce58…12d4backed Yes | 74c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.4 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeda9…f624backed No | 26c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.52 | 1,151 | 58.5%673 W · 478 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8087…abb1backed Yes | 74c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 44 | 65.9%29 W · 15 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4c…2e02backed Yes | 77c | 38.96$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.96 | 396 | 48.7%193 W · 203 L | -23.6wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3e59…2a66backed Yes | 73c | 37.39$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.92 | 1,063 | 31.7%337 W · 726 L | -33.7wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea3c…eeabbacked Yes | 73c | 35.75$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.65 | 78 | 62.8%49 W · 29 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- United States to score first vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina?this page
- Bosnia and Herzegovina to score first vs. United States?No won
- United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Neither team to score first?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.