Fifa International · resolved market
United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Neither team to score first?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x902911ecd4a720e8ab7195452e308099825702a9203caae749c5badf710a5cfd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $63,941
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $56,443
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $63,941 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 5c | 14,058$645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$644.52 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 6c | 7,121$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426.68 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b7…ee3cbacked Yes | 5c | 3,494$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.9 | 476 | 48.5%231 W · 245 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefe9…7aaabacked Yes | 5c | 2,256$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.66 | 74 | 12.2%9 W · 65 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f3a…99b2backed Yes | 5c | 1,931$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 87 | 33.3%29 W · 58 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4457…f3e2backed Yes | 6c | 1,000$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 142 | 31%44 W · 98 L | +6.6wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e8…2c0ebacked Yes | 6c | 900$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.3 | 141 | 19.9%28 W · 113 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 4c | 820$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.8 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6592…2767backed Yes | 5c | 800$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 137 | 18.2%25 W · 112 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe823…2a61backed Yes | 12c | 796.02$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.85 | 33 | 24.2%8 W · 25 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e51…42cebacked Yes | 5c | 787.62$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.88 | 326 | 42.9%140 W · 186 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5006…48cabacked Yes | 6c | 500$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.5 | 182 | 48.9%89 W · 93 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x59d3…c92fbacked Yes | 6c | 500$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.5 | 47 | 36.2%17 W · 30 L | -4.6wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x579a…b0a7backed Yes | 5c | 408.16$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 756 | 30.4%230 W · 526 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb5…1d5bbacked Yes | 11c | 339.45$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 46 | 32.6%15 W · 31 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe392…c023backed Yes | 5c | 335.4$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.29 | 275 | 43.6%120 W · 155 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda20…cb8dbacked Yes | 6c | 319.98$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 81 | 51.9%42 W · 39 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6df…e8f1backed Yes | 6c | 313.39$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.43 | 30 | 6.7%2 W · 28 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 13cpaid | -70.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Yes | 5c | 300$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.75 | 1,005 | 44.3%445 W · 560 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8781…0d7abacked Yes | 5c | 288.46$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 43 | 18.6%8 W · 35 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed Yes | 11c | 200$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 1,135 | 40.2%456 W · 679 L | +5.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed Yes | 6c | 199.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 2,576 | 46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L | +35.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85ef…a41fbacked Yes | 6c | 181.61$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.62 | 40 | 27.5%11 W · 29 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x396c…4498backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 38 | 15.8%6 W · 32 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Neither team to score first?this page
- Bosnia and Herzegovina to score first vs. United States?No won
- United States to score first vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.