Tweets · resolved market
Will Zelenskyy post 60-79 posts from August 7 to August 14, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x24f6a73b2107de4d07088462478a2d35578e33521019c58f1ad995fcbfc70e10
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,090
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,525
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,090 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tweets | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x30fb…7db4backed No | 28c | 372.84$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.65 | 88 | 31.8%28 W · 60 L | -9.0wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x564f…7026backed Yes | 48c | 288.8$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.21 | 312 | 42.9%134 W · 178 L | +21.5wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x74ff…be5bbacked Yes | 55c | 230.92$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.29 | 1,001 | 10.5%105 W · 896 L | -30.9wins | -0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…8d4cbacked Yes | 79c | 205.3$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.8 | 62 | 43.5%27 W · 35 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41e6…66b7backed No | 9c | 200$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 66 | 51.5%34 W · 32 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe40a…e4a2backed No | 28c | 172.15$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.06 | 72 | 56.9%41 W · 31 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed No | 13c | 133.65$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.56 | 150 | 7.3%11 W · 139 L | -11.1wins | -0.07per pick | 15cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8007…a8f4backed Yes | 72c | 117.96$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.29 | 156 | 49.4%77 W · 79 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed No | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 169 | 45%76 W · 93 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacb9…0754backed Yes | 64c | 100$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 96 | 36.5%35 W · 61 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 65c | 95.47$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.06 | 518 | 45.9%238 W · 280 L | -19.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8aa…73e8backed Yes | 53c | 78.7$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x721a…9295backed No | 65c | 70$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.8 | 97 | 50.5%49 W · 48 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf257…1950backed No | 21c | 69.93$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.66 | 424 | 24.5%104 W · 320 L | -13.9wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 40c | 69$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.6 | 797 | 35.9%286 W · 511 L | -34.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1491…fd70backed No | 33c | 64.98$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.26 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -4.2wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x191e…ef6bbacked Yes | 37c | 60.47$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.96 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +8.2wins | +0.19per pick | 40cpaid | +56.1%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 53c | 59$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.06 | 197 | 56.9%112 W · 85 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x321e…9292backed No | 66c | 51.75$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.93 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -3.9wins | -0.30per pick | 61cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3423…fe57backed Yes | 44c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.05 | 508 | 28.3%144 W · 364 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 39c | 45$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.29 | 378 | 30.7%116 W · 262 L | -17.9wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x11b5…8c02backed No | 30c | 43$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.04 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72be…95d5backed Yes | 42c | 40$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 58c | 40$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.2 | 190 | 53.7%102 W · 88 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2564…f258backed Yes | 52c | 36.79$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.59 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 40cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 40c | 35$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.17 | 218 | 57.8%126 W · 92 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a6…1507backed No | 64c | 34.35$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.08 | 101 | 45.5%46 W · 55 L | -7.3wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3c18…32c3backed No | 45c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.35 | 89 | 58.4%52 W · 37 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 54c | 26.96$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 208 | 57.2%119 W · 89 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14a6…cca7backed Yes | 46c | 24.86$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 64c | 24.01$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.37 | 210 | 63.3%133 W · 77 L | +22.8wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xae7a…25eabacked No | 62c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.45 | 82 | 53.7%44 W · 38 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 64c | 16$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.24 | 309 | 55%170 W · 139 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Zelenskyy post 60-79 posts from August 7 to August 14, 2026?this page
- Will Zelenskyy post 100-119 posts from August 7 to August 14, 2026?No won
- Will Zelenskyy post 40-59 posts from August 7 to August 14, 2026?No won
- Will Zelenskyy post 80-99 posts from August 7 to August 14, 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.