Middle East · resolved market
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x151b13b0d75a282ea864a2835963c0164c03e8fa3064c4d44026e3af5f2ff8d4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $983,203
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $937,445
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $983,203 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 491 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd426…334abacked Yes | 36c | 49,572$17,681 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,681.5 | 362 | 27.9%101 W · 261 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a23…0f72backed Yes | 11c | 40,716$4,608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,607.59 | 113 | 23.9%27 W · 86 L | +5.3wins | +0.05per pick | 19cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked Yes | 29c | 35,692$10,427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,427.3 | 511 | 38.7%198 W · 313 L | +18.7wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe738…df65backed Yes | 48c | 30,071$14,417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,417.1 | 353 | 55.5%196 W · 157 L | +36.1wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6139…6b7abacked No | 54c | 28,611$15,417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,194.05 | 215 | 31.2%67 W · 148 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4478…02a4backed No | 71c | 28,000$19,863 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,137.13 | 287 | 34.5%99 W · 188 L | +21.3wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8a98…1b92backed Yes | 48c | 27,592$13,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,159.78 | 168 | 31%52 W · 116 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x62cf…5826backed No | 67c | 19,515$13,138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,377.38 | 62 | 62.9%39 W · 23 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9648…6825backed Yes | 9c | 19,451$1,656 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,656.18 | 148 | 21.6%32 W · 116 L | -24.5wins | -0.17per pick | 38cpaid | -61.3%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e8…9fbdbacked Yes | 1c | 13,750$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.27 | 274 | 2.9%8 W · 266 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 3cpaid | -58.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44c1…ebc1backed Yes | 51c | 12,878$6,568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,567.6 | 86 | 41.9%36 W · 50 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…f0fbbacked No | 68c | 11,274$7,614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,660.08 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +3.2wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8597…daeebacked No | 72c | 11,000$7,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,099.99 | 83 | 59%49 W · 34 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc91b…93bdbacked Yes | 63c | 10,958$6,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,949.83 | 77 | 45.5%35 W · 42 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79d9…baecbacked Yes | 52c | 10,353$5,377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,376.53 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked Yes | 33c | 10,084$3,359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,358.91 | 359 | 21.4%77 W · 282 L | -23.8wins | -0.07per pick | 28cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2be6…8ae5backed Yes | 8c | 9,500$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc26…32cabacked No | 68c | 9,346$6,374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,971.26 | 87 | 19.5%17 W · 70 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce1d…1b9bbacked Yes | 44c | 9,000$3,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,960 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -56.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd1…a156backed Yes | 45c | 8,643$3,883 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,883.06 | 155 | 41.9%65 W · 90 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe397…bfcbbacked Yes | 14c | 8,450$1,183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,183 | 107 | 47.7%51 W · 56 L | +6.6wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +26%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5739…5f1abacked No | 51c | 8,404$4,305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,099.13 | 65 | 32.3%21 W · 44 L | -6.7wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4a2b…af20backed No | 56c | 7,607$4,263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,344.24 | 264 | 29.2%77 W · 187 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e6f…dfb9backed Yes | 4c | 7,500$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -55.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3db…0f98backed No | 62c | 7,442$4,614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,828.07 | 71 | 50.7%36 W · 35 L | +11.2wins | +0.16per pick | 35cpaid | +94.5%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x35e3…9188backed Yes | 29c | 7,138$2,085 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,085.47 | 116 | 33.6%39 W · 77 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9a…5d99backed Yes | 23c | 6,463$1,477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,477.01 | 127 | 44.9%57 W · 70 L | +11.9wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +91.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe3f2…e1c1backed No | 76c | 6,091$4,626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,464.58 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97af…9bc6backed Yes | 28c | 5,989$1,693 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,693.27 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x652b…f5c2backed No | 35c | 5,696$2,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,691.03 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +3.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7a…df1bbacked Yes | 5c | 5,624$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.2 | 358 | 8.7%31 W · 327 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 6cpaid | +99.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…bd17backed Yes | 4c | 5,000$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.5 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked Yes | 2c | 4,896$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.28 | 476 | 9.9%47 W · 429 L | +15.1wins | +0.03per pick | 7cpaid | +75.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1086…27d2backed Yes | 15c | 4,788$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 18cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4712…29ddbacked Yes | 49c | 4,556$2,235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,235 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +3.5wins | +0.24per pick | 50cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Yes | 41c | 4,519$1,851 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,851.22 | 197 | 39.1%77 W · 120 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc040…beacbacked Yes | 9c | 4,267$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.28 | 165 | 26.1%43 W · 122 L | +7.7wins | +0.05per pick | 21cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe234…304abacked No | 66c | 4,254$2,805 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,448.52 | 30 | 20%6 W · 24 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -55%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffa…b3c4backed Yes | 1c | 4,163$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b75…3fd1backed Yes | 5c | 4,010$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.6 | 59 | 30.5%18 W · 41 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34ab…3eb5backed Yes | 39c | 3,929$1,519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,519.27 | 226 | 27.9%63 W · 163 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa7da…2e69backed Yes | 28c | 3,887$1,103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,103 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd286…2322backed Yes | 13c | 3,641$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475.9 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf17…97d1backed Yes | 35c | 3,555$1,252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,251.59 | 113 | 34.5%39 W · 74 L | -7.5wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5533…51babacked Yes | 1c | 3,501$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.49 | 28 | 3.6%1 W · 27 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -43%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…4723backed Yes | 64c | 3,332$2,133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,132.83 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61e7…6e8bbacked Yes | 16c | 3,288$526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$526 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c43…f964backed Yes | 5c | 3,200$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x122c…fbedbacked Yes | 3c | 3,135$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.64 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e4f…4594backed Yes | 32c | 3,073$976 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$975.59 | 63 | 31.7%20 W · 43 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5bd…ceaabacked Yes | 24c | 3,031$742 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$742.11 | 215 | 37.7%81 W · 134 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e1f…c855backed No | 33c | 3,000$990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,010 | 106 | 39.6%42 W · 64 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf73f…ee53backed No | 60c | 3,000$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -2.5wins | -0.10per pick | 33cpaid | -58.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7712…0c28backed No | 39c | 3,000$1,170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,830 | 64 | 60.9%39 W · 25 L | +5.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Yes | 71c | 3,000$2,130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,130 | 203 | 36.9%75 W · 128 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -20%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0845…6b6fbacked No | 54c | 2,895$1,572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,323.42 | 204 | 38.7%79 W · 125 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x166a…d7edbacked No | 51c | 2,849$1,451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,397.87 | 127 | 40.9%52 W · 75 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x135d…56c0backed Yes | 14c | 2,829$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.03 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…fd6dbacked No | 55c | 2,825$1,557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,267.96 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2721…cf8abacked Yes | 22c | 2,752$607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$607.09 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +6.9wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa2…2c73backed Yes | 29c | 2,744$796 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$796.28 | 377 | 40.1%151 W · 226 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ac3…16f6backed Yes | 14c | 2,470$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.5 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe879…6d22backed Yes | 49c | 2,185$1,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,060.35 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb476…6eacbacked Yes | 46c | 2,183$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -36%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x099e…b3c1backed Yes | 9c | 2,157$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 17cpaid | +214.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a59…6c6fbacked No | 66c | 2,136$1,413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$723.21 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4abe…37b7backed Yes | 45c | 2,117$955 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$954.84 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.27per pick | 39cpaid | -67.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe018…a22dbacked Yes | 42c | 2,101$883 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$883.34 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +3.2wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9352…2227backed Yes | 41c | 2,094$851 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$850.54 | 123 | 41.5%51 W · 72 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f2b…a201backed Yes | 25c | 2,078$516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$516.4 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 31cpaid | -83.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa62a…a8ffbacked Yes | 14c | 2,077$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.85 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1936…1d16backed Yes | 15c | 2,021$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -76%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06ab…7457backed Yes | 27c | 2,000$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 14c | 1,927$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.9 | 1,558 | 7.2%112 W · 1,446 L | -35.1wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc079…dec4backed No | 77c | 1,912$1,475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$437.06 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd53e…0b73backed Yes | 16c | 1,904$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.69 | 92 | 31.5%29 W · 63 L | -8.0wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1ee9…197fbacked Yes | 47c | 1,870$873 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$872.95 | 296 | 53.7%159 W · 137 L | +20.2wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +104.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x69c9…3b29backed No | 80c | 1,789$1,423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.34 | 77 | 49.4%38 W · 39 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x392a…262dbacked No | 51c | 1,776$914 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$861.68 | 74 | 45.9%34 W · 40 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a6…644bbacked Yes | 56c | 1,728$961 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960.54 | 194 | 28.9%56 W · 138 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4b…ca7abacked No | 33c | 1,686$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,125.71 | 306 | 49%150 W · 156 L | +77.8wins | +0.25per pick | 24cpaid | +105.8%equal weight | 76+0.24 edge/pick |
| 0x6e49…f1afbacked Yes | 60c | 1,648$981 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980.89 | 229 | 27.1%62 W · 167 L | -12.8wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -43%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x645a…fd84backed No | 61c | 1,634$1,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$632.97 | 247 | 59.1%146 W · 101 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3cd…816cbacked Yes | 64c | 1,629$1,035 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,035.03 | 198 | 29.3%58 W · 140 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5666…c630backed Yes | 51c | 1,610$821 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$821.1 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…cbdcbacked Yes | 44c | 1,538$671 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$671.06 | 129 | 44.2%57 W · 72 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed Yes | 34c | 1,520$512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$511.7 | 178 | 39.9%71 W · 107 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 15c | 1,512$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.91 | 122 | 23%28 W · 94 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf271…acf2backed Yes | 10c | 1,500$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0b…a0d9backed Yes | 66c | 1,500$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$989.99 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07d4…8991backed Yes | 1c | 1,500$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 96 | 4.2%4 W · 92 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ca1…13b5backed Yes | 24c | 1,499$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.87 | 167 | 39.5%66 W · 101 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca97…5409backed Yes | 25c | 1,462$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.82 | 152 | 38.2%58 W · 94 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…783dbacked Yes | 51c | 1,430$729 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$729.26 | 458 | 43.7%200 W · 258 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2220…5db4backed Yes | 24c | 1,400$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333 | 38 | 63.2%24 W · 14 L | +4.6wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5026…dde1backed Yes | 72c | 1,393$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6dd…4b9fbacked Yes | 35c | 1,391$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.7 | 79 | 46.8%37 W · 42 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2282…73e8backed No | 36c | 1,272$458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$813.98 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.29per pick | 62cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…1367backed Yes | 47c | 1,254$584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$584.12 | 87 | 39.1%34 W · 53 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes | 33c | 1,233$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.49 | 217 | 26.7%58 W · 159 L | -9.0wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.