Music · resolved market
Will Drake have the top 3 albums on the Billboard 200?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x90e8e027139a26ef704a1d2e579610e2db36d382c0740a105d95ca751a5d6c30
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Musicevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $128,210
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $122,851
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $128,210 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 199 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Music is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Music | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Yes | 58c | 9,972$5,774 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,198.17 | 162 | 50.6%82 W · 80 L | +11.6wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce0…fa22backed No | 0c | 8,538$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f2…1762backed Yes | 44c | 5,208$2,294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,914.96 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 16cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x014c…820cbacked No | 5c | 4,147$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.58 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4d9…da28backed No | 0c | 3,165$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x043e…faa7backed No | 1c | 2,433$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad52…11acbacked No | 46c | 2,044$932 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$932.44 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8564…4b2ebacked Yes | 62c | 1,850$1,142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$708.39 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +7.1wins | +0.17per pick | 34cpaid | +45.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9f92…2c2dbacked Yes | 46c | 1,787$823 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$964.1 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2b1…7d2abacked Yes | 80c | 1,773$1,412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.79 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8df7…36c4backed No | 63c | 1,492$947 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$946.93 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x35a4…7b85backed No | 8c | 1,362$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.74 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -74%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x034a…9ddcbacked No | 30c | 1,226$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0952…a44bbacked No | 3c | 1,163$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.85 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e44…a6bebacked No | 33c | 1,060$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.64 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04dc…2387backed No | 2c | 1,027$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.63 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | +6.1wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1135…4c1bbacked No | 17c | 954.84$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.31 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6d2…7048backed No | 13c | 834.83$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.64 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.20per pick | 17cpaid | +97.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked Yes | 66c | 817.24$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.48 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed No | 17c | 789.1$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.97 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 66c | 727.02$477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.7 | 163 | 34.4%56 W · 107 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed3a…3047backed No | 14c | 600.94$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe904…2d9fbacked No | 67c | 598.1$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.36 | 146 | 61%89 W · 57 L | +10.1wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +15%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…907ebacked No | 11c | 528.05$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.53 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +2.5wins | +0.17per pick | 17cpaid | +65.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe0c1…7edabacked Yes | 69c | 521.52$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.23 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x714f…66d5backed No | 27c | 517.55$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.41 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 23cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5dc…35f9backed Yes | 77c | 516.37$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.56 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f87…2b4dbacked Yes | 40c | 500.6$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd04…fbb0backed No | 19c | 500$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 10c | 488.94$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.5 | 462 | 9.7%45 W · 417 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0781…c4ffbacked No | 3c | 475.02$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 87 | 39.1%34 W · 53 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed No | 3c | 419.83$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.23 | 66 | 4.5%3 W · 63 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e75…d0e9backed No | 50c | 401.15$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +133.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8daf…ef60backed No | 16c | 400$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 30cpaid | -70.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee21…3721backed No | 53c | 399.99$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.99 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked No | 32c | 396.65$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.16 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | -4.6wins | -0.13per pick | 40cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd950…ad1bbacked Yes | 72c | 394.3$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.02 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3003…efa3backed No | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc28e…01bfbacked No | 3c | 392$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ef7…83bcbacked No | 7c | 345.6$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7dbb…c0abbacked No | 62c | 322.58$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0a…a2c3backed Yes | 66c | 316.11$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.42 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x897a…4194backed No | 22c | 310.35$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.06 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -40%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc028…ff67backed Yes | 80c | 305$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39f8…badabacked Yes | 45c | 297.48$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.02 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +121.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c2e…5e69backed No | 16c | 283.36$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked No | 4c | 277$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.41 | 107 | 4.7%5 W · 102 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2070…6af5backed No | 40c | 275.68$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7585…7be2backed No | 49c | 259.99$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 34c | 257.63$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.81 | 226 | 40.3%91 W · 135 L | -10.9wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7373…7701backed No | 32c | 254.52$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.6 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | +41.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d8a…1b3abacked No | 40c | 250.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d3b…9240backed Yes | 47c | 250$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67c4…dfaebacked No | 57c | 244.9$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x814a…ab7abacked Yes | 45c | 239.98$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.39 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4e9…bf77backed Yes | 47c | 235.51$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.56 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2106…4deabacked No | 26c | 229.35$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.35 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe562…4fa9backed No | 55c | 225.32$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc946…1825backed No | 53c | 225$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48f…2132backed Yes | 45c | 223.8$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.8 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd3…de97backed Yes | 43c | 220$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +17%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x623f…1852backed No | 27c | 210.09$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.51 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8370…e1efbacked No | 33c | 200$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a70…76b5backed Yes | 46c | 200$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe41…9f23backed No | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89a8…b07ebacked Yes | 43c | 200$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd43…5db2backed No | 54c | 200$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a72…a2abbacked No | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.35per pick | 32cpaid | +186.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6349…6713backed No | 60c | 200$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.34per pick | 59cpaid | -64.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9237…1b1ebacked No | 60c | 200$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd275…8ecdbacked Yes | 46c | 185.94$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +119.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38a8…865abacked No | 16c | 176$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.75 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | +56.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8444…1cf9backed Yes | 66c | 174.73$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.94 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +76.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ec1…e2e3backed No | 17c | 174.52$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a2b…c3cbbacked No | 12c | 169.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0bf3…7ea6backed Yes | 41c | 165.98$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +143.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c0b…55e1backed Yes | 73c | 158.27$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.88 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e21…04ffbacked Yes | 42c | 154.47$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.59 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6f0…c959backed No | 12c | 154.22$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb68f…6fd2backed Yes | 43c | 150$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.5 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -43%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x298a…8302backed No | 58c | 150$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7662…3a00backed No | 58c | 150$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…fda3backed No | 18c | 149.99$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3de…fe0ebacked No | 19c | 143.72$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.31 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.6wins | -0.20per pick | 43cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc9ba…cf54backed No | 40c | 140.63$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.89 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.25per pick | 55cpaid | +42.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6eb…21b9backed No | 15c | 140.28$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.64 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac16…4f44backed Yes | 41c | 139.5$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.3 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -54.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f6b…e0c0backed Yes | 43c | 138.33$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.16 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdea5…c77bbacked Yes | 55c | 137.92$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.49 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4de6…03d2backed No | 18c | 137.78$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab63…0d81backed Yes | 35c | 137.43$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +185.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf382…be0ebacked Yes | 65c | 133.98$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb492…12dabacked No | 40c | 126.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a79…b31ebacked No | 19c | 125.2$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c32…766dbacked No | 40c | 125$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45ca…6ff1backed No | 18c | 121.67$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2429…0df3backed Yes | 56c | 120$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.97 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +79%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2843…b3d2backed Yes | 56c | 119.99$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.2 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x965c…112ebacked Yes | 47c | 115.79$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +114%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e97…8d53backed No | 20c | 111$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.18 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 17cpaid | +257.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Music and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.