World Politics · resolved market
Will the JNE certify results of the second round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections by June 30?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1a3669baa93c63d16c56f7c97327d6369f7fba1a74ed8c969a036e357cacb46d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,331
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,046
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,331 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed Yes | 18c | 4,654$825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$824.83 | 457 | 23.2%106 W · 351 L | -15.8wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -35%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce78…4bccbacked Yes | 3c | 1,527$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.64 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d00…2eefbacked Yes | 10c | 1,243$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.24 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d5…8935backed No | 73c | 1,196$875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.09 | 101 | 51.5%52 W · 49 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ee9…197fbacked No | 73c | 1,110$815 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.87 | 167 | 46.1%77 W · 90 L | +11.1wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8aab…1323backed Yes | 33c | 408$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.76 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Yes | 18c | 371.52$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.15 | 168 | 34.5%58 W · 110 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…9cbebacked Yes | 5c | 367$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.23 | 167 | 6.6%11 W · 156 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 7cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38a8…865abacked Yes | 14c | 344$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.4 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x384c…2688backed Yes | 15c | 333.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -70.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed Yes | 19c | 309.87$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.2 | 316 | 35.1%111 W · 205 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e7d…ca41backed No | 80c | 300$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a53…7a6fbacked Yes | 30c | 300$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 55 | 34.5%19 W · 36 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09b4…494bbacked Yes | 16c | 300$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Yes | 24c | 299.2$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.22 | 69 | 14.5%10 W · 59 L | -6.9wins | -0.10per pick | 24cpaid | -59.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x38c7…806ebacked Yes | 15c | 270$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.7 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19c3…af1dbacked Yes | 16c | 252.29$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.37 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe41…9f23backed Yes | 9c | 250$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 81 | 42%34 W · 47 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf524…8178backed Yes | 4c | 239.84$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.29 | 132 | 25%33 W · 99 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeaea…1d63backed Yes | 16c | 219.53$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc243…5e94backed Yes | 22c | 194.76$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.28 | 68 | 50%34 W · 34 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2277…6604backed Yes | 10c | 168.76$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.88 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa81…aaf7backed Yes | 16c | 163.62$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.2 | 53 | 37.7%20 W · 33 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf0e…c02bbacked Yes | 16c | 154$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.64 | 50 | 36%18 W · 32 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2c8…c674backed No | 80c | 140$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac83…ec4cbacked Yes | 15c | 136.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf48c…8ec6backed Yes | 28c | 126$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.7 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -2.7wins | -0.24per pick | 34cpaid | -59.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 41c | 123$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.57 | 528 | 50.8%268 W · 260 L | +20.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x34db…2e01backed Yes | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0bfb…26a7backed No | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2131…7325backed Yes | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b60…9c7ebacked Yes | 17c | 99.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b3d…b7f1backed Yes | 16c | 94$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.04 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -2.5wins | -0.21per pick | 38cpaid | -64.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed Yes | 15c | 93.45$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.46 | 990 | 17.2%170 W · 820 L | -148.8wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x758b…0a1cbacked Yes | 15c | 92.3$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.63 | 86 | 43%37 W · 49 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2af1…6b27backed Yes | 25c | 88$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.73 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…b38abacked Yes | 26c | 84$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.42 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.26per pick | 37cpaid | -81.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…2fffbacked Yes | 26c | 84$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.42 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -3.9wins | -0.33per pick | 41cpaid | -87.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1bb0…2b36backed Yes | 26c | 84$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.42 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -2.6wins | -0.26per pick | 36cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbbf0…9180backed Yes | 26c | 84$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.42 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -3.4wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x83fa…d3fbbacked Yes | 26c | 84$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.42 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -3.0wins | -0.25per pick | 34cpaid | -74%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe518…f0fcbacked Yes | 26c | 84$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.42 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -3.1wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x03e1…e180backed No | 79c | 73.58$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.45 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a6…5bdfbacked Yes | 21c | 70$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdf3…7cc3backed Yes | 24c | 62$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.88 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8444…1cf9backed No | 79c | 60$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.9 | 81 | 42%34 W · 47 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9eda…6e19backed No | 79c | 60$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 58 | 55.2%32 W · 26 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6574…3230backed No | 79c | 50.63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc92…27c9backed Yes | 26c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 34c | 42.52$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.46 | 563 | 14.6%82 W · 481 L | -39.3wins | -0.07per pick | 22cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa74b…3241backed Yes | 34c | 42$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.28 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -2.5wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4be2…9baebacked Yes | 24c | 40.84$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa66c…8460backed No | 79c | 40$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa4…cd4ebacked No | 74c | 39.84$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.36 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.18per pick | 47cpaid | -61.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 30c | 34$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 1,431 | 10.1%145 W · 1,286 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60a8…7d37backed No | 77c | 32.47$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.47 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa99a…cdd1backed No | 73c | 24$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d91…f592backed No | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -22%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc71b…e265backed No | 78c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.46 | 220 | 29.5%65 W · 155 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb073…54fbbacked No | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.15per pick | 65cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc662…0927backed No | 72c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 89 | 59.6%53 W · 36 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cff…6fbdbacked No | 71c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.9 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd700…a2fbbacked No | 78c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 66cpaid | +58.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7a…9be0backed No | 79c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1ca…1705backed No | 74c | 15.32$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.98 | 71 | 29.6%21 W · 50 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the JNE certify results of the second round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections by June 30?this page
- Will the JNE certify results of the second round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections by July 15?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.