TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Keyd vs ODDIK (BO3) - PGL Astana: South American Closed Qualifier Playoffs

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
ODDIKof Keyd, ODDIK
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$304,779
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$308,677

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $304,779 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 201 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1a5c…a375backed ODDIK38c194,107$74,323 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119,783.845238.5%20 W · 32 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-16.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Keyd61c149,134$90,659 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90,658.9822049.1%108 W · 112 L+0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x65ce…b90bbacked Keyd21c19,049$3,961 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,961.3916240.1%65 W · 97 L+7.9wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked ODDIK67c13,371$8,911 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,459.413,25750.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L+98.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Keyd65c12,241$8,006 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,005.5823145.9%106 W · 125 L-7.8wins-0.03per pick49cpaid+0.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Keyd64c4,095$2,603 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,602.627,92550.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L+179.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x26f8…3452backed Keyd45c3,988$1,809 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,809.2619949.7%99 W · 100 L-9.6wins-0.05per pick55cpaid+14.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7a14…d748backed ODDIK66c3,899$2,567 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,331.7857358.8%337 W · 236 L+16.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Keyd66c3,454$2,283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,282.655,28731.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L-383.3wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x52b7…0aa1backed Keyd24c3,000$720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7201,41133.7%475 W · 936 L+42.1wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x60ec…8d4cbacked Keyd54c2,488$1,353 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,352.61771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.13per pick58cpaid+28.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd64d…bcfebacked Keyd46c2,319$1,058 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,057.893560%21 W · 14 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8768…8b58backed Keyd22c2,282$499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.2530%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3c59…3887backed Keyd29c2,261$656 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$655.8921941.1%90 W · 129 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x03f4…7e44backed Keyd29c2,088$606 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$605.551252.3%268 W · 244 L+16.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x274f…fbf4backed ODDIK64c1,817$1,169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$648.098862.5%55 W · 33 L-3.8wins-0.04per pick67cpaid-5.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked ODDIK79c1,394$1,104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$289.2812352.8%65 W · 58 L+3.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-1.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf7c7…620cbacked Keyd36c1,299$466 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$465.8614144%62 W · 79 L+0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7c83…8c5fbacked Keyd7c1,278$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.522227.3%6 W · 16 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick26cpaid-21.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed ODDIK48c1,107$536 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$570.676,48042.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L-79.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2cd2…1f27backed Keyd37c1,053$385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$384.9454439.7%216 W · 328 L-1.4wins0.00per pick40cpaid-9.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2529…548abacked Keyd59c1,031$613 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$613.453,22551.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L+88.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed Keyd42c1,031$429 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$428.644,22849.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L+59.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf020…cddbbacked Keyd72c1,011$732 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$731.51650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+11.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca52…6a6fbacked Keyd34c963.89$331 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$331.2110%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ec3…34a7backed Keyd63c843.01$533 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$533.331,10950.5%560 W · 549 L-3.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid-7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4b0e…528dbacked Keyd2c813.9$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.711827.8%5 W · 13 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick25cpaid-23.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed ODDIK71c792.39$567 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.881,61846.8%758 W · 860 L-28.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed ODDIK80c737.83$588 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.78552.9%45 W · 40 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0659…d74dbacked ODDIK39c728.92$283 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$446.1698052.4%514 W · 466 L+26.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed ODDIK79c711.95$564 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.1911546.1%53 W · 62 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-13.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x56b4…c4adbacked ODDIK39c690.02$271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$418.9113845.7%63 W · 75 L-6.7wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-8.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3e6d…2671backed Keyd23c673.67$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.4176248.4%369 W · 393 L+13.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd1f4…92b2backed ODDIK59c663.44$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$273.33862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaa6c…a9b3backed Keyd42c627.16$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$263.51,16354.3%631 W · 532 L-38.8wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xccf5…42f2backed Keyd41c599.9$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.3941260.9%251 W · 161 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick60cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed ODDIK56c569.95$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250.384,03848.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x60b6…eb2bbacked ODDIK56c566.14$316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250.3526438.6%102 W · 162 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-16.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked ODDIK60c536.1$323 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.372,22141.3%917 W · 1,304 L-22.6wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-19.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked ODDIK69c500$345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15581244.3%360 W · 452 L-0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid+2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcc30…c8a5backed ODDIK39c494.97$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$302.361338.2%234 W · 379 L-10.3wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x61fa…7f62backed Keyd75c492.48$369 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$368.9933553.4%179 W · 156 L-8.0wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked ODDIK50c463.19$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231.875,51147%2,590 W · 2,921 L+42.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1df4…0540backed Keyd50c435.06$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.277958.2%46 W · 33 L-0.2wins0.00per pick58cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9fa5…e615backed ODDIK57c423.27$241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.013568.6%24 W · 11 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick66cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x211d…3ab7backed Keyd59c410.82$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.9119351.8%100 W · 93 L-6.3wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7d29…c9eebacked ODDIK74c405.17$302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.621850%9 W · 9 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-10.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4092…f145backed ODDIK55c398.91$221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.025650%28 W · 28 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+10.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaa57…a128backed Keyd50c389.82$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.1826075%195 W · 65 L+23.6wins+0.09per pick66cpaid+11.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x99be…3622backed ODDIK63c340.01$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.449758.8%57 W · 40 L+4.3wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+10.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfa6e…6d63backed Keyd30c324.76$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.3720%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3a15…52d6backed Keyd40c323.59$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.831540%6 W · 9 L-2.5wins-0.17per pick57cpaid+97.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf723…1d4ebacked Keyd42c321.46$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.321154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.11per pick43cpaid+18.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x98a7…b766backed Keyd77c295.72$229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$228.5319652.6%103 W · 93 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf743…1811backed ODDIK56c291.26$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.6629831.5%94 W · 204 L-16.1wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-29.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xad2a…99a3backed ODDIK59c272.13$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.4220045.5%91 W · 109 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x22d2…82d7backed ODDIK67c261.25$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.3114137.6%53 W · 88 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x384d…d538backed Keyd63c261.07$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.4810951.4%56 W · 53 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x20ea…1b1abacked Keyd33c260.14$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.39250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+19%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21ec…7307backed Keyd63c259.74$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.3613267.4%89 W · 43 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick67cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d62…5409backed ODDIK79c250.38$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.9248562.7%304 W · 181 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick62cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c8c…2359backed ODDIK61c243.73$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.39351.6%48 W · 45 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe02…5fb3backed ODDIK80c239.18$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.2810347.6%49 W · 54 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-19.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1812…0db6backed ODDIK32c237.91$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.783333.3%11 W · 22 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-12.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3b14…5301backed ODDIK60c230.64$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.473336.4%12 W · 21 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-30%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1c93…33d5backed ODDIK50c230$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11548437.6%182 W · 302 L+13.7wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+42%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x26ac…a735backed Keyd21c224.45$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.1324429.5%72 W · 172 L-0.3wins0.00per pick30cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2160…bcb3backed ODDIK43c222.41$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.8120744.4%92 W · 115 L-12.6wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-13.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Keyd28c211.05$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.091,57929.7%469 W · 1,110 L-86.9wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-39.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc58a…b8f8backed Keyd75c207.3$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.73638.9%14 W · 22 L-5.3wins-0.15per pick54cpaid-25.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xb5ba…06b3backed ODDIK52c204.56$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.5515045.3%68 W · 82 L-6.7wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-8.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf69b…a6ddbacked ODDIK72c203.83$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.817545.3%34 W · 41 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x86c8…fc02backed Keyd33c201.84$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.7155950.3%281 W · 278 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4693…bf61backed ODDIK61c196.16$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.812272.7%16 W · 6 L+4.2wins+0.19per pick54cpaid+38.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x30db…44e1backed ODDIK77c193.52$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.754555.6%25 W · 20 L0.0wins0.00per pick56cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Keyd34c191.76$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.122,10216.8%353 W · 1,749 L-286.5wins-0.14per pick30cpaid-47.2%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0xc516…4298backed Keyd61c191.72$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.6420%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xaf1e…63bbbacked ODDIK58c168.38$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.91933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-47%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1529…8d5cbacked Keyd66c168.35$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.68333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.27per pick60cpaid-39.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6770…c3bdbacked ODDIK65c161.87$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.5363038.6%243 W · 387 L-26.4wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-26.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xda7b…8857backed ODDIK69c159.98$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.594555.6%25 W · 20 L+5.4wins+0.12per pick44cpaid+15.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2f1d…7ff3backed Keyd48c158.5$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.5617654.5%96 W · 80 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc371…1e28backed Keyd71c155.58$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.9546843.4%203 W · 265 L-11.7wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-21.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5625…6c2abacked Keyd63c155.21$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.7836151.8%187 W · 174 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbaa5…a51abacked ODDIK64c152.88$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.046058.3%35 W · 25 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x62a1…d53ebacked ODDIK26c147.78$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.5617930.2%54 W · 125 L-10.8wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-21%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa246…c6acbacked ODDIK55c141.54$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.11450%7 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-10.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa442…dca3backed Keyd63c138.13$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.0230254.3%164 W · 138 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe8e1…49ddbacked ODDIK59c131.42$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.871,39848.4%676 W · 722 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x16ea…6df7backed Keyd30c130.38$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.0321723%50 W · 167 L-35.4wins-0.16per pick39cpaid-61.2%equal weight34-0.15 edge/pick
0x0e4a…fcd8backed ODDIK78c126.25$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.578350.6%42 W · 41 L0.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid-9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a87…fb21backed Keyd50c126.1$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.0516444.5%73 W · 91 L-11.7wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-17.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked ODDIK59c125.86$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.172,32655.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L+44.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-9.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5471…a236backed ODDIK63c123.64$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.5925042.8%107 W · 143 L-9.4wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-23.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe07b…b7c9backed ODDIK54c123.49$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.8114447.9%69 W · 75 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x891f…88bfbacked ODDIK61c121.94$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.2410753.3%57 W · 50 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdf1b…e271backed ODDIK15c117.64$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.676358.7%37 W · 26 L+5.7wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+22.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xd866…55e0backed ODDIK56c116.49$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.4349376.1%375 W · 118 L+96.8wins+0.20per pick56cpaid+29.9%equal weight71+0.19 edge/pick
0xcc7c…4ce2backed Keyd43c112.3$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.2911958%69 W · 50 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick60cpaid+2.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8bec…7800backed ODDIK62c109.81$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.7333448.2%161 W · 173 L+6.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.