TailMyPicks
Market

Fifa International · resolved market

Bosnia and Herzegovina to score first vs. United States?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$50,863
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$49,886

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $50,863 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 88 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes23c7,193$1,688 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,687.872,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No77c6,270$4,811 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,458.483,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Yes23c6,138$1,419 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,419.411,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No77c5,104$3,915 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,188.993,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa4af…8328backed Yes24c4,167$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000520%1 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick23cpaid-57.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed No76c3,312$2,514 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$797.9786452.7%455 W · 409 L+26.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked No75c2,887$2,171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$716.032,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa8b7…ee3cbacked No76c2,220$1,694 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$525.6947648.5%231 W · 245 L+13.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xec59…bb35backed Yes23c2,163$497 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$497.4343248.4%209 W · 223 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked Yes24c2,087$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50065948.6%320 W · 339 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No76c1,908$1,457 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$450.812,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9ac…c5d1backed Yes4c1,633$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.6524539.6%97 W · 148 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-11.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a0c…a35abacked Yes23c1,130$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2605337.7%20 W · 33 L0.0wins0.00per pick38cpaid+9.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaa0e…2a0ebacked Yes23c1,000$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23034247.7%163 W · 179 L-6.1wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-16.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0dc2…794ebacked Yes24c936.71$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224.811546.7%7 W · 8 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+20.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9f41…8f27backed No77c929.28$715 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.2340239.8%160 W · 242 L-13.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-19.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4c25…c3bebacked No77c760.97$586 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.0270648.2%340 W · 366 L+0.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x47ff…7ccbbacked Yes24c750$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18025418.1%46 W · 208 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick17cpaid+21%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed No76c749.94$570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.991,70236.7%625 W · 1,077 L-31.2wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f3a…99b2backed Yes27c745.18$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2008733.3%29 W · 58 L+0.2wins0.00per pick33cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked No76c736.98$560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.8859752.1%311 W · 286 L-2.8wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked No77c652$499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.193,28649.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L+6.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc3a5…534cbacked Yes24c531.08$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1306233.9%21 W · 41 L+4.0wins+0.06per pick27cpaid+10.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x090a…0fa6backed No77c486.93$375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.9917953.6%96 W · 83 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8473…8f23backed Yes23c425.72$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010937.6%41 W · 68 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-8.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x067f…2b31backed Yes24c416.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007431.1%23 W · 51 L+4.6wins+0.06per pick25cpaid+33%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes13c398.95$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.258,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1733…dc80backed Yes28c357.14$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10023336.9%86 W · 147 L+10.2wins+0.04per pick33cpaid+10.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No75c340.58$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.624,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked No75c317.95$238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.892,80446.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L-27.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed No77c300$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$691,00544.3%445 W · 560 L+0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid+6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8bae…a34cbacked Yes21c238.1$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507327.4%20 W · 53 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf8fc…022bbacked Yes23c217.39$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509129.7%27 W · 64 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-25.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x284b…f1ddbacked Yes23c217.39$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503735.1%13 W · 24 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-22.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x77ae…8b7bbacked Yes23c217.39$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501936.8%7 W · 12 L0.0wins0.00per pick37cpaid+19.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37f1…81e9backed Yes23c217.39$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501030%3 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-48.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Yes23c215$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.262,17138.2%829 W · 1,342 L-36.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xafe8…42ccbacked Yes24c208.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5035621.9%78 W · 278 L+0.6wins0.00per pick22cpaid+1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc337…5984backed Yes24c208.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5019618.4%36 W · 160 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick20cpaid-31.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x26cf…c612backed Yes22c199.94$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.7816633.7%56 W · 110 L-8.4wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-11.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0f20…186bbacked Yes27c185.19$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5012417.7%22 W · 102 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick17cpaid+8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1025…7e11backed Yes23c170$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.127939.8%111 W · 168 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No76c164$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.362,38053.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L+76.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked No76c164$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.362,41153%1,278 W · 1,133 L+75.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf0e8…904cbacked Yes23c152.17$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$355038%19 W · 31 L-0.2wins0.00per pick38cpaid+2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeda9…f624backed No77c146.39$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.671,15158.5%673 W · 478 L+0.6wins0.00per pick58cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3900…fb4ebacked Yes23c143.48$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3323729.5%70 W · 167 L-11.0wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-22.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x568d…87d0backed Yes26c130$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.31258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.9wins+0.16per pick43cpaid+27.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5470…47b1backed Yes24c125$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302142.9%9 W · 12 L+2.3wins+0.11per pick32cpaid+40%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1946…6367backed No77c120.58$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.838756.3%49 W · 38 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x999a…9a25backed No77c111.14$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.5624443%105 W · 139 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-29.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd84f…dd03backed Yes23c104.35$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$248622.1%19 W · 67 L-4.7wins-0.05per pick28cpaid-18.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4f94…7f4bbacked Yes24c97.92$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.5616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.12per pick29cpaid-73.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b9e…d362backed Yes24c95.83$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2311436.8%42 W · 72 L+7.2wins+0.06per pick31cpaid+11.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x222b…1a8dbacked No77c88.23$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.6931945.5%145 W · 174 L-0.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-28.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1573…8aacbacked Yes24c83.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2022041.4%91 W · 129 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+11.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5cc8…a0e4backed No77c80.65$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.5586656.4%488 W · 378 L-13.8wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a30…9e38backed No77c80$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.48354.2%45 W · 38 L+5.3wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+16.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x91d8…9e8dbacked Yes22c77.44$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.6750146.1%231 W · 270 L+14.2wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf074…13e5backed Yes22c75.55$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.623941%16 W · 23 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick36cpaid+11.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf63a…ed11backed Yes24c74.83$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.961915.8%3 W · 16 L-3.6wins-0.19per pick35cpaid-72%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3404…10d2backed No77c70$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.11,29353.6%693 W · 600 L+12.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked No77c68$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.4433337.8%126 W · 207 L-12.7wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-40.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xedda…2e39backed Yes23c65.22$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155135.3%18 W · 33 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-16.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4bff…3682backed Yes23c65.22$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154119.5%8 W · 33 L-3.1wins-0.08per pick27cpaid-51.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked No77c65$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.952,23149.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L-21.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x087a…bb87backed Yes24c62.5$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1513930.9%43 W · 96 L+3.7wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xca1f…d282backed No77c60$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.88167.9%55 W · 26 L+6.2wins+0.08per pick60cpaid+8.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x835a…530abacked Yes24c58.33$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1415455.2%85 W · 69 L+14.6wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+13.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3561…f1b7backed No76c55.52$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.2895037.5%356 W · 594 L-1.3wins0.00per pick38cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x00c8…9ccdbacked Yes24c54.17$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131,01931.6%322 W · 697 L-10.2wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-17.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfcea…629cbacked Yes23c52.17$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121330.8%4 W · 9 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-11.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb577…0bc7backed Yes23c50.78$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.681233.3%4 W · 8 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick29cpaid+42.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb635…180dbacked Yes23c50$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.511735%41 W · 76 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-12.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed No77c48$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.0442043.1%181 W · 239 L-7.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-32.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No76c41$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.843,73151.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L+55.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed No79c39.84$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.372,79656.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L-9.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc6d…31cebacked No78c30.9$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.9266932.1%215 W · 454 L+16.8wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-14.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2892…e9d7backed No76c23.3$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.4948154.9%264 W · 217 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3880…db44backed No78c21$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.6219760.4%119 W · 78 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick60cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xceab…dce7backed No78c20.99$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.6254450.6%275 W · 269 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2614…4442backed No78c20.99$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.6242048.8%205 W · 215 L+18.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+16.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd78e…6421backed No76c20$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.816157.8%93 W · 68 L-8.9wins-0.06per pick63cpaid-8.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1c34…266dbacked No77c20$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.5725655.1%141 W · 115 L-10.9wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-11.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd1a6…1507backed No77c19.25$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.4310444.2%46 W · 58 L+0.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid+10%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc155…e36bbacked No76c16.32$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.9278559.7%469 W · 316 L+25.8wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa556…ed9abacked No76c15$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.63663.9%23 W · 13 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick62cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed No76c14.74$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.482,57646.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L+35.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.