TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$26,990,138
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$25,935,325

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,990,138 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,295 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6480…8dc5backed No0c1,500,000$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5003636.1%13 W · 23 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-17.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5297…7b99backed No0c1,297,895$2,657 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,657.3340%0 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x51f4…4bc8backed No0c1,294,438$1,763 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,762.734740.4%19 W · 28 L+2.3wins+0.05per pick36cpaid-18.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed No0c1,081,158$2,492 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,492.4479231.1%246 W · 546 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-34.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a1c…9867backed No0c1,000,000$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0007753.2%41 W · 36 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+11.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e6b…d7eebacked No0c999,500$1,499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,49940%0 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd0c5…8c8abacked No0c901,438$2,718 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,718.324022.5%9 W · 31 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick23cpaid-34.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4013…4c37backed No0c713,263$1,079 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,079.4610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb03…1a23backed No0c650,839$2,366 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,365.8710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7c0f…9f39backed No0c420,730$1,933 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,932.7211914.3%17 W · 102 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick13cpaid+18.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d8a…5201backed No0c350,000$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40034125.8%88 W · 253 L-10.4wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-1.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x77ef…9f6abacked No0c317,356$1,425 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,425.341127.3%3 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-54.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd30…e0d4backed No0c305,757$806 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$805.836930.4%21 W · 48 L+4.8wins+0.07per pick23cpaid+5.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xcfd7…b2dbbacked No0c269,440$808 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$808.32450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-27.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8860…6e7ebacked No0c264,595$434 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$434.0710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x45bc…978bbacked No0c240,000$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240540%2 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick33cpaid-37.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed No1c212,151$2,063 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,063.328,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe8fe…348ebacked No0c209,870$796 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$795.94323.3%10 W · 33 L+0.2wins0.00per pick23cpaid+12.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d19…8b4cbacked No0c209,648$567 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$567.4210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9db0…0f6abacked No0c200,000$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45022846.5%106 W · 122 L+10.3wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+0.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x93a7…c343backed No0c200,000$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400728.6%2 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.21per pick8cpaid+79%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x22d5…bef9backed No0c200,000$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x783c…9345backed No0c192,224$528 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$528.4220%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd337…235dbacked No0c185,735$254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253.57333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-42.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x247d…24bebacked No0c171,270$399 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399.0410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6e4b…3c6dbacked No5c166,959$7,865 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,865.22633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-50.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9f6e…b0e0backed No0c165,000$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1651520%3 W · 12 L-2.5wins-0.16per pick36cpaid-62.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5645…1dc5backed No0c158,090$475 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$475.0210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbcbb…5913backed No0c155,090$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.0920%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd760…f7f5backed No0c137,787$413 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$413.3610234.3%35 W · 67 L+5.2wins+0.05per pick29cpaid+12.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x86b1…c094backed No0c130,118$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$390.354531.1%14 W · 31 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick28cpaid-14.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8a4e…1ba4backed No1c129,960$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$700728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick25cpaid-7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbefa…300dbacked No0c129,000$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2401705.9%10 W · 160 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick5cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x18f1…0bc2backed No0c127,250$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.2520%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfca9…bb43backed No0c123,900$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.4710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5526…0ccfbacked No0c121,368$316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$316.07250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.14per pick36cpaid-30.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3099…3896backed No0c119,112$268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$268.497255.6%40 W · 32 L-5.3wins-0.07per pick63cpaid-18.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x604a…d5f8backed No0c111,070$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222.1410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x953d…cac5backed No0c109,582$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$294.4710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa2f0…0c50backed No0c109,530$329 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$328.593336.4%12 W · 21 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick31cpaid-3.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x516b…2dcfbacked No0c106,711$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick39cpaid-16.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6f03…1794backed No0c106,667$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$320812.5%1 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick5cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7dbf…b9edbacked No0c104,818$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.472548%12 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-14.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x46b1…428cbacked No0c103,998$258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2583537.1%13 W · 22 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-34.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x52b2…4056backed No0c103,673$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.68728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.10per pick18cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d2c…672abacked No0c102,175$332 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$332.3210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb5f6…adc3backed No2c102,121$1,927 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,927.461540%6 W · 9 L+2.0wins+0.13per pick27cpaid+37.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe0da…f1d8backed No1c100,000$652 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$651.5120%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf545…305bbacked No0c100,000$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30014242.3%60 W · 82 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xda3a…381fbacked No0c100,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010833.3%36 W · 72 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-25.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe3e4…8087backed No0c100,000$483 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$483.3310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x75a2…6992backed No1c100,000$1,480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,479.971637.5%6 W · 10 L+2.5wins+0.16per pick22cpaid+30.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0179…d39fbacked No0c99,991$347 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$347.062835.7%10 W · 18 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick31cpaid+16.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x71b9…1fadbacked No0c98,295$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.3110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4866…32d5backed No0c96,900$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb5cd…6055backed No0c91,614$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3102944.8%13 W · 16 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-30.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbdb1…b47abacked No1c91,357$677 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67720%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xedf5…c94cbacked No0c89,688$327 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$326.676157.4%35 W · 26 L+4.5wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+6.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x748d…e3ccbacked No1c85,075$566 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$566.4310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6701…8796backed No0c76,139$361 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$361.2510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7866…a5f0backed No0c75,500$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6170…da27backed No0c71,720$318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$318.26616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.32per pick49cpaid-76.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x108a…e0c1backed No0c71,535$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.0710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x592d…dcaabacked No0c70,000$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-24.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7c78…aba1backed No0c70,000$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.0410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x35b8…5e92backed No1c68,750$359 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$358.99926.3%26 W · 73 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick24cpaid-19.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d01…76e8backed No0c67,072$289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$289.2920%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa6d0…3592backed No0c63,788$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.52366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.36per pick30cpaid+61.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb10e…bb37backed No0c63,317$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.952626.9%7 W · 19 L-3.2wins-0.12per pick39cpaid-48.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf3cc…0bd1backed No1c60,599$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$319.751618.8%3 W · 13 L+1.2wins+0.07per pick11cpaid-27.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x50b3…90c7backed No0c58,710$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245.7230%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1fc6…a30fbacked No0c56,915$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.151513.3%2 W · 13 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick21cpaid-77.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb7cb…a29ebacked No0c56,900$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2499…bbccbacked No0c56,440$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.4410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x005e…8b1dbacked No1c53,239$316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$315.821637.5%6 W · 10 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+32.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x12df…6a3dbacked No1c50,024$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3501910.5%2 W · 17 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick8cpaid-58.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x36f9…cec7backed No2c49,651$834 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$834.12520%1 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.16per pick36cpaid-38%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3bf9…1ffabacked No1c47,985$277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$277.221833.3%6 W · 12 L+1.4wins+0.08per pick26cpaid-0.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x56e0…6e90backed No0c47,940$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.9410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x92ec…2a53backed No0c47,750$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.54647.8%22 W · 24 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick43cpaid-15.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc95f…5d32backed No0c47,175$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.3510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e90…4a0dbacked No0c45,582$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.686018.3%11 W · 49 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick21cpaid-31.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb8af…0550backed No0c45,000$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9035614.3%51 W · 305 L-14.3wins-0.04per pick18cpaid-20.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfb12…d1b3backed No0c43,840$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.686918.8%13 W · 56 L-4.9wins-0.07per pick26cpaid-33.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x624b…50a8backed No0c43,333$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8397…a04dbacked No2c43,092$982 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$981.941838.9%7 W · 11 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-26.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc302…9220backed No1c42,326$317 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$317.1710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd7ce…ebefbacked No0c40,655$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.83366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.25per pick42cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb05a…5916backed No0c40,500$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe947…ab96backed No1c40,300$377 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$376.991241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+22.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xda4a…2184backed No0c39,461$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.0510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2995…c2b0backed No4c38,959$1,640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,640.0210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4457…ee06backed No0c38,344$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.61520%1 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick32cpaid-63.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd9ff…79dcbacked No7c38,080$2,507 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,50713843.5%60 W · 78 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc501…edb6backed No1c37,693$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225.341136.4%4 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick34cpaid-31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2220…1a0fbacked No2c37,666$886 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$885.919218.8%36 W · 156 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-24.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x915f…6c05backed No0c37,333$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.53644.4%16 W · 20 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-23.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf6d2…7048backed No1c37,084$436 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$435.941323.1%3 W · 10 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-48.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc2a1…ec2abacked No0c36,955$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.9110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x92a7…eb78backed No1c36,637$457 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$456.720%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.