Tennis · resolved market
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Alex de Minaur vs Brandon Nakashima
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8e6cfddfadbe05667e986a40ce40b9e853dcb9507804298bd2654ebaf8f0abb9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Brandon Nakashimaof Alex de Minaur, Brandon Nakashima
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,139,298
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,255,942
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,139,298 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 416 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5f65…2036backed Brandon Nakashima | 40c | 86,275$34,711 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51,564.07 | 744 | 39.8%296 W · 448 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc430…1ebfbacked Brandon Nakashima | 38c | 64,961$24,834 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40,127.03 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Brandon Nakashima | 49c | 46,710$22,662 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,047.88 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x336b…1233backed Alex de Minaur | 60c | 30,000$18,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,000 | 579 | 39.7%230 W · 349 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Brandon Nakashima | 57c | 29,446$16,719 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,726.99 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0210…4debbacked Alex de Minaur | 62c | 27,741$17,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,199.66 | 53 | 60.4%32 W · 21 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef26…05babacked Brandon Nakashima | 38c | 20,000$7,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,319.95 | 61 | 50.8%31 W · 30 L | +6.5wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +21%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6340…e272backed Alex de Minaur | 61c | 18,776$11,364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,364.44 | 173 | 48.6%84 W · 89 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3a1…bf4bbacked Alex de Minaur | 51c | 18,254$9,317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,317.45 | 114 | 50.9%58 W · 56 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x79ae…9a4abacked Brandon Nakashima | 39c | 17,796$6,940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,855.38 | 71 | 47.9%34 W · 37 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0828…a1a6backed Alex de Minaur | 62c | 17,742$11,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,999.99 | 271 | 48%130 W · 141 L | -12.8wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf377…4159backed Brandon Nakashima | 46c | 16,309$7,506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,802.89 | 171 | 48%82 W · 89 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Alex de Minaur | 61c | 16,073$9,805 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,804.53 | 611 | 52.2%319 W · 292 L | -11.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Alex de Minaur | 47c | 15,817$7,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,379.98 | 1,365 | 43.3%591 W · 774 L | -26.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff81…44c9backed Alex de Minaur | 62c | 13,105$8,133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,133 | 1,267 | 56.6%717 W · 550 L | -18.5wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2d2…3910backed Alex de Minaur | 42c | 13,000$5,460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,460 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -3.2wins | -0.29per pick | 47cpaid | -59.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed Brandon Nakashima | 40c | 12,157$4,855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,302.43 | 1,421 | 28.6%407 W · 1,014 L | +4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f3e…bcf8backed Brandon Nakashima | 61c | 11,964$7,291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,673.66 | 761 | 46.6%355 W · 406 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2073…385bbacked Brandon Nakashima | 39c | 11,395$4,444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,950.87 | 80 | 42.5%34 W · 46 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cd6…18e4backed Alex de Minaur | 34c | 11,370$3,866 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,865.63 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Alex de Minaur | 41c | 11,001$4,548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,547.85 | 3,605 | 42.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L | -43.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9c4…7433backed Alex de Minaur | 60c | 11,000$6,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,600 | 216 | 42.6%92 W · 124 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Alex de Minaur | 54c | 10,647$5,707 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,706.52 | 4,185 | 44.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L | +14.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed Brandon Nakashima | 39c | 10,000$3,940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,060 | 528 | 44.7%236 W · 292 L | +30.8wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x11cd…e5a8backed Alex de Minaur | 44c | 8,813$3,866 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,865.88 | 85 | 37.6%32 W · 53 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Alex de Minaur | 49c | 8,055$3,932 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,932.19 | 1,178 | 46.3%545 W · 633 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Brandon Nakashima | 57c | 7,325$4,201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,124.04 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Alex de Minaur | 52c | 6,471$3,334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,334.34 | 4,934 | 41.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L | -77.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x357b…0b65backed Brandon Nakashima | 59c | 6,253$3,689 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,563.72 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -3.1wins | -0.15per pick | 67cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Brandon Nakashima | 38c | 6,148$2,335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,813.01 | 2,375 | 51.1%1,213 W · 1,162 L | +8.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Alex de Minaur | 61c | 5,759$3,505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,505.34 | 3,256 | 48.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L | -53.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Alex de Minaur | 62c | 5,645$3,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,500 | 167 | 46.1%77 W · 90 L | -9.6wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x772b…1840backed Alex de Minaur | 42c | 4,762$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 91 | 36.3%33 W · 58 L | -5.1wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f17…0724backed Brandon Nakashima | 43c | 4,557$1,980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,577.12 | 702 | 54.4%382 W · 320 L | +40.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9b04…71c0backed Brandon Nakashima | 50c | 4,292$2,146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,146.02 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa2…cf15backed Brandon Nakashima | 39c | 4,115$1,605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,510.07 | 303 | 39.3%119 W · 184 L | +14.2wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe98c…8792backed Alex de Minaur | 56c | 4,019$2,239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,238.81 | 304 | 40.5%123 W · 181 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Brandon Nakashima | 58c | 4,000$2,315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,685 | 2,068 | 34.9%721 W · 1,347 L | -44.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Alex de Minaur | 59c | 4,000$2,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,340 | 530 | 43%228 W · 302 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Brandon Nakashima | 42c | 3,380$1,429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,950.9 | 1,435 | 24.3%348 W · 1,087 L | -36.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x330b…9565backed Alex de Minaur | 35c | 3,317$1,161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,160.87 | 111 | 43.2%48 W · 63 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeea3…a6a2backed Brandon Nakashima | 58c | 3,182$1,838 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,343.22 | 3,068 | 57.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L | +173.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x04e6…3914backed Alex de Minaur | 74c | 3,079$2,278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,278.13 | 346 | 55.2%191 W · 155 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x370c…6929backed Alex de Minaur | 45c | 3,017$1,356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,356 | 149 | 47%70 W · 79 L | +10.6wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fd…f43ebacked Alex de Minaur | 62c | 2,977$1,846 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,846 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Brandon Nakashima | 51c | 2,953$1,514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,439.51 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebd5…094cbacked Alex de Minaur | 30c | 2,760$816 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$816.16 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e5…b3a5backed Alex de Minaur | 41c | 2,684$1,089 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,089.45 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | +3.9wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8a96…3087backed Alex de Minaur | 59c | 2,630$1,564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,563.57 | 127 | 39.4%50 W · 77 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4699…5051backed Alex de Minaur | 10c | 2,614$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.4 | 973 | 7.9%77 W · 896 L | -20.2wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7544…e3aebacked Alex de Minaur | 65c | 2,606$1,689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,689.23 | 182 | 46.7%85 W · 97 L | -9.2wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Brandon Nakashima | 38c | 2,535$963 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,571.58 | 785 | 36.1%283 W · 502 L | +36.6wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Brandon Nakashima | 39c | 2,500$975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,525 | 4,076 | 39.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L | +93.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Brandon Nakashima | 55c | 2,302$1,271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,030.43 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8c…ba13backed Alex de Minaur | 48c | 2,284$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 220 | 56.4%124 W · 96 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xacf8…e791backed Brandon Nakashima | 42c | 2,185$918 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,267.31 | 330 | 37.3%123 W · 207 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bfa…a8debacked Alex de Minaur | 62c | 2,175$1,349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,348.65 | 359 | 51.3%184 W · 175 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7020…fd20backed Alex de Minaur | 61c | 2,111$1,288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,287.89 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 67cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d7…47a4backed Brandon Nakashima | 46c | 2,107$970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,137.01 | 1,023 | 41.3%422 W · 601 L | -24.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fb7…fb66backed Alex de Minaur | 46c | 2,067$955 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$955.07 | 536 | 44.8%240 W · 296 L | -20.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf3…e802backed Alex de Minaur | 8c | 2,000$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 477 | 28.1%134 W · 343 L | +18.2wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Brandon Nakashima | 58c | 1,874$1,091 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$782.93 | 4,533 | 67.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L | +306.6wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7e41…ca06backed Alex de Minaur | 71c | 1,826$1,301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300.64 | 20 | 75%15 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +15%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed Brandon Nakashima | 40c | 1,795$718 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,076.9 | 437 | 43.7%191 W · 246 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98f9…5cd9backed Alex de Minaur | 59c | 1,791$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050.5 | 93 | 35.5%33 W · 60 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5d4…8b32backed Brandon Nakashima | 39c | 1,740$682 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,057.69 | 1,206 | 8%96 W · 1,110 L | +17.2wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | +80.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…9256backed Alex de Minaur | 37c | 1,735$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$649.98 | 254 | 48.4%123 W · 131 L | +11.7wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeeb9…f6b3backed Alex de Minaur | 45c | 1,721$774 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$774.48 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Alex de Minaur | 54c | 1,693$912 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$912.17 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x280f…ad6abacked Alex de Minaur | 63c | 1,587$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 128 | 51.6%66 W · 62 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed Brandon Nakashima | 39c | 1,538$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$938.46 | 340 | 47.4%161 W · 179 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92d8…a656backed Alex de Minaur | 62c | 1,500$930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$930 | 73 | 61.6%45 W · 28 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 67cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e2a…d25cbacked Alex de Minaur | 62c | 1,452$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 135 | 49.6%67 W · 68 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Alex de Minaur | 57c | 1,449$829 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$829.38 | 757 | 48.6%368 W · 389 L | +16.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cf5…d9f2backed Alex de Minaur | 59c | 1,390$820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$820.1 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -8.0wins | -0.42per pick | 58cpaid | -76.4%equal weight | 30-0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x99fc…ec26backed Brandon Nakashima | 69c | 1,367$945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422.11 | 645 | 40.2%259 W · 386 L | -19.6wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf83b…44a2backed Brandon Nakashima | 22c | 1,364$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,063.64 | 545 | 41.7%227 W · 318 L | +18.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4dd2…9014backed Alex de Minaur | 60c | 1,333$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 109 | 54.1%59 W · 50 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb598…14fcbacked Alex de Minaur | 12c | 1,314$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.86 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b14…3ca3backed Alex de Minaur | 46c | 1,290$591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$591.09 | 494 | 47.2%233 W · 261 L | +12.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Brandon Nakashima | 39c | 1,250$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$762.5 | 423 | 41.4%175 W · 248 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c17…5e9bbacked Alex de Minaur | 60c | 1,200$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5a…d0f0backed Brandon Nakashima | 45c | 1,075$484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$591.39 | 461 | 55.3%255 W · 206 L | +19.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab70…774cbacked Alex de Minaur | 59c | 1,071$635 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$635.06 | 169 | 57.4%97 W · 72 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca6…4b74backed Brandon Nakashima | 39c | 1,028$401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$626.89 | 444 | 42.3%188 W · 256 L | +14.5wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Alex de Minaur | 61c | 1,027$626 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$626.44 | 718 | 57.7%414 W · 304 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Alex de Minaur | 51c | 1,016$516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$515.87 | 1,042 | 36.5%380 W · 662 L | -20.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7234…1d85backed Alex de Minaur | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 92 | 42.4%39 W · 53 L | -8.0wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -19%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x58b3…653cbacked Brandon Nakashima | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550 | 450 | 36%162 W · 288 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ee0…d6a6backed Brandon Nakashima | 65c | 1,000$647 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.06 | 100 | 54%54 W · 46 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe31a…adffbacked Alex de Minaur | 62c | 1,000$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620 | 252 | 44.4%112 W · 140 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x402e…3f79backed Alex de Minaur | 43c | 1,000$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77d5…732ebacked Alex de Minaur | 58c | 999.99$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$579.99 | 345 | 55.1%190 W · 155 L | +19.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x38f1…9ff1backed Brandon Nakashima | 39c | 999$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$609.39 | 385 | 50.4%194 W · 191 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Brandon Nakashima | 37c | 992.74$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$625.43 | 1,510 | 37.7%569 W · 941 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6729…f17dbacked Brandon Nakashima | 56c | 980$549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.2 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61f1…7aefbacked Alex de Minaur | 62c | 967.75$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600.01 | 276 | 53.6%148 W · 128 L | -9.2wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3453…8524backed Alex de Minaur | 62c | 967.75$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600.01 | 272 | 54.4%148 W · 124 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3612…3302backed Alex de Minaur | 31c | 930.83$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.14 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4da6…3a54backed Alex de Minaur | 10c | 892.27$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.8 | 34 | 23.5%8 W · 26 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Mubadala Citi DC Open: Alex de Minaur vs Brandon Nakashimathis page
- Alex de Minaur vs. Brandon Nakashima: Total Sets O/U 2.5Under 2.5 won
- Minaur vs. Nakashima: Match O/U 21.5Over won
- Minaur vs. Nakashima: Match O/U 23.5Under won
- Set 1 Winner: Minaur vs NakashimaNakashima won
- Set 2 Winner: Minaur vs NakashimaNakashima won
- Set Handicap: Minaur (-1.5) vs Nakashima (+1.5)Nakashima won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.