Fifa International · resolved market
Exact Score: Spain 3 - 0 Argentina?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbdef8b9cd2d2fa77ded61c7944faa2104e69dcf544cc3eadddf2e1088aad3551
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,955,328
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,498,776
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,955,328 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 227 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc29e…a2cabacked Yes | 3c | 959,819$29,148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,148.24 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -27%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Yes | 4c | 160,845$5,671 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,671.08 | 423 | 45.6%193 W · 230 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87b9…2084backed Yes | 3c | 151,521$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -2.9wins | -0.13per pick | 32cpaid | -73.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…ea94backed Yes | 3c | 150,000$4,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,800 | 137 | 25.5%35 W · 102 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x738a…3204backed Yes | 3c | 111,563$3,625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,624.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x760f…326abacked Yes | 3c | 49,089$1,594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,593.5 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc357…e998backed Yes | 3c | 46,747$1,481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,480.83 | 32 | 9.4%3 W · 29 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 15cpaid | -73.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ec…e8f1backed Yes | 4c | 40,887$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 65 | 24.6%16 W · 49 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde0a…f102backed Yes | 3c | 33,557$1,061 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,060.83 | 564 | 10.5%59 W · 505 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea6b…7fb1backed Yes | 3c | 30,303$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90bf…3348backed Yes | 3c | 29,032$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$899.99 | 56 | 7.1%4 W · 52 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda20…8dbebacked Yes | 3c | 21,875$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc8…8b0bbacked Yes | 3c | 21,178$579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$578.83 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41f7…c4e4backed Yes | 3c | 20,143$625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$624.51 | 727 | 22.7%165 W · 562 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0366…a001backed Yes | 3c | 20,000$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | +3.5wins | +0.12per pick | 19cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Yes | 3c | 19,220$549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.03 | 1,536 | 49.1%754 W · 782 L | +32.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2db…236fbacked Yes | 4c | 17,995$772 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$772.06 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 7cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0075…5f10backed Yes | 3c | 15,000$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +74.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c0f…9f39backed Yes | 3c | 13,710$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 119 | 14.3%17 W · 102 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37ae…1002backed Yes | 3c | 10,000$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 249 | 17.7%44 W · 205 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6dd…7af9backed Yes | 3c | 10,000$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 144 | 40.3%58 W · 86 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x868b…a1b7backed Yes | 3c | 9,784$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.52 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -72.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Yes | 3c | 9,263$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 791 | 49.2%389 W · 402 L | +28.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Yes | 3c | 8,317$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.19 | 1,702 | 36.7%625 W · 1,077 L | -31.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x268b…4890backed Yes | 3c | 6,667$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 42 | 4.8%2 W · 40 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x851a…6b12backed Yes | 3c | 6,502$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.77 | 96 | 31.3%30 W · 66 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeae1…6f10backed Yes | 3c | 6,250$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 39 | 20.5%8 W · 31 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a0…2746backed Yes | 3c | 6,054$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.5 | 197 | 39.6%78 W · 119 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7c2…ae50backed Yes | 3c | 6,007$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.19 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 8cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabfc…4247backed Yes | 3c | 5,813$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 47 | 19.1%9 W · 38 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 15cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x160d…6f25backed Yes | 3c | 5,257$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.21 | 783 | 17.4%136 W · 647 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 3c | 5,171$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.59 | 757 | 29.3%222 W · 535 L | -23.2wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f3d…d65dbacked Yes | 3c | 5,066$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.58 | 388 | 17%66 W · 322 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe0c…04b6backed Yes | 3c | 5,000$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 31 | 3.2%1 W · 30 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 9cpaid | -94.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25ab…6321backed Yes | 3c | 5,000$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 112 | 30.4%34 W · 78 L | +8.8wins | +0.08per pick | 22cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xef9f…8924backed Yes | 3c | 5,000$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 119 | 7.6%9 W · 110 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb22…808abacked Yes | 3c | 5,000$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 122 | 27.9%34 W · 88 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51ce…44c1backed Yes | 1c | 5,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 98 | 39.8%39 W · 59 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9974…6222backed Yes | 3c | 4,469$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x662a…77b7backed Yes | 3c | 4,412$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 266 | 18%48 W · 218 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe70e…219fbacked Yes | 3c | 4,242$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7cd…093abacked Yes | 3c | 3,571$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 288 | 22.6%65 W · 223 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e7d…224cbacked Yes | 3c | 3,448$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -78%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x022b…35aebacked Yes | 4c | 3,380$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.06 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -37%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x452c…d046backed Yes | 3c | 3,337$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 38 | 13.2%5 W · 33 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed32…df4abacked Yes | 3c | 3,312$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 63 | 6.3%4 W · 59 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 1c | 3,294$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.25 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb08b…4b55backed Yes | 3c | 3,125$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -60.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2253…4b5abacked Yes | 3c | 3,125$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 42 | 23.8%10 W · 32 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11be…7712backed Yes | 3c | 3,125$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 226 | 20.4%46 W · 180 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0d2…3628backed Yes | 3c | 3,051$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 6cpaid | +38.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb66b…2644backed Yes | 4c | 3,050$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.9 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b9b…b95ebacked Yes | 3c | 2,918$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 15cpaid | +123.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3535…5ec6backed Yes | 3c | 2,885$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 20 | 10%2 W · 18 L | -3.3wins | -0.17per pick | 27cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7072…69acbacked Yes | 2c | 2,819$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.57 | 50 | 4%2 W · 48 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe31a…adffbacked Yes | 4c | 2,800$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.8 | 58 | 39.7%23 W · 35 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2248…bc0ebacked Yes | 4c | 2,778$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d67…1fa5backed Yes | 3c | 2,778$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.88 | 102 | 34.3%35 W · 67 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00e8…0039backed Yes | 3c | 2,759$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 80 | 6.3%5 W · 75 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8284…86f0backed Yes | 3c | 2,688$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 25 | 4%1 W · 24 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 7cpaid | -50%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x671a…cf16backed Yes | 2c | 2,655$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 626 | 6.7%42 W · 584 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 7cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d24…a93fbacked Yes | 3c | 2,530$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.43 | 135 | 38.5%52 W · 83 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd67b…5780backed Yes | 3c | 2,500$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.5 | 90 | 17.8%16 W · 74 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb77…023ebacked Yes | 1c | 2,356$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.08 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 4cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0af…bfd0backed Yes | 2c | 2,300$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.04 | 80 | 6.3%5 W · 75 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bcb…8626backed Yes | 2c | 2,299$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 103 | 5.8%6 W · 97 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9a…5d99backed Yes | 3c | 2,000$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 4cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…86d3backed Yes | 1c | 2,000$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 65 | 15.4%10 W · 55 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | +66.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb11…9845backed Yes | 3c | 1,902$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.68 | 78 | 5.1%4 W · 74 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 9cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x005e…67ffbacked Yes | 4c | 1,889$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 65 | 33.8%22 W · 43 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43f0…4d78backed Yes | 3c | 1,818$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e6b…55f1backed Yes | 2c | 1,768$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.24 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x324b…084ebacked Yes | 3c | 1,724$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb721…24f0backed Yes | 3c | 1,613$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 22 | 9.1%2 W · 20 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -81.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0381…b653backed Yes | 3c | 1,613$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -76.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa459…b61dbacked Yes | 3c | 1,613$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09a0…5a39backed Yes | 3c | 1,600$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.8 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 12cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf2b…0209backed Yes | 3c | 1,563$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -3.9wins | -0.16per pick | 40cpaid | -59.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0714…765ebacked Yes | 3c | 1,563$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c0e…fb07backed Yes | 3c | 1,563$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 47 | 19.1%9 W · 38 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a50…9953backed Yes | 3c | 1,563$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 16cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7371…cadebacked Yes | 3c | 1,515$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37e1…85fbbacked Yes | 3c | 1,515$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | +5.5wins | +0.13per pick | 26cpaid | +44.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf067…5c6dbacked Yes | 3c | 1,515$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 339 | 15.9%54 W · 285 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1025…7e11backed Yes | 3c | 1,500$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 279 | 39.8%111 W · 168 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…032dbacked Yes | 2c | 1,500$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 121 | 23.1%28 W · 93 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61ac…4781backed Yes | 3c | 1,500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 525 | 22.5%118 W · 407 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2561…e711backed Yes | 3c | 1,478$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.24 | 87 | 12.6%11 W · 76 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf07…ca84backed Yes | 3c | 1,471$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 32 | 9.4%3 W · 29 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc62…e82abacked Yes | 3c | 1,439$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.73 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd753…6053backed Yes | 3c | 1,429$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 302 | 19.9%60 W · 242 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefdb…3312backed Yes | 2c | 1,417$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 103 | 29.1%30 W · 73 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68c2…1711backed Yes | 1c | 1,397$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.56 | 25 | 12%3 W · 22 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 7cpaid | -49.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x171b…5179backed Yes | 3c | 1,310$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 62 | 38.7%24 W · 38 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6467…61acbacked Yes | 3c | 1,250$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 34 | 8.8%3 W · 31 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 6cpaid | +86.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x530d…77f2backed Yes | 3c | 1,250$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ea3…6ed0backed Yes | 3c | 1,228$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.62 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -44%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd8…eecabacked Yes | 3c | 1,219$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 210 | 29%61 W · 149 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8da1…a0d3backed Yes | 3c | 1,212$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 279 | 9.7%27 W · 252 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd94b…5445backed Yes | 2c | 1,200$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Exact Score: Spain 3 - 0 Argentina?this page
- Exact Score: Any Other Score?No won
- Exact Score: Spain 0 - 0 Argentina?Yes won
- Exact Score: Spain 0 - 1 Argentina?No won
- Exact Score: Spain 0 - 2 Argentina?No won
- Exact Score: Spain 0 - 3 Argentina?No won
- Exact Score: Spain 1 - 0 Argentina?No won
- Exact Score: Spain 1 - 1 Argentina?No won
- Exact Score: Spain 1 - 2 Argentina?No won
- Exact Score: Spain 1 - 3 Argentina?No won
- Exact Score: Spain 2 - 0 Argentina?No won
- Exact Score: Spain 2 - 1 Argentina?No won
- Exact Score: Spain 2 - 2 Argentina?No won
- Exact Score: Spain 2 - 3 Argentina?No won
- Exact Score: Spain 3 - 1 Argentina?No won
- Exact Score: Spain 3 - 2 Argentina?No won
- Exact Score: Spain 3 - 3 Argentina?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.