TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Exact Score: Spain 2 - 1 Argentina?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$3,630,736
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$3,065,684

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,630,736 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,918 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe907…cff6backed Yes9c224,098$21,152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,151.78,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde0a…f102backed Yes9c200,000$18,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,700.0456410.5%59 W · 505 L-1.5wins0.00per pick11cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes9c167,391$15,776 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,775.982,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x160d…6f25backed Yes9c160,000$14,592 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,591.5778317.4%136 W · 647 L-0.1wins0.00per pick17cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd4ae…8eadbacked Yes9c82,966$7,825 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,825.2135514.4%51 W · 304 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick14cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Yes10c71,874$6,848 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,847.671,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc357…e998backed Yes10c71,567$7,095 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,095329.4%3 W · 29 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick15cpaid-73.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfd22…ad91backed Yes10c50,000$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,0001020%2 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick29cpaid-31.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd3e7…ea94backed Yes10c50,000$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,00013725.5%35 W · 102 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-32.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x87b9…2084backed Yes10c50,000$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,0002218.2%4 W · 18 L-2.9wins-0.13per pick32cpaid-73.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc88e…f3e1backed Yes10c49,992$4,887 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,886.87114.1%10 W · 61 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick16cpaid+30.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa61f…2500backed Yes0c48,767$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002817.9%5 W · 23 L0.0wins0.00per pick18cpaid-51%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f7c…586abacked Yes10c48,333$4,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,7501711.8%2 W · 15 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick7cpaid+27%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6db…2f0dbacked Yes9c40,995$3,887 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,887.05412.4%1 W · 40 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick8cpaid-96.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb3f6…f335backed Yes10c33,412$3,341 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,341.211612.5%2 W · 14 L-2.1wins-0.13per pick25cpaid-77.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xea6b…7fb1backed Yes9c33,333$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,00080%0 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x12ce…dec0backed Yes10c31,758$3,176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,175.79366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.52per pick15cpaid+285%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Yes10c27,318$2,644 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,643.5875729.3%222 W · 535 L-23.2wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-27.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5f62…d989backed Yes9c25,000$2,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,299.9812810.9%14 W · 114 L-7.9wins-0.06per pick17cpaid-39.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfcea…19c5backed Yes10c23,697$2,370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,369.66175.9%1 W · 16 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick12cpaid-88.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7e78…3945backed Yes9c23,000$2,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,099.9919529.7%58 W · 137 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-27.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x582f…b45cbacked Yes10c22,728$2,273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,272.89218.5%17 W · 75 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick16cpaid+15%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xda19…c13bbacked Yes9c22,222$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0002313%3 W · 20 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick18cpaid-45.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x18d4…69a9backed Yes10c21,770$2,152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,15225124.7%62 W · 189 L+14.5wins+0.06per pick19cpaid+17.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x94a8…5204backed Yes10c20,000$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0007122.5%16 W · 55 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7795…9a17backed Yes10c20,000$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00010927.5%30 W · 79 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-20.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfcc8…8b0bbacked Yes10c20,000$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0001118.2%2 W · 9 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick19cpaid-40.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9441…98babacked Yes10c20,000$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0003520%7 W · 28 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick15cpaid+18.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x62a4…c680backed Yes10c20,000$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00018321.3%39 W · 144 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-31.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x56f4…9ec5backed Yes1c15,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20041331%128 W · 285 L+0.8wins0.00per pick31cpaid-35.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x817a…0266backed Yes10c15,000$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5002910.3%3 W · 26 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick9cpaid-18.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5f21…805ebacked Yes9c11,111$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0008023.8%19 W · 61 L-0.2wins0.00per pick24cpaid-17.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x11fd…a851backed Yes10c10,189$1,019 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,018.863810.5%4 W · 34 L-3.1wins-0.08per pick19cpaid-66.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x90bf…3348backed Yes9c10,000$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$900567.1%4 W · 52 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick6cpaid-21.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc0df…5974backed Yes10c10,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00021442.5%91 W · 123 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x76dd…45bbbacked Yes10c10,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000520%1 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.11per pick9cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x86f6…8993backed Yes10c10,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0002020%4 W · 16 L-2.1wins-0.10per pick30cpaid-50.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x00bf…3a0ebacked Yes10c10,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0002722.2%6 W · 21 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick19cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2970…e1c9backed Yes10c10,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00014351.7%74 W · 69 L+7.4wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+5.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf956…2ec2backed Yes10c10,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0004219%8 W · 34 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick17cpaid-27.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ae1…378fbacked Yes10c10,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00018929.1%55 W · 134 L-9.4wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-26.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe564…6bf5backed Yes10c10,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00020%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc1fd…948ebacked Yes9c10,000$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$899.9917416.1%28 W · 146 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick17cpaid-37.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Yes9c10,000$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$899.992,32718.1%422 W · 1,905 L-363.0wins-0.16per pick34cpaid-63.5%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0x4247…91c4backed Yes0c9,738$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.7851228.9%148 W · 364 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick28cpaid-16.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7c0f…9f39backed Yes10c9,444$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90011914.3%17 W · 102 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick13cpaid+18.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfa40…9e37backed Yes10c9,249$925 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$924.8722247.7%106 W · 116 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x45c7…a35dbacked Yes6c8,808$518 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$517.977622.4%17 W · 59 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick20cpaid-37.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d1a…0df6backed Yes10c8,000$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8009839.8%39 W · 59 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-1.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f6f…d024backed Yes10c7,879$789 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$789.0677433.1%256 W · 518 L-0.9wins0.00per pick33cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x27c3…18cfbacked Yes10c7,875$787 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$787.481216.7%2 W · 10 L+1.2wins+0.10per pick7cpaid+69.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x92fb…a7debacked Yes10c7,850$785 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7852138.1%8 W · 13 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick31cpaid+62.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x000c…bcf3backed Yes10c7,787$758 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$757.7929916.7%50 W · 249 L-6.3wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-53.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5971…bec3backed Yes9c7,778$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$700425%1 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick18cpaid-58.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8474…2511backed Yes10c7,500$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$750944.4%4 W · 5 L+1.3wins+0.15per pick30cpaid+13.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8608…8b76backed Yes9c7,384$646 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$646.4912015%18 W · 102 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick16cpaid+9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc318…6f8dbacked Yes10c6,561$656 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$656.140%0 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x443a…ba14backed Yes9c5,940$535 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$534.66214.5%9 W · 53 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick12cpaid+26.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x045c…7b25backed Yes10c5,920$592 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5926232.3%20 W · 42 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-11.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e7a…7045backed Yes9c5,676$511 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$510.821435.7%5 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-7.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x160d…d77bbacked Yes9c5,650$509 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508.54366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.43per pick23cpaid+192.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xea12…41c6backed Yes5c5,500$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2991926.3%5 W · 14 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick21cpaid+152.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb34c…449cbacked Yes9c5,263$474 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$473.71723.5%4 W · 13 L-2.1wins-0.12per pick36cpaid-42.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x00c8…9ccdbacked Yes9c5,187$456 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$455.981,01931.6%322 W · 697 L-10.2wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-17.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x25ab…6321backed Yes9c5,000$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45011230.4%34 W · 78 L+8.8wins+0.08per pick22cpaid+21.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x769b…2ea9backed Yes10c5,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5002240.9%9 W · 13 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick34cpaid+21.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcc54…4582backed Yes10c5,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50016319.6%32 W · 131 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc20e…642abacked Yes10c5,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50012345.5%56 W · 67 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x662a…77b7backed Yes10c5,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50026618%48 W · 218 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick17cpaid-13.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd7bd…1d7cbacked Yes10c5,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50070%0 W · 7 L-2.4wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x500a…6866backed Yes10c5,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5009341.9%39 W · 54 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcfe7…6143backed Yes10c5,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5004717%8 W · 39 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick18cpaid-40.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeae1…6f10backed Yes10c5,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5003920.5%8 W · 31 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick20cpaid-45.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe974…f815backed Yes9c5,000$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$449.99316.5%2 W · 29 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick10cpaid-30.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6f65…55d2backed Yes10c5,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.985145.1%23 W · 28 L-3.4wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-24.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2671…8de4backed Yes9c4,870$457 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$456.9920013.5%27 W · 173 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick15cpaid-28.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8eab…b901backed Yes10c4,835$483 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$483.4610%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x245f…6ab3backed Yes10c4,698$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$469.8812.5%1 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick13cpaid-78.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c3f…100cbacked Yes10c4,680$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4505817.2%10 W · 48 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick17cpaid+51.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x043c…f2d9backed Yes10c4,500$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4503119.4%6 W · 25 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-13.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ea7…9d9abacked Yes10c4,450$445 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44522730.4%69 W · 158 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5648…a6c4backed Yes9c4,444$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4002078.2%17 W · 190 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick9cpaid-33%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x42b7…8802backed Yes11c4,374$481 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$481.1610%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4433…9d34backed Yes9c4,287$403 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402.8478835.3%278 W · 510 L+9.6wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-16.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa41c…4419backed Yes10c4,243$408 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$408.42516%4 W · 21 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick19cpaid+1.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe927…a965backed Yes9c4,211$379 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$378.96330%0 W · 33 L-3.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe9f2…b4ebbacked Yes10c4,000$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40020725.6%53 W · 154 L+5.2wins+0.03per pick23cpaid-16.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe6fd…db36backed Yes10c4,000$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4002152.4%11 W · 10 L+2.4wins+0.12per pick41cpaid+42.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbf8e…a723backed Yes10c4,000$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4001723.5%4 W · 13 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick25cpaid-51.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x17f2…f186backed Yes10c4,000$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4004513.3%6 W · 39 L-0.2wins0.00per pick14cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c3b…737cbacked Yes10c4,000$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400911.1%1 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick12cpaid-64.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc7a…2703backed Yes10c3,800$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3805438.9%21 W · 33 L+2.9wins+0.05per pick33cpaid-0.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc2cc…9c81backed Yes10c3,791$379 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$379.1460%0 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7735…4740backed Yes10c3,780$378 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3786729.2%62 W · 610 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick10cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa1a0…2746backed Yes11c3,673$413 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$413.2519739.6%78 W · 119 L+0.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-15.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xabfc…4247backed Yes11c3,638$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4004719.1%9 W · 38 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick15cpaid+18.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0a3a…f9c8backed Yes10c3,629$365 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36520816.3%34 W · 174 L-3.4wins-0.02per pick18cpaid-13.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xec8f…8df8backed Yes3c3,522$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.7915746.5%73 W · 84 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x68d0…b4dabacked Yes10c3,505$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$350.452119%4 W · 17 L-1.7wins-0.08per pick27cpaid-37.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0728…40f4backed Yes10c3,480$348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34816225.9%42 W · 120 L+7.5wins+0.05per pick21cpaid+36.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.