Ligue 1 · resolved market
Will ES Troyes AC win on 2026-08-22?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb933eef382ac4bc71a38079699699de49a17bae567b77827f3bc1d1e71a4e6ec
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,093
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,082
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,093 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 12c | 4,721$571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570.96 | 1,415 | 40.8%577 W · 838 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes | 16c | 943.18$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.05 | 132 | 50.8%67 W · 65 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed No | 72c | 620.57$447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.76 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85fb…89babacked Yes | 28c | 420$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.6 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.25per pick | 42cpaid | +55.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2759…2b38backed Yes | 33c | 352.3$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.26 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 26cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe968…de6fbacked No | 74c | 326.78$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes | 26c | 296.73$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.07 | 90 | 46.7%42 W · 48 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked Yes | 31c | 275.99$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.18 | 36 | 19.4%7 W · 29 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Yes | 20c | 256.87$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.65 | 260 | 46.2%120 W · 140 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 27c | 221.92$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.99 | 260 | 41.9%109 W · 151 L | -13.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7589…2775backed No | 73c | 205.48$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf767…c94bbacked Yes | 31c | 151.62$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 14c | 126.54$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.73 | 486 | 49%238 W · 248 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 71c | 122.94$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.53 | 227 | 45.8%104 W · 123 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb226…4163backed No | 69c | 114.81$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.59 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 71cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 22c | 112$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.08 | 162 | 24.1%39 W · 123 L | -13.0wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xecdc…6eedbacked Yes | 29c | 103.62$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba1…1703backed Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 37 | 21.6%8 W · 29 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…b506backed Yes | 19c | 94.94$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.95 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -58.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Yes | 25c | 77$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.07 | 95 | 35.8%34 W · 61 L | -7.1wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed No | 71c | 75.86$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc8e…944ebacked No | 70c | 71.43$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.43 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6534…7cc7backed No | 72c | 68$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.04 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +4.5wins | +0.24per pick | 45cpaid | +117.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Yes | 20c | 62.39$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.73 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked Yes | 29c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 68c | 48.97$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.43 | 183 | 51.4%94 W · 89 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 69c | 42$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.07 | 464 | 50.4%234 W · 230 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Yes | 31c | 35.51$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.01 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 72c | 30.47$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.54 | 452 | 33.6%152 W · 300 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed No | 72c | 29.49$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.26 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +67.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbaf3…2286backed No | 69c | 28.17$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.73 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +44.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee9c…c449backed No | 67c | 26.73$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.82 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +92.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked No | 67c | 21.51$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.1 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +44%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked No | 79c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 69c | 15.07$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.67 | 380 | 56.6%215 W · 165 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 77c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.45 | 188 | 47.9%90 W · 98 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +15%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will ES Troyes AC win on 2026-08-22?this page
- Will ES Troyes AC vs. Paris FC end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Paris FC win on 2026-08-22?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.