TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ligue 1 · resolved market

Will Paris FC win on 2026-08-22?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$522,046
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$521,766

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $522,046 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 140 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x168a…0d24backed Yes46c482,359$221,681 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221,681.32333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-48.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x709e…66f5backed No54c114,701$61,939 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52,762.451421.4%3 W · 11 L-2.7wins-0.19per pick41cpaid-47.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe72b…b0a0backed No54c95,157$51,385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43,772.212045%9 W · 11 L0.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x381b…4d74backed No54c66,900$36,126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30,7741100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc660…bd28backed No54c59,227$31,983 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27,244.59475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+39.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9f15…bdb3backed No54c26,624$14,377 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,247.2450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-11.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No55c22,581$12,446 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,134.9752550.1%263 W · 262 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+10%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc974…b33bbacked No54c14,058$7,591 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,466.683450%17 W · 17 L+2.4wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+11.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x62ca…1760backed No54c10,000$5,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,6002842.9%12 W · 16 L+1.5wins+0.06per pick37cpaid+23.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes43c8,810$3,788 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,788.381656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.6wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+44%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed No55c7,851$4,285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,565.5222745.8%104 W · 123 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No54c7,712$4,182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,529.61,41540.8%577 W · 838 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed No54c7,203$3,890 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,313.385040%20 W · 30 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+12.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No55c6,100$3,333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,767.3830448%146 W · 158 L-10.7wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-5.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xda68…6b7bbacked No54c6,050$3,267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,7832100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+77.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x16e5…c50abacked No54c4,400$2,376 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,024366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+18.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d92…8676backed No63c4,108$2,588 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,520.12250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-20.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No55c4,100$2,238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,861.9823342.5%99 W · 134 L-11.5wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-14.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed No54c4,000$2,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,8406347.6%30 W · 33 L-4.3wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-10.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No54c3,487$1,898 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,589.2426041.9%109 W · 151 L-13.5wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-14.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed No54c3,261$1,761 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,500.06666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x47c7…cac7backed No54c3,136$1,693 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,442.563948.7%19 W · 20 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick52cpaid+1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0844…f46abacked No54c3,000$1,620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,3804100%4 W · 0 L+1.8wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+89.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No54c2,875$1,555 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,319.9487344.3%387 W · 486 L+1.6wins0.00per pick44cpaid+7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd267…9dc6backed No57c2,771$1,579 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,191.534551.1%23 W · 22 L+7.1wins+0.16per pick35cpaid+44.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed No54c2,500$1,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1505547.3%26 W · 29 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-0.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed No54c2,273$1,227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,045.4935157%200 W · 151 L+15.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed No55c2,202$1,207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$995.23946.2%18 W · 21 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-17%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No54c2,083$1,135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$948.3433148.6%161 W · 170 L+10.6wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No54c2,000$1,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92012647.6%60 W · 66 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x282f…7c4ebacked No55c2,000$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9001100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed No65c1,503$974 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$529.0329637.5%111 W · 185 L+15.9wins+0.05per pick32cpaid+46.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7618…24c6backed Yes38c1,316$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50030%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfb13…5946backed No54c1,200$648 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5525151%26 W · 25 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick53cpaid+0.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked No62c1,177$732 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$444.639046.7%42 W · 48 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc34c…2e29backed Yes45c1,111$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-43.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x65b5…aa71backed No57c1,000$570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4301833.3%6 W · 12 L-5.1wins-0.28per pick62cpaid-48.6%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked No54c972$525 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$447.129553.7%51 W · 44 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid+3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes33c878.23$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.731,91645.5%872 W · 1,044 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xad0b…a514backed Yes46c808$372 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$371.68650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca89…7bc4backed No54c800$432 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3683250%16 W · 16 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-3.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8ce7…3150backed Yes44c704.55$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$310616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.18per pick34cpaid-49.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x191f…4a8dbacked No54c625$338 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$287.51050%5 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed No58c614.68$358 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$256.3213250.8%67 W · 65 L+0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x598a…1bdfbacked Yes36c555.56$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20020%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No55c536.66$296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240.4545233.6%152 W · 300 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked No54c512$276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.521931.6%6 W · 13 L-2.5wins-0.13per pick45cpaid-38.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa2a3…3688backed Yes40c500$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2417…86b1backed Yes45c444.44$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-8.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No63c431.16$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.0448649%238 W · 248 L+14.3wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe1e3…f1bdbacked No64c407.8$262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.311070%7 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick63cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe11…18cfbacked No54c400$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1846654.5%36 W · 30 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e05…2ebcbacked No54c400$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1846357.1%36 W · 27 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+10.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x60ab…e297backed No54c400$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1845251.9%27 W · 25 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x47fb…0c7bbacked No54c400$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1846051.7%31 W · 29 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3388…61d7backed No54c400$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1845251.9%27 W · 25 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x288a…0048backed No54c400$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1844854.2%26 W · 22 L+0.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid+4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a3f…4333backed No54c370.37$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.37366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+17.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaaca…f5d5backed No55c335$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.27862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.20per pick42cpaid+21.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x63d5…6816backed Yes47c315.63$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.2110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa494…4a1fbacked No54c312$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.524252.4%22 W · 20 L+0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid+4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1590…9e72backed Yes45c300$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1351241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No54c256$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.7628448.2%137 W · 147 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x94bb…02ccbacked No54c250$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-11.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5ba1…1703backed Yes16c244.76$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403721.6%8 W · 29 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick23cpaid-9.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No56c233.99$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.1246450.4%234 W · 230 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb47e…c602backed Yes43c225$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.752138.1%8 W · 13 L-2.5wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-24.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1a00…9ac7backed Yes45c222.22$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed No53c221$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.8326046.2%120 W · 140 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x577e…d876backed Yes46c220$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.220%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a11…ef8ebacked No56c217.12$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.53955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf647…cd74backed Yes47c212.77$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x789f…3e7dbacked No54c210$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.62100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x04a5…d093backed No54c200$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$924553.3%24 W · 21 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ecf…75d2backed Yes43c192.55$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.1710%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9530…fb26backed Yes16c192.14$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3070%0 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x64e8…b506backed No55c185.19$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.26922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.11per pick33cpaid-58.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb1ea…3d00backed Yes48c179.98$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.2920%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No55c179.35$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.7738056.6%215 W · 165 L+11.1wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xecdc…6eedbacked No59c168.17$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.17250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-15.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda60…f676backed Yes43c165$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.95250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.15per pick36cpaid+78.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x085d…c89ebacked No55c159.99$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf767…c94bbacked Yes42c151.88$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.7940%0 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7c11…48ffbacked Yes45c151.11$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick37cpaid+31.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf218…7bbabacked Yes41c146.34$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6020%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9a1d…8986backed Yes40c139.35$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.12862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+37.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5659…7a6bbacked No56c138$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.723619.4%7 W · 29 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick24cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3ca9…424abacked No60c135.41$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$543548.6%17 W · 18 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-11.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked Yes37c135$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.95875%6 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+25.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6a09…76e9backed No56c133.93$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.937231.9%23 W · 49 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick33cpaid+0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb107…a3f8backed No54c128$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.881520%3 W · 12 L-4.5wins-0.30per pick50cpaid-65.2%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0x944e…96a8backed Yes42c119.05$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick56cpaid-47.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed Yes44c113.64$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507861.5%48 W · 30 L+5.6wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+21.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0ab0…ba53backed Yes46c104.8$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.2110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e98…5f4ebacked Yes44c104.55$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xce0c…1e8bbacked Yes18c104.44$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.5710%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x68aa…0f92backed Yes46c104.35$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-25.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x3820…ffc3backed No55c100.6$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.27333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-39.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1695…324cbacked Yes44c100$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-47.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5519…f7e1backed Yes37c99.99$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3720%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.