Tweets · resolved market
Will Zelenskyy post 40-59 posts from August 14 to August 21, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa1106aae1cadf4c0b13d363807fd6e10f88e01d9ff616ad269e5861fa2b925f1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,219
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,596
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,219 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tweets | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5f4f…c2f1backed No | 41c | 690$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.08 | 147 | 51%75 W · 72 L | +18.0wins | +0.12per pick | 39cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x74ff…be5bbacked Yes | 44c | 388.68$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.89 | 1,001 | 10.5%105 W · 896 L | -30.9wins | -0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc94a…3975backed Yes | 58c | 370$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.6 | 62 | 40.3%25 W · 37 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked No | 42c | 237.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.6 | 378 | 30.7%116 W · 262 L | -17.9wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe40a…e4a2backed No | 76c | 168.8$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.93 | 72 | 56.9%41 W · 31 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7843…fd3cbacked Yes | 57c | 140$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.6 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8aa…73e8backed Yes | 61c | 129.04$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.82 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb84c…e169backed Yes | 45c | 127.4$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.65 | 95 | 53.7%51 W · 44 L | +6.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes | 16c | 107$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.58 | 77 | 27.3%21 W · 56 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | +48.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8007…a8f4backed Yes | 63c | 105$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.62 | 156 | 49.4%77 W · 79 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38d5…063cbacked Yes | 17c | 100$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +52.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5937…2100backed Yes | 65c | 79.09$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.87 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e50…98f0backed Yes | 15c | 75$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.5 | 330 | 27.9%92 W · 238 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfed9…6510backed Yes | 70c | 71.27$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.27 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30fb…7db4backed Yes | 37c | 64.46$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.76 | 88 | 31.8%28 W · 60 L | -9.0wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3423…fe57backed Yes | 52c | 59$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.48 | 508 | 28.3%144 W · 364 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x981b…c11cbacked Yes | 55c | 57.87$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.04 | 55 | 38.2%21 W · 34 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf257…1950backed No | 52c | 56.69$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.45 | 424 | 24.5%104 W · 320 L | -13.9wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a69…228fbacked Yes | 57c | 51.13$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.13 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9631…a38cbacked Yes | 42c | 43$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.94 | 100 | 48%48 W · 52 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7849…da97backed Yes | 33c | 39$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 341 | 27.3%93 W · 248 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Yes | 60c | 36.37$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.61 | 122 | 13.9%17 W · 105 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 31c | 35$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.75 | 218 | 57.8%126 W · 92 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 65c | 28.89$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.72 | 309 | 55%170 W · 139 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x942e…be27backed No | 45c | 24.24$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.91 | 154 | 55.2%85 W · 69 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 62c | 21$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.05 | 208 | 57.2%119 W · 89 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d5f…b380backed Yes | 63c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 430 | 27%116 W · 314 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 61c | 19.91$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.76 | 797 | 35.9%286 W · 511 L | -34.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…8d4cbacked Yes | 75c | 19.72$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.99 | 62 | 43.5%27 W · 35 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x205b…369cbacked Yes | 64c | 16.87$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.04 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 68cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb141…aa3bbacked No | 79c | 13$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.27 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -3.9wins | -0.23per pick | 46cpaid | -62.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Zelenskyy post 40-59 posts from August 14 to August 21, 2026?this page
- Will Zelenskyy post 100-119 posts from August 14 to August 21, 2026?No won
- Will Zelenskyy post 60-79 posts from August 14 to August 21, 2026?No won
- Will Zelenskyy post 80-99 posts from August 14 to August 21, 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.