Fifa International · resolved market
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 2 Argentina?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9ad2c0508c39e972df09e92743de35a90555833d0377740b638058c6eaa56aec
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,963,842
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,085,971
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,963,842 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,064 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 5c | 472,727$23,339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,339.23 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x160d…6f25backed Yes | 5c | 151,583$7,579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,579.17 | 783 | 17.4%136 W · 647 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde0a…f102backed Yes | 5c | 140,000$7,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,100 | 564 | 10.5%59 W · 505 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcea…19c5backed Yes | 6c | 118,259$7,096 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,095.55 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 12cpaid | -88.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 6c | 108,700$6,172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,171.84 | 757 | 29.3%222 W · 535 L | -23.2wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec44…c92bbacked Yes | 5c | 100,000$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 85 | 21.2%18 W · 67 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87b9…2084backed Yes | 6c | 83,333$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -2.9wins | -0.13per pick | 32cpaid | -73.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd6db…2f0dbacked Yes | 5c | 69,895$3,495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,494.75 | 41 | 2.4%1 W · 40 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 8cpaid | -96.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f6a…fcadbacked Yes | 5c | 69,000$3,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,450 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf271…acf2backed Yes | 6c | 62,715$3,763 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,762.93 | 87 | 27.6%24 W · 63 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f62…d989backed Yes | 5c | 60,000$3,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,099.99 | 128 | 10.9%14 W · 114 L | -7.9wins | -0.06per pick | 17cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0914…9c93backed Yes | 4c | 51,104$1,969 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,968.83 | 53 | 22.6%12 W · 41 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 18cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7c…586abacked Yes | 6c | 40,833$2,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,350 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 7cpaid | +27%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f2a…4f77backed Yes | 1c | 38,091$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.15 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38fb…d07cbacked Yes | 6c | 33,333$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 18 | 0%0 W · 18 L | -3.0wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xda19…c13bbacked Yes | 6c | 33,333$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 23 | 13%3 W · 20 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 18cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 6c | 31,800$1,765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,765 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked Yes | 5c | 31,000$1,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,550 | 178 | 42.7%76 W · 102 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2165…f598backed Yes | 4c | 28,695$1,148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,147.8 | 207 | 24.6%51 W · 156 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67d3…0af2backed Yes | 1c | 27,000$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 62 | 12.9%8 W · 54 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52c8…9b69backed Yes | 6c | 26,740$1,604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,604.4 | 473 | 21.6%102 W · 371 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16a4…66adbacked Yes | 6c | 25,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 175 | 18.3%32 W · 143 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x945d…4c3dbacked Yes | 5c | 21,735$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 41 | 7.3%3 W · 38 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 12cpaid | -67.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf471…8778backed Yes | 5c | 20,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e5f…43dabacked Yes | 5c | 20,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 44 | 20.5%9 W · 35 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | +336.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf958…db13backed Yes | 5c | 20,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.99 | 32 | 21.9%7 W · 25 L | -4.8wins | -0.15per pick | 37cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc936…6029backed Yes | 5c | 18,401$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$920.07 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.40per pick | 35cpaid | +84.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x96ac…dc89backed Yes | 5c | 17,333$867 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$866.63 | 89 | 13.5%12 W · 77 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x633e…d305backed Yes | 5c | 16,766$888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$888.26 | 383 | 29.8%114 W · 269 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fd8…7749backed Yes | 6c | 16,667$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 160 | 41.3%66 W · 94 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86f6…8993backed Yes | 6c | 16,667$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad9f…17bcbacked Yes | 6c | 16,667$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ae1…378fbacked Yes | 6c | 16,667$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 189 | 29.1%55 W · 134 L | -9.4wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc155…a236backed Yes | 6c | 16,166$970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$969.94 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb75b…e377backed Yes | 4c | 15,000$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x935d…9404backed Yes | 5c | 12,835$670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$670 | 157 | 19.1%30 W · 127 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x929c…fe32backed Yes | 6c | 12,650$759 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$759 | 290 | 18.6%54 W · 236 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47d2…e940backed Yes | 5c | 12,500$625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$625 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedd4…c751backed Yes | 6c | 11,212$673 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$672.72 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27c3…18cfbacked Yes | 6c | 11,103$666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$666.17 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 7cpaid | +69.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94bb…1d45backed Yes | 5c | 10,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 70 | 55.7%39 W · 31 L | +8.0wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbb91…a3f4backed Yes | 5c | 10,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 78 | 39.7%31 W · 47 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x99d5…0178backed Yes | 5c | 10,000$477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$476.57 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ed4…e181backed Yes | 6c | 10,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 74 | 16.2%12 W · 62 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x817a…0266backed Yes | 5c | 10,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 29 | 10.3%3 W · 26 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad4…6866backed Yes | 6c | 10,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 84 | 35.7%30 W · 54 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4340…64c4backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6dd…7af9backed Yes | 5c | 10,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 144 | 40.3%58 W · 86 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked Yes | 1c | 9,879$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.88 | 753 | 35.6%268 W · 485 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x045c…7b25backed Yes | 6c | 9,867$592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$592 | 62 | 32.3%20 W · 42 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x760f…326abacked Yes | 6c | 9,833$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x000c…bcf3backed Yes | 6c | 9,816$589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$588.94 | 299 | 16.7%50 W · 249 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca4…50d4backed Yes | 0c | 9,767$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 41 | 9.8%4 W · 37 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 13cpaid | -68.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c46…ae13backed Yes | 5c | 9,755$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.75 | 92 | 35.9%33 W · 59 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc357…e998backed Yes | 5c | 9,638$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 32 | 9.4%3 W · 29 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 15cpaid | -73.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea7…9d9abacked Yes | 5c | 9,600$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 227 | 30.4%69 W · 158 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa553…789dbacked Yes | 5c | 9,456$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472.81 | 195 | 17.9%35 W · 160 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe927…a965backed Yes | 5c | 9,456$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472.81 | 33 | 0%0 W · 33 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ae…8eadbacked Yes | 5c | 8,901$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445.04 | 355 | 14.4%51 W · 304 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1468…2ca9backed Yes | 5c | 8,888$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444.4 | 91 | 18.7%17 W · 74 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -33%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09b2…1911backed Yes | 6c | 8,333$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 53 | 24.5%13 W · 40 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf093…44a6backed Yes | 6c | 8,333$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 19cpaid | -65%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68e3…109bbacked Yes | 6c | 8,333$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ea2…e8e5backed Yes | 6c | 8,333$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 12cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb8d…908ebacked Yes | 6c | 8,333$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 43 | 27.9%12 W · 31 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9254…3af8backed Yes | 6c | 8,333$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 172 | 11%19 W · 153 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb11e…857bbacked Yes | 6c | 8,333$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d4a…b3c5backed Yes | 6c | 8,283$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487 | 356 | 12.6%45 W · 311 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5415…2c97backed Yes | 4c | 8,273$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -63.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x363c…9b0ebacked Yes | 6c | 8,000$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 25 | 16%4 W · 21 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 24cpaid | -68.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…5513backed Yes | 1c | 8,000$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 38 | 15.8%6 W · 32 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 14cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a69…8caabacked Yes | 0c | 7,500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40a7…dcdebacked Yes | 0c | 7,454$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 73 | 5.5%4 W · 69 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 1cpaid | +212.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc468…3f67backed Yes | 5c | 7,000$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 116 | 16.4%19 W · 97 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 16cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0af…bfd0backed Yes | 2c | 6,738$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.81 | 80 | 6.3%5 W · 75 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18d4…69a9backed Yes | 6c | 6,667$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 251 | 24.7%62 W · 189 L | +14.5wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…ebb6backed Yes | 6c | 6,596$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.73 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 25cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56ea…992ebacked Yes | 8c | 6,455$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.74 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a3a…f9c8backed Yes | 6c | 6,348$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375 | 208 | 16.3%34 W · 174 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7749…06a7backed Yes | 6c | 6,333$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb11…9845backed Yes | 2c | 6,041$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.12 | 78 | 5.1%4 W · 74 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 9cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Yes | 5c | 6,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 791 | 49.2%389 W · 402 L | +28.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d3…b8debacked Yes | 6c | 6,000$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +3.4wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5802…0aedbacked Yes | 5c | 6,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 239 | 44.8%107 W · 132 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Yes | 0c | 5,859$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.15 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7391…5375backed Yes | 6c | 5,833$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 199 | 38.2%76 W · 123 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb080…6531backed Yes | 5c | 5,667$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7735…4740backed Yes | 6c | 5,650$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339 | 672 | 9.2%62 W · 610 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f9b…8b23backed Yes | 2c | 5,347$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.99 | 49 | 16.3%8 W · 41 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 16cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc67…f528backed Yes | 5c | 5,300$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265 | 31 | 19.4%6 W · 25 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 12cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce77…ac3dbacked Yes | 6c | 5,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f61…8687backed Yes | 5c | 5,000$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 135 | 11.1%15 W · 120 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d6f…4997backed Yes | 6c | 5,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 235 | 13.2%31 W · 204 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | +52%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef9f…8924backed Yes | 6c | 5,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 119 | 7.6%9 W · 110 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27f0…0cf1backed Yes | 6c | 5,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 115 | 5.2%6 W · 109 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x662b…73a8backed Yes | 6c | 5,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 272 | 36%98 W · 174 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeae1…6f10backed Yes | 6c | 5,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 39 | 20.5%8 W · 31 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe974…f815backed Yes | 5c | 5,000$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 31 | 6.5%2 W · 29 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4433…9d34backed Yes | 6c | 4,975$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.42 | 788 | 35.3%278 W · 510 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a1f…ce01backed Yes | 5c | 4,940$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247 | 74 | 5.4%4 W · 70 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 7cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Exact Score: Spain 2 - 2 Argentina?this page
- Exact Score: Any Other Score?No won
- Exact Score: Spain 0 - 0 Argentina?Yes won
- Exact Score: Spain 0 - 1 Argentina?No won
- Exact Score: Spain 0 - 2 Argentina?No won
- Exact Score: Spain 0 - 3 Argentina?No won
- Exact Score: Spain 1 - 0 Argentina?No won
- Exact Score: Spain 1 - 1 Argentina?No won
- Exact Score: Spain 1 - 2 Argentina?No won
- Exact Score: Spain 1 - 3 Argentina?No won
- Exact Score: Spain 2 - 0 Argentina?No won
- Exact Score: Spain 2 - 1 Argentina?No won
- Exact Score: Spain 2 - 3 Argentina?No won
- Exact Score: Spain 3 - 0 Argentina?No won
- Exact Score: Spain 3 - 1 Argentina?No won
- Exact Score: Spain 3 - 2 Argentina?No won
- Exact Score: Spain 3 - 3 Argentina?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.