Us Politics · resolved market
US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xff78bad30c99e8eed16b577a70b9fcfe69b83d1c838f238d3f84dcd3d2c94701
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,020,004
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,940,119
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,020,004 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 391 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9e90…5603backed No | 0c | 182,000$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78c1…cfc5backed No | 0c | 101,060$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f5e…9e30backed No | 0c | 98,427$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7bc1…f996backed No | 0c | 80,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16fc…b16bbacked No | 0c | 73,657$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e63…2f2abacked No | 0c | 66,000$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa39…977fbacked No | 2c | 63,594$1,324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,323.96 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbacd…ab35backed No | 27c | 56,981$15,125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,124.61 | 184 | 25%46 W · 138 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe17f…9d41backed No | 1c | 55,239$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…0b14backed No | 0c | 51,429$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc023…43bcbacked No | 0c | 40,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bed…43cfbacked No | 2c | 37,222$581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…e0eebacked No | 1c | 33,762$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504.47 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 9cpaid | +194.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d7e…cb13backed No | 0c | 30,361$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6413…ab24backed No | 3c | 23,941$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed No | 0c | 23,780$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.78 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0db2…31b6backed No | 0c | 23,000$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked No | 0c | 21,293$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.88 | 137 | 14.6%20 W · 117 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ad0…bf3dbacked No | 3c | 20,837$711 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$710.55 | 22 | 13.6%3 W · 19 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 20cpaid | -52.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec9a…c40abacked No | 0c | 20,243$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd547…8790backed No | 0c | 20,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7302…828abacked No | 0c | 18,456$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3509…7a87backed No | 0c | 15,000$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 78c | 12,700$9,894 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,894.09 | 696 | 34.9%243 W · 453 L | -48.8wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x134b…b4d2backed No | 0c | 12,000$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a2e…4aeebacked No | 0c | 12,000$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8af5…a68abacked No | 0c | 11,000$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe37f…d8a9backed No | 0c | 11,000$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51ae…d57cbacked No | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x834b…a1fcbacked No | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcad3…b0b9backed No | 0c | 10,000$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c53…8c30backed No | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7847…4007backed No | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92c8…642abacked No | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0b6…20febacked No | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6acf…e69bbacked No | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb1a…34cabacked No | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e8…9fbdbacked No | 0c | 9,725$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.03 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53e5…6177backed Yes | 78c | 9,703$7,571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,132.19 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a37…a500backed No | 0c | 9,250$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd426…334abacked No | 8c | 8,494$662 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$661.88 | 79 | 31.6%25 W · 54 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8187…f7e5backed No | 2c | 7,000$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6d2…7048backed No | 4c | 6,844$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.66 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa53c…67a5backed No | 5c | 5,792$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.49 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb886…81b3backed Yes | 8c | 5,374$446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,927.88 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.29per pick | 14cpaid | +193.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9310…93b5backed No | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9648…6825backed Yes | 25c | 4,732$1,188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,543.95 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 37cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52b0…4d24backed Yes | 17c | 4,579$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,778.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.83per pick | 17cpaid | +472.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2946…8eb4backed No | 0c | 4,234$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6b5…d5c6backed No | 12c | 4,176$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a23…0f72backed No | 17c | 4,173$711 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$710.58 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x748a…3c56backed No | 1c | 4,000$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.78 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -61.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3f…914abacked Yes | 59c | 3,903$2,291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,612.88 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | +4.6wins | +0.09per pick | 33cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…e3eabacked Yes | 23c | 3,823$878 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,945.06 | 333 | 13.2%44 W · 289 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc435…2494backed No | 6c | 3,658$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.02 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -79.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc26…32cabacked Yes | 6c | 3,341$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,133.49 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 7cpaid | +302.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8932…eb14backed No | 5c | 3,158$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff99…5602backed Yes | 33c | 3,125$1,025 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,100.09 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 17cpaid | +52.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a86…dea8backed Yes | 9c | 2,860$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,613.71 | 167 | 25.1%42 W · 125 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33e0…7d46backed Yes | 22c | 2,807$627 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,180.01 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d84…1344backed No | 60c | 2,690$1,605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,604.68 | 355 | 19.7%70 W · 285 L | -16.3wins | -0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3408…c598backed No | 2c | 2,608$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8f…2c14backed No | 4c | 2,562$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.15 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 13cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f29…f03dbacked Yes | 24c | 2,506$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,906.35 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ed…47d8backed No | 12c | 2,467$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.14 | 142 | 41.5%59 W · 83 L | +9.3wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x60a9…5a71backed No | 20c | 2,362$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +6.5wins | +0.17per pick | 45cpaid | +68.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x683a…e2c4backed Yes | 18c | 2,334$409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,924.95 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +185.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Yes | 20c | 2,295$449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,846.63 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 27cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x23b9…6447backed Yes | 18c | 2,255$406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,849.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.82per pick | 18cpaid | +455.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b49…f2dfbacked No | 2c | 2,175$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.84 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabfb…12e5backed No | 5c | 2,152$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.17 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9aeb…2729backed No | 12c | 2,123$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.24 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x615d…16c2backed No | 2c | 2,019$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92d0…269ebacked No | 4c | 2,000$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 131 | 38.9%51 W · 80 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9def…d1a5backed No | 4c | 2,000$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 41cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe23b…f147backed Yes | 8c | 1,978$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,822.71 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 10cpaid | +154.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dce…4490backed No | 6c | 1,959$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.76 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.18per pick | 47cpaid | -62.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1851…ae47backed No | 1c | 1,931$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde9c…b418backed Yes | 18c | 1,926$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,579.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.82per pick | 18cpaid | +455.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc972…dcd9backed No | 14c | 1,881$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.75 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -54.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e9a…f3bbbacked No | 5c | 1,865$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.68 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +2.7wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3474…be04backed Yes | 18c | 1,847$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,514.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.82per pick | 18cpaid | +455.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba38…f74dbacked No | 5c | 1,804$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | +102.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe72c…bbf0backed Yes | 18c | 1,733$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,413.08 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 20cpaid | +80.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f0e…3165backed No | 4c | 1,675$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.09 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Yes | 19c | 1,658$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,348.19 | 89 | 21.3%19 W · 70 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 16cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc480…8d0dbacked No | 76c | 1,629$1,232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,232.33 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5243…a73cbacked Yes | 19c | 1,619$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,318.92 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 44cpaid | +123.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…783dbacked Yes | 77c | 1,600$1,227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373 | 196 | 38.8%76 W · 120 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7fb…182cbacked No | 1c | 1,593$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd92a…98e9backed No | 1c | 1,493$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x416c…8dcebacked Yes | 16c | 1,410$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,184.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.84per pick | 16cpaid | +525%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad52…11acbacked No | 7c | 1,410$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.12 | 145 | 28.3%41 W · 104 L | +11.0wins | +0.08per pick | 21cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cb…85babacked No | 8c | 1,380$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.86 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -66.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84bc…46d7backed No | 1c | 1,374$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff17…5745backed Yes | 38c | 1,363$524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$838.3 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x290d…9e42backed Yes | 18c | 1,356$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,111.92 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.32per pick | 18cpaid | +170.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked No | 7c | 1,348$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.93 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +113.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b72…6dbebacked No | 5c | 1,312$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.35 | 73 | 43.8%32 W · 41 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x06c1…f1f2backed Yes | 18c | 1,255$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,029.1 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026?this page
- US forces in Venezuela again by January 10, 2026?No won
- US forces in Venezuela again by January 31, 2026?No won
- US forces in Venezuela again by March 31, 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.