TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Exact Score: Spain 2 - 0 Argentina?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,662,463
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,244,059

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,662,463 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 600 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf742…e039backed Yes8c125,000$10,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,999.9926447.7%126 W · 138 L+9.8wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes8c115,896$9,272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,271.684,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc7e8…b560backed Yes0c101,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20013722.6%31 W · 106 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick21cpaid+23.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa61f…2500backed Yes0c100,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002817.9%5 W · 23 L0.0wins0.00per pick18cpaid-51%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd3e7…ea94backed Yes8c60,000$4,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,80013725.5%35 W · 102 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-32.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc357…e998backed Yes9c46,687$4,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,200329.4%3 W · 29 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick15cpaid-73.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7514…82d1backed Yes0c45,556$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9525127.1%68 W · 183 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick26cpaid-3.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes9c40,000$3,555 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,555.3427039.6%107 W · 163 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x78d3…f4d8backed Yes0c40,000$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4020%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfcc8…8b0bbacked Yes9c33,333$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0001118.2%2 W · 9 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick19cpaid-40.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x96ac…dc89backed Yes5c30,000$1,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4008913.5%12 W · 77 L-0.1wins0.00per pick14cpaid-26.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa2db…236fbacked Yes9c23,172$2,085 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,085.461010%1 W · 9 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick7cpaid-31.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x94a8…5204backed Yes9c22,222$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0007122.5%16 W · 55 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9441…98babacked Yes9c22,222$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0003520%7 W · 28 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick15cpaid+18.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xec8f…8df8backed Yes9c17,002$1,485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,485.4415746.5%73 W · 84 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6599…eb96backed Yes0c15,000$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1570%0 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x432a…5729backed Yes0c15,000$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1580%0 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes3c14,152$409 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$408.88,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4125…268bbacked Yes9c12,300$1,107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,106.994012.5%5 W · 35 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick9cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x745f…d40ebacked Yes0c11,872$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.8520%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea6b…7fb1backed Yes9c11,111$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00080%0 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x902f…7c20backed Yes9c11,111$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000520%1 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-39.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f7c…586abacked Yes9c11,111$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0001711.8%2 W · 15 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick7cpaid+27%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0ec9…8001backed Yes9c11,032$993 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$992.881811.1%2 W · 16 L-1.5wins-0.09per pick20cpaid-70.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3dfb…abafbacked Yes7c10,474$733 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$733.1542345.6%193 W · 230 L+10.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4dde…91b2backed Yes9c10,300$927 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$927520%1 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick20cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3b68…65c8backed Yes0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1080%0 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x86e9…4cdfbacked Yes9c9,953$896 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$895.7636247.2%171 W · 191 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked Yes9c9,667$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90065948.6%320 W · 339 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d1a…0df6backed Yes9c9,000$810 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8109839.8%39 W · 59 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-1.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf067…5c6dbacked Yes9c8,889$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80033915.9%54 W · 285 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick18cpaid-13.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4247…91c4backed Yes0c8,348$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.9451228.9%148 W · 364 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick28cpaid-16.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x90bf…3348backed Yes8c7,943$635 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$635.48567.1%4 W · 52 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick6cpaid-21.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb763…cce5backed Yes9c7,833$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7003327.3%9 W · 24 L+2.6wins+0.08per pick19cpaid-2.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yes8c6,034$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001,68620.6%347 W · 1,339 L-28.4wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-16.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x52c8…9b69backed Yes9c5,692$512 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$512.2847321.6%102 W · 371 L-2.2wins0.00per pick22cpaid-12.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b9c…8620backed Yes1c5,689$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.8933740.4%136 W · 201 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-24.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf945…1fb3backed Yes9c5,556$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001030%3 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick30cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x443a…ba14backed Yes9c5,556$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5006214.5%9 W · 53 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick12cpaid+26.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb85…8464backed Yes9c5,556$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5006240.3%25 W · 37 L+0.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7e78…3945backed Yes9c5,333$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48019529.7%58 W · 137 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-27.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe9f2…b4ebbacked Yes9c5,250$473 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$472.520725.6%53 W · 154 L+5.2wins+0.03per pick23cpaid-16.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5ad4…6866backed Yes9c5,250$473 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$472.58435.7%30 W · 54 L0.0wins0.00per pick36cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7c0f…9f39backed Yes8c5,250$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42011914.3%17 W · 102 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick13cpaid+18.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xef9f…8924backed Yes9c5,000$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4501197.6%9 W · 110 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick9cpaid-32.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd2d8…6e1fbacked Yes9c4,444$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40014531.7%46 W · 99 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick31cpaid+35%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1fce…a7c8backed Yes8c4,365$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3507032.9%23 W · 47 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6dd…7af9backed Yes9c4,000$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36014440.3%58 W · 86 L+6.2wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+11.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Yes8c3,599$304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303.8675729.3%222 W · 535 L-23.2wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-27.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe0c…04b6backed Yes9c3,500$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$315313.2%1 W · 30 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick9cpaid-94.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3bff…5c18backed Yes8c3,500$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28021429.4%63 W · 151 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a3a…f9c8backed Yes9c3,500$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31520816.3%34 W · 174 L-3.4wins-0.02per pick18cpaid-13.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd22…11ffbacked Yes8c3,479$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2946732.8%22 W · 45 L-6.4wins-0.10per pick42cpaid-25.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x597e…cd70backed Yes9c3,333$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3009943.4%43 W · 56 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-10.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3d01…4acdbacked Yes9c3,333$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300450%2 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+1.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9f3d…d65dbacked Yes9c3,332$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.8938817%66 W · 322 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick18cpaid-14.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Yes5c3,251$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.632,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x424d…3b7ebacked Yes9c3,032$273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$272.8511421.1%24 W · 90 L+6.4wins+0.06per pick15cpaid+32.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x662a…77b7backed Yes9c2,778$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25026618%48 W · 218 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick17cpaid-13.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5648…a6c4backed Yes9c2,547$229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.272078.2%17 W · 190 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick9cpaid-33%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa069…262ebacked Yes8c2,529$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213.733315.2%5 W · 28 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick19cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d24…a93fbacked Yes7c2,500$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17513538.5%52 W · 83 L+0.3wins0.00per pick38cpaid-9.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4edd…ddf1backed Yes3c2,480$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.427034.4%93 W · 177 L+14.4wins+0.05per pick29cpaid-3.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb08b…4b55backed Yes8c2,476$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.07156.7%1 W · 14 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick10cpaid-60.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x000c…bcf3backed Yes8c2,389$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.1329916.7%50 W · 249 L-6.3wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-53.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7572…ab0fbacked Yes8c2,375$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19050214.5%73 W · 429 L+2.3wins0.00per pick14cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa1a0…2746backed Yes9c2,375$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213.7519739.6%78 W · 119 L+0.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-15.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfbfc…92ffbacked Yes5c2,375$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.122825%7 W · 21 L+2.0wins+0.07per pick18cpaid+118.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb328…4447backed Yes9c2,299$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.944643.5%20 W · 26 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-4.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7735…4740backed Yes8c2,280$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.26729.2%62 W · 610 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick10cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf536…e40cbacked Yes9c2,222$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20015616%25 W · 131 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick14cpaid+11.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8284…86f0backed Yes9c2,222$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200254%1 W · 24 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick7cpaid-50%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f61…8687backed Yes9c2,222$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20013511.1%15 W · 120 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick13cpaid-17.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x694d…9aadbacked Yes9c2,222$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2004650%23 W · 23 L+3.2wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+11.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xaa02…b10abacked Yes9c2,222$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001910.5%2 W · 17 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick16cpaid-40.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x103e…f7b7backed Yes9c2,222$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20012811.7%15 W · 113 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick9cpaid+50.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f90…38e7backed Yes9c2,137$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.93414.7%5 W · 29 L-4.1wins-0.12per pick27cpaid-72.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf2a8…4d27backed Yes9c2,075$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.7612712.6%16 W · 111 L-5.6wins-0.04per pick17cpaid-57.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4f6f…d024backed Yes9c2,029$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.2377433.1%256 W · 518 L-0.9wins0.00per pick33cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a28…929fbacked Yes9c2,000$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1802227.3%6 W · 16 L0.0wins0.00per pick27cpaid-31%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed Yes8c1,933$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.671,31348.9%642 W · 671 L+12.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe24e…350cbacked Yes7c1,878$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13012529.6%37 W · 88 L+10.0wins+0.08per pick22cpaid+13.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x15a5…ad04backed Yes8c1,875$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150195.3%1 W · 18 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick6cpaid-34.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc0d2…3628backed Yes8c1,875$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150714.3%1 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick6cpaid+38.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5277…b271backed Yes9c1,833$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1655731.6%18 W · 39 L+4.4wins+0.08per pick24cpaid+24.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc423…03b9backed Yes9c1,793$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.3540912%49 W · 360 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick13cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd966…8136backed Yes6c1,770$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.334924.4%85 W · 264 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick23cpaid-13.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x83d9…10d9backed Yes8c1,690$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.231,39046.3%644 W · 746 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4740…fa66backed Yes9c1,667$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15020325.6%52 W · 151 L+0.5wins0.00per pick25cpaid-9.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1345…8f0bbacked Yes9c1,667$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15012514.4%18 W · 107 L+4.9wins+0.04per pick10cpaid+4.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2671…8de4backed Yes8c1,650$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13220013.5%27 W · 173 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick15cpaid-28.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x63ec…3b76backed Yes9c1,556$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1401729.4%5 W · 12 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick25cpaid+34.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x51d8…914abacked Yes9c1,556$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1401741.2%7 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick41cpaid-26%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x51ce…44c1backed Yes7c1,500$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1109839.8%39 W · 59 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd67b…5780backed Yes9c1,500$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1359017.8%16 W · 74 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick20cpaid-34.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e32…4e3ebacked Yes7c1,429$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10013527.4%37 W · 98 L+5.6wins+0.04per pick23cpaid+1.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x00e8…0039backed Yes7c1,429$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100806.3%5 W · 75 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick8cpaid-39.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb8e0…8721backed Yes7c1,429$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001118.2%2 W · 9 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick11cpaid+54%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c3b…737cbacked Yes7c1,429$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100911.1%1 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick12cpaid-64.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2220…1a0fbacked Yes7c1,429$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10019218.8%36 W · 156 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-24.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.