TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

World Politics · resolved market

Will the JNE certify results of the second round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections by July 15?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$34,344
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$34,675

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,344 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 130 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in World Politics
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc8ab…6418backed Yes60c1,401$840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$561.3554934.6%190 W · 359 L-37.0wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-27.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb766…1d83backed No29c1,300$381 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$381.384139%16 W · 25 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick34cpaid+25.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x63eb…d3a6backed Yes54c1,159$630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$528.73728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick23cpaid-38%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1ee9…197fbacked No27c1,155$314 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$313.8416746.1%77 W · 90 L+11.1wins+0.07per pick39cpaid-4.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6b60…9c7ebacked Yes62c1,082$668 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$413.81947.4%9 W · 10 L+1.8wins+0.09per pick38cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa58d…b9b8backed No44c794.49$352 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351.5945723.2%106 W · 351 L-15.8wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-35%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7bec…3fe8backed Yes64c778.06$495 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$283.06757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.17per pick40cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x168f…9e00backed No48c596.3$287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$287.0110634.9%37 W · 69 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe41…9f23backed No43c500$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2158142%34 W · 47 L-3.9wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-15%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb1ca…1705backed No52c450$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234.57129.6%21 W · 50 L-4.1wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-48.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9da9…ec6fbacked No41c426.89$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.581338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.6wins-0.12per pick51cpaid-37.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdf0e…c02bbacked No41c421$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.385036%18 W · 32 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x758b…0a1cbacked No37c415.94$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.748643%37 W · 49 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7495…7fcfbacked No19c384.92$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.4919315.5%30 W · 163 L-5.3wins-0.03per pick18cpaid-20.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x29d3…b2edbacked Yes56c362.59$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.542944.8%13 W · 16 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+17.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5c0a…a2c3backed No48c295$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.618445.7%84 W · 100 L-6.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-11%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x11f8…1c4ebacked Yes51c294$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.372937.9%11 W · 18 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-33.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9495…468fbacked No41c264$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.4110734.6%37 W · 70 L-4.6wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-23.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc602…7fc1backed No16c252.04$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.931635.1%111 W · 205 L-11.1wins-0.04per pick39cpaid+6.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4435…786fbacked Yes57c225$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$978743.7%38 W · 49 L-6.5wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-26%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x39b2…ef46backed No41c215$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.1530%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xde26…9295backed Yes55c214.67$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.74250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.19per pick31cpaid-9.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x655c…1a00backed Yes59c210$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.15446.3%25 W · 29 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-11%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5fa4…cd4ebacked No30c200$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.18per pick47cpaid-61.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4a28…d58bbacked Yes53c188.68$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.681421.4%3 W · 11 L-3.1wins-0.22per pick44cpaid-65%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0c47…37e8backed No15c175.32$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.76250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick18cpaid+141.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc662…0927backed No45c173.81$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.528959.6%53 W · 36 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xead3…b125backed Yes59c171.82$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.45683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.18per pick65cpaid+21.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x508d…791abacked Yes58c160$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.24355.8%24 W · 19 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2712…eb71backed No31c150.52$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.012138.1%8 W · 13 L-1.7wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-39%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes64c148.19$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.671,31843.9%579 W · 739 L-26.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-13%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd482…355dbacked No39c140$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.25728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.18per pick46cpaid-56.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7ac8…77cdbacked Yes55c130$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.6530233.8%102 W · 200 L+19.2wins+0.06per pick27cpaid+27.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5968…3fc4backed No52c128$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.1911344.2%50 W · 63 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-18.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7437…6e31backed Yes56c120$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.8366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.24per pick43cpaid+9.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ad4…fa20backed No40c120$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$484250%21 W · 21 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+16.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2277…6604backed No40c114.24$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.71931.6%6 W · 13 L-1.7wins-0.09per pick40cpaid-47.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Yes41c103$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.7752850.8%268 W · 260 L+20.9wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-11.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd7d4…6663backed Yes65c100$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-23.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x09b4…494bbacked Yes61c100$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.10per pick57cpaid-0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeaa9…1737backed Yes58c96$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.3210243.1%44 W · 58 L-6.1wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-17.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4e4f…a849backed No22c94.3$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.8830%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xad99…dbabbacked No33c90.55$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.291250%6 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+0.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaa81…aaf7backed No27c89.43$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.845337.7%20 W · 33 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-27.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x60a8…7d37backed No32c88.65$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.372157.1%12 W · 9 L+2.4wins+0.11per pick46cpaid+4.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2d48…678cbacked No35c86.35$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.32714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.23per pick37cpaid-81.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3373…3716backed Yes56c86.06$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.873237.5%12 W · 20 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-14.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x05f7…b680backed Yes59c70.51$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.91250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-15.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x6f67…102cbacked No44c68.84$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.9946330.2%140 W · 323 L-20.4wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-19%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0f99…6734backed Yes58c68$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.566944.9%31 W · 38 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-17.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x43d0…9617backed Yes59c67.79$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.793100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+50.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6b17…03b2backed No34c63.94$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.726914.5%10 W · 59 L-6.9wins-0.10per pick24cpaid-59.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9cb3…1367backed Yes65c63$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.1911647.4%55 W · 61 L+5.6wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+2.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yes41c61.96$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.5656314.6%82 W · 481 L-39.3wins-0.07per pick22cpaid-46.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x3d60…6df2backed No31c60$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.63278.1%25 W · 7 L+5.7wins+0.18per pick60cpaid+32.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x9eda…6e19backed Yes65c60$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215855.2%32 W · 26 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-11.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe457…5ab3backed No46c54.49$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.8310542.9%45 W · 60 L-4.7wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-20.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x03e1…e180backed No31c54.2$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.83537.1%13 W · 22 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-16.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc243…5e94backed Yes61c53$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.676850%34 W · 34 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xed3a…3047backed Yes57c50.56$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.52540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-21.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe1a9…339ebacked No30c50$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152425%6 W · 18 L0.0wins0.00per pick25cpaid+4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfc92…27c9backed Yes53c50$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.57450%37 W · 37 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-11.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x84c3…35d4backed No34c50$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.885853.4%31 W · 27 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb9f3…d6ddbacked No57c50$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.520%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x650a…43b7backed No46c48$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.0810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa20b…390bbacked No50c47.85$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.072045%9 W · 11 L-3.0wins-0.15per pick60cpaid-31.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x610e…b852backed No42c47.48$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.04425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf3ac…f23dbacked Yes54c45.45$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.877742.9%33 W · 44 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-14.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e1f…8fdebacked No41c45$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.4511230.4%34 W · 78 L-0.4wins0.00per pick31cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc66b…02aabacked No26c44.29$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.52333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-55%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb31b…b140backed Yes59c44$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.878838.6%34 W · 54 L-9.2wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-33%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb3b2…da22backed No33c44$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.641643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-26%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a2c…64f0backed No47c42.71$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.931747.1%8 W · 9 L-1.9wins-0.11per pick58cpaid-28.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf48c…8ec6backed No49c42$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.58119.1%1 W · 10 L-2.7wins-0.24per pick34cpaid-59.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xfbf3…b38abacked No49c42$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.58911.1%1 W · 8 L-2.4wins-0.26per pick37cpaid-81.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x57a8…2fffbacked No49c42$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.58128.3%1 W · 11 L-3.9wins-0.33per pick41cpaid-87.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x1bb0…2b36backed No49c42$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.581010%1 W · 9 L-2.6wins-0.26per pick36cpaid-68.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xbbf0…9180backed No49c42$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.58100%0 W · 10 L-3.4wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x83fa…d3fbbacked No49c42$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.58128.3%1 W · 11 L-3.0wins-0.25per pick34cpaid-74%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1585…025abacked No49c42$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.581315.4%2 W · 11 L-2.5wins-0.19per pick34cpaid-71.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa552…3306backed No49c42$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.5870%0 W · 7 L-2.5wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa74b…3241backed No49c42$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.5870%0 W · 7 L-2.5wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe518…f0fcbacked No49c42$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.5890%0 W · 9 L-3.1wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x3c3e…5a86backed No48c41.66$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20825%2 W · 6 L-2.9wins-0.36per pick61cpaid-62.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xba89…d976backed Yes57c40$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe086…0450backed Yes59c40$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.413348.1%64 W · 69 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-8.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x983a…ca05backed Yes47c40$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.41250%6 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-19.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb451…467bbacked No38c39.99$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.2616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.20per pick37cpaid-59%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf4e9…bf77backed No25c39.65$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.08560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick57cpaid-16.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x93fb…6fb2backed Yes54c36.37$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.731100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x58ce…57c4backed No38c35$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.33336.4%12 W · 21 L-3.1wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-44.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8a03…cf2dbacked No40c35$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8470…2cedbacked Yes59c33.78$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.781100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+68.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9f44…7470backed Yes56c30.43$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.241414.3%2 W · 12 L-3.4wins-0.24per pick39cpaid-73.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x7e64…c43ebacked Yes67c29.85$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.851100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e9d…f798backed Yes63c27.69$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.141100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+57.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xac83…ec4cbacked Yes73c27.23$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.23333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-54.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb090…7085backed Yes59c25$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.251100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf82a…7c35backed No46c25$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.58540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-35.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f56…09aabacked No48c25$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.