TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

LoL: G2 Esports vs AG.AL (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group A

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
AG.ALof G2 Esports, AG.AL
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$2,787,980
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$3,305,668

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,787,980 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,314 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x7583…4df2backed G2 Esports43c384,607$165,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165,000540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-30.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9468…5d4bbacked G2 Esports46c119,948$55,487 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55,487.491010%1 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.13per pick23cpaid-56.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe015…6ffdbacked G2 Esports41c113,457$46,792 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46,792.0396048.8%468 W · 492 L+13.1wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9854…6bf2backed G2 Esports43c100,000$42,791 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42,791.275628.6%16 W · 40 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed G2 Esports54c90,068$48,528 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48,527.831,09638.9%426 W · 670 L-47.4wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-23.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3af1…d739backed AG.AL56c87,429$49,055 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38,373.7351146.8%239 W · 272 L+14.0wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd202…8973backed AG.AL59c54,151$31,849 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,301.538235.6%136 W · 246 L-15.5wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-9.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9db8…2effbacked AG.AL57c52,500$29,925 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,575.0620546.8%96 W · 109 L+16.3wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+36.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8d83…d89cbacked AG.AL57c50,720$29,076 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,644.3825453.5%136 W · 118 L+13.0wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+16.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x335d…8c00backed AG.AL58c45,000$26,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,9005366%35 W · 18 L+4.7wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+20.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9c82…1f13backed AG.AL55c43,545$23,972 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,573.262470.8%17 W · 7 L+5.4wins+0.23per pick48cpaid+55.3%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xc44f…d49fbacked AG.AL59c34,825$20,545 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,279.7157246%263 W · 309 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa57d…701fbacked G2 Esports50c31,624$15,840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,839.912446%57 W · 67 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x93f4…5e4fbacked AG.AL58c31,000$17,875 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,1253043.3%13 W · 17 L+3.2wins+0.11per pick33cpaid+18.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe361…ae44backed AG.AL52c27,942$14,645 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,296.9289347%420 W · 473 L+44.2wins+0.05per pick42cpaid-7.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x691a…12babacked G2 Esports41c27,355$11,304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,303.687440.5%30 W · 44 L-5.7wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-13.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3ebd…b66abacked AG.AL57c23,623$13,496 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,126.854564.4%29 W · 16 L+2.3wins+0.05per pick59cpaid-0.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6185…2965backed AG.AL57c23,500$13,395 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,1059848%47 W · 51 L+0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid+2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a0f…1305backed AG.AL65c23,331$15,121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,210.271,46361.4%899 W · 564 L-19.5wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed G2 Esports39c23,136$8,985 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,985.441,63040.1%654 W · 976 L+48.3wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcae6…4f85backed AG.AL63c20,473$12,935 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,537.9167276.9%517 W · 155 L+87.3wins+0.13per pick64cpaid+30.2%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x8627…5382backed AG.AL57c19,000$10,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,10022355.2%123 W · 100 L+8.7wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+8.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3f97…4059backed AG.AL58c18,072$10,467 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,604.981,15649.1%568 W · 588 L-17.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x559b…4959backed AG.AL57c18,000$10,224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,775.9823445.7%107 W · 127 L-0.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3719…2df0backed AG.AL57c17,500$9,975 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,5254544.4%20 W · 25 L-4.2wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-21.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8ad1…9198backed AG.AL59c16,949$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,949.157051.4%36 W · 34 L+6.0wins+0.09per pick43cpaid+22.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x80ba…2e78backed AG.AL56c16,731$9,309 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,422.3947533.3%158 W · 317 L+11.4wins+0.02per pick31cpaid+15.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3186…e9cabacked AG.AL55c16,562$9,164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,398.021,53662.6%961 W · 575 L+157.8wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+8.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x969a…59ddbacked AG.AL57c16,450$9,377 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,073.51855.6%10 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed AG.AL62c16,207$9,973 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,233.752,49739.9%996 W · 1,501 L-75.6wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-19.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcd30…f316backed AG.AL58c16,087$9,330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,756.5122451.8%116 W · 108 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x69f6…a5d3backed AG.AL58c16,041$9,304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,737.22742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.11per pick53cpaid-21.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x59f1…a693backed AG.AL58c15,000$8,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,3001478.6%11 W · 3 L+2.5wins+0.18per pick60cpaid+27.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x0f34…7684backed G2 Esports0c14,833$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.8380%0 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9c52…1a59backed AG.AL58c14,655$8,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,155.1560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+12.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed G2 Esports39c14,440$5,571 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,571.021,05323.4%246 W · 807 L-76.9wins-0.07per pick31cpaid-50.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xfae1…fdc1backed AG.AL57c14,100$8,037 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,0631752.9%9 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-3.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xfa39…bb64backed AG.AL56c13,181$7,439 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,742.2913561.5%83 W · 52 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x870f…6da1backed AG.AL38c13,164$5,038 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,126.186445.3%29 W · 35 L+4.1wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+26.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf201…527ebacked G2 Esports28c12,802$3,635 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,634.551,29545.1%584 W · 711 L+49.7wins+0.04per pick41cpaid-10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0a63…fc03backed G2 Esports41c12,613$5,193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,19343442.4%184 W · 250 L+18.6wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+19.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3833…33d1backed G2 Esports43c12,000$5,160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,16064155.7%357 W · 284 L+27.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+12.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xadfa…324ebacked G2 Esports41c12,000$4,920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,9205242.3%22 W · 30 L-3.2wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-17.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1822…0e6abacked G2 Esports2c12,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200437%3 W · 40 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick6cpaid-66.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2dd1…8cadbacked AG.AL58c11,868$6,928 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,940.232441.7%10 W · 14 L-2.9wins-0.12per pick54cpaid-34.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x04b1…d224backed AG.AL52c11,312$5,870 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,441.8640651.7%210 W · 196 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-9.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ef4…e76bbacked AG.AL70c11,154$7,834 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,320.648060%48 W · 32 L+6.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid-1.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf070…ac55backed AG.AL45c11,111$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,111.0353750.5%271 W · 266 L+14.6wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe4eb…1a6ebacked AG.AL52c11,087$5,765 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,321.98933.7%30 W · 59 L-4.7wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-13.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x48e0…826dbacked AG.AL59c10,426$6,151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,274.673429.4%10 W · 24 L-6.6wins-0.19per pick49cpaid-39.6%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked AG.AL59c10,049$5,929 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,120.0890348.4%437 W · 466 L+14.5wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e04…28a9backed AG.AL54c10,000$5,450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,55017250.6%87 W · 85 L+6.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+16.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd487…053ebacked AG.AL58c10,000$5,842 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,157.863655.6%20 W · 16 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-10.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3818…9797backed G2 Esports41c9,756$4,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,00057957.9%335 W · 244 L+25.2wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf4ec…c574backed G2 Esports43c9,302$4,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,00013046.2%60 W · 70 L-12.1wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-18%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed AG.AL58c9,280$5,382 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,897.646050.7%233 W · 227 L+13.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x018c…9794backed AG.AL76c9,204$7,028 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,176.152650%13 W · 13 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-17.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f2f…9d99backed AG.AL60c9,118$5,426 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,692.661163.6%7 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick66cpaid+3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf60…a6f5backed AG.AL59c9,000$5,274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,725.9491854%496 W · 422 L-1.5wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed AG.AL53c8,994$4,786 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,208.041,37937.7%520 W · 859 L-43.8wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-22.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x540d…0cd0backed AG.AL58c8,753$5,076 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,676.591376.9%10 W · 3 L+2.0wins+0.15per pick62cpaid+35.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa05e…4394backed AG.AL55c8,448$4,677 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,770.7614360.8%87 W · 56 L+8.5wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+11.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8718…5040backed AG.AL68c8,409$5,687 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,722.0121056.7%119 W · 91 L-14.2wins-0.07per pick63cpaid-10.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb635…bef0backed AG.AL56c8,284$4,645 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,639.2885836.2%311 W · 547 L-14.1wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e8c…6452backed G2 Esports41c8,100$3,343 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,343.357582.7%62 W · 13 L+18.1wins+0.24per pick59cpaid+34.6%equal weight70+0.18 edge/pick
0x67ac…edf1backed AG.AL59c8,000$4,720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,28035448.6%172 W · 182 L+14.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-9.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6768…4ef1backed AG.AL50c8,000$3,970 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,029.9910449%51 W · 53 L-0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf423…2cf8backed G2 Esports43c7,988$3,435 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,434.911947.4%9 W · 10 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+15.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9b49…04a8backed AG.AL58c7,830$4,562 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,268.1839964.4%257 W · 142 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick66cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb6b3…9441backed AG.AL51c7,510$3,809 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,700.6413240.9%54 W · 78 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe6a9…e35abacked AG.AL53c7,387$3,939 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,447.685455.6%30 W · 24 L+6.2wins+0.12per pick44cpaid+30%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x695d…0d7cbacked AG.AL60c7,265$4,359 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,905.8567553.5%361 W · 314 L+25.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7df4…153cbacked AG.AL48c7,113$3,381 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,731.939833.7%33 W · 65 L-4.7wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-29.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbb35…b62abacked AG.AL46c7,112$3,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,812.3526549.1%130 W · 135 L+21.5wins+0.08per pick41cpaid+21.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdaef…54e9backed G2 Esports42c7,005$2,975 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,975.3432150.2%161 W · 160 L+19.9wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+7.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3239…8da3backed AG.AL58c7,000$4,060 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,9405442.6%23 W · 31 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x58a3…5336backed G2 Esports33c7,000$2,330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,329.976663.6%42 W · 24 L+9.3wins+0.14per pick50cpaid+44%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x9973…bd7fbacked AG.AL67c6,875$4,613 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,262.0117953.1%95 W · 84 L0.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-8.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec7f…ab9ebacked AG.AL59c6,699$3,980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,718.744751.1%24 W · 23 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+9.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6978…9897backed AG.AL61c6,635$4,055 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,579.628949.4%44 W · 45 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7de3…d59bbacked AG.AL58c6,600$3,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,799.9742149.2%207 W · 214 L+8.1wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6888…b5e8backed AG.AL60c6,398$3,839 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,559.263100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+76.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xeaf8…9f45backed G2 Esports33c6,362$2,123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,122.83946.2%18 W · 21 L+2.6wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+3.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa2fc…b1b4backed AG.AL61c6,006$3,636 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,370.6521751.2%111 W · 106 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c23…d48fbacked AG.AL57c5,977$3,407 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,570.21553.3%8 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+15.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xab44…7ffebacked G2 Esports53c5,924$3,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,120.1525944.8%116 W · 143 L+19.1wins+0.07per pick37cpaid+7.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x9348…6664backed AG.AL71c5,700$4,067 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,633.3328859%170 W · 118 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd799…3395backed AG.AL68c5,590$3,777 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,813.123458.8%20 W · 14 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+14.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked AG.AL61c5,467$3,312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,154.9877641.6%323 W · 453 L-27.8wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-26.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x24d3…30abbacked G2 Esports37c5,438$2,005 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,005.213545.9%62 W · 73 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-12.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc0e6…7358backed AG.AL54c5,190$2,783 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,406.2826344.9%118 W · 145 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6373…a0b7backed G2 Esports31c5,093$1,601 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,601.149621.9%21 W · 75 L-5.5wins-0.06per pick28cpaid-37.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8adb…e4f6backed AG.AL59c5,085$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,084.7510839.8%43 W · 65 L-12.7wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-27.6%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xf184…c2d7backed AG.AL57c5,000$2,850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,15014553.1%77 W · 68 L+6.8wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc235…99f8backed AG.AL31c4,910$1,498 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,412.3742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.11per pick32cpaid+49.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5505…aa44backed G2 Esports41c4,834$2,002 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,002.3212843%55 W · 73 L+6.1wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+13.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed AG.AL58c4,722$2,719 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,003.472,18733.3%729 W · 1,458 L-71.9wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-21.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x495c…c9eabacked AG.AL57c4,700$2,679 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,0212040%8 W · 12 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-17.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x19ae…395cbacked AG.AL52c4,560$2,352 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,207.9921948.4%106 W · 113 L+11.5wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+12.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0ea6…180dbacked AG.AL58c4,500$2,610 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,8905429.6%16 W · 38 L-7.7wins-0.14per pick44cpaid-40.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.