TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0179…d39f

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
66
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: Dota2, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Dota2 at 55 out of 100; worst China Taiwan at 49.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa Internationallast resolved Aug 14, 2026, EDT2835.7%10 W · 18 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick31cpaid+16.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 28 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Edu Aguirre attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.4
Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$347Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$347.06
Exact Score: Spain 0 - 0 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+136.9%+$92.45
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 1 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Exact Score: Spain 1 - 0 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.02
Exact Score: Spain 0 - 1 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.29
Exact Score: Spain 1 - 1 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.08
Will England win on 2026-07-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+66.8%+$20.03
France vs. England: Team to Winbacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+48.2%+$16.25
Exact Score: France 2 - 1 England?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.07
Exact Score: England 1 - 2 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+1,150%+$368
Exact Score: England 1 - 1 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$155Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$155
England vs. Argentina: O/U 10.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$3.3
Exact Score: England 2 - 1 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.8
Exact Score: England 1 - 0 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.4
Exact Score: England 0 - 1 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.55
France vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.85
Exact Score: France 0 - 2 Spain?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+65.8%+$47.19
Exact Score: France 2 - 1 Spain?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.55
Exact Score: France 1 - 1 Spain?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Erling Haaland be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.4
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Exact Score: France 2 - 0 Morocco?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$20.71
Exact Score: Portugal 0 - 1 Spain?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+566.7%+$84.99
Exact Score: Portugal 1 - 0 Spain?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Showing 25 of 28 picks, newest first.
CS2last resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT1060%6 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid-14.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
CS2 — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Team Vitality Win the CS2 EWC 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.83
Will Team Falcons Win the CS2 EWC 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: ENCE vs Mai Tai (BO3) - Exort Fiesta Group Stagebacked ENCE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$4.2
Counter-Strike: Benched gods vs Phantom Academy (BO3) - Exort Fiesta Closed Qualifier: Series #1 Play-Inbacked Benched gods · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$4.8
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs paiN (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Dbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$4.2
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ (BO5) - BLAST Bounty Playoffsbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$4.6
Counter-Strike: ex-Young Ninjas vs Inner Circle Academy (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #6 Group Stagebacked ex-Young Ninjas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$7
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs MOUZ (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Playoffsbacked 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Counter-Strike: Game Hunters vs ALKA - Map 2 Winnerbacked ALKA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.75
Counter-Strike: G2 Ares vs Lilmix - Map 2 Winnerbacked Lilmix · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+90.5%+$9.49
All 10 picks, newest first.
Weatherlast resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+51%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Weather — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lollast resolved Aug 17, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick71cpaid-10.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2last resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT5100%5 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+40.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennislast resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick74cpaid+10.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jul 17, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions Leaguelast resolved Aug 18, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+41.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will GNK Dinamo Zagreb vs. Viking FK end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+41.7%+$20.83
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFClast resolved Aug 16, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 330: Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado Garry (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Islam Makhachev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$12
All 1 picks, newest first.
WNBAlast resolved Aug 13, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
WNBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Los Angeles Sparks vs. New York Libertybacked New York Liberty · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$4.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.5
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.