Fifa International · resolved market
Exact Score: Spain 1 - 3 Argentina?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf78d5935333608eb1ce0def7f06754a385c5aeee0629eed29f04c7f58d8bde8e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,457,488
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,890,853
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,457,488 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 442 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x88d9…1d15backed Yes | 3c | 227,110$6,151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,151.5 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde0a…f102backed Yes | 3c | 201,000$5,604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,603.91 | 564 | 10.5%59 W · 505 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x160d…6f25backed Yes | 3c | 160,000$4,926 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,925.86 | 783 | 17.4%136 W · 647 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 3c | 154,303$4,409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,409.06 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd331…733cbacked Yes | 3c | 134,097$4,012 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,012.05 | 630 | 35.7%225 W · 405 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc7a…3183backed Yes | 3c | 126,223$3,156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,155.58 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e5f…43dabacked Yes | 3c | 113,900$3,365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,364.82 | 44 | 20.5%9 W · 35 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | +336.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 3c | 111,354$3,061 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,061.35 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5faf…1183backed Yes | 3c | 100,905$2,823 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,822.63 | 98 | 23.5%23 W · 75 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 2c | 94,025$2,104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,104 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 2c | 74,542$1,779 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,778.9 | 757 | 29.3%222 W · 535 L | -23.2wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88f1…b325backed Yes | 3c | 70,968$2,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,200 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc357…e998backed Yes | 3c | 62,918$1,693 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,693.46 | 32 | 9.4%3 W · 29 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 15cpaid | -73.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9441…98babacked Yes | 3c | 48,387$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 35 | 20%7 W · 28 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 15cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x098f…079abacked Yes | 2c | 30,375$729 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$729 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 15cpaid | -78.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x987d…c90bbacked Yes | 3c | 30,359$855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$855.21 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4517…f700backed Yes | 2c | 30,000$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660 | 101 | 28.7%29 W · 72 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf96…5f84backed Yes | 3c | 28,990$882 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$882.02 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7c…586abacked Yes | 2c | 27,297$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 7cpaid | +27%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…ebb6backed Yes | 3c | 23,077$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 25cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x817a…0266backed Yes | 2c | 20,095$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 29 | 10.3%3 W · 26 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7528…4e36backed Yes | 3c | 20,000$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620 | 67 | 43.3%29 W · 38 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8a3…0c5dbacked Yes | 2c | 17,095$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 25 | 0%0 W · 25 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c0f…9f39backed Yes | 3c | 16,382$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 119 | 14.3%17 W · 102 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f20…b29fbacked Yes | 3c | 16,129$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 51 | 5.9%3 W · 48 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 9cpaid | -48%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x152f…a549backed Yes | 3c | 14,931$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 57 | 12.3%7 W · 50 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 18cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37e2…4b92backed Yes | 3c | 14,801$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405 | 45 | 28.9%13 W · 32 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -17%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Yes | 2c | 12,015$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 791 | 49.2%389 W · 402 L | +28.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2568…ad68backed Yes | 3c | 10,772$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 45 | 17.8%8 W · 37 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb492…7fedbacked Yes | 2c | 10,483$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1044…d67abacked Yes | 2c | 10,122$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.77 | 698 | 26.1%182 W · 516 L | -21.7wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb11…9845backed Yes | 2c | 10,074$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.58 | 78 | 5.1%4 W · 74 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 9cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c3b…737cbacked Yes | 3c | 10,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -64.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92b2…31c9backed Yes | 3c | 9,596$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 33 | 12.1%4 W · 29 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52c8…9b69backed Yes | 3c | 9,388$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.03 | 473 | 21.6%102 W · 371 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40a7…dcdebacked Yes | 0c | 9,300$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 73 | 5.5%4 W · 69 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 1cpaid | +212.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5aba…ca36backed Yes | 2c | 9,091$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe0c…04b6backed Yes | 3c | 8,406$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.17 | 31 | 3.2%1 W · 30 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 9cpaid | -94.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7c2…ae50backed Yes | 2c | 8,285$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 8cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28c2…bfe3backed Yes | 2c | 8,258$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 87 | 10.3%9 W · 78 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -58.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0af…bfd0backed Yes | 2c | 8,234$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.61 | 80 | 6.3%5 W · 75 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac8d…e736backed Yes | 3c | 8,046$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 27cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9254…3af8backed Yes | 3c | 7,692$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 172 | 11%19 W · 153 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f9b…8b23backed Yes | 0c | 7,518$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.28 | 49 | 16.3%8 W · 41 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 16cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4266…0e08backed Yes | 2c | 6,522$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 91 | 7.7%7 W · 84 L | -9.8wins | -0.11per pick | 18cpaid | -64.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdbca…ca8dbacked Yes | 2c | 6,250$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 215 | 22.8%49 W · 166 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5648…a6c4backed Yes | 3c | 6,114$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.97 | 207 | 8.2%17 W · 190 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -33%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1963…dd0cbacked Yes | 3c | 6,059$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.88 | 539 | 20.6%111 W · 428 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3723…5d55backed Yes | 3c | 6,040$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.09 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd46…6d48backed Yes | 3c | 5,941$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | +2.8wins | +0.16per pick | 7cpaid | +124.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4703…3ba6backed Yes | 3c | 5,806$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 63 | 4.8%3 W · 60 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 7cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf25…cd94backed Yes | 2c | 5,560$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.1 | 48 | 25%12 W · 36 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7572…ab0fbacked Yes | 3c | 5,190$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 502 | 14.5%73 W · 429 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe74d…22fdbacked Yes | 2c | 5,000$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +3.4wins | +0.13per pick | 28cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3925…d2f2backed Yes | 1c | 5,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 35 | 2.9%1 W · 34 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 10cpaid | -84.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d01…27cbbacked Yes | 2c | 4,900$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.43 | 176 | 36.4%64 W · 112 L | +10.8wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcc6b…8115backed Yes | 3c | 4,885$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127 | 229 | 14%32 W · 197 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28f6…b8f6backed Yes | 2c | 4,821$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.06 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 5cpaid | +233.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6f…d024backed Yes | 2c | 4,565$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.28 | 774 | 33.1%256 W · 518 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91d7…0dfcbacked Yes | 3c | 4,557$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.73 | 585 | 30.9%181 W · 404 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -28%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x268b…4890backed Yes | 2c | 4,545$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 42 | 4.8%2 W · 40 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd320…a715backed Yes | 2c | 4,545$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | -2.1wins | -0.13per pick | 19cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xed32…df4abacked Yes | 2c | 4,545$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 63 | 6.3%4 W · 59 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x000c…bcf3backed Yes | 2c | 4,360$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.93 | 299 | 16.7%50 W · 249 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f61…8687backed Yes | 2c | 4,348$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 135 | 11.1%15 W · 120 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b2…8fc8backed Yes | 2c | 4,348$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe8b…517cbacked Yes | 2c | 4,348$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 186 | 14.5%27 W · 159 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked Yes | 3c | 4,281$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.13 | 1,240 | 43.7%542 W · 698 L | +13.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5299…bb37backed Yes | 2c | 4,220$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.9 | 32 | 21.9%7 W · 25 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38d7…8ce0backed Yes | 3c | 4,167$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 50 | 32%16 W · 34 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x63af…2d0cbacked Yes | 2c | 4,125$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.88 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 13cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41f7…c4e4backed Yes | 2c | 4,077$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.43 | 727 | 22.7%165 W · 562 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x671a…cf16backed Yes | 3c | 4,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 626 | 6.7%42 W · 584 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 7cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc214…6a42backed Yes | 3c | 4,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 94 | 41.5%39 W · 55 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4433…9d34backed Yes | 3c | 3,897$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.7 | 788 | 35.3%278 W · 510 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a43…fb9bbacked Yes | 3c | 3,853$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.43 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f24…0bd0backed Yes | 3c | 3,846$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 48 | 6.3%3 W · 45 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…fc6cbacked Yes | 3c | 3,846$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 285 | 28.8%82 W · 203 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d0d…a9c4backed Yes | 3c | 3,846$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 53 | 37.7%20 W · 33 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c1e…2569backed Yes | 3c | 3,704$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11d1…0b41backed Yes | 3c | 3,700$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.4 | 463 | 19.9%92 W · 371 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88d2…e31fbacked Yes | 1c | 3,581$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 16cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d5e…7f71backed Yes | 1c | 3,512$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.97 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf78f…c04dbacked Yes | 3c | 3,337$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd72a…a421backed Yes | 3c | 3,333$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02cf…96e3backed Yes | 3c | 3,333$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0448…6cebbacked Yes | 3c | 3,333$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 152 | 17.1%26 W · 126 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b1a…b258backed Yes | 3c | 3,333$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 22 | 9.1%2 W · 20 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -27%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff6…7c7bbacked Yes | 3c | 3,333$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d92…216dbacked Yes | 3c | 3,333$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 39 | 7.7%3 W · 36 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x117c…495cbacked Yes | 3c | 3,330$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 11cpaid | +156.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9706…bc33backed Yes | 3c | 3,246$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 226 | 26.5%60 W · 166 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70ae…31bcbacked Yes | 3c | 3,226$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 29 | 24.1%7 W · 22 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaba3…3eddbacked Yes | 3c | 3,226$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 15cpaid | +54.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9aad…7ad0backed Yes | 3c | 3,226$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 42 | 23.8%10 W · 32 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x935d…9404backed Yes | 3c | 3,226$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 157 | 19.1%30 W · 127 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb963…f5f7backed Yes | 3c | 3,155$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d24…a93fbacked Yes | 2c | 3,150$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.15 | 135 | 38.5%52 W · 83 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40e5…e6adbacked Yes | 2c | 3,103$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.8 | 78 | 10.3%8 W · 70 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 8cpaid | +58%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7072…69acbacked Yes | 1c | 3,067$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 50 | 4%2 W · 48 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Exact Score: Spain 1 - 3 Argentina?this page
- Exact Score: Any Other Score?No won
- Exact Score: Spain 0 - 0 Argentina?Yes won
- Exact Score: Spain 0 - 1 Argentina?No won
- Exact Score: Spain 0 - 2 Argentina?No won
- Exact Score: Spain 0 - 3 Argentina?No won
- Exact Score: Spain 1 - 0 Argentina?No won
- Exact Score: Spain 1 - 1 Argentina?No won
- Exact Score: Spain 1 - 2 Argentina?No won
- Exact Score: Spain 2 - 0 Argentina?No won
- Exact Score: Spain 2 - 1 Argentina?No won
- Exact Score: Spain 2 - 2 Argentina?No won
- Exact Score: Spain 2 - 3 Argentina?No won
- Exact Score: Spain 3 - 0 Argentina?No won
- Exact Score: Spain 3 - 1 Argentina?No won
- Exact Score: Spain 3 - 2 Argentina?No won
- Exact Score: Spain 3 - 3 Argentina?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.