TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x8f87…2b4d

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
90
Categories scored
20
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 55 out of 100; worst CS2 at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lollast resolved Aug 24, 2026, EDT2941.4%12 W · 17 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 29 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Natus Vincere vs Fnatic (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$276.19
LoL: EDward Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
LoL: Nongshim Esports Academy vs T1 Academy (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 3-4 Challenge Groupbacked Nongshim Esports Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+65.7%+$131.31
LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs DN SOOPers Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 3-4 Challenge Groupbacked Dplus KIA Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+93.6%+$187.29
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs DN SOOPers (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Groupbacked HANJIN BRION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$192.16
LoL: Solary vs TLN Pirates (BO3) - LFL Playoffsbacked Solary · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
LoL: Gen.G Global Academy vs HANJIN BRION Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 3-4 Trial Groupbacked Gen.G Global Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
LoL: The Otter Side vs NORTHERNGRADE ESPORTS - Game 1 Winnerbacked The Otter Side · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
LoL: Shifters vs GIANTX (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Shifters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
LoL: Team WE vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Game Handicap: JDG (-1.5) vs EDward Gaming (+1.5)backed JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$163.64
LoL: EDward Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Game Handicap: NS (-1.5) vs HANJIN BRION (+1.5)backed Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs T1 (BO3) - KeSPA Cup Last Chance Qualifierbacked Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+145.8%+$291.64
LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs Dplus KIA Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 3-4 Challenge Groupbacked DN SOOPers Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$355.56
LoL: HANJIN BRION Challengers vs BNK FearX Youth (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 3-4 Trial Groupbacked HANJIN BRION Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$189Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$188.96
LoL: Fluxo W7M vs LOUD (BO3) - CBLOL Regular Seasonbacked Fluxo W7M · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
LoL: DN SOOPers vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Groupbacked DN SOOPers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$175Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$111.85
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs Team WE (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked ThunderTalk Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
LoL: GIANTX vs SK Gaming (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked SK Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$552.38
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Kiwoom DRX (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Groupbacked Kiwoom DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$168Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$412.51
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Groupbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$216.67
LoL: T1 vs DN SOOPers (BO1) - KeSPA Cup Group Stagebacked DN SOOPers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Showing 25 of 29 picks, newest first.
Tweetslast resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT2128.6%6 W · 15 L-1.4wins-0.07per pick35cpaid-20.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Tweets — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+140%+$279.95
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 17 to August 19, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 17 to August 19, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+165.1%+$330.16
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$198Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$198.5
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 15 to August 17, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+96.2%+$192.31
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from August 13 to August 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 6 to August 8, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+188.8%+$377.54
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$233.33
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$193Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$192.88
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from July 23 to July 25, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+247.7%+$247.73
All 21 picks, newest first.
CS2last resolved Aug 25, 2026, EDT825%2 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.19per pick44cpaid-24.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
CS2 — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Leo Team vs UNiTY esports (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #7 Group Stagebacked Leo Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT+117.2%+$234.48
Counter-Strike: Alliance vs Phantom Academy (BO3) - United21 Group Dbacked Alliance · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$109.66
Counter-Strike: NIP vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Bbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Counter-Strike: Acend vs 6666 (BO3) - Stake Pulse Beat I Group Cbacked 6666 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Counter-Strike: paiN vs Astralis (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Playoffsbacked paiN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs TheMongolz (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Playoffsbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs TheMongolz (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$284.62
Counter-Strike: Sinners vs FUT Esports (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked Sinners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
All 8 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.23per pick61cpaid+22.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorantlast resolved Aug 18, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+18.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestoneslast resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick28cpaid+36.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1last resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.27per pick60cpaid-53.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier Leaguelast resolved Aug 24, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Fulham FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$192.16
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-08-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$225.53
All 2 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jul 21, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
AI — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Grok 4.4 released by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Grok 4.4 released by June 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$38
All 2 picks, newest first.
MLBlast resolved Aug 17, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Atlanta Braves vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 9.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 9.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
All 2 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+150.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Drake have the top 3 albums on the Billboard 200?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+150.3%+$300.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Aug 4, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+107.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Earnings — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+107.1%+$107.14
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFClast resolved Aug 15, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 330: Jalin Turner vs. Kauê Fernandes (Lightweight, Prelims)backed Jalin Turner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$192.16
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 8, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will President Trump attend the NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$245.45
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2last resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs BoomBoys (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked TEAM VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$77.78
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+37%+$11.1
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Aug 3, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day beat Avengers: Endgame's opening weekend record?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Aug 2, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Qingdao Xihaian FC win on 2026-08-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagueslast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata win on 2026-08-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.