Tweets · resolved market

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd807b4f7da58129a1f3b63c3bf17e6f789876a34c3bf1b00aafce5a9f4d89bdf

Rebuilt 9 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Yesof Yes, No
Resolved: Aug 4, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $277,808
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $281,922

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $277,808 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 344 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tweets
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x590e…e43dbacked Yes	40c	29,671$12,013 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17,657.66	186	16.1%30 W · 156 L	-4.1wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-52.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x524d…4495backed Yes	13c	8,820$1,128 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,692.31	161	22.4%36 W · 125 L	+8.4wins	+0.05per pick	17cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xac4a…bf1ebacked No	20c	8,362$1,655 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,655.22	405	19.8%80 W · 325 L	-18.3wins	-0.05per pick	24cpaid	-51.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x114a…f1d1backed Yes	20c	6,000$1,200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,800	38	13.2%5 W · 33 L	-2.1wins	-0.06per pick	19cpaid	-25.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8565…0c43backed Yes	40c	5,213$2,105 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,107.88	706	16.4%116 W · 590 L	-13.6wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-29%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x471a…0328backed No	12c	4,095$498 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$498.03	312	42.9%134 W · 178 L	+20.0wins	+0.06per pick	37cpaid	-29.1%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x215a…254cbacked No	11c	3,725$425 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$425	270	24.4%66 W · 204 L	+3.5wins	+0.01per pick	23cpaid	+31.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2eb6…3e31backed No	66c	3,053$2,012 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,011.88	119	26.9%32 W · 87 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	26cpaid	-50.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7505…2978backed Yes	78c	2,983$2,315 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$668.33	169	41.4%70 W · 99 L	+6.2wins	+0.04per pick	38cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xaca2…b9a1backed Yes	47c	2,952$1,391 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,560.67	541	22.7%123 W · 418 L	+16.6wins	+0.03per pick	20cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa002…e840backed No	4c	2,900$103 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$102.9	186	3.8%7 W · 179 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	4cpaid	-14.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc5ab…2bcfbacked Yes	31c	2,704$828 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,875.89	53	45.3%24 W · 29 L	+1.7wins	+0.03per pick	42cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x12ed…c9b4backed Yes	31c	2,630$819 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,811.21	532	22.7%121 W · 411 L	-19.0wins	-0.04per pick	26cpaid	-36.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x93fd…7e2fbacked Yes	50c	2,615$1,308 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,306.98	572	22%126 W · 446 L	-3.5wins	-0.01per pick	23cpaid	-42%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d46…d383backed Yes	32c	2,564$810 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,753.98	10	40%4 W · 6 L	+1.1wins	+0.11per pick	29cpaid	+10.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x99a6…6558backed Yes	72c	2,287$1,648 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$638.85	73	37%27 W · 46 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x732f…201ebacked Yes	39c	2,208$872 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,336.45	397	23.2%92 W · 305 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	23cpaid	-31.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7741…23e6backed Yes	28c	2,145$595 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,549.91	69	36.2%25 W · 44 L	+4.1wins	+0.06per pick	30cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa49b…7054backed Yes	27c	2,053$545 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,508.26	2,545	13.2%335 W · 2,210 L	+4.9wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-30.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x36e7…0b6bbacked No	57c	2,044$1,170 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,170.08	246	72.8%179 W · 67 L	+15.5wins	+0.06per pick	66cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd9d0…542cbacked No	4c	2,030$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$71.82	67	4.5%3 W · 64 L	-1.1wins	-0.02per pick	6cpaid	-77.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe8cf…819ebacked Yes	43c	1,971$845 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,126.4	326	13.8%45 W · 281 L	-2.4wins	-0.01per pick	15cpaid	-60.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc21e…e6d3backed Yes	35c	1,949$685 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,263.64	144	27.1%39 W · 105 L	-2.4wins	-0.02per pick	29cpaid	+17.7%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x146d…17c7backed Yes	50c	1,597$801 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$795.53	1,190	8.7%104 W · 1,086 L	+31.1wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x97ff…d095backed No	71c	1,310$930 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$929.72	542	74.9%406 W · 136 L	+34.0wins	+0.06per pick	69cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe83c…04cebacked Yes	57c	1,267$718 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$548.79	119	32.8%39 W · 80 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	32cpaid	-17.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc78b…2ca5backed Yes	49c	1,258$620 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$637.82	101	25.7%26 W · 75 L	-3.1wins	-0.03per pick	29cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x81fb…25f3backed No	80c	1,250$996 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$995.82	34	79.4%27 W · 7 L	+0.8wins	+0.02per pick	77cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc3cf…51d2backed Yes	54c	1,200$645 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$554.49	320	16.6%53 W · 267 L	-5.1wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-15.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6864…294bbacked No	65c	1,200$778 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$778.48	324	15.7%51 W · 273 L	-10.1wins	-0.03per pick	19cpaid	-62.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x04a2…e16cbacked Yes	17c	1,185$206 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$979.04	630	21.7%137 W · 493 L	+2.3wins	0.00per pick	21cpaid	-24.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2a79…e2afbacked No	75c	1,153$864 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$864.14	46	39.1%18 W · 28 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	-26.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd33…f47ebacked Yes	42c	1,143$480 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$663.25	177	20.9%37 W · 140 L	-2.9wins	-0.02per pick	23cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc8d3…8c21backed Yes	13c	1,115$143 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$972.12	38	18.4%7 W · 31 L	+1.0wins	+0.03per pick	16cpaid	-11.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e5a…935fbacked Yes	61c	1,100$672 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$428.22	48	35.4%17 W · 31 L	+1.7wins	+0.03per pick	32cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd5c…6d2abacked No	1c	1,100$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.2	625	39.5%247 W · 378 L	+48.1wins	+0.08per pick	32cpaid	+19.5%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x90af…a42cbacked No	74c	1,090$803 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$803.07	9	77.8%7 W · 2 L	+0.8wins	+0.09per pick	69cpaid	+10.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x08d9…80a4backed Yes	14c	1,076$152 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$923.54	15	33.3%5 W · 10 L	+1.5wins	+0.10per pick	23cpaid	+67.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd23f…94a1backed No	28c	1,055$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$299.59	105	56.2%59 W · 46 L	+1.7wins	+0.02per pick	55cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc4d5…87cfbacked No	26c	1,047$271 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$270.93	563	29.8%168 W · 395 L	+2.2wins	0.00per pick	29cpaid	-39.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x514b…6931backed Yes	21c	1,020$211 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$808.92	104	41.3%43 W · 61 L	+9.5wins	+0.09per pick	32cpaid	+14.3%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2b0a…0190backed No	3c	962.82$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.14	78	20.5%16 W · 62 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	21cpaid	-22.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x984f…ba69backed Yes	20c	953.62$189 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$764.9	158	17.7%28 W · 130 L	+1.7wins	+0.01per pick	17cpaid	-24.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7111…7c21backed Yes	70c	924.13$646 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$278.13	18	44.4%8 W · 10 L	-0.4wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-33.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfa5a…edf2backed Yes	35c	921.46$320 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$601.69	60	26.7%16 W · 44 L	-3.5wins	-0.06per pick	33cpaid	-19.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x849c…4009backed No	39c	900.28$351 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$351.29	1,780	7.4%132 W · 1,648 L	-23.1wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-66.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x18a0…dea8backed Yes	19c	873.67$164 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$709.5	574	20.9%120 W · 454 L	+9.4wins	+0.02per pick	19cpaid	-27.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe130…4006backed Yes	31c	857.55$266 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$591.56	1,040	13.7%142 W · 898 L	+38.1wins	+0.04per pick	10cpaid	-14.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xeb68…e362backed Yes	78c	839.82$657 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$182.99	126	46%58 W · 68 L	+1.1wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-17.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x58a5…ec93backed No	80c	837.65$668 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$668.49	30	83.3%25 W · 5 L	+1.1wins	+0.04per pick	80cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x69f0…fb27backed Yes	77c	830.48$638 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$192.25	125	48%60 W · 65 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-19.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa67b…af43backed Yes	49c	821.56$400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$421.56	159	22.6%36 W · 123 L	+2.0wins	+0.01per pick	21cpaid	+17.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x31fb…edf2backed Yes	33c	786$259 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$527.04	73	34.2%25 W · 48 L	+4.8wins	+0.07per pick	28cpaid	-13%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb0cc…f09bbacked Yes	60c	759.15$455 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$304.15	140	37.1%52 W · 88 L	+5.2wins	+0.04per pick	33cpaid	-20.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe343…23fdbacked Yes	29c	758.16$223 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$535.03	154	35.1%54 W · 100 L	+6.7wins	+0.04per pick	31cpaid	-9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd9fe…db0dbacked Yes	51c	756.39$388 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$367.9	42	57.1%24 W · 18 L	+2.1wins	+0.05per pick	52cpaid	+14%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x180f…0c07backed No	32c	750$243 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$242.5	76	26.3%20 W · 56 L	-3.2wins	-0.04per pick	31cpaid	-34.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8d85…726fbacked No	6c	743.09$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.32	59	42.4%25 W · 34 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	+27.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes	73c	732.77$536 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$197.07	768	21.7%167 W · 601 L	-2.0wins	0.00per pick	22cpaid	-49.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7db5…cf18backed Yes	51c	724.02$368 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$356.14	882	10.3%91 W · 791 L	-4.0wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-49%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x74ff…be5bbacked No	28c	709.33$197 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$197.06	994	10.6%105 W · 889 L	-30.0wins	-0.03per pick	14cpaid	-58.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfd07…6bb7backed Yes	15c	666.99$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$566.94	128	10.9%14 W · 114 L	-2.4wins	-0.02per pick	13cpaid	-61.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd928…23cabacked Yes	22c	663.89$149 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$515.3	42	16.7%7 W · 35 L	-1.2wins	-0.03per pick	20cpaid	-30.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x26dc…e03abacked Yes	21c	647.4$138 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$509.4	202	22.8%46 W · 156 L	+2.4wins	+0.01per pick	22cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb36…0d51backed Yes	16c	638.82$105 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$533.5	69	21.7%15 W · 54 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	22cpaid	+26%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcd0f…2154backed Yes	20c	622.96$122 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$501.03	344	25.6%88 W · 256 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	26cpaid	-29.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf595…0842backed Yes	24c	614.94$148 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$466.7	13	53.8%7 W · 6 L	+1.3wins	+0.10per pick	44cpaid	+33.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9696…0861backed Yes	19c	610.56$116 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$494.75	876	18.4%161 W · 715 L	+9.5wins	+0.01per pick	17cpaid	-24.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5ceb…2bdfbacked Yes	21c	608.42$128 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$480.65	312	17.9%56 W · 256 L	-3.3wins	-0.01per pick	19cpaid	-22.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c4d…5762backed Yes	37c	606$226 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$380.24	63	50.8%32 W · 31 L	+3.3wins	+0.05per pick	46cpaid	+25.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xec2d…de68backed Yes	50c	580$290 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$290	176	12.5%22 W · 154 L	+2.7wins	+0.02per pick	11cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No	5c	574.94$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.14	189	49.2%93 W · 96 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb5f…1ad5backed Yes	18c	564.56$102 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$462.94	48	18.8%9 W · 39 L	-4.2wins	-0.09per pick	27cpaid	-49.9%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8b30…068abacked Yes	18c	559.05$99 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$459.56	329	17%56 W · 273 L	+13.7wins	+0.04per pick	13cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8288…5519backed Yes	70c	521.61$364 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$157.6	159	29.6%47 W · 112 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	29cpaid	-11.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdc36…8542backed Yes	41c	519.6$213 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$306.6	232	22.4%52 W · 180 L	+2.3wins	+0.01per pick	21cpaid	-25.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc44a…0f0ebacked Yes	37c	508.19$186 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$322.49	173	35.3%61 W · 112 L	+3.0wins	+0.02per pick	34cpaid	+1%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xef0d…8733backed Yes	8c	507.47$41 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$466.87	571	8.2%47 W · 524 L	+1.2wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xad0c…df3cbacked No	77c	499.98$387 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$386.99	280	34.3%96 W · 184 L	+3.1wins	+0.01per pick	33cpaid	-15.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe040…824fbacked No	35c	484$167 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$167.03	101	51.5%52 W · 49 L	+2.9wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2673…5ac9backed Yes	45c	480.61$214 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$266.61	178	24.7%44 W · 134 L	+5.5wins	+0.03per pick	22cpaid	+10.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb2e4…b7f1backed Yes	74c	473.38$349 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$124.77	107	46.7%50 W · 57 L	+2.1wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	-14.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa0d3…5b5ebacked Yes	17c	458$78 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$379.94	37	27%10 W · 27 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	26cpaid	+13.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbc13…5578backed Yes	18c	455.18$84 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$371.18	288	12.8%37 W · 251 L	+5.8wins	+0.02per pick	11cpaid	-10.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No	47c	452.44$214 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$213.74	208	57.2%119 W · 89 L	+4.4wins	+0.02per pick	55cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f69…cf59backed Yes	10c	450$45 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$405	107	10.3%11 W · 96 L	+3.5wins	+0.03per pick	7cpaid	+74.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb26f…aa5fbacked Yes	45c	432.31$195 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$237.22	47	19.1%9 W · 38 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	20cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9034…4375backed Yes	33c	421.69$138 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$283.22	254	13.4%34 W · 220 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	14cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdf8b…481ebacked Yes	12c	399.57$48 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$351.62	185	11.4%21 W · 164 L	+5.8wins	+0.03per pick	8cpaid	-18.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed No	25c	380$96 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$95.96	386	48.2%186 W · 200 L	+15.7wins	+0.04per pick	44cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3423…fe57backed Yes	63c	376.93$238 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$138.94	508	28.3%144 W · 364 L	+1.2wins	0.00per pick	28cpaid	-42.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x699b…0296backed Yes	15c	370.86$57 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$313.71	188	14.4%27 W · 161 L	+6.5wins	+0.03per pick	11cpaid	+21%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xeabe…d6edbacked Yes	12c	370.41$45 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$324.96	132	24.2%32 W · 100 L	+5.4wins	+0.04per pick	20cpaid	+26.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd76d…9457backed Yes	37c	355.23$130 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$225.48	28	35.7%10 W · 18 L	+2.3wins	+0.08per pick	28cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd8e7…48dabacked Yes	61c	354.4$215 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$139.25	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.2wins	+0.05per pick	62cpaid	+22%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc518…2594backed No	31c	348.48$106 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$106.33	167	50.3%84 W · 83 L	+3.5wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x433e…6be1backed Yes	59c	341.6$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$141.6	90	24.4%22 W · 68 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	25cpaid	+14.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc1dc…09c2backed Yes	20c	340.48$68 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$272.38	129	14%18 W · 111 L	+3.1wins	+0.02per pick	12cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf4d5…66e1backed Yes	53c	339.96$179 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$161.18	826	14.9%123 W · 703 L	+1.9wins	0.00per pick	15cpaid	-38.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8f87…2b4dbacked Yes	30c	333.33$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$233.33	21	28.6%6 W · 15 L	-1.4wins	-0.07per pick	35cpaid	-20.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event