TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Exact Score: Spain 1 - 3 Argentina?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$3,457,488
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,890,853

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,457,488 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 442 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x88d9…1d15backed Yes3c227,110$6,151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,151.51216.7%2 W · 10 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick23cpaid-64.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde0a…f102backed Yes3c201,000$5,604 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,603.9156410.5%59 W · 505 L-1.5wins0.00per pick11cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x160d…6f25backed Yes3c160,000$4,926 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,925.8678317.4%136 W · 647 L-0.1wins0.00per pick17cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Yes3c154,303$4,409 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,409.061,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd331…733cbacked Yes3c134,097$4,012 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,012.0563035.7%225 W · 405 L-13.1wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-14.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfc7a…3183backed Yes3c126,223$3,156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,155.581010%1 W · 9 L-1.5wins-0.15per pick25cpaid-75%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2e5f…43dabacked Yes3c113,900$3,365 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,364.824420.5%9 W · 35 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick22cpaid+336.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes3c111,354$3,061 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,061.358,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5faf…1183backed Yes3c100,905$2,823 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,822.639823.5%23 W · 75 L-5.0wins-0.05per pick29cpaid-33.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes2c94,025$2,104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,1042,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Yes2c74,542$1,779 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,778.975729.3%222 W · 535 L-23.2wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-27.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x88f1…b325backed Yes3c70,968$2,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,200922.2%2 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick21cpaid-32.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc357…e998backed Yes3c62,918$1,693 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,693.46329.4%3 W · 29 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick15cpaid-73.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9441…98babacked Yes3c48,387$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5003520%7 W · 28 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick15cpaid+18.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x098f…079abacked Yes2c30,375$729 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7291811.1%2 W · 16 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick15cpaid-78.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x987d…c90bbacked Yes3c30,359$855 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$855.2130%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4517…f700backed Yes2c30,000$660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66010128.7%29 W · 72 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick26cpaid-1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaf96…5f84backed Yes3c28,990$882 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$882.0250%0 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f7c…586abacked Yes2c27,297$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6501711.8%2 W · 15 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick7cpaid+27%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb27…ebb6backed Yes3c23,077$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$600933.3%3 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.09per pick25cpaid-28.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x817a…0266backed Yes2c20,095$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5002910.3%3 W · 26 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick9cpaid-18.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7528…4e36backed Yes3c20,000$620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6206743.3%29 W · 38 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-16.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf8a3…0c5dbacked Yes2c17,095$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400250%0 W · 25 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7c0f…9f39backed Yes3c16,382$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42011914.3%17 W · 102 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick13cpaid+18.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f20…b29fbacked Yes3c16,129$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500515.9%3 W · 48 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick9cpaid-48%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x152f…a549backed Yes3c14,931$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4005712.3%7 W · 50 L-3.3wins-0.06per pick18cpaid-28.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x37e2…4b92backed Yes3c14,801$405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4054528.9%13 W · 32 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick27cpaid-17%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x14f3…0796backed Yes2c12,015$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30079149.2%389 W · 402 L+28.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+6.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2568…ad68backed Yes3c10,772$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3004517.8%8 W · 37 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick21cpaid+35.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb492…7fedbacked Yes2c10,483$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244.4710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1044…d67abacked Yes2c10,122$253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252.7769826.1%182 W · 516 L-21.7wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-25.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcb11…9845backed Yes2c10,074$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.58785.1%4 W · 74 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick9cpaid-2.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8c3b…737cbacked Yes3c10,000$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300911.1%1 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick12cpaid-64.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x92b2…31c9backed Yes3c9,596$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2503312.1%4 W · 29 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick10cpaid-9.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x52c8…9b69backed Yes3c9,388$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291.0347321.6%102 W · 371 L-2.2wins0.00per pick22cpaid-12.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x40a7…dcdebacked Yes0c9,300$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.6735.5%4 W · 69 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick1cpaid+212.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5aba…ca36backed Yes2c9,091$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20060%0 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe0c…04b6backed Yes3c8,406$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252.17313.2%1 W · 30 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick9cpaid-94.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb7c2…ae50backed Yes2c8,285$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200911.1%1 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick8cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x28c2…bfe3backed Yes2c8,258$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2008710.3%9 W · 78 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick13cpaid-58.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb0af…bfd0backed Yes2c8,234$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.61806.3%5 W · 75 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick9cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xac8d…e736backed Yes3c8,046$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.13per pick27cpaid-50.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9254…3af8backed Yes3c7,692$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20017211%19 W · 153 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick13cpaid-14.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f9b…8b23backed Yes0c7,518$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.284916.3%8 W · 41 L0.0wins0.00per pick16cpaid-57.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4266…0e08backed Yes2c6,522$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150917.7%7 W · 84 L-9.8wins-0.11per pick18cpaid-64.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xdbca…ca8dbacked Yes2c6,250$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15021522.8%49 W · 166 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5648…a6c4backed Yes3c6,114$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.972078.2%17 W · 190 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick9cpaid-33%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1963…dd0cbacked Yes3c6,059$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.8853920.6%111 W · 428 L-6.9wins-0.01per pick22cpaid-38.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3723…5d55backed Yes3c6,040$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.0920%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcd46…6d48backed Yes3c5,941$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501822.2%4 W · 14 L+2.8wins+0.16per pick7cpaid+124.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x4703…3ba6backed Yes3c5,806$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180634.8%3 W · 60 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick7cpaid+10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf25…cd94backed Yes2c5,560$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.14825%12 W · 36 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick22cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7572…ab0fbacked Yes3c5,190$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16050214.5%73 W · 429 L+2.3wins0.00per pick14cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe74d…22fdbacked Yes2c5,000$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1152740.7%11 W · 16 L+3.4wins+0.13per pick28cpaid+25.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x3925…d2f2backed Yes1c5,000$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60352.9%1 W · 34 L-2.6wins-0.07per pick10cpaid-84.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2d01…27cbbacked Yes2c4,900$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.4317636.4%64 W · 112 L+10.8wins+0.06per pick30cpaid+35.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xcc6b…8115backed Yes3c4,885$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12722914%32 W · 197 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick13cpaid-4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x28f6…b8f6backed Yes2c4,821$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.06616.7%1 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.12per pick5cpaid+233.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f6f…d024backed Yes2c4,565$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.2877433.1%256 W · 518 L-0.9wins0.00per pick33cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x91d7…0dfcbacked Yes3c4,557$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.7358530.9%181 W · 404 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-28%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x268b…4890backed Yes2c4,545$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100424.8%2 W · 40 L+0.1wins0.00per pick4cpaid+12.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd320…a715backed Yes2c4,545$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100166.3%1 W · 15 L-2.1wins-0.13per pick19cpaid-30.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xed32…df4abacked Yes2c4,545$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100636.3%4 W · 59 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick7cpaid-51.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x000c…bcf3backed Yes2c4,360$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.9329916.7%50 W · 249 L-6.3wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-53.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f61…8687backed Yes2c4,348$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10013511.1%15 W · 120 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick13cpaid-17.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd3b2…8fc8backed Yes2c4,348$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10090%0 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbe8b…517cbacked Yes2c4,348$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10018614.5%27 W · 159 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick13cpaid-4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x46f8…68ccbacked Yes3c4,281$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.131,24043.7%542 W · 698 L+13.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5299…bb37backed Yes2c4,220$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.93221.9%7 W · 25 L-0.1wins0.00per pick22cpaid-24.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x38d7…8ce0backed Yes3c4,167$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1055032%16 W · 34 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-24.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x63af…2d0cbacked Yes2c4,125$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.88185.6%1 W · 17 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick13cpaid-71.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x41f7…c4e4backed Yes2c4,077$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.4372722.7%165 W · 562 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick22cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x671a…cf16backed Yes3c4,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006266.7%42 W · 584 L-0.6wins0.00per pick7cpaid-23.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc214…6a42backed Yes3c4,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009441.5%39 W · 55 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4433…9d34backed Yes3c3,897$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.778835.3%278 W · 510 L+9.6wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-16.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a43…fb9bbacked Yes3c3,853$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.43425%1 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick22cpaid-14.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f24…0bd0backed Yes3c3,846$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100486.3%3 W · 45 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick7cpaid-40.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x36b3…fc6cbacked Yes3c3,846$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10028528.8%82 W · 203 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick27cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d0d…a9c4backed Yes3c3,846$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005337.7%20 W · 33 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-19.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c1e…2569backed Yes3c3,704$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10080%0 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x11d1…0b41backed Yes3c3,700$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.446319.9%92 W · 371 L-8.8wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-20.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x88d2…e31fbacked Yes1c3,581$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick16cpaid+33.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4d5e…7f71backed Yes1c3,512$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.97130%0 W · 13 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf78f…c04dbacked Yes3c3,337$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10030%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd72a…a421backed Yes3c3,333$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x02cf…96e3backed Yes3c3,333$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001225%3 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-30.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0448…6cebbacked Yes3c3,333$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10015217.1%26 W · 126 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick18cpaid-18.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b1a…b258backed Yes3c3,333$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100229.1%2 W · 20 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick11cpaid-27%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ff6…7c7bbacked Yes3c3,333$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10050%0 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d92…216dbacked Yes3c3,333$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100397.7%3 W · 36 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick7cpaid-28.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x117c…495cbacked Yes3c3,330$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.9250%1 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.39per pick11cpaid+156.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9706…bc33backed Yes3c3,246$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10022626.5%60 W · 166 L+0.9wins0.00per pick26cpaid+3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x70ae…31bcbacked Yes3c3,226$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002924.1%7 W · 22 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick21cpaid-6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaba3…3eddbacked Yes3c3,226$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001323.1%3 W · 10 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick15cpaid+54.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9aad…7ad0backed Yes3c3,226$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004223.8%10 W · 32 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick26cpaid-32.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x935d…9404backed Yes3c3,226$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10015719.1%30 W · 127 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb963…f5f7backed Yes3c3,155$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.6410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d24…a93fbacked Yes2c3,150$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.1513538.5%52 W · 83 L+0.3wins0.00per pick38cpaid-9.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x40e5…e6adbacked Yes2c3,103$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.87810.3%8 W · 70 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick8cpaid+58%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7072…69acbacked Yes1c3,067$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44504%2 W · 48 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick3cpaid+22.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.