TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x60ec…8d4c

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
113
Categories scored
18
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Premier League, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Premier League at 53 out of 100; worst Middle East at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tweetslast resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT6243.5%27 W · 35 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-10.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 62 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Zelenskyy post 40-59 posts from August 14 to August 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+33.9%+$4.99
Will Zelenskyy post 60-79 posts from August 11 to August 18, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+26.9%+$3.45
Will Ted Cruz post 120-139 posts from August 11 to August 18, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$5
Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from August 7 to August 14, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$154Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$154.1
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+446.3%+$49.16
Will Zelenskyy post 60-79 posts from August 7 to August 14, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$162Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+27.1%+$43.8
Will Zelenskyy post 80-99 posts from August 7 to August 14, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+25.8%+$9.94
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$139.85
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+27.3%+$81.84
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+367.9%+$49.26
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.24
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+107.9%+$19.73
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.31
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.22
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.48
Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from July 21 to July 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.2
Will Ted Cruz post 120-139 posts from July 17 to July 24, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+27.2%+$5.35
Will Zelenskyy post 60-79 posts from July 17 to July 24, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+33.1%+$12.08
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 20 to July 22, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+114.1%+$30.29
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 20 to July 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.27
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$103.11
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$41
Will White House post 200+ posts from July 14 to July 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+47.9%+$19.74
Will White House post 180-199 posts from July 14 to July 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.5
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 18 to July 20, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$85.36
Showing 25 of 62 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT1145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+15.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Weather — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 35°C on August 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+163.3%+$16.82
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 36°C on August 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.3
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 37°C on August 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.3
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 96-97°F on July 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+47.4%+$8.87
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 94-95°F on July 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.36
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on April 12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$64.82
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 14°C on April 12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+47.6%+$12.51
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 76-77°F on April 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+45.2%+$7.64
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 50-51°F on April 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.11
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 48-49°F on April 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.95
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 46-47°F on April 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+471.5%+$59.63
All 11 picks, newest first.
CS2last resolved Aug 24, 2026, EDT771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.13per pick58cpaid+28.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennislast resolved Aug 25, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick54cpaid-11.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2last resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.11per pick69cpaid+12%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLBlast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+27.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
MLB — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Athletics vs. Houston Astrosbacked Houston Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Colorado Rockies vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked Colorado Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$145Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+37.6%+$54.51
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$61.05
All 3 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1last resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-51.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier Leaguelast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Manchester City FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$10.12
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-08-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$141Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+63.4%+$89.2
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ukrainelast resolved Aug 17, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions Leaguelast resolved Aug 25, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+119.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LASK Linz vs. Celtic FC: Team to Advancebacked LASK Linz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT+119.1%+$85.72
All 1 picks, newest first.
Mlslast resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+39.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Los Angeles Galaxy win on 2026-08-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+39.1%+$8.61
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Michigan win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$22.84
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie Alast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+30.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-08-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$128Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+30.9%+$39.53
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Ligalast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-08-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$134Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$39.98
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+25.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+25.9%+$20.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.18
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Iran meeting by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.7
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.