Tweets · resolved market
Will Zelenskyy post 60-79 posts from August 14 to August 21, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1e1674e7bdc8c0b61a3ca8832160440bc0b63f5ecd4956d24213786c5d323634
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,468
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,695
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,468 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tweets | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x564f…7026backed Yes | 33c | 687.35$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.14 | 312 | 42.9%134 W · 178 L | +21.5wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc94a…3975backed Yes | 36c | 310$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.72 | 62 | 40.3%25 W · 37 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8007…a8f4backed No | 65c | 300$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.21 | 156 | 49.4%77 W · 79 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8aa…73e8backed Yes | 49c | 230.08$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.33 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f4f…c2f1backed Yes | 37c | 220$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.65 | 147 | 51%75 W · 72 L | +18.0wins | +0.12per pick | 39cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x30fb…7db4backed Yes | 51c | 178.39$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.41 | 88 | 31.8%28 W · 60 L | -9.0wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 63c | 174$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.59 | 797 | 35.9%286 W · 511 L | -34.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe40a…e4a2backed No | 59c | 158.87$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.55 | 72 | 56.9%41 W · 31 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd5c…6d2abacked Yes | 33c | 143$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.19 | 625 | 39.5%247 W · 378 L | +48.1wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4616…a910backed No | 50c | 134.92$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.95 | 336 | 70.2%236 W · 100 L | +22.5wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeaa9…1737backed No | 67c | 133$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.89 | 75 | 50.7%38 W · 37 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74ff…be5bbacked No | 59c | 122.8$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.68 | 994 | 10.6%105 W · 889 L | -30.0wins | -0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -58.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf333…ba41backed No | 67c | 119$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.27 | 97 | 43.3%42 W · 55 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38d5…063cbacked Yes | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +52.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3423…fe57backed Yes | 45c | 94.99$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.33 | 508 | 28.3%144 W · 364 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked No | 67c | 92$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.78 | 122 | 13.9%17 W · 105 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 63c | 87$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.19 | 210 | 63.3%133 W · 77 L | +22.8wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes | 44c | 81$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.91 | 77 | 27.3%21 W · 56 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | +48.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x039b…9b6cbacked No | 50c | 72.82$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.37 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +3.0wins | +0.38per pick | 49cpaid | +141.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe040…824fbacked No | 66c | 71$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.35 | 101 | 51.5%52 W · 49 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb84c…e169backed No | 63c | 60.03$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.38 | 93 | 52.7%49 W · 44 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf44d…28b8backed Yes | 43c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.6wins | -0.24per pick | 60cpaid | -40%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7f43…f942backed Yes | 35c | 49$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.15 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 52c | 45$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 378 | 30.7%116 W · 262 L | -17.9wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9631…a38cbacked Yes | 43c | 43$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.49 | 100 | 48%48 W · 52 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x800d…3bfdbacked No | 64c | 42.78$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf456…d568backed No | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc09b…38e2backed No | 68c | 40$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +3.1wins | +0.34per pick | 55cpaid | +67.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc020…a53bbacked No | 65c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29ef…dddabacked No | 68c | 40$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -6.1wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…9aeabacked No | 68c | 40$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 47c | 37$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.51 | 308 | 54.9%169 W · 139 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x122c…fbedbacked No | 68c | 35.73$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.53 | 101 | 43.6%44 W · 57 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 63c | 33$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.21 | 197 | 56.9%112 W · 85 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8373…f0bcbacked No | 39c | 32$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.52 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +3.0wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x98ac…40d9backed No | 78c | 29.9$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.68 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1491…fd70backed No | 37c | 28$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.64 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -4.2wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbb35…4bc3backed No | 65c | 23.82$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.44 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…468fbacked No | 67c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc2c…0a2cbacked No | 64c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 68 | 54.4%37 W · 31 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12f5…5ac4backed No | 67c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x813f…26ecbacked No | 66c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 40 | 62.5%25 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b25…e4bebacked Yes | 61c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +2.5wins | +0.27per pick | 62cpaid | +51.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 66c | 18.39$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.19 | 189 | 49.2%93 W · 96 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05f7…22bcbacked No | 61c | 17$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.63 | 8 | 100%8 W · 0 L | +3.0wins | +0.38per pick | 63cpaid | +66.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x571c…b9f9backed No | 67c | 16.1$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.35 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.19per pick | 55cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Zelenskyy post 60-79 posts from August 14 to August 21, 2026?this page
- Will Zelenskyy post 100-119 posts from August 14 to August 21, 2026?No won
- Will Zelenskyy post 40-59 posts from August 14 to August 21, 2026?Yes won
- Will Zelenskyy post 80-99 posts from August 14 to August 21, 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.