Fifa International · resolved market
Exact Score: Spain 3 - 3 Argentina?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x417b5575a44e401c7eb3748c42ae79e3a797e1f20926bbf369ec33f73a61c145
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,697,919
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,093,850
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,697,919 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 469 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8b44…8816backed Yes | 2c | 1,166,743$20,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 2c | 511,167$8,012 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,012.19 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5dd1…d33cbacked Yes | 1c | 356,381$3,558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,557.55 | 52 | 7.7%4 W · 48 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 14cpaid | -85.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 1c | 312,582$3,992 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,991.82 | 757 | 29.3%222 W · 535 L | -23.2wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x635d…7047backed Yes | 1c | 295,732$2,427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,426.6 | 175 | 6.9%12 W · 163 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 6cpaid | +112.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87b9…2084backed Yes | 2c | 294,118$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -2.9wins | -0.13per pick | 32cpaid | -73.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbece…a74dbacked Yes | 1c | 210,070$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 25 | 8%2 W · 23 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 13cpaid | -79.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde0a…f102backed Yes | 1c | 200,000$2,620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,620 | 564 | 10.5%59 W · 505 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x393f…bb0bbacked Yes | 2c | 193,714$3,285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,284.55 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 18cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Yes | 1c | 179,530$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 791 | 49.2%389 W · 402 L | +28.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x160d…6f25backed Yes | 1c | 160,000$1,738 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,737.8 | 783 | 17.4%136 W · 647 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48cf…0d4dbacked Yes | 1c | 159,063$1,905 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,904.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38fb…d07cbacked Yes | 2c | 111,182$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 18 | 0%0 W · 18 L | -3.0wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9a…fda7backed Yes | 1c | 95,296$1,257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,256.95 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedf3…969cbacked Yes | 1c | 82,267$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -80.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71d6…7248backed Yes | 1c | 80,073$881 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$880.81 | 80 | 7.5%6 W · 74 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 7cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c06…8d18backed Yes | 1c | 68,469$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 22 | 0%0 W · 22 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7c…586abacked Yes | 1c | 65,471$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$760 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 7cpaid | +27%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fae…78f1backed Yes | 1c | 62,370$744 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$743.56 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9689…df62backed Yes | 2c | 57,264$1,031 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,030.74 | 234 | 27.8%65 W · 169 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | +42.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x363c…9b0ebacked Yes | 1c | 51,949$589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$589.42 | 25 | 16%4 W · 21 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 24cpaid | -68.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed Yes | 1c | 50,000$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 138 | 11.6%16 W · 122 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x817a…0266backed Yes | 1c | 45,937$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 29 | 10.3%3 W · 26 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 1c | 43,400$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.16 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5df…09a1backed Yes | 1c | 37,421$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.76 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +3.4wins | +0.19per pick | 20cpaid | +55.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfe…294cbacked Yes | 1c | 35,355$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.9 | 57 | 14%8 W · 49 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd075…ad40backed Yes | 4c | 30,794$1,271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,270.81 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -55.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ea2…e8e5backed Yes | 2c | 30,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 12cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x560b…a72dbacked Yes | 1c | 29,924$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.99 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 8cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ed4…e181backed Yes | 2c | 29,412$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 74 | 16.2%12 W · 62 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27c3…18cfbacked Yes | 2c | 28,064$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503.78 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 7cpaid | +69.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68e3…109bbacked Yes | 2c | 27,778$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16a4…66adbacked Yes | 2c | 27,778$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 175 | 18.3%32 W · 143 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e59…2a66backed Yes | 2c | 24,419$573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$572.63 | 1,063 | 31.7%337 W · 726 L | -33.7wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe93a…66cabacked Yes | 1c | 24,396$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86dc…f184backed Yes | 2c | 24,106$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.57 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x633e…d305backed Yes | 1c | 22,919$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.51 | 383 | 29.8%114 W · 269 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa553…789dbacked Yes | 1c | 22,307$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.19 | 195 | 17.9%35 W · 160 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92b2…31c9backed Yes | 1c | 21,524$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 33 | 12.1%4 W · 29 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96ac…dc89backed Yes | 2c | 20,750$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.75 | 89 | 13.5%12 W · 77 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb73…53b0backed Yes | 2c | 20,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 159 | 30.8%49 W · 110 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa67d…dbecbacked Yes | 1c | 20,000$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 316 | 11.4%36 W · 280 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5612…5c9dbacked Yes | 0c | 19,000$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 21 | 0%0 W · 21 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc41…5ce3backed Yes | 1c | 18,713$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -81.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…2838backed Yes | 1c | 18,703$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeed6…ec56backed Yes | 1c | 18,182$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 44 | 31.8%14 W · 30 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafa2…0611backed Yes | 2c | 18,026$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcac5…9547backed Yes | 1c | 18,018$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ea7…01d6backed Yes | 1c | 17,855$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 15 | 0%0 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dab…c5c1backed Yes | 1c | 17,454$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.45 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -3.1wins | -0.18per pick | 30cpaid | -80.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd961…35debacked Yes | 2c | 17,411$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.99 | 240 | 28.8%69 W · 171 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -12%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa053…130fbacked Yes | 2c | 16,330$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 311 | 29.6%92 W · 219 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4433…9d34backed Yes | 2c | 15,644$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.14 | 788 | 35.3%278 W · 510 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb616…b9a1backed Yes | 2c | 15,556$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | -3.2wins | -0.17per pick | 27cpaid | -75.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1a94…db1dbacked Yes | 1c | 15,467$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 21 | 9.5%2 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52c8…9b69backed Yes | 2c | 14,800$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.4 | 473 | 21.6%102 W · 371 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b45…362bbacked Yes | 3c | 14,039$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.33 | 981 | 34.8%341 W · 640 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x888c…19f9backed Yes | 1c | 13,667$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 89 | 33.7%30 W · 59 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbca…ca8dbacked Yes | 1c | 13,636$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 215 | 22.8%49 W · 166 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1963…dd0cbacked Yes | 1c | 12,915$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.96 | 539 | 20.6%111 W · 428 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaff7…f598backed Yes | 2c | 12,824$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 100 | 5%5 W · 95 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x671a…cf16backed Yes | 1c | 12,500$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 626 | 6.7%42 W · 584 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 7cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40a7…dcdebacked Yes | 1c | 12,406$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.01 | 73 | 5.5%4 W · 69 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 1cpaid | +212.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce77…ac3dbacked Yes | 2c | 12,222$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d6f…4997backed Yes | 2c | 11,768$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 235 | 13.2%31 W · 204 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | +52%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca4…50d4backed Yes | 0c | 11,583$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 41 | 9.8%4 W · 37 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 13cpaid | -68.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked Yes | 2c | 11,116$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.58 | 1,240 | 43.7%542 W · 698 L | +13.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb450…e79cbacked Yes | 1c | 11,050$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.6 | 50 | 34%17 W · 33 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f0e…7397backed Yes | 1c | 10,964$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.5 | 153 | 35.3%54 W · 99 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x043c…f2d9backed Yes | 1c | 10,833$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 31 | 19.4%6 W · 25 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…b70cbacked Yes | 1c | 10,496$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.54 | 204 | 27%55 W · 149 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -26%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f9e…4c57backed Yes | 1c | 10,455$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 53 | 15.1%8 W · 45 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb11…9845backed Yes | 1c | 10,449$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.57 | 78 | 5.1%4 W · 74 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 9cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6f3…d508backed Yes | 1c | 10,334$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.28 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Yes | 1c | 10,300$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.91 | 1,702 | 36.7%625 W · 1,077 L | -31.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1710…40a3backed Yes | 2c | 10,254$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.88 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.21per pick | 19cpaid | +69.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x67d3…0af2backed Yes | 2c | 10,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.65 | 62 | 12.9%8 W · 54 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa32…99a6backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 179 | 45.3%81 W · 98 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8a3…0c5dbacked Yes | 1c | 10,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 25 | 0%0 W · 25 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74ea…b265backed Yes | 1c | 10,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 72 | 54.2%39 W · 33 L | +8.5wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8846…d3edbacked Yes | 1c | 10,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d3…b8debacked Yes | 2c | 10,000$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +3.4wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe974…f815backed Yes | 1c | 10,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 31 | 6.5%2 W · 29 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3068…60dfbacked Yes | 1c | 9,788$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.67 | 25 | 8%2 W · 23 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x935d…9404backed Yes | 1c | 9,732$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 157 | 19.1%30 W · 127 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x000c…bcf3backed Yes | 1c | 9,559$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.37 | 299 | 16.7%50 W · 249 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7072…69acbacked Yes | 2c | 9,360$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 50 | 4%2 W · 48 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b36…0d4bbacked Yes | 1c | 9,154$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.63 | 736 | 26.5%195 W · 541 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x332e…fd5dbacked Yes | 1c | 9,091$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 60 | 18.3%11 W · 49 L | -5.3wins | -0.09per pick | 27cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9b1a…b258backed Yes | 1c | 9,091$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 22 | 9.1%2 W · 20 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -27%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd31…1252backed Yes | 1c | 9,091$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 194 | 11.9%23 W · 171 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 15cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd320…a715backed Yes | 1c | 9,091$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | -2.1wins | -0.13per pick | 19cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca70…3bafbacked Yes | 1c | 9,058$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.64 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f61…8687backed Yes | 1c | 8,920$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 135 | 11.1%15 W · 120 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…8faebacked Yes | 1c | 8,712$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 54 | 14.8%8 W · 46 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 17cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecf6…e304backed Yes | 1c | 8,712$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 28 | 14.3%4 W · 24 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb67c…80edbacked Yes | 1c | 8,696$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.35 | 50 | 22%11 W · 39 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | +217.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x410b…0152backed Yes | 1c | 8,638$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 167 | 31.1%52 W · 115 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f9b…8b23backed Yes | 0c | 8,625$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 49 | 16.3%8 W · 41 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 16cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ab…110ebacked Yes | 1c | 8,568$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.81 | 32 | 12.5%4 W · 28 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 18cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Exact Score: Spain 3 - 3 Argentina?this page
- Exact Score: Any Other Score?No won
- Exact Score: Spain 0 - 0 Argentina?Yes won
- Exact Score: Spain 0 - 1 Argentina?No won
- Exact Score: Spain 0 - 2 Argentina?No won
- Exact Score: Spain 0 - 3 Argentina?No won
- Exact Score: Spain 1 - 0 Argentina?No won
- Exact Score: Spain 1 - 1 Argentina?No won
- Exact Score: Spain 1 - 2 Argentina?No won
- Exact Score: Spain 1 - 3 Argentina?No won
- Exact Score: Spain 2 - 0 Argentina?No won
- Exact Score: Spain 2 - 1 Argentina?No won
- Exact Score: Spain 2 - 2 Argentina?No won
- Exact Score: Spain 2 - 3 Argentina?No won
- Exact Score: Spain 3 - 0 Argentina?No won
- Exact Score: Spain 3 - 1 Argentina?No won
- Exact Score: Spain 3 - 2 Argentina?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.