UFC · resolved market
Fight to Go the Distance?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8da912cf193c3dec09fd9b71aa09e99ad2caf8d0545d743dd70238e22e04f3e3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $247,714
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $250,108
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $247,714 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 203 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in UFC | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Yes | 55c | 153,008$83,802 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69,205.67 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60d0…2e36backed No | 45c | 41,099$18,483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,483.47 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked No | 46c | 40,000$18,556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,556.16 | 49 | 32.7%16 W · 33 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa080…234fbacked No | 44c | 30,000$13,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,200 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a2…ae70backed No | 47c | 25,922$12,068 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,067.51 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x719b…30e5backed Yes | 53c | 15,000$7,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,100 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +72.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5108…29cbbacked No | 48c | 9,271$4,419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,418.95 | 161 | 58.4%94 W · 67 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 39c | 8,614$3,339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,339.33 | 358 | 48.3%173 W · 185 L | +16.3wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c1c…7980backed Yes | 53c | 8,324$4,412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,912.11 | 61 | 32.8%20 W · 41 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c0…722ebacked Yes | 53c | 7,747$4,106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,641.02 | 75 | 45.3%34 W · 41 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes | 54c | 5,459$2,973 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,485.94 | 371 | 52.8%196 W · 175 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e41…5932backed No | 47c | 5,245$2,462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,462.21 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 67cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed No | 46c | 5,045$2,315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,315.36 | 274 | 48.2%132 W · 142 L | +12.7wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed No | 33c | 5,037$1,637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,636.94 | 180 | 32.8%59 W · 121 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15a6…bf5dbacked Yes | 50c | 3,894$1,930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,963.9 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70a6…a2ebbacked Yes | 54c | 3,811$2,043 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,768.13 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a3c…2db9backed No | 45c | 3,241$1,473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,472.7 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.15per pick | 25cpaid | +125%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Yes | 55c | 2,518$1,378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,139.47 | 83 | 53%44 W · 39 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x696a…e23abacked Yes | 50c | 2,462$1,225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,236.69 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | +2.8wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc0fd…a0a9backed Yes | 52c | 2,190$1,139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,051.2 | 42 | 33.3%14 W · 28 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83b8…c300backed No | 47c | 2,128$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.14per pick | 40cpaid | +75.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x587c…215dbacked No | 45c | 2,102$946 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$945.96 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e3…4d7ebacked No | 46c | 2,007$913 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$913.39 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 54c | 1,958$1,064 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$894.32 | 170 | 50.6%86 W · 84 L | +9.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6c43…fb9bbacked Yes | 52c | 1,904$982 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$921.84 | 64 | 56.3%36 W · 28 L | +7.2wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5a6d…52d3backed No | 47c | 1,763$822 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$822.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8aa…7b9bbacked No | 48c | 1,563$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbf7…afa8backed No | 47c | 1,541$726 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$725.64 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 44cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc581…0f24backed Yes | 54c | 1,500$810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c9c…91e9backed Yes | 54c | 1,477$794 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$682.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa083…19c9backed No | 45c | 1,438$647 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$647.2 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x206a…ea44backed No | 46c | 1,352$621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620.81 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.25per pick | 45cpaid | -67.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24db…50babacked No | 46c | 1,284$587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$586.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cd7…8904backed No | 50c | 1,184$592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$591.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a2d…d491backed No | 46c | 1,087$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b66…336abacked Yes | 55c | 1,087$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$486.8 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ede…e688backed No | 46c | 1,077$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 56c | 1,065$601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464.46 | 267 | 36%96 W · 171 L | -16.6wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc387…5a97backed No | 47c | 1,064$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7091…96f8backed Yes | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaec7…03efbacked Yes | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430.05 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0b…3790backed No | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05dd…e2afbacked No | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.25per pick | 65cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b7…60a4backed Yes | 54c | 999.98$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.99 | 325 | 45.2%147 W · 178 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bb8…6445backed No | 47c | 993.83$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Yes | 54c | 992.12$536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456.38 | 116 | 57.8%67 W · 49 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8879…7516backed Yes | 54c | 894.71$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.09 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +84.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2dfb…d384backed No | 46c | 869.57$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c2b…d581backed No | 49c | 862.48$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423.7 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked No | 14c | 766.91$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.8 | 225 | 48%108 W · 117 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a65…e883backed Yes | 76c | 740.21$566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.21 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.21per pick | 66cpaid | -35%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x733d…1ae7backed Yes | 57c | 739$418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.54 | 167 | 45.5%76 W · 91 L | -6.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8cfd…95c4backed Yes | 56c | 677.98$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.31 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 25cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ad5…0914backed No | 59c | 672.81$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.36 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.25per pick | 59cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32cb…a96bbacked Yes | 57c | 614.04$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c27…bdb0backed No | 46c | 603.17$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.19 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +3.4wins | +0.38per pick | 40cpaid | +121.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3452…1ba0backed No | 46c | 600$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff6…7c7bbacked No | 53c | 566.23$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +122.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Yes | 55c | 559$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.55 | 366 | 55.2%202 W · 164 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd4…d574backed No | 46c | 558.6$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4cb…cbfcbacked Yes | 50c | 548.97$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.22 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e7a…1eecbacked No | 46c | 540.01$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 298 | 48.7%145 W · 153 L | -10.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98e1…3241backed No | 47c | 531.91$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d68…8239backed Yes | 55c | 529.11$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.11 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +80.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked No | 47c | 518.38$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.64 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x20dd…f6acbacked No | 50c | 516.2$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258 | 318 | 55%175 W · 143 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…884ebacked No | 11c | 500$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.92 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | +5.2wins | +0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x64de…25a1backed Yes | 61c | 459.92$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.34 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ebb…2b75backed Yes | 55c | 446.41$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.89 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +5.5wins | +0.16per pick | 45cpaid | +63.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xadb7…1747backed No | 45c | 440.99$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb47f…d792backed Yes | 56c | 429.92$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.16 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked No | 21c | 420.73$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.21 | 155 | 37.4%58 W · 97 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 43c | 411.17$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.38 | 383 | 53.3%204 W · 179 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6449…e1d4backed Yes | 55c | 394.26$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.63 | 22 | 77.3%17 W · 5 L | +2.3wins | +0.10per pick | 67cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed No | 43c | 381.56$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.07 | 120 | 48.3%58 W · 62 L | +5.9wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde45…8597backed No | 50c | 367.48$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.64 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +24%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d3e…986cbacked Yes | 54c | 350$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +3.1wins | +0.20per pick | 60cpaid | +40.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2075…0c4fbacked No | 48c | 341.79$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbffa…f32ebacked No | 45c | 332.99$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.85 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf031…c80cbacked No | 43c | 327.65$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.89 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.16per pick | 41cpaid | +66.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x34c8…c648backed Yes | 54c | 300$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138 | 62 | 38.7%24 W · 38 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f99…db70backed No | 49c | 284.8$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88f0…28a7backed No | 47c | 280.9$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.96 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.29per pick | 57cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfdbf…cd24backed No | 46c | 240$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb90…1917backed Yes | 44c | 230$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.8 | 115 | 40.9%47 W · 68 L | -10.2wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1b78…e589backed No | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65ce…daf9backed No | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe814…be87backed No | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x656a…6077backed Yes | 52c | 210.76$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.16 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.22per pick | 51cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x21f0…a530backed No | 46c | 209.91$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5df…0f22backed Yes | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c75…227fbacked Yes | 55c | 198.27$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.27 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e56…57bfbacked No | 47c | 193.64$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7353…b476backed No | 44c | 190.91$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a65…a3debacked No | 44c | 190.83$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.97 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +53.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xac1a…497abacked Yes | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7854…52f4backed Yes | 55c | 181.63$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.62 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8feb…63fcbacked No | 47c | 166.93$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.46 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -53%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5379…2ed4backed No | 46c | 166.26$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.48 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde6f…4446backed No | 50c | 160.91$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Fight to Go the Distance?this page
- O/U 0.5 RoundsOver won
- O/U 1.5 RoundsOver won
- O/U 2.5 RoundsOver won
- O/U 3.5 RoundsOver won
- O/U 4.5 RoundsOver won
- UFC 330: Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado Garry (Welterweight, Main Card)Islam Makhachev won
- Will Ian Machado Garry win by KO or TKO?No won
- Will Islam Makhachev win by KO or TKO?No won
- Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?No won
- Will the fight be won by submission?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.