World Politics · resolved market
Labour leadership election scheduled by June 30?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6bc2c22c0200475f44030c497e48617311d87c299d8c65d039897a912ebc05b2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $116,606
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $99,145
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $116,606 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 135 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe907…cff6backed No | 0c | 13,287$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.57 | 82 | 36.6%30 W · 52 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f92…2c2dbacked No | 16c | 6,924$1,097 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,096.83 | 15 | 0%0 W · 15 L | -2.7wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf6d2…7048backed No | 4c | 4,403$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.99 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | +2.3wins | +0.11per pick | 9cpaid | +93.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3bb9…f08bbacked No | 62c | 3,877$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,400.16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd217…b3f3backed No | 11c | 3,824$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.61 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -23%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 4c | 3,750$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.95 | 884 | 48.5%429 W · 455 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed No | 1c | 3,115$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.27 | 169 | 1.8%3 W · 166 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 6c | 2,457$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.81 | 1,431 | 10.1%145 W · 1,286 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked No | 9c | 2,248$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.88 | 173 | 30.1%52 W · 121 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…bd17backed No | 19c | 2,220$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429.59 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe605…ac5fbacked No | 3c | 2,208$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.06 | 67 | 41.8%28 W · 39 L | +8.1wins | +0.12per pick | 30cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked No | 16c | 2,051$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.58 | 193 | 15.5%30 W · 163 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc66b…02aabacked No | 5c | 1,711$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.56 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -55%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e9b…a0ecbacked Yes | 70c | 1,420$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.76 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf063…9ccbbacked No | 5c | 1,176$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…8f6bbacked Yes | 22c | 1,053$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$824.24 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 17cpaid | +47.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1104…002abacked Yes | 55c | 1,039$567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$472.63 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 5c | 1,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 549 | 34.6%190 W · 359 L | -37.0wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d61…1fa7backed No | 9c | 1,000$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f46…2cd1backed No | 76c | 917.42$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$699.68 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed No | 18c | 895.5$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.57 | 51 | 17.6%9 W · 42 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked No | 4c | 836.86$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.01 | 254 | 3.5%9 W · 245 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bae…5d34backed Yes | 32c | 600$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.53 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11f8…1c4ebacked No | 15c | 543.44$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.69 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf7…fbeabacked Yes | 60c | 535.31$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.54 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea4c…9f3bbacked No | 10c | 510$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.25 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 37cpaid | +46%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54f0…8a13backed No | 3c | 479.23$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked No | 20c | 424.78$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.21 | 266 | 32.7%87 W · 179 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd0…67b0backed Yes | 64c | 418.88$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.09 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked No | 28c | 384.49$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.6 | 274 | 38.3%105 W · 169 L | -32.3wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9578…f066backed Yes | 71c | 370.67$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.42 | 86 | 57%49 W · 37 L | +6.4wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac4…4f44backed No | 3c | 350.96$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.66 | 53 | 7.5%4 W · 49 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 3cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0711…f03cbacked Yes | 48c | 341.58$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.13 | 93 | 28%26 W · 67 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed Yes | 40c | 337$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.2 | 150 | 14%21 W · 129 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefdd…8370backed No | 34c | 304.38$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.24 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -42%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f48…e69bbacked No | 27c | 284.85$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.96 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae99…fabdbacked No | 28c | 282.89$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e1f…8fdebacked No | 16c | 254.89$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.73 | 112 | 30.4%34 W · 78 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75d1…7a5fbacked Yes | 45c | 251.47$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.33 | 156 | 50%78 W · 78 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2782…a28abacked No | 5c | 248.65$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.54 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c3a…a60fbacked No | 8c | 247.15$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5711…5853backed No | 44c | 228$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.32 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc4a…a99cbacked No | 66c | 226.42$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.93 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe29a…c56fbacked No | 50c | 220$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.9 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30a0…a458backed No | 56c | 207.24$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.62 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +8.0wins | +0.20per pick | 33cpaid | +105%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x0cbb…b9d1backed Yes | 79c | 200$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.22per pick | 55cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf030…27bfbacked No | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 11cpaid | +83.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1e8…193fbacked No | 32c | 200$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ed0…8230backed No | 20c | 200$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8674…0d1ebacked No | 17c | 200$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60a8…7d37backed No | 7c | 193.67$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.24 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe086…0450backed No | 60c | 185$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 133 | 48.1%64 W · 69 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b8…4bdfbacked No | 12c | 180.35$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.13 | 47 | 21.3%10 W · 37 L | +4.4wins | +0.09per pick | 12cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf769…0114backed Yes | 44c | 176$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.96 | 53 | 30.2%16 W · 37 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4651…2943backed No | 17c | 175.85$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fbc…796fbacked No | 8c | 156.25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2a…3706backed No | 47c | 150.01$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.01 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x89a8…2b17backed No | 7c | 150$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.35 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b26…cf9abacked No | 46c | 149.04$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcad4…242cbacked Yes | 27c | 148.88$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.88 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 17cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bef…f04ebacked Yes | 25c | 135.49$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.26 | 49 | 22.4%11 W · 38 L | +4.7wins | +0.10per pick | 13cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b8…bb8dbacked No | 9c | 122.22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23cb…0357backed No | 72c | 120.48$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.54 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac2…99bfbacked Yes | 51c | 114.11$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.45 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a5a…3427backed Yes | 36c | 110.01$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.4 | 81 | 43.2%35 W · 46 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed No | 17c | 108.5$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.64 | 241 | 10.8%26 W · 215 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -34%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 19c | 105.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.14 | 394 | 14%55 W · 339 L | -71.9wins | -0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -73.1%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x095b…8a05backed No | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -2.9wins | -0.16per pick | 44cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x823e…fc4fbacked Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +68%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3437…2147backed No | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fdf…8573backed Yes | 44c | 93.29$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.51 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dc5…89a3backed No | 12c | 92.63$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce08…28bdbacked No | 31c | 91.7$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.63 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.17per pick | 38cpaid | +54.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7257…fc40backed No | 40c | 83.95$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.69 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -2.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f08…54d3backed No | 52c | 82.55$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.93 | 85 | 52.9%45 W · 40 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2712…eb71backed No | 62c | 80.85$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -39%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x671a…b8f1backed Yes | 43c | 78.89$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.97 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x252c…d5b4backed No | 43c | 77.05$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.06 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.26per pick | 43cpaid | -69.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd8c1…16c0backed Yes | 54c | 73.55$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.55 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39f4…df6abacked Yes | 56c | 72.91$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.08 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb760…ccd7backed Yes | 49c | 70.08$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.04 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b2…3caabacked No | 53c | 69.04$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.54 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | -3.8wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf28f…841abacked Yes | 79c | 66.99$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.24 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +59.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1790…6fd2backed No | 55c | 65.71$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4916…f56fbacked No | 60c | 63.14$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.66 | 110 | 45.5%50 W · 60 L | -6.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 26c | 60$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.4 | 1,022 | 28%286 W · 736 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c5a…aabebacked Yes | 74c | 60$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +90.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a9…339ebacked No | 27c | 60$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf710…edc9backed Yes | 32c | 55.5$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.8 | 60 | 31.7%19 W · 41 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9eda…6e19backed No | 60c | 54.31$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.59 | 58 | 55.2%32 W · 26 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9521…9e2bbacked No | 75c | 53.33$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -38%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Yes | 25c | 53.33$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 102 | 61.8%63 W · 39 L | +13.2wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6ad8…dbebbacked No | 31c | 52$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x758b…0a1cbacked Yes | 75c | 50.44$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.74 | 86 | 43%37 W · 49 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…1367backed Yes | 77c | 50.44$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.83 | 116 | 47.4%55 W · 61 L | +5.6wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x489a…fff2backed No | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.9 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa095…6040backed Yes | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +11.7wins | +0.39per pick | 21cpaid | +236.6%equal weight | 74+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x0855…ae26backed No | 54c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.23per pick | 63cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb651…2089backed No | 46c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +18%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24e7…1785backed Yes | 33c | 50$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.67per pick | 33cpaid | +203%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Labour leadership election scheduled by June 30?this page
- Labour leadership election scheduled by December 31, 2026?Yes won
- Labour leadership election scheduled by July 31?Yes won
- Labour leadership election scheduled by March 31?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.