Tweets · resolved market
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6f919fad1b6907909405cd61376636055639206f9b6e2cedaf7037be545e2f0b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $310,451
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $209,626
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $310,451 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 79 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tweets | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe089…ad3abacked Yes | 1c | 26,320$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.1 | 183 | 4.4%8 W · 175 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 2cpaid | +235.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x590e…e43dbacked Yes | 4c | 21,558$831 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$830.84 | 186 | 16.1%30 W · 156 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x524d…4495backed Yes | 2c | 18,994$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.6 | 161 | 22.4%36 W · 125 L | +8.4wins | +0.05per pick | 17cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6864…294bbacked Yes | 2c | 11,485$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.57 | 324 | 15.7%51 W · 273 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a1b…fbbdbacked Yes | 0c | 8,696$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.99 | 552 | 5.6%31 W · 521 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 3cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf452…8ff9backed Yes | 1c | 6,490$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.72 | 151 | 28.5%43 W · 108 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7413…4b09backed Yes | 0c | 6,394$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.79 | 797 | 11.3%90 W · 707 L | +30.0wins | +0.04per pick | 8cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea8…ffcfbacked Yes | 0c | 6,000$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.64 | 199 | 9%18 W · 181 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 8cpaid | +174.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7741…23e6backed Yes | 7c | 4,908$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.11 | 69 | 36.2%25 W · 44 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cc…f09bbacked Yes | 2c | 4,241$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.19 | 140 | 37.1%52 W · 88 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf8b…481ebacked Yes | 1c | 3,800$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.5 | 185 | 11.4%21 W · 164 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 8cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cc…028abacked Yes | 0c | 3,733$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.43 | 1,625 | 1.9%31 W · 1,594 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 1cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x146d…17c7backed Yes | 1c | 3,687$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.67 | 1,190 | 8.7%104 W · 1,086 L | +31.1wins | +0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a3…24eabacked Yes | 1c | 3,333$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 41 | 9.8%4 W · 37 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04a2…e16cbacked Yes | 9c | 3,218$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.59 | 630 | 21.7%137 W · 493 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x813e…5d51backed Yes | 1c | 3,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 313 | 4.8%15 W · 298 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef0d…8733backed Yes | 4c | 3,000$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128 | 571 | 8.2%47 W · 524 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1b0…3f04backed Yes | 7c | 3,000$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 60 | 26.7%16 W · 44 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ccf…bdb5backed Yes | 5c | 2,729$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.77 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f69…cf59backed Yes | 1c | 2,720$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.35 | 107 | 10.3%11 W · 96 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 7cpaid | +74.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x59a1…a8d1backed Yes | 2c | 2,299$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.56 | 413 | 10.7%44 W · 369 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa59c…bb62backed Yes | 2c | 2,128$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.81 | 174 | 19%33 W · 141 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdce0…2dafbacked Yes | 3c | 2,104$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.56 | 303 | 17.2%52 W · 251 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5c2…1750backed Yes | 1c | 1,812$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.53 | 209 | 7.7%16 W · 193 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 6cpaid | -17%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb353…bd7fbacked Yes | 1c | 1,780$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.42 | 117 | 4.3%5 W · 112 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22af…399abacked Yes | 4c | 1,703$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.89 | 69 | 20.3%14 W · 55 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 15cpaid | +207.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 13c | 1,672$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.68 | 2,545 | 13.2%335 W · 2,210 L | +4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2eb6…3e31backed Yes | 2c | 1,589$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.62 | 119 | 26.9%32 W · 87 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -50.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x984f…ba69backed Yes | 4c | 1,588$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.66 | 158 | 17.7%28 W · 130 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc13…5578backed Yes | 2c | 1,507$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.2 | 288 | 12.8%37 W · 251 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ffa…c8fcbacked Yes | 3c | 1,301$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.33 | 558 | 8.2%46 W · 512 L | +12.5wins | +0.02per pick | 6cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2692…38e2backed Yes | 2c | 1,223$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.66 | 191 | 18.8%36 W · 155 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 16cpaid | +24%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18a0…dea8backed Yes | 7c | 1,207$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.74 | 574 | 20.9%120 W · 454 L | +9.4wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x215a…254cbacked Yes | 2c | 1,084$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.9 | 270 | 24.4%66 W · 204 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcadc…4285backed Yes | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 97 | 28.9%28 W · 69 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe130…4006backed Yes | 6c | 910.39$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.12 | 1,040 | 13.7%142 W · 898 L | +38.1wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5a…edf2backed Yes | 8c | 851.9$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 60 | 26.7%16 W · 44 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x071d…07efbacked Yes | 2c | 826.64$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.71 | 1,036 | 11.1%115 W · 921 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8cf…819ebacked Yes | 2c | 804.41$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.19 | 326 | 13.8%45 W · 281 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -60.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77d5…eacebacked Yes | 2c | 799.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.6 | 100 | 8%8 W · 92 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 5cpaid | +74.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8565…0c43backed Yes | 14c | 762.53$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.34 | 706 | 16.4%116 W · 590 L | -13.6wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -29%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad9f…9971backed Yes | 6c | 700$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.9 | 351 | 12.8%45 W · 306 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb87f…f7d4backed Yes | 2c | 671.5$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.84 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe559…1300backed Yes | 12c | 521.18$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 92 | 26.1%24 W · 68 L | -5.1wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12ed…c9b4backed Yes | 14c | 512.1$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.68 | 532 | 22.7%121 W · 411 L | -19.0wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f55…d4b5backed Yes | 2c | 507.69$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.07 | 332 | 31%103 W · 229 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd928…23cabacked Yes | 15c | 498$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.18 | 42 | 16.7%7 W · 35 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca20…ae4ebacked Yes | 2c | 464.59$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.69 | 44 | 31.8%14 W · 30 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 24cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x238f…3015backed Yes | 3c | 455.79$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 182 | 4.4%8 W · 174 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 3cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…0861backed Yes | 11c | 400$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 876 | 18.4%161 W · 715 L | +9.5wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b30…068abacked Yes | 9c | 388.8$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.69 | 329 | 17%56 W · 273 L | +13.7wins | +0.04per pick | 13cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7db5…cf18backed Yes | 3c | 382.56$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.83 | 882 | 10.3%91 W · 791 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | -49%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 16c | 364.41$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.13 | 245 | 24.9%61 W · 184 L | -13.8wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -45%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x699b…0296backed Yes | 10c | 337.89$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.25 | 188 | 14.4%27 W · 161 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 11cpaid | +21%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…384fbacked Yes | 3c | 324.95$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 421 | 10%42 W · 379 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67ef…990abacked Yes | 14c | 320.28$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.84 | 731 | 15.2%111 W · 620 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 14cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x544e…86dcbacked Yes | 7c | 295.8$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.81 | 49 | 12.2%6 W · 43 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 8cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Yes | 14c | 294.98$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.56 | 105 | 12.4%13 W · 92 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf77…1488backed Yes | 7c | 272.71$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.23 | 44 | 18.2%8 W · 36 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5fff…3cf1backed Yes | 16c | 259.98$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.6 | 40 | 7.5%3 W · 37 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | +52.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfec6…1cf1backed Yes | 5c | 210.53$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6df7…afb0backed Yes | 17c | 209$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.53 | 459 | 11.3%52 W · 407 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0633…5704backed Yes | 7c | 200$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 54 | 13%7 W · 47 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | +26%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3db2…0f2ebacked Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 76 | 31.6%24 W · 52 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa2d7…e3b7backed Yes | 10c | 190$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.17 | 312 | 24.7%77 W · 235 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c0…d656backed Yes | 12c | 165.87$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.3 | 879 | 17.2%151 W · 728 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9484…a173backed Yes | 14c | 150$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 400 | 16.8%67 W · 333 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c0f…a214backed Yes | 15c | 133.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 25cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…c453backed Yes | 16c | 132$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.12 | 461 | 37.5%173 W · 288 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5dae…0590backed Yes | 16c | 114.29$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.29 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73b5…e8a3backed Yes | 14c | 107.14$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 90 | 18.9%17 W · 73 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 17cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6933…0f16backed Yes | 14c | 105.47$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 475 | 10.5%50 W · 425 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x048e…549dbacked Yes | 15c | 104.43$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.66 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +46.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0aa…13b3backed Yes | 12c | 102.49$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -30%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x306d…7a38backed Yes | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 578 | 11.4%66 W · 512 L | +19.8wins | +0.03per pick | 8cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ea9…575fbacked Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.26per pick | 40cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe43d…3978backed Yes | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 199 | 25.1%50 W · 149 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c04…6587backed Yes | 15c | 78.65$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 470 | 32.6%153 W · 317 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74ff…be5bbacked Yes | 15c | 69$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.18 | 994 | 10.6%105 W · 889 L | -30.0wins | -0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -58.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?this page
- Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?Yes won
- Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.