TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ (BO5) - BLAST Bounty Playoffs

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
MOUZof Spirit, MOUZ
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$2,919,047
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$3,085,989

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,919,047 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,145 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0954…1e1bbacked Spirit79c274,394$216,771 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216,771.38250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid+15.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd30…f316backed MOUZ21c152,644$32,055 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120,588.7312348.8%60 W · 63 L+6.5wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+16.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2805…76edbacked Spirit34c132,417$45,529 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45,528.747047.1%33 W · 37 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-2.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed MOUZ49c118,252$58,093 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60,158.521,40738.9%547 W · 860 L-41.9wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-29.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x79ae…9a4abacked MOUZ22c102,649$22,108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80,541.114145.4%64 W · 77 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5bcb…398abacked MOUZ21c102,344$21,492 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80,851.651553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+12.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa69d…509bbacked Spirit52c88,721$46,323 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46,323.4219757.4%113 W · 84 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed Spirit34c86,631$29,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29,749.9410946.8%51 W · 58 L+0.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf559…f462backed Spirit79c56,662$44,763 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44,763.319055.8%106 W · 84 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfbf3…b218backed Spirit44c54,000$23,825 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23,825.155048%24 W · 26 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcd66…664fbacked Spirit79c53,597$42,342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42,341.7738358.7%225 W · 158 L-7.9wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3af1…d739backed MOUZ42c42,522$17,859 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24,662.767454.1%40 W · 34 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x30c7…ac3bbacked MOUZ58c40,000$23,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,80075652.6%398 W · 358 L+27.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1e52…eb43backed MOUZ48c39,790$19,249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,541.093666.7%24 W · 12 L+4.6wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+24.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa9c4…7433backed MOUZ20c37,355$7,613 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29,741.8413244.7%59 W · 73 L+0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e6e…be00backed Spirit78c35,000$27,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27,299.8941649.8%207 W · 209 L+19.5wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdb85…152fbacked Spirit29c34,483$10,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,00016443.9%72 W · 92 L-6.6wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-6.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x93f4…5e4fbacked MOUZ21c30,000$6,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23,700540%2 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick28cpaid+41.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed Spirit29c30,000$8,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,70030340.3%122 W · 181 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6130…a7a6backed MOUZ54c30,000$16,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,799.92333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-38.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x82dc…5700backed MOUZ63c28,154$17,770 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,383.9587047.9%417 W · 453 L+15.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-14%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a63…fc03backed Spirit36c27,207$9,819 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,819.2542142%177 W · 244 L+0.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4d78…4cc1backed Spirit78c27,000$21,060 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,060666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick62cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x336b…1233backed MOUZ40c25,236$10,149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,086.6512653.2%67 W · 59 L+8.7wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+18.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed MOUZ45c24,568$10,955 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,612.972,32645.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L-62.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed MOUZ21c22,222$4,667 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,555.3888242.3%373 W · 509 L-13.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-1.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Spirit49c20,909$10,333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,332.5761837.9%234 W · 384 L-22.5wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-25.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8d83…d89cbacked MOUZ21c20,893$4,388 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,505.475451.9%28 W · 26 L+3.7wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+19.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa4fd…748bbacked Spirit46c20,014$9,210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,210.163834.2%13 W · 25 L-4.4wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-30.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9d8a…5201backed MOUZ22c20,000$4,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,60055236.2%200 W · 352 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x751b…73fdbacked MOUZ71c20,000$14,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,80025655.1%141 W · 115 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe548…a9febacked MOUZ54c20,000$10,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,199.991861.1%11 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+15.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked MOUZ61c19,454$11,789 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,664.961,25646.7%587 W · 669 L+17.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-16%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfa0b…9672backed Spirit29c19,377$5,561 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,5612619.2%5 W · 21 L-2.1wins-0.08per pick27cpaid+31.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Spirit78c17,933$13,987 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,987.4733043.3%143 W · 187 L+1.5wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6304…e570backed MOUZ28c17,198$4,811 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,386.3722849.6%113 W · 115 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf4e1…34a5backed MOUZ28c16,891$4,685 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,206.321346.2%6 W · 7 L+1.2wins+0.09per pick37cpaid+13.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked MOUZ22c16,714$3,604 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,110.355,05055.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L+117.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9ccc…e7e8backed Spirit50c15,000$7,535 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,535.256640.9%27 W · 39 L-5.2wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-18.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0993…525fbacked MOUZ32c15,000$4,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,199.916454.7%35 W · 29 L+4.2wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+32.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9700…798fbacked Spirit58c14,266$8,257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,257.4912852.3%67 W · 61 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c95…10f5backed MOUZ23c13,779$3,208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,570.394551.1%23 W · 22 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf177…5f6abacked Spirit29c13,397$3,885 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,885.022060%12 W · 8 L+1.6wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+25.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc8c9…be3cbacked Spirit47c13,307$6,201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,200.93250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x88d1…18dabacked Spirit79c13,291$10,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,50022354.7%122 W · 101 L-9.5wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xaebf…e1cabacked MOUZ22c13,204$2,905 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,299.2735940.4%145 W · 214 L-15.9wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-11.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked MOUZ30c13,191$3,913 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,277.6323145.9%106 W · 125 L-7.8wins-0.03per pick49cpaid+0.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0562…18a4backed Spirit29c13,103$3,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,80020448.5%99 W · 105 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfcdc…4281backed Spirit53c12,726$6,731 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,730.911050%5 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa526…c9f9backed MOUZ63c12,676$7,981 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,694.513540%14 W · 21 L-4.6wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-28.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6319…d371backed Spirit80c12,500$10,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,000425%1 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.36per pick61cpaid-59%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed MOUZ32c12,308$3,984 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,324.272,62451.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L+18.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x66b1…340fbacked Spirit66c12,060$7,997 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,996.681,15748.2%558 W · 599 L+3.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xadfa…324ebacked MOUZ41c12,000$4,920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,08036152.6%190 W · 171 L+13.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x01e6…e7e0backed Spirit78c11,555$9,013 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,012.917062.9%107 W · 63 L+7.5wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7e5e…7315backed Spirit79c11,407$8,987 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,987.0622943.7%100 W · 129 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8cbf…0eb4backed MOUZ64c11,298$7,227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,070.8737157.7%214 W · 157 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa307…03d0backed MOUZ68c10,905$7,411 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,494.391637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-28.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6c43…fb9bbacked Spirit79c10,575$8,354 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,354.2224943.8%109 W · 140 L-1.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd690…47febacked Spirit44c10,500$4,620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,619.99540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-16.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x095d…c2febacked Spirit80c10,440$8,352 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,352425%1 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.33per pick58cpaid-56.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6f3e…bcf8backed Spirit78c10,073$7,857 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,856.946152.5%32 W · 29 L0.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe40e…9770backed Spirit79c10,000$7,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,90017951.4%92 W · 87 L-6.6wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-12.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdcaf…e271backed Spirit28c10,000$2,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,799.9337946.4%176 W · 203 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x60e3…57b5backed Spirit80c10,000$7,951 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,951.1221060%126 W · 84 L-5.9wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8056…b64dbacked Spirit44c9,415$4,170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,169.711,62344.9%728 W · 895 L+4.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f90…21fabacked Spirit34c9,267$3,192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,192.33250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+38.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked MOUZ49c8,992$4,384 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,608.391,61145.4%731 W · 880 L+30.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-14.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e64…89c3backed MOUZ78c8,590$6,678 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,911.644235.7%15 W · 27 L-4.0wins-0.10per pick45cpaid-27.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd752…85d4backed Spirit60c8,500$5,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,10036837.5%138 W · 230 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+13.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x86df…d902backed Spirit60c8,389$5,003 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,002.736271%44 W · 18 L+12.9wins+0.21per pick50cpaid+38.2%equal weight66+0.15 edge/pick
0xfaf1…795fbacked Spirit54c8,172$4,453 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,452.929046.9%136 W · 154 L-7.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xae2b…9cc3backed Spirit45c8,152$3,668 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,668.421854.1%118 W · 100 L+9.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+13.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x56b9…79a2backed Spirit56c8,000$4,480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,480425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-34.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x67b6…00bcbacked MOUZ21c8,000$1,680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,319.9928538.2%109 W · 176 L-10.0wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-8.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb75b…e377backed Spirit65c8,000$5,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,199.9816542.4%70 W · 95 L-7.5wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-16.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked MOUZ41c7,931$3,272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,658.181,05449%516 W · 538 L+38.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked MOUZ55c7,790$4,289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,501.911,51357.2%865 W · 648 L+65.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+0.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd27c…c081backed Spirit75c7,555$5,666 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,666.257766.2%51 W · 26 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Spirit51c7,520$3,856 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,856.0569445%312 W · 382 L-24.7wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-18.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2fdd…2055backed Spirit42c7,300$3,041 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,041812.5%1 W · 7 L-2.7wins-0.33per pick46cpaid-82.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc536…f086backed Spirit57c7,095$4,016 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,015.58666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+25%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa5d6…c4adbacked Spirit59c7,050$4,160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,159.52638.5%10 W · 16 L-4.2wins-0.16per pick54cpaid-33.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8a97…e58bbacked Spirit51c7,050$3,579 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,579.06616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.26per pick42cpaid-59.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed MOUZ30c7,000$2,070 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,93078639.4%310 W · 476 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xadef…8fffbacked Spirit73c7,000$5,110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,1106237.1%23 W · 39 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-20.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed MOUZ43c6,533$2,834 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,698.9588746.7%414 W · 473 L+8.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-15.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b9a…a06bbacked Spirit44c6,503$2,856 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,856.2469624%167 W · 529 L+2.2wins0.00per pick24cpaid-7.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x86e9…4cdfbacked Spirit46c6,400$2,944 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,94436453.8%196 W · 168 L-8.0wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa2c9…2c23backed Spirit79c6,270$4,953 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,953.319660.7%119 W · 77 L-13.9wins-0.07per pick68cpaid-7.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x691a…12babacked Spirit34c6,260$2,128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,128.383129%9 W · 22 L-5.0wins-0.16per pick45cpaid-33%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xfd96…e623backed MOUZ42c6,219$2,610 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,609.6221055.7%117 W · 93 L+12.6wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+21.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7645…3117backed MOUZ21c6,000$1,260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,74071645.9%329 W · 387 L-3.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb496…1f45backed MOUZ49c6,000$2,940 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,059.992050%10 W · 10 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x639e…d914backed Spirit44c5,876$2,591 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,591.371637.5%6 W · 10 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-17.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d34…7c8cbacked MOUZ27c5,760$1,548 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,212.7621424.8%53 W · 161 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Spirit31c5,633$1,748 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,748.222,22141.3%917 W · 1,304 L-22.6wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-19.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xef4f…4598backed Spirit79c5,588$4,414 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,414.34040%16 W · 24 L-2.4wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-15.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xeb66…c8dfbacked Spirit37c5,500$2,028 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,028.28445.2%38 W · 46 L+5.6wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+36.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xad1f…7f94backed Spirit31c5,472$1,699 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,699.325133.3%17 W · 34 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-19.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.