Tweets · resolved market

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xde92ee9116b4ec9859e1af0921d98ef0088ba09c439e354265353113f6f1cb3f

Rebuilt 21 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jun 26, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $509,226
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $278,418

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $509,226 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 116 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tweets
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xc4d5…87cfbacked Yes	4c	23,701$998 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$998.36	564	29.8%168 W · 396 L	+2.2wins	0.00per pick	29cpaid	-39.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x849c…4009backed Yes	3c	20,466$514 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$513.54	1,782	7.4%132 W · 1,650 L	-23.2wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-66.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x74ff…be5bbacked Yes	3c	19,660$516 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$516.26	1,001	10.5%105 W · 896 L	-30.9wins	-0.03per pick	14cpaid	-58.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe089…ad3abacked Yes	1c	15,684$185 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$184.83	183	4.4%8 W · 175 L	+3.8wins	+0.02per pick	2cpaid	+235.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7bec…b4e2backed Yes	3c	13,168$397 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$396.74	34	11.8%4 W · 30 L	-1.8wins	-0.05per pick	17cpaid	-76.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x146d…17c7backed Yes	1c	12,629$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.87	1,196	8.7%104 W · 1,092 L	+31.0wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xca6e…46f2backed Yes	6c	10,000$620 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$619.99	481	6.7%32 W · 449 L	+2.8wins	+0.01per pick	6cpaid	-2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd8c4…848dbacked Yes	1c	9,594$84 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$83.86	609	7.7%47 W · 562 L	+3.8wins	+0.01per pick	7cpaid	-35.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a1b…fbbdbacked Yes	1c	8,319$78 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$78.19	553	5.6%31 W · 522 L	+15.5wins	+0.03per pick	3cpaid	+41.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x50a8…98edbacked Yes	7c	8,253$571 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$571.48	334	22.2%74 W · 260 L	+7.5wins	+0.02per pick	20cpaid	+27.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x09b4…e56dbacked Yes	5c	7,949$379 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$378.58	40	17.5%7 W · 33 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	16cpaid	-51.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe243…af59backed Yes	1c	7,948$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.48	364	11%40 W · 324 L	+10.0wins	+0.03per pick	8cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa002…e840backed Yes	0c	6,800$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.75	186	3.8%7 W · 179 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	4cpaid	-14.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfa76…897ebacked Yes	2c	5,816$115 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$114.69	155	7.7%12 W · 143 L	+2.0wins	+0.01per pick	6cpaid	-31.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd07…6bb7backed Yes	1c	5,450$71 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70.85	128	10.9%14 W · 114 L	-2.4wins	-0.02per pick	13cpaid	-61.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7c2c…407ebacked Yes	0c	5,113$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.23	240	1.7%4 W · 236 L	+2.8wins	+0.01per pick	1cpaid	+675.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4143…d67dbacked Yes	0c	5,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	212	20.3%43 W · 169 L	+13.4wins	+0.06per pick	14cpaid	+610.3%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xbfb5…3f64backed Yes	0c	5,000$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.5	51	0%0 W · 51 L	-0.8wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x17f1…0528backed Yes	5c	4,850$225 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$224.78	514	10.5%54 W · 460 L	+17.3wins	+0.03per pick	7cpaid	+22.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x12ed…c9b4backed Yes	7c	4,790$338 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$337.71	535	22.6%121 W · 414 L	-19.4wins	-0.04per pick	26cpaid	-36.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdd1f…cc26backed Yes	5c	4,651$239 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$239.44	499	19%95 W · 404 L	-1.7wins	0.00per pick	19cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3013…2cd8backed Yes	6c	4,644$292 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$291.53	261	13.8%36 W · 225 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	14cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7db5…cf18backed Yes	0c	4,400$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.46	886	10.3%91 W · 795 L	-4.2wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-49.2%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xdf8b…481ebacked Yes	2c	4,300$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67.8	185	11.4%21 W · 164 L	+5.8wins	+0.03per pick	8cpaid	-18.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x53bd…5d30backed Yes	1c	4,299$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.93	106	6.6%7 W · 99 L	-4.9wins	-0.05per pick	11cpaid	-79.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2eef…eacabacked Yes	1c	4,020$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.16	214	29.9%64 W · 150 L	-9.0wins	-0.04per pick	34cpaid	-28%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xae8e…afc1backed Yes	5c	3,875$175 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$174.53	83	7.2%6 W · 77 L	+3.4wins	+0.04per pick	3cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8eab…a56dbacked Yes	0c	3,833$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.03	278	5%14 W · 264 L	-3.5wins	-0.01per pick	6cpaid	-89.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x93fd…7e2fbacked Yes	6c	3,800$226 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$226.15	572	22%126 W · 446 L	-3.5wins	-0.01per pick	23cpaid	-42%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x732f…201ebacked Yes	8c	3,700$297 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$296.55	397	23.2%92 W · 305 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	23cpaid	-31.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfbcb…bb5dbacked Yes	4c	3,620$157 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$157.35	223	25.1%56 W · 167 L	+1.5wins	+0.01per pick	24cpaid	-45.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9034…4375backed Yes	11c	3,516$373 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$373.49	254	13.4%34 W · 220 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	14cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa49b…7054backed Yes	2c	3,513$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$74.87	2,552	13.1%335 W · 2,217 L	+4.3wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked Yes	2c	3,488$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65.91	456	8.3%38 W · 418 L	+1.3wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	-20.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes	6c	3,460$196 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$195.57	768	21.7%167 W · 601 L	-2.0wins	0.00per pick	22cpaid	-49.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6e29…eba9backed Yes	11c	3,156$347 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$346.71	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	+0.8wins	+0.09per pick	25cpaid	+80.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf4e…e3a2backed Yes	0c	3,095$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.96	99	21.2%21 W · 78 L	+8.0wins	+0.08per pick	13cpaid	+32.9%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3423…fe57backed Yes	6c	3,068$190 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$190.35	508	28.3%144 W · 364 L	+1.2wins	0.00per pick	28cpaid	-42.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xef0d…8733backed Yes	4c	3,000$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120	571	8.2%47 W · 524 L	+1.2wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7741…23e6backed Yes	10c	2,783$285 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$285.36	69	36.2%25 W · 44 L	+4.1wins	+0.06per pick	30cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2626…b763backed Yes	0c	2,500$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.10per pick	10cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9d0…542cbacked Yes	1c	2,500$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.75	67	4.5%3 W · 64 L	-1.1wins	-0.02per pick	6cpaid	-77.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4265…851fbacked Yes	7c	2,500$177 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$177.5	37	29.7%11 W · 26 L	-0.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-13.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b61…a7fabacked Yes	8c	2,325$176 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$175.91	11	27.3%3 W · 8 L	-0.8wins	-0.07per pick	34cpaid	-51.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2eb6…3e31backed Yes	6c	2,318$131 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$131.42	122	27%33 W · 89 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	26cpaid	-50.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x59a1…a8d1backed Yes	4c	2,132$77 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$76.95	416	10.6%44 W · 372 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	+11.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x12e0…d6f8backed Yes	5c	1,998$108 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$107.97	250	12.8%32 W · 218 L	+3.7wins	+0.01per pick	11cpaid	-16%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe130…4006backed Yes	2c	1,735$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.57	1,045	13.6%142 W · 903 L	+37.8wins	+0.04per pick	10cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf4d5…66e1backed Yes	3c	1,726$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.8	827	14.9%123 W · 704 L	+1.9wins	0.00per pick	15cpaid	-38.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5cc1…480abacked Yes	6c	1,605$97 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96.59	35	2.9%1 W · 34 L	-1.0wins	-0.03per pick	6cpaid	-42.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x03c2…f725backed Yes	2c	1,548$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.08	38	28.9%11 W · 27 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	28cpaid	-19.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x240d…bfd2backed Yes	4c	1,415$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.46	56	30.4%17 W · 39 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	29cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe3d7…2ffbbacked Yes	5c	1,400$71 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$71.4	41	14.6%6 W · 35 L	+2.3wins	+0.06per pick	9cpaid	-26.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x04a2…e16cbacked Yes	8c	1,243$97 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97.27	638	21.5%137 W · 501 L	+1.7wins	0.00per pick	21cpaid	-25.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8b30…068abacked Yes	3c	1,189$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.88	329	17%56 W · 273 L	+13.7wins	+0.04per pick	13cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xba75…adb4backed Yes	1c	1,144$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.79	24	0%0 W · 24 L	-0.6wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd717…3b85backed Yes	1c	1,039$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.26	107	38.3%41 W · 66 L	-4.3wins	-0.04per pick	42cpaid	-30.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe53d…146cbacked Yes	9c	884.97$84 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$83.69	117	23.1%27 W · 90 L	+1.7wins	+0.01per pick	22cpaid	-10.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e9c…2ec7backed Yes	6c	880$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.4	142	19.7%28 W · 114 L	-11.6wins	-0.08per pick	28cpaid	-46%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xec82…6eaabacked Yes	4c	862.08$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.77	491	6.7%33 W · 458 L	+11.5wins	+0.02per pick	4cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x18a0…dea8backed Yes	6c	856.71$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.14	576	21.2%122 W · 454 L	+9.9wins	+0.02per pick	19cpaid	-27.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x35af…94bbbacked Yes	6c	853.87$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	35	14.3%5 W · 30 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	15cpaid	-26.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d37…2f72backed Yes	5c	849.31$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.12	105	13.3%14 W · 91 L	+1.7wins	+0.02per pick	12cpaid	-20%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xac4a…bf1ebacked Yes	3c	846.89$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.85	407	19.7%80 W · 327 L	-18.4wins	-0.05per pick	24cpaid	-51.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x306d…7a38backed Yes	2c	808.07$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.06	580	11.4%66 W · 514 L	+19.7wins	+0.03per pick	8cpaid	+21.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6864…294bbacked Yes	2c	800$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.15	326	15.6%51 W · 275 L	-10.1wins	-0.03per pick	19cpaid	-62.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x071d…07efbacked Yes	3c	775.69$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.15	1,038	11.1%115 W · 923 L	+4.7wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-36.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x25f2…0822backed Yes	7c	766.89$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	74	13.5%10 W · 64 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	14cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1e52…91d6backed Yes	8c	725.47$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56.38	186	8.6%16 W · 170 L	-6.3wins	-0.03per pick	12cpaid	-76.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x81b8…cf17backed Yes	2c	634.21$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.35	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x86c8…a09dbacked Yes	5c	618.96$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	61	23%14 W · 47 L	+2.7wins	+0.04per pick	19cpaid	+34.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8729…7a5bbacked Yes	6c	607.98$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.7	21	4.8%1 W · 20 L	-0.6wins	-0.03per pick	8cpaid	-51.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb816…9e90backed Yes	4c	599.83$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.78	60	33.3%20 W · 40 L	+1.9wins	+0.03per pick	30cpaid	+74.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x482f…53f7backed Yes	4c	570.09$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	81	2.5%2 W · 79 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	3cpaid	-60.5%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xe1f0…25d2backed Yes	3c	566.9$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.18	384	4.7%18 W · 366 L	+4.0wins	+0.01per pick	4cpaid	-18.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1fcc…643fbacked Yes	5c	545.25$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29	95	15.8%15 W · 80 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	16cpaid	-27.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x213c…ab63backed Yes	7c	544.64$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.62	21	28.6%6 W · 15 L	+0.8wins	+0.04per pick	25cpaid	-13.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0af6…a114backed Yes	8c	540.34$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.58	10	40%4 W · 6 L	+0.4wins	+0.04per pick	36cpaid	+125.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd26a…732cbacked Yes	6c	524.48$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	124	35.5%44 W · 80 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	36cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7413…4b09backed Yes	3c	500$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.24	798	11.3%90 W · 708 L	+30.0wins	+0.04per pick	8cpaid	+33.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x832d…6ec5backed Yes	3c	500$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.5	117	7.7%9 W · 108 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	8cpaid	-66.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9696…0861backed Yes	7c	499.6$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.22	880	18.6%164 W · 716 L	+10.1wins	+0.01per pick	17cpaid	-24.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbc7…5e40backed Yes	9c	439.27$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.53	10	40%4 W · 6 L	+0.7wins	+0.07per pick	33cpaid	-25.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x159f…4043backed Yes	6c	433.44$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26	87	21.8%19 W · 68 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	22cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xabfb…12e5backed Yes	4c	412.27$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.09	102	16.7%17 W · 85 L	+6.7wins	+0.07per pick	10cpaid	-25.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x67ef…990abacked Yes	4c	400$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.9	732	15.2%111 W · 621 L	+11.7wins	+0.02per pick	14cpaid	+7.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x13d8…06c4backed Yes	3c	400$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	39	12.8%5 W · 34 L	+1.9wins	+0.05per pick	8cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe7c0…d656backed Yes	5c	371.88$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.93	880	17.3%152 W · 728 L	+2.4wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	-32.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4f7d…b3ffbacked Yes	4c	326.54$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.78	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2194…3a90backed Yes	7c	325$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.12	118	26.3%31 W · 87 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	25cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaf60…c978backed Yes	6c	314.12$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	92	13%12 W · 80 L	+2.1wins	+0.02per pick	11cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d6e…54cfbacked Yes	5c	300$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.87	412	20.6%85 W · 327 L	+7.4wins	+0.02per pick	19cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7acd…1086backed Yes	4c	300$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.9	130	8.5%11 W · 119 L	+3.1wins	+0.02per pick	6cpaid	+95.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbc13…5578backed Yes	4c	298.69$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	289	12.8%37 W · 252 L	+5.7wins	+0.02per pick	11cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6993…3f71backed Yes	7c	294.12$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd00f…1ba0backed Yes	9c	270$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.39	21	28.6%6 W · 15 L	-1.5wins	-0.07per pick	36cpaid	-41.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xeab1…8121backed Yes	6c	249.98$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.15	488	19.3%94 W · 394 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	19cpaid	-23.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xffae…5c98backed Yes	4c	244.29$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.65	22	27.3%6 W · 16 L	-1.4wins	-0.06per pick	34cpaid	-42.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7246…976bbacked Yes	13c	244$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.13	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.4wins	-0.09per pick	9cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa0ce…f82bbacked Yes	6c	239.98$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.88	25	40%10 W · 15 L	+1.9wins	+0.08per pick	32cpaid	+7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 24 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event