TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe0c1…7eda

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
62
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Valorant, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Valorant at 53 out of 100; worst World Politics at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Weather Inactivelast resolved Aug 2, 2026, EDT2669.2%18 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick69cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Weather — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on August 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$110.7
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 74-75°F on August 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.31
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 76-77°F on August 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+33.7%+$13.85
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on August 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$519Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+44.5%+$231.09
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on August 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$158Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+31.8%+$50.1
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on July 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$112Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+51.4%+$57.59
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on July 27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+35.3%+$7.33
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on July 25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+26.9%+$18.97
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on July 18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$65.29
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 74-75°F on July 12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$74.14
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on July 11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$311Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+25.4%+$78.86
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on July 11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+29.1%+$12.95
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on July 11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$122Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+52.9%+$64.59
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on July 11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$21
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 73°F or below on July 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$522Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+29.5%+$154.34
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on July 9?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$216Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$216.02
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on July 8?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$342Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$342.24
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on July 5?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$170Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+54.7%+$93.01
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on July 4?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$420Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+28.7%+$120.46
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on July 3?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$651Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+32.8%+$213.67
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on July 2?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$504Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$142.02
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on June 26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$219Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+38.6%+$84.41
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on June 25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$344Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+32.3%+$111.18
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on June 19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$207Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+68.7%+$142.5
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on June 19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.08
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-20.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick10cpaid+4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved May 29, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick61cpaid-10%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick72cpaid-12.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
World Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.62per pick38cpaid+163.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Esprit Shōnen vs Galions (BO3) - VCL France: Revolution Stage 2 Regular Seasonbacked Esprit Shōnen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$60.39
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$112Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$88
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Drake have the top 3 albums on the Billboard 200?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$361Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+44.4%+$160.23
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Jul 28, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Rick Jackson win the Georgia Republican Governor Primary Runoff by 5–10%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+37%+$5.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$7.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 28, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Miami Marlins vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$320Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+25%+$80
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Voca vs regain (BO3) - CCT North America Series #4 Playoffsbacked regain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.56
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 23, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$124Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$124.2
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.