UFC · resolved market
UFC 330: Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado Garry (Welterweight, Main Card)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc04094452b0386a73a9a6e07da0370fffb2722e05c837a5246b88c914e78b79f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Islam Makhachevof Islam Makhachev, Ian Machado Garry
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,771,243
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,387,933
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,771,243 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 2,127 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in UFC | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf031…c80cbacked Ian Machado Garry | 26c | 1,134,679$295,017 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295,016.66 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.16per pick | 41cpaid | +66.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Ian Machado Garry | 24c | 398,177$94,289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94,288.82 | 130 | 39.2%51 W · 79 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f3c…6c2cbacked Islam Makhachev | 76c | 380,209$290,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90,209.39 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecff…38a9backed Islam Makhachev | 74c | 351,805$260,335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91,469.23 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb75…0252backed Islam Makhachev | 75c | 250,000$187,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62,500 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.25per pick | 63cpaid | +46.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2f…2ca8backed Ian Machado Garry | 25c | 231,995$57,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57,998.87 | 134 | 52.2%70 W · 64 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Islam Makhachev | 74c | 180,267$133,381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46,885.32 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f44…93c2backed Islam Makhachev | 77c | 172,272$132,568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39,703.68 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 78cpaid | -35%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0979…8d9bbacked Islam Makhachev | 74c | 150,749$111,554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39,194.7 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77da…024abacked Islam Makhachev | 77c | 143,001$110,111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32,890.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f0…5c25backed Ian Machado Garry | 24c | 121,658$29,323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,323.27 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x533c…2658backed Ian Machado Garry | 25c | 104,922$25,961 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,960.97 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 58cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Ian Machado Garry | 24c | 104,590$25,225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,225.15 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60cc…ff9bbacked Ian Machado Garry | 25c | 101,031$24,922 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,922.15 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ba7…00efbacked Ian Machado Garry | 24c | 100,627$24,138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,138.03 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa080…234fbacked Ian Machado Garry | 26c | 91,702$23,726 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,725.5 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Ian Machado Garry | 23c | 83,853$19,301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,301.32 | 202 | 48.5%98 W · 104 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1136…0c2ebacked Ian Machado Garry | 24c | 83,748$20,101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,101.48 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb85…152fbacked Ian Machado Garry | 27c | 74,074$20,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,000 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -14%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Ian Machado Garry | 24c | 68,244$16,208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,207.53 | 105 | 46.7%49 W · 56 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5257…3e2abacked Islam Makhachev | 74c | 67,660$50,245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,414.19 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86e7…613ebacked Islam Makhachev | 73c | 67,645$49,381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,264.04 | 134 | 53%71 W · 63 L | +7.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed Ian Machado Garry | 23c | 67,374$15,496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,496.09 | 81 | 40.7%33 W · 48 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd114…b5b3backed Islam Makhachev | 73c | 65,097$47,521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,576.22 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +48.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b6d…f95bbacked Ian Machado Garry | 25c | 62,649$15,725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,724.95 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -57.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Ian Machado Garry | 24c | 62,368$14,968 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,968.22 | 367 | 45.8%168 W · 199 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb13…37cdbacked Ian Machado Garry | 26c | 59,113$15,136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,136 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81a6…b93bbacked Islam Makhachev | 76c | 51,654$39,065 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,589.47 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Ian Machado Garry | 24c | 49,983$11,996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,995.92 | 49 | 32.7%16 W · 33 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49c8…3c52backed Ian Machado Garry | 25c | 49,183$12,293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,292.55 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.18per pick | 31cpaid | -73.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Islam Makhachev | 75c | 48,806$36,384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,421.66 | 138 | 36.2%50 W · 88 L | -7.8wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb31e…c120backed Islam Makhachev | 75c | 46,934$35,142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,792.11 | 156 | 41%64 W · 92 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea6b…7fb1backed Islam Makhachev | 69c | 45,544$31,641 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,902.29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076b…57afbacked Ian Machado Garry | 26c | 43,724$11,368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,368.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9561…d255backed Islam Makhachev | 76c | 43,546$33,095 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,451.09 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Ian Machado Garry | 17c | 40,427$6,769 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,768.77 | 155 | 37.4%58 W · 97 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa169…98a5backed Islam Makhachev | 75c | 39,312$29,486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,825.79 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb56d…d621backed Islam Makhachev | 74c | 35,209$26,055 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,154.34 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Islam Makhachev | 74c | 33,571$24,953 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,617.8 | 170 | 50.6%86 W · 84 L | +9.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca97…49f6backed Islam Makhachev | 74c | 32,169$23,805 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,363.93 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -3.0wins | -0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd27c…c081backed Islam Makhachev | 75c | 31,851$23,888 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,962.67 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -7.1wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Ian Machado Garry | 19c | 31,386$6,116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,115.8 | 331 | 32%106 W · 225 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd614…1fa3backed Ian Machado Garry | 21c | 31,111$6,655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,654.62 | 377 | 54.6%206 W · 171 L | +19.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed Islam Makhachev | 74c | 29,748$21,883 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,865.82 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e60…3badbacked Ian Machado Garry | 27c | 26,744$7,221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,220.84 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3642…757dbacked Islam Makhachev | 75c | 26,690$20,126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,563.59 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Ian Machado Garry | 21c | 25,125$5,236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,236.36 | 154 | 44.2%68 W · 86 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Islam Makhachev | 75c | 25,000$18,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,250 | 116 | 57.8%67 W · 49 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd34b…0004backed Ian Machado Garry | 23c | 24,000$5,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,559.99 | 117 | 61.5%72 W · 45 L | +7.9wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0f34…7684backed Islam Makhachev | 75c | 23,395$17,581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,814.07 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4b0…5760backed Islam Makhachev | 74c | 21,621$16,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,621.51 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0ae…a2e0backed Islam Makhachev | 73c | 20,599$15,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,599.49 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb272…5030backed Ian Machado Garry | 26c | 20,000$5,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,200 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30c1…9f91backed Ian Machado Garry | 26c | 20,000$5,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,200 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc14e…39a5backed Ian Machado Garry | 25c | 20,000$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,999.99 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…5e86backed Islam Makhachev | 73c | 20,000$14,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,399.87 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3c1…1ef7backed Ian Machado Garry | 24c | 19,988$4,827 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,827.34 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +163.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x597e…cd70backed Ian Machado Garry | 25c | 19,704$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +41.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53fb…7c30backed Islam Makhachev | 70c | 19,500$13,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,849.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x689f…259cbacked Islam Makhachev | 74c | 19,487$14,420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,066.54 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +117%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4948…c785backed Islam Makhachev | 76c | 19,118$14,530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,588.42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe524…d34fbacked Ian Machado Garry | 26c | 19,000$4,940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,940 | 115 | 54.8%63 W · 52 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe558…dcd2backed Islam Makhachev | 75c | 18,754$14,066 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,688.5 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a29…25a8backed Islam Makhachev | 75c | 18,750$14,063 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,687.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb78…5f5cbacked Islam Makhachev | 77c | 18,696$14,341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,355.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Ian Machado Garry | 23c | 18,024$4,152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,152.02 | 291 | 33.7%98 W · 193 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8002…8b6cbacked Islam Makhachev | 74c | 17,777$13,155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,622.02 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.8wins | -0.45per pick | 70cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1610…ae49backed Islam Makhachev | 75c | 17,212$12,909 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,303 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bfe…2d74backed Islam Makhachev | 74c | 17,212$12,737 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,475.12 | 61 | 72.1%44 W · 17 L | +4.2wins | +0.07per pick | 65cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5022…9b18backed Islam Makhachev | 76c | 16,871$12,822 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,048.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1756…4ff8backed Islam Makhachev | 74c | 16,018$11,853 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,164.57 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab82…abe5backed Ian Machado Garry | 27c | 15,165$4,095 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,094.62 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff80…9b4dbacked Islam Makhachev | 73c | 15,044$11,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,023.67 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c0…722ebacked Ian Machado Garry | 23c | 15,000$3,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,450 | 75 | 45.3%34 W · 41 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x160d…5295backed Islam Makhachev | 74c | 15,000$11,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,900 | 74 | 52.7%39 W · 35 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7517…0353backed Ian Machado Garry | 24c | 15,000$3,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,600 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91fe…cfd7backed Islam Makhachev | 74c | 14,723$10,895 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,828.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ce…02b2backed Ian Machado Garry | 25c | 14,604$3,639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,639.39 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 31cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50e4…1cedbacked Islam Makhachev | 77c | 14,379$11,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,328.93 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x264a…55d4backed Islam Makhachev | 71c | 14,379$10,190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,189.03 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb7…5d90backed Islam Makhachev | 76c | 14,296$10,865 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,431.11 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x184f…389ebacked Ian Machado Garry | 24c | 13,929$3,287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,286.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4795…0fb0backed Islam Makhachev | 74c | 13,340$9,872 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,468.4 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1917…e60cbacked Islam Makhachev | 76c | 13,316$10,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,195.93 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Ian Machado Garry | 18c | 13,179$2,331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,330.6 | 180 | 32.8%59 W · 121 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d92…8676backed Islam Makhachev | 77c | 13,067$10,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,946.89 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf400…2f56backed Islam Makhachev | 74c | 12,616$9,336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,280.1 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a3c…2db9backed Ian Machado Garry | 27c | 12,457$3,364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,363.52 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.15per pick | 25cpaid | +125%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbec3…374ebacked Islam Makhachev | 74c | 12,300$9,102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,197.93 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7414…72a3backed Islam Makhachev | 75c | 12,154$9,122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,031.61 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8853…c058backed Islam Makhachev | 76c | 12,000$9,090 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,909.99 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -17%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ca…d535backed Islam Makhachev | 74c | 11,995$8,876 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,118.59 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfed…9980backed Islam Makhachev | 76c | 11,792$8,962 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,830.09 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Ian Machado Garry | 24c | 11,776$2,826 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,826.23 | 288 | 49.7%143 W · 145 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86f4…bd70backed Ian Machado Garry | 27c | 11,681$3,154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,154 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e64…336dbacked Islam Makhachev | 75c | 11,245$8,459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,786.25 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2124…d9c3backed Islam Makhachev | 74c | 10,890$8,059 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,831.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x163e…dc5bbacked Ian Machado Garry | 28c | 10,300$2,927 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,926.78 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.25per pick | 35cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x300b…f636backed Islam Makhachev | 74c | 10,135$7,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,635.14 | 60 | 56.7%34 W · 26 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01e6…e7e0backed Islam Makhachev | 74c | 10,000$7,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,600 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- UFC 330: Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado Garry (Welterweight, Main Card)this page
- Fight to Go the Distance?Yes won
- O/U 0.5 RoundsOver won
- O/U 1.5 RoundsOver won
- O/U 2.5 RoundsOver won
- O/U 3.5 RoundsOver won
- O/U 4.5 RoundsOver won
- Will Ian Machado Garry win by KO or TKO?No won
- Will Islam Makhachev win by KO or TKO?No won
- Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?No won
- Will the fight be won by submission?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.