Us Midterms · resolved market
Will Rick Jackson win the Georgia Republican Governor Primary Runoff by 5–10%?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe0668859509dca08775b07a31543faf8cd130446eb5d3edf54175d837fc7fdb7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Midtermsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,111
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,891
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,111 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Midterms is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa7a0…a5a8backed No | 8c | 3,012$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.31 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f92…2c2dbacked No | 24c | 1,973$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472.05 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed No | 30c | 751.61$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.37 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 6c | 602.75$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.17 | 147 | 29.9%44 W · 103 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93cf…d259backed Yes | 77c | 531.84$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b3d…b7f1backed No | 17c | 410.96$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.95 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63ac…4127backed No | 8c | 400$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 21cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 9c | 324.73$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.27 | 182 | 37.4%68 W · 114 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7e9…bdacbacked No | 8c | 275.79$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 47 | 29.8%14 W · 33 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8454…331abacked No | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x73d2…f9b7backed Yes | 79c | 200$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 85 | 50.6%43 W · 42 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc037…c387backed Yes | 78c | 166.44$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.62 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 15c | 163.7$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.72 | 171 | 40.4%69 W · 102 L | -7.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc11c…714fbacked No | 17c | 152.69$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 39c | 147.01$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.82 | 90 | 10%9 W · 81 L | -20.0wins | -0.22per pick | 32cpaid | -81.2%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…1367backed No | 24c | 140$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.4 | 61 | 32.8%20 W · 41 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8daf…ef60backed No | 17c | 120$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc662…0927backed No | 25c | 47.16$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.79 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.16per pick | 39cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x721a…9295backed Yes | 79c | 21$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.41 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0c1…7edabacked Yes | 73c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x291d…a99abacked Yes | 79c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe342…2a23backed Yes | 73c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61f9…8055backed Yes | 79c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -68.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc002…6f57backed Yes | 69c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 24cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc2c…0a2cbacked No | 54c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b39…a8c1backed Yes | 79c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f3…985abacked Yes | 72c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fcc…701bbacked Yes | 74c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Rick Jackson win the Georgia Republican Governor Primary Runoff by 5–10%?this page
- Will Rick Jackson win the Georgia Republican Governor Primary Runoff by less than 5%?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.