TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Exact Score: Spain 2 - 2 Argentina?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$3,963,842
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$3,085,971

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,963,842 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,064 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe907…cff6backed Yes5c472,727$23,339 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23,339.238,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x160d…6f25backed Yes5c151,583$7,579 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,579.1778317.4%136 W · 647 L-0.1wins0.00per pick17cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde0a…f102backed Yes5c140,000$7,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,10056410.5%59 W · 505 L-1.5wins0.00per pick11cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfcea…19c5backed Yes6c118,259$7,096 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,095.55175.9%1 W · 16 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick12cpaid-88.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Yes6c108,700$6,172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,171.8475729.3%222 W · 535 L-23.2wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-27.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xec44…c92bbacked Yes5c100,000$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,0008521.2%18 W · 67 L+0.1wins0.00per pick21cpaid+13.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x87b9…2084backed Yes6c83,333$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,0002218.2%4 W · 18 L-2.9wins-0.13per pick32cpaid-73.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd6db…2f0dbacked Yes5c69,895$3,495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,494.75412.4%1 W · 40 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick8cpaid-96.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7f6a…fcadbacked Yes5c69,000$3,450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,45040%0 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf271…acf2backed Yes6c62,715$3,763 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,762.938727.6%24 W · 63 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick26cpaid-13.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5f62…d989backed Yes5c60,000$3,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,099.9912810.9%14 W · 114 L-7.9wins-0.06per pick17cpaid-39.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0914…9c93backed Yes4c51,104$1,969 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,968.835322.6%12 W · 41 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick18cpaid+27.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8f7c…586abacked Yes6c40,833$2,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,3501711.8%2 W · 15 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick7cpaid+27%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f2a…4f77backed Yes1c38,091$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$280.15944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick39cpaid-21.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x38fb…d07cbacked Yes6c33,333$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,000180%0 W · 18 L-3.0wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xda19…c13bbacked Yes6c33,333$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0002313%3 W · 20 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick18cpaid-45.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Yes6c31,800$1,765 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,7651,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked Yes5c31,000$1,550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,55017842.7%76 W · 102 L-0.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2165…f598backed Yes4c28,695$1,148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,147.820724.6%51 W · 156 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick25cpaid+3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67d3…0af2backed Yes1c27,000$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1506212.9%8 W · 54 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick16cpaid-22.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x52c8…9b69backed Yes6c26,740$1,604 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,604.447321.6%102 W · 371 L-2.2wins0.00per pick22cpaid-12.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x16a4…66adbacked Yes6c25,000$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50017518.3%32 W · 143 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick20cpaid-23.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x945d…4c3dbacked Yes5c21,735$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000417.3%3 W · 38 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick12cpaid-67.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf471…8778backed Yes5c20,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick40cpaid+1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e5f…43dabacked Yes5c20,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0004420.5%9 W · 35 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick22cpaid+336.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf958…db13backed Yes5c20,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.993221.9%7 W · 25 L-4.8wins-0.15per pick37cpaid-28.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc936…6029backed Yes5c18,401$920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$920.07475%3 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.40per pick35cpaid+84.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x96ac…dc89backed Yes5c17,333$867 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$866.638913.5%12 W · 77 L-0.1wins0.00per pick14cpaid-26.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x633e…d305backed Yes5c16,766$888 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$888.2638329.8%114 W · 269 L-9.5wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-23.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1fd8…7749backed Yes6c16,667$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00016041.3%66 W · 94 L+4.8wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x86f6…8993backed Yes6c16,667$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0002020%4 W · 16 L-2.1wins-0.10per pick30cpaid-50.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xad9f…17bcbacked Yes6c16,667$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0001816.7%3 W · 15 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick18cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ae1…378fbacked Yes6c16,667$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00018929.1%55 W · 134 L-9.4wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-26.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc155…a236backed Yes6c16,166$970 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$969.9420%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb75b…e377backed Yes4c15,000$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6504738.3%18 W · 29 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x935d…9404backed Yes5c12,835$670 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67015719.1%30 W · 127 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x929c…fe32backed Yes6c12,650$759 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75929018.6%54 W · 236 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick19cpaid-13.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x47d2…e940backed Yes5c12,500$625 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$625922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick23cpaid-41.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xedd4…c751backed Yes6c11,212$673 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$672.7220%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x27c3…18cfbacked Yes6c11,103$666 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$666.171216.7%2 W · 10 L+1.2wins+0.10per pick7cpaid+69.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x94bb…1d45backed Yes5c10,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5007055.7%39 W · 31 L+8.0wins+0.11per pick44cpaid+19.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xbb91…a3f4backed Yes5c10,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5007839.7%31 W · 47 L+4.9wins+0.06per pick33cpaid+13.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x99d5…0178backed Yes5c10,000$477 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$476.5730%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ed4…e181backed Yes6c10,000$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6007416.2%12 W · 62 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick20cpaid+20.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x817a…0266backed Yes5c10,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5002910.3%3 W · 26 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick9cpaid-18.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5ad4…6866backed Yes6c10,000$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6008435.7%30 W · 54 L0.0wins0.00per pick36cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4340…64c4backed Yes0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101010%1 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick10cpaid-72.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb6dd…7af9backed Yes5c10,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50014440.3%58 W · 86 L+6.2wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+11.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1a2f…647abacked Yes1c9,879$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.8875335.6%268 W · 485 L+0.3wins0.00per pick36cpaid-30.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x045c…7b25backed Yes6c9,867$592 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5926232.3%20 W · 42 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-11.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x760f…326abacked Yes6c9,833$590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5901747.1%8 W · 9 L+1.4wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+8.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x000c…bcf3backed Yes6c9,816$589 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$588.9429916.7%50 W · 249 L-6.3wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-53.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3ca4…50d4backed Yes0c9,767$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45419.8%4 W · 37 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick13cpaid-68.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8c46…ae13backed Yes5c9,755$488 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$487.759235.9%33 W · 59 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc357…e998backed Yes5c9,638$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500329.4%3 W · 29 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick15cpaid-73.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2ea7…9d9abacked Yes5c9,600$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48022730.4%69 W · 158 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa553…789dbacked Yes5c9,456$473 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$472.8119517.9%35 W · 160 L0.0wins0.00per pick18cpaid-35.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe927…a965backed Yes5c9,456$473 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$472.81330%0 W · 33 L-3.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd4ae…8eadbacked Yes5c8,901$445 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$445.0435514.4%51 W · 304 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick14cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1468…2ca9backed Yes5c8,888$444 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$444.49118.7%17 W · 74 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick22cpaid-33%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x09b2…1911backed Yes6c8,333$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5005324.5%13 W · 40 L-0.2wins0.00per pick25cpaid-23.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf093…44a6backed Yes6c8,333$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001612.5%2 W · 14 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick19cpaid-65%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x68e3…109bbacked Yes6c8,333$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5002623.1%6 W · 20 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick20cpaid+11.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3ea2…e8e5backed Yes6c8,333$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5002119%4 W · 17 L+1.5wins+0.07per pick12cpaid-26.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcb8d…908ebacked Yes6c8,333$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5004327.9%12 W · 31 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-7.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9254…3af8backed Yes6c8,333$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50017211%19 W · 153 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick13cpaid-14.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb11e…857bbacked Yes6c8,333$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001729.4%5 W · 12 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick28cpaid-33.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d4a…b3c5backed Yes6c8,283$487 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48735612.6%45 W · 311 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick11cpaid+16.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5415…2c97backed Yes4c8,273$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001118.2%2 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick26cpaid-63.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x363c…9b0ebacked Yes6c8,000$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4402516%4 W · 21 L-1.9wins-0.08per pick24cpaid-68.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd6ee…5513backed Yes1c8,000$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$593815.8%6 W · 32 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick14cpaid+13.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a69…8caabacked Yes0c7,500$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1520%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x40a7…dcdebacked Yes0c7,454$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16735.5%4 W · 69 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick1cpaid+212.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc468…3f67backed Yes5c7,000$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35011616.4%19 W · 97 L+0.2wins0.00per pick16cpaid-19.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb0af…bfd0backed Yes2c6,738$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.81806.3%5 W · 75 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick9cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x18d4…69a9backed Yes6c6,667$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40025124.7%62 W · 189 L+14.5wins+0.06per pick19cpaid+17.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdb27…ebb6backed Yes6c6,596$396 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$395.73933.3%3 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.09per pick25cpaid-28.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x56ea…992ebacked Yes8c6,455$496 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$495.742420.8%5 W · 19 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick18cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a3a…f9c8backed Yes6c6,348$375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37520816.3%34 W · 174 L-3.4wins-0.02per pick18cpaid-13.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7749…06a7backed Yes6c6,333$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38030%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb11…9845backed Yes2c6,041$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.12785.1%4 W · 74 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick9cpaid-2.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x14f3…0796backed Yes5c6,000$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30079149.2%389 W · 402 L+28.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+6.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe1d3…b8debacked Yes6c6,000$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3602850%14 W · 14 L+3.4wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+12.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5802…0aedbacked Yes5c6,000$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30023944.8%107 W · 132 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Yes0c5,859$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.152,63432.9%867 W · 1,767 L+43.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7391…5375backed Yes6c5,833$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35019938.2%76 W · 123 L-5.8wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-16.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb080…6531backed Yes5c5,667$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30080%0 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7735…4740backed Yes6c5,650$339 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3396729.2%62 W · 610 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick10cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f9b…8b23backed Yes2c5,347$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.994916.3%8 W · 41 L0.0wins0.00per pick16cpaid-57.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfc67…f528backed Yes5c5,300$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2653119.4%6 W · 25 L+2.3wins+0.08per pick12cpaid+17.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xce77…ac3dbacked Yes6c5,000$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001414.3%2 W · 12 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick12cpaid+7.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f61…8687backed Yes5c5,000$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25013511.1%15 W · 120 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick13cpaid-17.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d6f…4997backed Yes6c5,000$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30023513.2%31 W · 204 L+5.3wins+0.02per pick11cpaid+52%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xef9f…8924backed Yes6c5,000$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001197.6%9 W · 110 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick9cpaid-32.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x27f0…0cf1backed Yes6c5,000$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001155.2%6 W · 109 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick6cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x662b…73a8backed Yes6c5,000$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30027236%98 W · 174 L-6.4wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-15.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeae1…6f10backed Yes6c5,000$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3003920.5%8 W · 31 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick20cpaid-45.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe974…f815backed Yes5c5,000$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250316.5%2 W · 29 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick10cpaid-30.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4433…9d34backed Yes6c4,975$277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$277.4278835.3%278 W · 510 L+9.6wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-16.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9a1f…ce01backed Yes5c4,940$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247745.4%4 W · 70 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick7cpaid+19.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.