Tweets · resolved market
Will Zelenskyy post 60-79 posts from August 11 to August 18, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7e7788a4149780a55819c2962075ff1ace7e466ab942815d8c0218cc14cc414a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,078
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,231
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,078 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tweets | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8a92…8586backed No | 5c | 545.5$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x564f…7026backed Yes | 32c | 535.98$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.91 | 312 | 42.9%134 W · 178 L | +21.5wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3423…fe57backed Yes | 51c | 470$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.53 | 508 | 28.3%144 W · 364 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74ff…be5bbacked Yes | 36c | 285.29$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.36 | 1,001 | 10.5%105 W · 896 L | -30.9wins | -0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe40a…e4a2backed No | 48c | 195.83$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.61 | 72 | 56.9%41 W · 31 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed Yes | 75c | 169.16$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.23 | 169 | 45%76 W · 93 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 42c | 158.48$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.63 | 768 | 21.7%167 W · 601 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2413…f6c6backed Yes | 39c | 154.98$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.98 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +120.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x191e…ef6bbacked Yes | 33c | 153.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.05 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +8.2wins | +0.19per pick | 40cpaid | +56.1%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x30fb…7db4backed No | 72c | 151.68$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.77 | 88 | 31.8%28 W · 60 L | -9.0wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5f4f…c2f1backed Yes | 39c | 140.87$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.42 | 147 | 51%75 W · 72 L | +18.0wins | +0.12per pick | 39cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 67c | 116.41$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.52 | 189 | 49.2%93 W · 96 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd5c…6d2abacked Yes | 47c | 115.31$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.13 | 625 | 39.5%247 W · 378 L | +48.1wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf456…d568backed Yes | 35c | 113.99$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.99 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…7b02backed Yes | 13c | 112.12$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.81 | 104 | 38.5%40 W · 64 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b5…a079backed Yes | 61c | 100$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.75 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x64b0…f102backed No | 73c | 99.16$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.39 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8aa…73e8backed Yes | 67c | 97.96$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.73 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d06…b2eabacked No | 65c | 87.92$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.16 | 67 | 44.8%30 W · 37 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 73c | 85.22$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.87 | 797 | 35.9%286 W · 511 L | -34.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf257…1950backed Yes | 22c | 83.06$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.61 | 424 | 24.5%104 W · 320 L | -13.9wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f43…f942backed Yes | 52c | 73.5$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.59 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 20c | 72$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.41 | 218 | 57.8%126 W · 92 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8673…4025backed Yes | 24c | 71.59$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.49 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +4.9wins | +0.18per pick | 41cpaid | +70.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 65c | 67.43$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.01 | 208 | 57.2%119 W · 89 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacb9…0754backed Yes | 43c | 67$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.09 | 96 | 36.5%35 W · 61 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16c7…22cdbacked No | 68c | 59.92$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.45 | 101 | 46.5%47 W · 54 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4616…a910backed No | 61c | 56.42$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.61 | 336 | 70.2%236 W · 100 L | +22.5wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked No | 53c | 53.53$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.12 | 378 | 30.7%116 W · 262 L | -17.9wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x73d2…f9b7backed No | 62c | 51.61$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 62cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2116…eb8fbacked No | 29c | 49.72$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +62.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4353…86febacked No | 28c | 44$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1abc…45e7backed No | 57c | 41.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.08 | 116 | 43.1%50 W · 66 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5136…0e4fbacked No | 55c | 40.01$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.17 | 96 | 54.2%52 W · 44 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe040…824fbacked No | 36c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.42 | 101 | 51.5%52 W · 49 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2779…239abacked No | 64c | 39$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.96 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -3.0wins | -0.43per pick | 58cpaid | -75.6%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3653…ef74backed Yes | 74c | 37.79$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.73 | 116 | 33.6%39 W · 77 L | -7.4wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x97ea…b3b5backed Yes | 76c | 35.17$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked No | 30c | 34.24$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.33 | 434 | 5.1%22 W · 412 L | -13.5wins | -0.03per pick | 8cpaid | -33%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x671a…2f1ebacked No | 58c | 34.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.74 | 131 | 61.8%81 W · 50 L | +6.2wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a1…13d6backed No | 42c | 33$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 33c | 32$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.42 | 183 | 58.5%107 W · 76 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b25…e4bebacked Yes | 70c | 28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.48 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +2.5wins | +0.27per pick | 62cpaid | +51.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x558f…1a56backed No | 57c | 25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.17 | 115 | 64.3%74 W · 41 L | +5.9wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4261…16dfbacked No | 64c | 23.36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.95 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -2.7wins | -0.21per pick | 36cpaid | -52.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…b7f1backed No | 52c | 21.86$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.26 | 107 | 46.7%50 W · 57 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0cd…d931backed No | 69c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.7 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -67.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc94a…3975backed Yes | 74c | 19.45$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.06 | 62 | 40.3%25 W · 37 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69f0…fb27backed No | 71c | 18.86$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.48 | 125 | 48%60 W · 65 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 62c | 17.13$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.62 | 518 | 45.9%238 W · 280 L | -19.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…8d4cbacked Yes | 79c | 16.27$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.45 | 62 | 43.5%27 W · 35 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Zelenskyy post 60-79 posts from August 11 to August 18, 2026?this page
- Will Zelenskyy post 40-59 posts from August 11 to August 18, 2026?No won
- Will Zelenskyy post 80-99 posts from August 11 to August 18, 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.