TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Exact Score: Spain 0 - 3 Argentina?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$2,635,100
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,058,306

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,635,100 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 251 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x27c3…18cfbacked Yes1c425,778$4,684 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,683.561216.7%2 W · 10 L+1.2wins+0.10per pick7cpaid+69.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Yes1c91,857$469 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$468.541,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfc7a…3183backed Yes1c89,262$944 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$943.881010%1 W · 9 L-1.5wins-0.15per pick25cpaid-75%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf8a3…0c5dbacked Yes1c77,206$953 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$953250%0 W · 25 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x14f3…0796backed Yes1c73,617$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00079149.2%389 W · 402 L+28.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+6.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes1c59,134$661 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$660.878,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde0a…f102backed Yes1c50,010$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$550.1256410.5%59 W · 505 L-1.5wins0.00per pick11cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f20…b29fbacked Yes1c43,922$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500515.9%3 W · 48 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick9cpaid-48%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc357…e998backed Yes1c42,742$456 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$456.5329.4%3 W · 29 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick15cpaid-73.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x78e1…e49abacked Yes1c42,205$464 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$464.268433.3%28 W · 56 L+5.2wins+0.06per pick27cpaid+30.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x96ac…dc89backed Yes1c28,979$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$289.798913.5%12 W · 77 L-0.1wins0.00per pick14cpaid-26.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7f89…f309backed Yes1c28,325$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.6310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2568…ad68backed Yes1c27,705$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3004517.8%8 W · 37 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick21cpaid+35.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbf58…1deabacked Yes1c22,727$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25080%0 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Yes1c22,500$259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259.11,53649.1%754 W · 782 L+32.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe0c…04b6backed Yes1c20,000$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$238.28313.2%1 W · 30 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick9cpaid-94.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf21a…4a38backed Yes1c19,999$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.991855.6%10 W · 8 L+4.1wins+0.23per pick33cpaid+0.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xb763…cce5backed Yes1c19,303$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003327.3%9 W · 24 L+2.6wins+0.08per pick19cpaid-2.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x92b2…31c9backed Yes1c19,231$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2503312.1%4 W · 29 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick10cpaid-9.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4703…3ba6backed Yes1c18,182$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200634.8%3 W · 60 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick7cpaid+10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8e4a…58b2backed Yes1c18,182$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20030%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdedb…f657backed Yes1c18,000$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.89166.3%1 W · 15 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick3cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x098f…079abacked Yes1c17,500$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.51811.1%2 W · 16 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick15cpaid-78.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9648…5655backed Yes0c16,903$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.0430%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9aa7…e3d9backed Yes1c16,665$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.54968.3%8 W · 88 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick7cpaid+73.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x36b0…1a94backed Yes1c15,648$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18719324.4%47 W · 146 L+0.4wins0.00per pick24cpaid-12.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe79…530bbacked Yes1c15,518$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200214.8%1 W · 20 L-2.0wins-0.10per pick14cpaid+5.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3ea7…01d6backed Yes1c15,385$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200150%0 W · 15 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Yes1c15,222$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.5375729.3%222 W · 535 L-23.2wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-27.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb8e9…f1bcbacked Yes1c15,024$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2007115.5%11 W · 60 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick13cpaid+11.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9b1a…b258backed Yes1c14,835$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150229.1%2 W · 20 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick11cpaid-27%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4266…0e08backed Yes1c13,748$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.45917.7%7 W · 84 L-9.8wins-0.11per pick18cpaid-64.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xfd9b…e829backed Yes1c13,333$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150812.5%1 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick14cpaid-76.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb0af…bfd0backed Yes1c13,243$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.18806.3%5 W · 75 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick9cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x162a…74e0backed Yes1c13,077$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.29234.3%1 W · 22 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick5cpaid-45.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xcb11…9845backed Yes1c11,535$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.86785.1%4 W · 74 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick9cpaid-2.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9444…575fbacked Yes1c10,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100190%0 W · 19 L-1.5wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x28c2…bfe3backed Yes1c10,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008710.3%9 W · 78 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick13cpaid-58.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9cf0…8b2bbacked Yes1c10,000$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1101735.3%6 W · 11 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-22.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x04ae…b708backed Yes1c10,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10060%0 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d0d…a9c4backed Yes1c10,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005337.7%20 W · 33 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-19.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x78c1…473ebacked Yes1c9,552$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.7451315.6%80 W · 433 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick15cpaid-13.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbc34…b4a9backed Yes1c9,421$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.21616.7%1 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.12per pick4cpaid+282.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1963…dd0cbacked Yes1c9,101$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.1853920.6%111 W · 428 L-6.9wins-0.01per pick22cpaid-38.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9706…bc33backed Yes1c9,091$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10022626.5%60 W · 166 L+0.9wins0.00per pick26cpaid+3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xed32…df4abacked Yes1c9,020$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110636.3%4 W · 59 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick7cpaid-51.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f6f…d024backed Yes1c8,914$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.0177433.1%256 W · 518 L-0.9wins0.00per pick33cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c68…3517backed Yes1c8,790$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.6910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7c06…8d18backed Yes1c8,652$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100220%0 W · 22 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x46f8…68ccbacked Yes1c8,401$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.211,24043.7%542 W · 698 L+13.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaf96…5f84backed Yes1c8,333$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10050%0 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x41f7…c4e4backed Yes1c8,292$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.872722.7%165 W · 562 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick22cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x452c…d046backed Yes1c8,258$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003813.2%5 W · 33 L0.0wins0.00per pick13cpaid-9.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5971…bec3backed Yes1c8,246$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.84425%1 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick18cpaid-58.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5408…590fbacked Yes1c8,000$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$962133.3%7 W · 14 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick29cpaid-36.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5745…aa5ebacked Yes1c7,830$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005623.2%13 W · 43 L+3.1wins+0.06per pick18cpaid+42.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x268b…4890backed Yes1c7,653$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100424.8%2 W · 40 L+0.1wins0.00per pick4cpaid+12.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd606…353bbacked Yes1c7,458$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.2330%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x510c…74a9backed Yes1c7,146$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100425%1 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick16cpaid-20.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x671a…cf16backed Yes1c7,000$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$606266.7%42 W · 584 L-0.6wins0.00per pick7cpaid-23.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd056…f1bebacked Yes1c6,638$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.962147.6%10 W · 11 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f9b…8b23backed Yes0c6,606$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.274916.3%8 W · 41 L0.0wins0.00per pick16cpaid-57.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e8b…856ebacked Yes1c6,595$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick25cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d24…a93fbacked Yes1c6,040$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.5213538.5%52 W · 83 L+0.3wins0.00per pick38cpaid-9.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcd78…8b60backed Yes0c5,931$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20100%0 W · 10 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd357…888cbacked Yes1c5,667$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68345.9%2 W · 32 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick10cpaid-72.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3d35…55adbacked Yes1c5,473$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.734934.7%17 W · 32 L+0.2wins0.00per pick34cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb28a…8aafbacked Yes1c5,455$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$602010%2 W · 18 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick7cpaid+66.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8ea3…34edbacked Yes1c5,427$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.22728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick21cpaid-22.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2165…f598backed Yes1c5,110$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.9920724.6%51 W · 156 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick25cpaid+3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a40…d801backed Yes1c5,000$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50166.3%1 W · 15 L-1.4wins-0.09per pick15cpaid-87.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1fd7…07fcbacked Yes1c5,000$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50616.7%1 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.11per pick6cpaid+51.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc9ee…9a18backed Yes1c5,000$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50581.7%1 W · 57 L-3.0wins-0.05per pick7cpaid-86.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf2f5…3562backed Yes1c4,964$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.5340%0 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3ca4…50d4backed Yes0c4,931$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.63419.8%4 W · 37 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick13cpaid-68.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe93a…66cabacked Yes2c4,799$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10050%0 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0dc5…a303backed Yes1c4,667$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$569330.1%28 W · 65 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-23.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1150…1054backed Yes1c4,605$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5080%0 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x00e8…0039backed Yes1c4,583$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50806.3%5 W · 75 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick8cpaid-39.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x38d7…8ce0backed Yes1c4,545$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505032%16 W · 34 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-24.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaf07…ca84backed Yes1c4,545$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50329.4%3 W · 29 L-0.1wins0.00per pick10cpaid-12.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0714…765ebacked Yes1c4,545$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5050%0 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd31…1252backed Yes1c4,545$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5019411.9%23 W · 171 L-6.6wins-0.03per pick15cpaid-33.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2ea7…9d9abacked Yes1c4,500$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.522730.4%69 W · 158 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x359d…d7ebbacked Yes1c4,435$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4440%0 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d7f…54fbbacked Yes1c4,246$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504020%8 W · 32 L-3.7wins-0.09per pick29cpaid-58.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xafe8…42ccbacked Yes1c4,200$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.435621.9%78 W · 278 L+0.6wins0.00per pick22cpaid+1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6813…13c4backed Yes1c4,167$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50160%0 W · 16 L-1.3wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1918…06afbacked Yes1c4,167$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503718.9%7 W · 30 L-6.6wins-0.18per pick37cpaid-58.6%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x5626…80f0backed Yes1c4,167$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50621.6%1 W · 61 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick5cpaid-79.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2756…7737backed Yes1c4,080$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.45348.8%3 W · 31 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick3cpaid+724.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x69bf…ba44backed Yes1c4,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20520%1 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.16per pick4cpaid+110.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa05e…52c7backed Yes1c4,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204311.6%5 W · 38 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick8cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x21ab…b697backed Yes1c3,963$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.5640%0 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7043…f485backed Yes1c3,891$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.3830%0 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb721…24f0backed Yes1c3,846$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50229.1%2 W · 20 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick12cpaid-81.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb1fa…e1adbacked Yes1c3,818$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.972619.2%5 W · 21 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick20cpaid+32.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa335…e130backed Yes1c3,636$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40156.7%1 W · 14 L-2.4wins-0.16per pick22cpaid-89.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xbe8b…517cbacked Yes1c3,636$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4018614.5%27 W · 159 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick13cpaid-4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1425…6e0cbacked Yes1c3,636$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$407429.7%22 W · 52 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-42.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.