TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Exact Score: Spain 3 - 3 Argentina?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$8,697,919
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$7,093,850

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,697,919 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 469 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8b44…8816backed Yes2c1,166,743$20,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,00010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes2c511,167$8,012 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,012.198,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5dd1…d33cbacked Yes1c356,381$3,558 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,557.55527.7%4 W · 48 L-3.4wins-0.07per pick14cpaid-85.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Yes1c312,582$3,992 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,991.8275729.3%222 W · 535 L-23.2wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-27.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x635d…7047backed Yes1c295,732$2,427 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,426.61756.9%12 W · 163 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick6cpaid+112.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x87b9…2084backed Yes2c294,118$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,0002218.2%4 W · 18 L-2.9wins-0.13per pick32cpaid-73.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xbece…a74dbacked Yes1c210,070$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,000258%2 W · 23 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick13cpaid-79.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xde0a…f102backed Yes1c200,000$2,620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,62056410.5%59 W · 505 L-1.5wins0.00per pick11cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x393f…bb0bbacked Yes2c193,714$3,285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,284.55812.5%1 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick18cpaid-76.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x14f3…0796backed Yes1c179,530$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00079149.2%389 W · 402 L+28.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+6.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x160d…6f25backed Yes1c160,000$1,738 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,737.878317.4%136 W · 647 L-0.1wins0.00per pick17cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x48cf…0d4dbacked Yes1c159,063$1,905 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,904.6110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x38fb…d07cbacked Yes2c111,182$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,000180%0 W · 18 L-3.0wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7d9a…fda7backed Yes1c95,296$1,257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,256.95140%0 W · 14 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xedf3…969cbacked Yes1c82,267$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000128.3%1 W · 11 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick7cpaid-80.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x71d6…7248backed Yes1c80,073$881 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$880.81807.5%6 W · 74 L0.0wins0.00per pick7cpaid-43.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7c06…8d18backed Yes1c68,469$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$750220%0 W · 22 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f7c…586abacked Yes1c65,471$760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7601711.8%2 W · 15 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick7cpaid+27%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5fae…78f1backed Yes1c62,370$744 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$743.5690%0 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9689…df62backed Yes2c57,264$1,031 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,030.7423427.8%65 W · 169 L+5.4wins+0.02per pick25cpaid+42.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x363c…9b0ebacked Yes1c51,949$589 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$589.422516%4 W · 21 L-1.9wins-0.08per pick24cpaid-68.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5b6e…f544backed Yes1c50,000$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70013811.6%16 W · 122 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick13cpaid-28.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x817a…0266backed Yes1c45,937$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5002910.3%3 W · 26 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick9cpaid-18.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Yes1c43,400$499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.161,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf5df…09a1backed Yes1c37,421$413 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$412.761838.9%7 W · 11 L+3.4wins+0.19per pick20cpaid+55.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9cfe…294cbacked Yes1c35,355$389 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$388.95714%8 W · 49 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick10cpaid+0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd075…ad40backed Yes4c30,794$1,271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,270.81425%1 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick21cpaid-55.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3ea2…e8e5backed Yes2c30,000$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5102119%4 W · 17 L+1.5wins+0.07per pick12cpaid-26.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x560b…a72dbacked Yes1c29,924$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.991711.8%2 W · 15 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick8cpaid-32.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ed4…e181backed Yes2c29,412$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5007416.2%12 W · 62 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick20cpaid+20.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x27c3…18cfbacked Yes2c28,064$504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503.781216.7%2 W · 10 L+1.2wins+0.10per pick7cpaid+69.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x68e3…109bbacked Yes2c27,778$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5002623.1%6 W · 20 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick20cpaid+11.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x16a4…66adbacked Yes2c27,778$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50017518.3%32 W · 143 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick20cpaid-23.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3e59…2a66backed Yes2c24,419$573 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$572.631,06331.7%337 W · 726 L-33.7wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-17.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe93a…66cabacked Yes1c24,396$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14850%0 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x86dc…f184backed Yes2c24,106$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.5730%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x633e…d305backed Yes1c22,919$276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$275.5138329.8%114 W · 269 L-9.5wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-23.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa553…789dbacked Yes1c22,307$283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$283.1919517.9%35 W · 160 L0.0wins0.00per pick18cpaid-35.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x92b2…31c9backed Yes1c21,524$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2503312.1%4 W · 29 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick10cpaid-9.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x96ac…dc89backed Yes2c20,750$353 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$352.758913.5%12 W · 77 L-0.1wins0.00per pick14cpaid-26.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeb73…53b0backed Yes2c20,000$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30015930.8%49 W · 110 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick30cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa67d…dbecbacked Yes1c20,000$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24031611.4%36 W · 280 L+0.4wins0.00per pick11cpaid-8.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5612…5c9dbacked Yes0c19,000$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88210%0 W · 21 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcc41…5ce3backed Yes1c18,713$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick17cpaid-81.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ad5…2838backed Yes1c18,703$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.7410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeed6…ec56backed Yes1c18,182$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2004431.8%14 W · 30 L-2.0wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-10.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xafa2…0611backed Yes2c18,026$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30060%0 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcac5…9547backed Yes1c18,018$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18830%0 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3ea7…01d6backed Yes1c17,855$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220150%0 W · 15 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1dab…c5c1backed Yes1c17,454$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.451711.8%2 W · 15 L-3.1wins-0.18per pick30cpaid-80.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd961…35debacked Yes2c17,411$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$295.9924028.8%69 W · 171 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick27cpaid-12%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa053…130fbacked Yes2c16,330$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30031129.6%92 W · 219 L+0.7wins0.00per pick29cpaid-8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4433…9d34backed Yes2c15,644$239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.1478835.3%278 W · 510 L+9.6wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-16.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb616…b9a1backed Yes2c15,556$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2901910.5%2 W · 17 L-3.2wins-0.17per pick27cpaid-75.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1a94…db1dbacked Yes1c15,467$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175219.5%2 W · 19 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick13cpaid-30.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x52c8…9b69backed Yes2c14,800$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$264.447321.6%102 W · 371 L-2.2wins0.00per pick22cpaid-12.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b45…362bbacked Yes3c14,039$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$370.3398134.8%341 W · 640 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-13.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x888c…19f9backed Yes1c13,667$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1808933.7%30 W · 59 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick30cpaid-19.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbca…ca8dbacked Yes1c13,636$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15021522.8%49 W · 166 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1963…dd0cbacked Yes1c12,915$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.9653920.6%111 W · 428 L-6.9wins-0.01per pick22cpaid-38.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaff7…f598backed Yes2c12,824$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2301005%5 W · 95 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick7cpaid-50.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x671a…cf16backed Yes1c12,500$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1106266.7%42 W · 584 L-0.6wins0.00per pick7cpaid-23.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x40a7…dcdebacked Yes1c12,406$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.01735.5%4 W · 69 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick1cpaid+212.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xce77…ac3dbacked Yes2c12,222$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2201414.3%2 W · 12 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick12cpaid+7.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d6f…4997backed Yes2c11,768$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20023513.2%31 W · 204 L+5.3wins+0.02per pick11cpaid+52%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3ca4…50d4backed Yes0c11,583$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20419.8%4 W · 37 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick13cpaid-68.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x46f8…68ccbacked Yes2c11,116$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.581,24043.7%542 W · 698 L+13.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb450…e79cbacked Yes1c11,050$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.65034%17 W · 33 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick30cpaid-8.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5f0e…7397backed Yes1c10,964$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.515335.3%54 W · 99 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-13%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x043c…f2d9backed Yes1c10,833$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1303119.4%6 W · 25 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-13.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb552…b70cbacked Yes1c10,496$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.5420427%55 W · 149 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-26%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9f9e…4c57backed Yes1c10,455$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1105315.1%8 W · 45 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick12cpaid-37.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb11…9845backed Yes1c10,449$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.57785.1%4 W · 74 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick9cpaid-2.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa6f3…d508backed Yes1c10,334$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.2820%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Yes1c10,300$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.911,70236.7%625 W · 1,077 L-31.2wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1710…40a3backed Yes2c10,254$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.881040%4 W · 6 L+2.1wins+0.21per pick19cpaid+69.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x67d3…0af2backed Yes2c10,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.656212.9%8 W · 54 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick16cpaid-22.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xaa32…99a6backed Yes0c10,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2017945.3%81 W · 98 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf8a3…0c5dbacked Yes1c10,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100250%0 W · 25 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x74ea…b265backed Yes1c10,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007254.2%39 W · 33 L+8.5wins+0.12per pick42cpaid+31.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x8846…d3edbacked Yes1c10,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.09per pick31cpaid-59.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe1d3…b8debacked Yes2c10,000$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1952850%14 W · 14 L+3.4wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+12.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe974…f815backed Yes1c10,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100316.5%2 W · 29 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick10cpaid-30.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3068…60dfbacked Yes1c9,788$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.67258%2 W · 23 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick5cpaid-6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x935d…9404backed Yes1c9,732$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11015719.1%30 W · 127 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x000c…bcf3backed Yes1c9,559$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.3729916.7%50 W · 249 L-6.3wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-53.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7072…69acbacked Yes2c9,360$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190504%2 W · 48 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick3cpaid+22.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b36…0d4bbacked Yes1c9,154$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.6373626.5%195 W · 541 L-0.7wins0.00per pick27cpaid-19.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x332e…fd5dbacked Yes1c9,091$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006018.3%11 W · 49 L-5.3wins-0.09per pick27cpaid-48.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9b1a…b258backed Yes1c9,091$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100229.1%2 W · 20 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick11cpaid-27%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd31…1252backed Yes1c9,091$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10019411.9%23 W · 171 L-6.6wins-0.03per pick15cpaid-33.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd320…a715backed Yes1c9,091$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100166.3%1 W · 15 L-2.1wins-0.13per pick19cpaid-30.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xca70…3bafbacked Yes1c9,058$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.642454.2%13 W · 11 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid-9.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f61…8687backed Yes1c8,920$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10013511.1%15 W · 120 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick13cpaid-17.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x45d5…8faebacked Yes1c8,712$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005414.8%8 W · 46 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick17cpaid+18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xecf6…e304backed Yes1c8,712$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002814.3%4 W · 24 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick16cpaid-17.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb67c…80edbacked Yes1c8,696$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.355022%11 W · 39 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick21cpaid+217.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x410b…0152backed Yes1c8,638$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10016731.1%52 W · 115 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick30cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f9b…8b23backed Yes0c8,625$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124916.3%8 W · 41 L0.0wins0.00per pick16cpaid-57.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf9ab…110ebacked Yes1c8,568$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.813212.5%4 W · 28 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick18cpaid-46.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.