Tweets · resolved market
Will White House post 180-199 posts from July 14 to July 21, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xccc0371d527f5529f75d49d2786c44133a58d97e25e0923285b0094493e81f0c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,140
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,033
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,140 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tweets | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf257…1950backed Yes | 17c | 717.77$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.08 | 424 | 24.5%104 W · 320 L | -13.9wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6e…54cfbacked Yes | 12c | 535$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.41 | 412 | 20.6%85 W · 327 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x564f…7026backed Yes | 21c | 446.47$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.36 | 312 | 42.9%134 W · 178 L | +21.5wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf8c0…6beebacked Yes | 24c | 416.48$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.74 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x74ff…be5bbacked Yes | 33c | 412.79$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.03 | 1,001 | 10.5%105 W · 896 L | -30.9wins | -0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 78c | 389.96$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.51 | 189 | 49.2%93 W · 96 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ffa…c8fcbacked Yes | 4c | 310.45$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.77 | 559 | 8.2%46 W · 513 L | +12.5wins | +0.02per pick | 6cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb15…9483backed Yes | 18c | 271.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd5c…6d2abacked No | 70c | 253.6$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.29 | 625 | 39.5%247 W · 378 L | +48.1wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed No | 58c | 223.42$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.47 | 115 | 9.6%11 W · 104 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x312a…66b8backed Yes | 17c | 214.98$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.84 | 279 | 20.4%57 W · 222 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbf4…3b45backed Yes | 15c | 204$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.88 | 317 | 43.2%137 W · 180 L | +28.2wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed Yes | 27c | 190$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.83 | 210 | 63.3%133 W · 77 L | +22.8wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed No | 66c | 184.95$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.15 | 60 | 30%18 W · 42 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7374…38ffbacked Yes | 23c | 161.4$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.42 | 113 | 59.3%67 W · 46 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x860d…6071backed Yes | 55c | 150.56$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.12 | 247 | 32.4%80 W · 167 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 77c | 135$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.25 | 218 | 57.8%126 W · 92 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2673…5ac9backed Yes | 44c | 124.35$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 178 | 24.7%44 W · 134 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24e8…4546backed No | 77c | 121.7$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.23 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6709…385bbacked Yes | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 442 | 27.4%121 W · 321 L | -21.9wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ce0…5f11backed Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 427 | 19.2%82 W · 345 L | +23.3wins | +0.05per pick | 14cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa5d4…c5b9backed Yes | 57c | 98.24$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 73c | 97$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.05 | 309 | 55%170 W · 139 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x360e…c462backed Yes | 42c | 92.26$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.75 | 42 | 23.8%10 W · 32 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 17cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0550…c7efbacked Yes | 33c | 90$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.04 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.18per pick | 61cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeae4…ad95backed Yes | 40c | 88.73$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.68 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -2.5wins | -0.10per pick | 34cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb31b…b140backed Yes | 22c | 80$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.8 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | -3.7wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…8d4cbacked Yes | 25c | 61.54$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 62 | 43.5%27 W · 35 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 72c | 60$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.95 | 208 | 57.2%119 W · 89 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaab8…4664backed Yes | 21c | 57.44$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.97 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b8…4bdfbacked Yes | 24c | 56.46$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.41 | 121 | 14%17 W · 104 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1790…6fd2backed Yes | 35c | 52.77$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.65 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked Yes | 24c | 50.49$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.12 | 340 | 39.7%135 W · 205 L | -12.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8007…a8f4backed Yes | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.05 | 156 | 49.4%77 W · 79 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9eda…6e19backed Yes | 22c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff44…fa58backed Yes | 21c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x073d…b94bbacked Yes | 22c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7325…f9fcbacked Yes | 24c | 46.27$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec2d…de68backed Yes | 38c | 37$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.03 | 176 | 12.5%22 W · 154 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x126e…c360backed No | 68c | 30.26$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.57 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f43…f942backed Yes | 42c | 29.81$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc901…0c1dbacked Yes | 41c | 25.78$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.68 | 66 | 36.4%24 W · 42 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x78c5…f623backed No | 67c | 25.32$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.33 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -3.1wins | -0.17per pick | 45cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed No | 80c | 23.72$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.74 | 2,552 | 13.1%335 W · 2,217 L | +4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb57e…0b91backed No | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27f6…d1d3backed No | 75c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.7 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will White House post 180-199 posts from July 14 to July 21, 2026?this page
- Will White House post 100-119 posts from July 14 to July 21, 2026?No won
- Will White House post 120-139 posts from July 14 to July 21, 2026?No won
- Will White House post 140-159 posts from July 14 to July 21, 2026?No won
- Will White House post 160-179 posts from July 14 to July 21, 2026?No won
- Will White House post 200+ posts from July 14 to July 21, 2026?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.