TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x1790…6fd2

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
125
Categories scored
20
Categories below 50
12

Best Category: Golf, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Golf at 56 out of 100; worst Macro Indicators at 40.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Weather Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT4334.9%15 W · 28 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick32cpaid+17.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 43 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will NYC have between 4 and 5 inches of precipitation in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.49
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on July 12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+276.7%+$48.47
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on July 12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$39.49
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on July 12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+132.4%+$14.09
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 34°C on July 12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+150%+$18
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on July 12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 35°C on July 12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.89
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on July 12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.03
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on July 12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$15.28
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 76-77°F on July 11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.4
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on July 11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.2
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on July 11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.8
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on July 11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.3
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C on July 11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.04
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on July 9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+268.6%+$39.17
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on July 9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$43.2
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on July 9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.4
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on July 9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.8
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on July 9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+203%+$40.2
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 39°C on July 9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.38
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 39°C on July 9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 32°C on July 9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.96
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on July 9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+376.2%+$47.4
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on July 9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.03
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C or higher on July 9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.35
Showing 25 of 43 picks, newest first.
Middle Eastlast resolved Aug 18, 2026, EDT1729.4%5 W · 12 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-13.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.95
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.05
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.35
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.5
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.8
Iran successfully targets shipping on July 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$12.6
Iran successfully targets shipping on July 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+37.1%+$16.25
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+103.2%+$45.7
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.65
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$35.1
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+647.1%+$168.22
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.14
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 9?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.29
Iran successfully targets shipping on July 14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.73
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.6
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by July 14, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.91
All 17 picks, newest first.
Us Midtermslast resolved Aug 12, 2026, EDT922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.8wins-0.20per pick42cpaid-60.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2026, EDT+86.2%+$18.55
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.45
Will Cori Bush be the Democratic nominee for MO-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+67.6%+$12.08
Will John Cornyn vote to confirm Jay Clayton as Director of National Intelligence?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.8
Will Bill Cassidy vote to confirm Jay Clayton as Director of National Intelligence?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.75
Will John Curtis vote to confirm Jay Clayton as Director of National Intelligence?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.02
Will Daniel Keenan be the Republican nominee for AZ-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.9
Will Phil Weiser win the 2026 Colorado Governor Democratic primary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.2
Will Manny Rutinel be the Democratic nominee for CO-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.05
All 9 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Jul 21, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-28.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Aug 4, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.15per pick44cpaid-12%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Commodities — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Aug 7, 2026, EDT70%0 W · 7 L-2.8wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.23per pick57cpaid-53.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
AI — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid+51%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jul 17, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-42%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Jul 9, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+33.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Jul 20, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.25per pick58cpaid-0.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Movies — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Golf Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.67per pick33cpaid+208.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Golf — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 11, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick26cpaid+163.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Exact Score: Norway 1 - 1 England?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+426.3%+$56.7
Will Netherlands win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.85
All 2 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 9, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+85.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-20.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 16, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+133.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will G2 Esports Qualify to EWC 2026 Playoffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+133.5%+$48.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+46.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+46.8%+$22.3
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 7, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Team Spirit to win 2-0?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.51
All 1 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Jul 13, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will England win?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.17
All 1 picks, newest first.
Poker Inactivelast resolved Aug 6, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Poker — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Poker, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Europe Win the WSOP Main Eventbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.8
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.