Tweets · resolved market

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x96a0f59c699051326eed1bb43053c8a1847b4dc9b6958428735c0244f088078f

Rebuilt 2 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jun 26, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $624,429
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $460,235

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $624,429 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 576 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tweets
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x7bec…b4e2backed Yes	23c	13,040$2,953 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,952.55	34	11.8%4 W · 30 L	-1.8wins	-0.05per pick	17cpaid	-76.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x27e0…b09bbacked Yes	0c	10,987$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.84	68	8.8%6 W · 62 L	+2.8wins	+0.04per pick	5cpaid	+52.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x146d…17c7backed Yes	6c	10,840$687 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$687.12	1,196	8.7%104 W · 1,092 L	+31.0wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x77c8…bc8cbacked Yes	4c	8,773$342 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$341.62	634	14.8%94 W · 540 L	-1.8wins	0.00per pick	15cpaid	-42.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x04a2…e16cbacked Yes	14c	8,272$1,191 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,190.84	638	21.5%137 W · 501 L	+1.7wins	0.00per pick	21cpaid	-25.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfbcb…bb5dbacked Yes	9c	7,869$708 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$708.39	223	25.1%56 W · 167 L	+1.5wins	+0.01per pick	24cpaid	-45.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f66…b986backed Yes	2c	6,855$123 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$123.3	568	17.4%99 W · 469 L	+18.3wins	+0.03per pick	14cpaid	-17.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x524d…4495backed Yes	10c	6,811$714 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$713.96	162	22.2%36 W · 126 L	+8.4wins	+0.05per pick	17cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xac4a…bf1ebacked Yes	7c	6,526$479 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$479.28	407	19.7%80 W · 327 L	-18.4wins	-0.05per pick	24cpaid	-51.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xaca2…b9a1backed Yes	8c	6,121$488 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$488.03	541	22.7%123 W · 418 L	+16.6wins	+0.03per pick	20cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x93fd…7e2fbacked Yes	27c	5,873$1,560 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,559.98	572	22%126 W · 446 L	-3.5wins	-0.01per pick	23cpaid	-42%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4265…851fbacked Yes	27c	5,646$1,507 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,506.59	37	29.7%11 W · 26 L	-0.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-13.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x74ff…be5bbacked Yes	7c	5,393$395 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$394.61	1,001	10.5%105 W · 896 L	-30.9wins	-0.03per pick	14cpaid	-58.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x849c…4009backed Yes	8c	5,119$417 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$417.34	1,782	7.4%132 W · 1,650 L	-23.2wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-66.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x732f…201ebacked Yes	15c	5,068$764 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$763.87	397	23.2%92 W · 305 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	23cpaid	-31.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x01b8…82c1backed Yes	4c	4,685$168 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$167.91	79	17.7%14 W · 65 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	18cpaid	-1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x53bd…5d30backed Yes	11c	4,410$468 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$468.21	106	6.6%7 W · 99 L	-4.9wins	-0.05per pick	11cpaid	-79.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x056d…3b69backed Yes	18c	4,033$734 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$733.93	57	15.8%9 W · 48 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	16cpaid	-24.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9034…4375backed Yes	15c	3,611$532 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$532.07	254	13.4%34 W · 220 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	14cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe8bc…ec51backed Yes	18c	3,581$630 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$630.22	160	23.1%37 W · 123 L	+11.0wins	+0.07per pick	16cpaid	+25.4%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x12ed…c9b4backed Yes	27c	3,530$955 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$955.17	535	22.6%121 W · 414 L	-19.4wins	-0.04per pick	26cpaid	-36.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes	13c	3,476$436 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$436.42	768	21.7%167 W · 601 L	-2.0wins	0.00per pick	22cpaid	-49.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked Yes	4c	3,427$143 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$142.53	456	8.3%38 W · 418 L	+1.3wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	-20.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbd70…d270backed Yes	10c	3,348$337 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$336.59	751	22.2%167 W · 584 L	+15.0wins	+0.02per pick	20cpaid	-35.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc3cf…51d2backed Yes	24c	3,159$760 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$760.04	320	16.6%53 W · 267 L	-5.1wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-15.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2eb6…3e31backed No	70c	3,133$2,196 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$936.99	122	27%33 W · 89 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	26cpaid	-50.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xef0d…8733backed Yes	10c	3,000$285 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$285.19	571	8.2%47 W · 524 L	+1.2wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa49b…7054backed Yes	19c	2,831$537 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$537.14	2,552	13.1%335 W · 2,217 L	+4.3wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x09b4…e56dbacked Yes	16c	2,773$455 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$454.52	40	17.5%7 W · 33 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	16cpaid	-51.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x18a0…dea8backed Yes	12c	2,760$340 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$339.71	576	21.2%122 W · 454 L	+9.9wins	+0.02per pick	19cpaid	-27.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeda6…2095backed Yes	44c	2,698$1,178 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,177.5	24	25%6 W · 18 L	-3.1wins	-0.13per pick	38cpaid	-34.6%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8288…5519backed Yes	9c	2,468$218 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$217.68	159	29.6%47 W · 112 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	29cpaid	-11.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa135…6085backed Yes	8c	2,382$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	47	12.8%6 W · 41 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	12cpaid	-47%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3423…fe57backed Yes	15c	2,377$347 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$347.46	508	28.3%144 W · 364 L	+1.2wins	0.00per pick	28cpaid	-42.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe7c0…d656backed Yes	16c	2,351$383 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$382.52	880	17.3%152 W · 728 L	+2.4wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	-32.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdf8b…481ebacked Yes	4c	2,268$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80.33	185	11.4%21 W · 164 L	+5.8wins	+0.03per pick	8cpaid	-18.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7db5…cf18backed Yes	18c	2,246$393 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$393.21	886	10.3%91 W · 795 L	-4.2wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-49.2%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x97ff…d095backed No	72c	2,165$1,553 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$611.99	546	75.1%410 W · 136 L	+34.8wins	+0.06per pick	69cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6869…0484backed Yes	10c	2,000$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	121	17.4%21 W · 100 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	17cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbdc0…2041backed Yes	12c	2,000$236 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$236.11	42	26.2%11 W · 31 L	+0.7wins	+0.02per pick	25cpaid	+91.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x35f3…cfd0backed Yes	11c	1,980$223 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$223.23	437	19.7%86 W · 351 L	-10.8wins	-0.02per pick	22cpaid	-44.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc36…8542backed Yes	15c	1,871$279 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$279	232	22.4%52 W · 180 L	+2.3wins	+0.01per pick	21cpaid	-25.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e3babacked Yes	15c	1,846$274 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$273.83	325	29.2%95 W · 230 L	-3.3wins	-0.01per pick	30cpaid	-10.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3ab3…a9c2backed Yes	40c	1,828$734 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$734.01	33	33.3%11 W · 22 L	+0.8wins	+0.02per pick	31cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfa76…897ebacked Yes	5c	1,793$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$89.65	155	7.7%12 W · 143 L	+2.0wins	+0.01per pick	6cpaid	-31.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0af6…a114backed Yes	29c	1,743$513 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$512.51	10	40%4 W · 6 L	+0.4wins	+0.04per pick	36cpaid	+125.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2be6…e054backed Yes	5c	1,739$86 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$86.23	118	9.3%11 W · 107 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	10cpaid	-45.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf1d8…8dd3backed Yes	12c	1,667$199 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$198.5	62	30.6%19 W · 43 L	+5.2wins	+0.08per pick	22cpaid	+19.9%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7741…23e6backed Yes	18c	1,632$296 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$296.45	69	36.2%25 W · 44 L	+4.1wins	+0.06per pick	30cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x17f1…0528backed Yes	8c	1,500$114 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$114	514	10.5%54 W · 460 L	+17.3wins	+0.03per pick	7cpaid	+22.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x36e7…0b6bbacked No	79c	1,460$1,147 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$313.19	248	73%181 W · 67 L	+15.9wins	+0.06per pick	67cpaid	+6.1%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x240d…bfd2backed Yes	26c	1,457$382 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$382.08	56	30.4%17 W · 39 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	29cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3d73…75a0backed Yes	19c	1,446$281 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$280.95	65	29.2%19 W · 46 L	-2.0wins	-0.03per pick	32cpaid	-23.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe583…2d98backed Yes	9c	1,441$129 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$129.21	114	21.1%24 W · 90 L	+4.1wins	+0.04per pick	17cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9696…0861backed Yes	10c	1,396$138 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$137.64	880	18.6%164 W · 716 L	+10.1wins	+0.01per pick	17cpaid	-24.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdce0…2dafbacked Yes	7c	1,368$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97.95	303	17.2%52 W · 251 L	+8.6wins	+0.03per pick	14cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x43d7…c453backed No	68c	1,346$910 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$435.67	461	37.5%173 W · 288 L	+4.0wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6964…ef53backed Yes	8c	1,340$106 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$105.72	662	22.2%147 W · 515 L	-34.7wins	-0.05per pick	27cpaid	-58.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdd1f…cc26backed Yes	20c	1,338$271 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$271.38	499	19%95 W · 404 L	-1.7wins	0.00per pick	19cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf4d5…66e1backed Yes	11c	1,323$145 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$144.77	827	14.9%123 W · 704 L	+1.9wins	0.00per pick	15cpaid	-38.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe130…4006backed Yes	15c	1,275$187 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$186.57	1,045	13.6%142 W · 903 L	+37.8wins	+0.04per pick	10cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0b05…8983backed Yes	8c	1,260$101 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100.81	124	21.8%27 W · 97 L	+11.8wins	+0.10per pick	12cpaid	+49.6%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9279…ff7bbacked Yes	28c	1,250$356 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$355.8	73	16.4%12 W · 61 L	-2.2wins	-0.03per pick	19cpaid	-39%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1c40…b388backed Yes	9c	1,244$115 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$114.95	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.08per pick	8cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e5a…935fbacked Yes	19c	1,209$232 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$231.82	48	35.4%17 W · 31 L	+1.7wins	+0.03per pick	32cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xeabe…d6edbacked Yes	16c	1,177$192 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$192.48	132	24.2%32 W · 100 L	+5.4wins	+0.04per pick	20cpaid	+26.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x35af…94bbbacked Yes	8c	1,136$93 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$93.48	35	14.3%5 W · 30 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	15cpaid	-26.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x65fc…beacbacked Yes	6c	1,133$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65	124	16.9%21 W · 103 L	+2.9wins	+0.02per pick	15cpaid	+32.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3de6…e560backed Yes	9c	1,073$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$98.5	152	21.1%32 W · 120 L	+3.6wins	+0.02per pick	19cpaid	-15.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb56b…28dbbacked Yes	10c	1,061$105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$105	82	19.5%16 W · 66 L	+3.6wins	+0.04per pick	15cpaid	+34.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xec82…6eaabacked Yes	9c	1,048$94 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$94.02	491	6.7%33 W · 458 L	+11.5wins	+0.02per pick	4cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x07cf…a9fabacked Yes	21c	1,038$215 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$214.51	327	16.8%55 W · 272 L	+7.3wins	+0.02per pick	15cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe62e…cc81backed Yes	5c	1,030$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	167	41.3%69 W · 98 L	-5.6wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-17.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xedc1…0a06backed Yes	6c	1,019$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58.94	28	46.4%13 W · 15 L	+2.0wins	+0.07per pick	39cpaid	+15%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdb45…b5d6backed Yes	17c	1,000$171 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$171.02	36	5.6%2 W · 34 L	-0.7wins	-0.02per pick	8cpaid	-65.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x266e…17e5backed Yes	20c	1,000$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	69	30.4%21 W · 48 L	-3.5wins	-0.05per pick	35cpaid	-38.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x831a…d532backed Yes	2c	1,000$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb476…6eacbacked Yes	13c	1,000$128 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$128	36	16.7%6 W · 30 L	-2.9wins	-0.08per pick	25cpaid	-39.2%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb1fe…423abacked Yes	6c	993.48$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	149	23.5%35 W · 114 L	+1.9wins	+0.01per pick	22cpaid	+25.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb86…dc7bbacked Yes	19c	989.23$192 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$191.98	36	22.2%8 W · 28 L	+0.9wins	+0.02per pick	20cpaid	+111.1%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e52…91d6backed Yes	17c	978.37$162 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$161.87	186	8.6%16 W · 170 L	-6.3wins	-0.03per pick	12cpaid	-76.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf042…3a87backed Yes	16c	949.99$155 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$155	22	36.4%8 W · 14 L	+1.6wins	+0.07per pick	29cpaid	+26.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0df4…c7cbbacked No	53c	943$503 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$439.59	55	67.3%37 W · 18 L	+1.8wins	+0.03per pick	64cpaid	+10.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3ee7…fb27backed Yes	15c	930.97$137 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$137.29	63	23.8%15 W · 48 L	-1.6wins	-0.02per pick	26cpaid	-25.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	1c	910.32$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.5	2,163	3.9%85 W · 2,078 L	+5.8wins	0.00per pick	4cpaid	-35.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe53d…146cbacked Yes	20c	894.97$183 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$182.73	117	23.1%27 W · 90 L	+1.7wins	+0.01per pick	22cpaid	-10.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9ecb…26e8backed Yes	5c	892.19$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.77	45	26.7%12 W · 33 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	25cpaid	-19.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd00f…1ba0backed Yes	11c	881.58$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97.55	21	28.6%6 W · 15 L	-1.5wins	-0.07per pick	36cpaid	-41.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf9ac…806ebacked Yes	11c	871.08$93 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$93.24	129	32.6%42 W · 87 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	33cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x511f…cbe1backed No	79c	863$685 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$177.97	221	60.2%133 W · 88 L	+4.6wins	+0.02per pick	58cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0800…ceb0backed No	79c	851.49$671 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$180.66	114	30.7%35 W · 79 L	-3.2wins	-0.03per pick	34cpaid	-24.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf382…be0ebacked Yes	10c	851.01$87 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$86.54	14	14.3%2 W · 12 L	+0.6wins	+0.04per pick	10cpaid	+120.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5ca8…ed52backed Yes	26c	847.29$218 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$218	16	18.8%3 W · 13 L	-0.6wins	-0.04per pick	23cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x30a0…a458backed Yes	5c	845$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.04	27	7.4%2 W · 25 L	-1.8wins	-0.06per pick	14cpaid	-83%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4ff6…4e36backed Yes	21c	836.99$177 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$177.32	117	21.4%25 W · 92 L	-5.1wins	-0.04per pick	26cpaid	-18.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7f00…487fbacked Yes	9c	836.43$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75.36	280	16.4%46 W · 234 L	+8.8wins	+0.03per pick	13cpaid	+21.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xad9f…9971backed Yes	8c	830$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63.4	352	12.8%45 W · 307 L	+6.5wins	+0.02per pick	11cpaid	+22.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6845…c125backed Yes	3c	786$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.87	846	16.4%139 W · 707 L	+24.6wins	+0.03per pick	14cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc594…e5c5backed Yes	24c	766.28$184 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$184.13	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-0.2wins	-0.04per pick	24cpaid	-42.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x409c…9ac8backed Yes	9c	750$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65	121	24%29 W · 92 L	+7.9wins	+0.07per pick	17cpaid	+35.8%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 24 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event