Middle East · resolved market
US x Iran meeting by April 10, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdc6f95f94d2db24a1904537cb8cf83e0b25fa47bac926112891eef0df8fd06f2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,115,645
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,048,417
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,115,645 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,408 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdc63…427abacked Yes | 1c | 766,989$6,622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,621.7 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -68.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd1a…76b4backed Yes | 2c | 222,763$4,024 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,024.26 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbacd…ab35backed Yes | 3c | 185,837$6,276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,276.42 | 489 | 23.5%115 W · 374 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa2…2c73backed Yes | 4c | 170,402$6,771 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,771.36 | 377 | 40.1%151 W · 226 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92f0…b1eabacked Yes | 1c | 160,552$1,022 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,021.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2282…1051backed Yes | 0c | 159,147$604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$603.75 | 36 | 16.7%6 W · 30 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 8cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3f…914abacked Yes | 2c | 117,305$1,885 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,884.62 | 135 | 44.4%60 W · 75 L | +8.1wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d05…6320backed Yes | 1c | 98,706$933 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$933.09 | 104 | 17.3%18 W · 86 L | -13.7wins | -0.13per pick | 31cpaid | -69.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9d77…cf31backed Yes | 1c | 89,617$818 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$818.37 | 114 | 6.1%7 W · 107 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc26…32cabacked Yes | 2c | 81,018$1,514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,514.08 | 87 | 19.5%17 W · 70 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83c3…38c5backed Yes | 11c | 70,331$8,042 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,042.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3172…1160backed Yes | 8c | 65,407$5,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,010.5 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +323.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ef7…01f5backed Yes | 1c | 64,933$708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$708 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a23…0f72backed Yes | 1c | 63,054$682 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$681.62 | 113 | 23.9%27 W · 86 L | +5.3wins | +0.05per pick | 19cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa070…cd87backed Yes | 17c | 54,004$9,162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,162.08 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b4f…db17backed Yes | 1c | 50,040$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe598…a0a8backed Yes | 0c | 46,119$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.04 | 56 | 23.2%13 W · 43 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b44…264ebacked Yes | 0c | 44,858$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.23 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | +9.7wins | +0.13per pick | 36cpaid | +156.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd426…334abacked Yes | 10c | 42,175$4,339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,338.99 | 362 | 27.9%101 W · 261 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked Yes | 1c | 37,889$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$506.45 | 310 | 3.9%12 W · 298 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bfb…26a7backed Yes | 1c | 36,901$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.96 | 322 | 43.5%140 W · 182 L | +13.2wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8df9…468cbacked Yes | 6c | 36,201$2,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,300.41 | 142 | 27.5%39 W · 103 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4148…efe7backed Yes | 6c | 35,229$2,185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,185 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -78.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbaba…cf38backed Yes | 2c | 33,774$612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$612 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c9f…069fbacked Yes | 1c | 31,344$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.7 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 33cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8f…2c14backed Yes | 1c | 29,357$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.09 | 112 | 22.3%25 W · 87 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | +26%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x233b…1f2cbacked Yes | 2c | 28,057$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 102 | 40.2%41 W · 61 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaec3…22dfbacked Yes | 11c | 27,388$3,089 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,089.37 | 57 | 35.1%20 W · 37 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c9…975ebacked Yes | 19c | 26,637$4,973 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,972.72 | 358 | 19%68 W · 290 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -35%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6868…a90abacked Yes | 49c | 26,316$12,825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,825.2 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +48.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c0c…fbb7backed Yes | 12c | 26,154$3,137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,137.43 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +4.5wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x756e…fe0fbacked Yes | 1c | 23,936$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.15 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9453…1a48backed Yes | 1c | 23,570$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.5 | 132 | 46.2%61 W · 71 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5602…1480backed Yes | 3c | 23,266$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$719.9 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x962b…5200backed Yes | 0c | 23,000$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Yes | 2c | 23,000$467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$467 | 203 | 36.9%75 W · 128 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -20%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd8f…6f11backed Yes | 17c | 22,796$3,961 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,961.4 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5bd…f03ebacked Yes | 4c | 22,299$820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$820.28 | 123 | 28.5%35 W · 88 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x580a…68f3backed Yes | 1c | 21,787$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.27 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1851…ae47backed Yes | 1c | 20,806$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.34 | 247 | 12.1%30 W · 217 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad32…013cbacked Yes | 0c | 20,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 15cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65bf…4b91backed Yes | 7c | 17,900$1,342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,342.31 | 92 | 17.4%16 W · 76 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d58…cfccbacked Yes | 3c | 17,127$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$584.51 | 153 | 38.6%59 W · 94 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6d7…0278backed Yes | 1c | 16,667$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd61e…c34fbacked Yes | 1c | 16,378$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 62 | 3.2%2 W · 60 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09bc…9ffcbacked Yes | 0c | 16,000$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf75…3880backed Yes | 0c | 15,847$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.76 | 133 | 21.8%29 W · 104 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x748a…3c56backed Yes | 1c | 15,800$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.5 | 185 | 31.9%59 W · 126 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…f757backed Yes | 10c | 15,525$1,507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,507.34 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked Yes | 1c | 15,000$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 476 | 9.9%47 W · 429 L | +15.1wins | +0.03per pick | 7cpaid | +75.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3df…6f87backed Yes | 4c | 15,000$541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$541 | 73 | 11%8 W · 65 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b7…d5f3backed Yes | 5c | 14,557$708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$708.16 | 253 | 39.5%100 W · 153 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -19%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x401e…6fc9backed Yes | 7c | 14,245$1,052 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,051.95 | 196 | 48%94 W · 102 L | +7.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46e2…f8bbbacked Yes | 7c | 14,025$1,012 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,011.87 | 109 | 45.9%50 W · 59 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ccf…79d7backed Yes | 4c | 13,959$627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$626.63 | 225 | 29.8%67 W · 158 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6dd…98eebacked Yes | 33c | 13,919$4,661 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,660.98 | 201 | 43.3%87 W · 114 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda85…bd68backed Yes | 7c | 13,621$935 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$934.8 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6d…1d0abacked Yes | 20c | 13,397$2,656 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,656.46 | 501 | 30.5%153 W · 348 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f2a…58afbacked Yes | 17c | 13,303$2,259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,258.53 | 174 | 14.4%25 W · 149 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x111d…532abacked Yes | 0c | 13,000$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58aa…a481backed Yes | 1c | 12,889$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.93 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +6.0wins | +0.16per pick | 45cpaid | +51.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Yes | 13c | 12,723$1,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,680.04 | 64 | 9.4%6 W · 58 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 16cpaid | -68.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked Yes | 12c | 12,547$1,563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,563.33 | 511 | 38.7%198 W · 313 L | +18.7wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…540cbacked Yes | 7c | 12,243$820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$819.54 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bd4…ed58backed Yes | 2c | 12,208$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.37 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f4…81a6backed Yes | 4c | 12,201$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 44 | 25%11 W · 33 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x162f…798dbacked Yes | 14c | 12,000$1,654 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,654 | 166 | 38.6%64 W · 102 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -13%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5104…a114backed Yes | 7c | 11,692$799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$799 | 37 | 10.8%4 W · 33 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 15cpaid | +57.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25a7…8b7cbacked Yes | 1c | 11,540$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.29 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe98e…a597backed Yes | 6c | 11,516$705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$705.09 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 16cpaid | -71.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…8360backed Yes | 6c | 11,476$667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$667.18 | 86 | 16.3%14 W · 72 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -65.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3bcf…e964backed Yes | 25c | 11,465$2,830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,830.38 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70ef…e25dbacked Yes | 4c | 11,060$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464.71 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ac…c5d1backed Yes | 2c | 11,008$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.6 | 423 | 29.1%123 W · 300 L | +14.7wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -12%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e84…ef69backed Yes | 7c | 10,851$792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$791.78 | 60 | 26.7%16 W · 44 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5968…3fc4backed Yes | 4c | 10,652$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437.53 | 186 | 40.9%76 W · 110 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x907d…20c4backed Yes | 0c | 10,576$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.26 | 19 | 0%0 W · 19 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x284b…8278backed Yes | 1c | 10,293$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1baa…21febacked Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bab…1292backed Yes | 19c | 9,809$1,839 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,839.03 | 96 | 47.9%46 W · 50 L | +8.0wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5921…c785backed Yes | 1c | 9,654$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ad0…bf3dbacked Yes | 4c | 9,469$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.31 | 183 | 38.3%70 W · 113 L | +14.5wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x04b7…bcb8backed Yes | 0c | 9,002$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a2b…af20backed Yes | 9c | 9,000$820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$819.74 | 264 | 29.2%77 W · 187 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bd5…f114backed Yes | 1c | 8,714$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x682c…17aebacked Yes | 23c | 8,464$1,954 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,953.85 | 215 | 21.9%47 W · 168 L | +11.6wins | +0.05per pick | 16cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8ebf…83cebacked Yes | 13c | 8,428$1,072 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,071.68 | 75 | 40%30 W · 45 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf306…2155backed Yes | 0c | 8,351$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 32 | 12.5%4 W · 28 L | -4.2wins | -0.13per pick | 26cpaid | -73.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x15fb…252dbacked No | 60c | 8,178$4,908 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,270.03 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf993…cd9dbacked Yes | 7c | 8,106$607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$606.55 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +76.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c55…dbb9backed No | 78c | 8,000$6,276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,723.76 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +5.0wins | +0.11per pick | 38cpaid | +46.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9a39…b87fbacked Yes | 19c | 7,850$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fe…423abacked Yes | 2c | 7,762$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.06 | 272 | 33.8%92 W · 180 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c3d…2ff5backed Yes | 2c | 7,710$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.9 | 128 | 43%55 W · 73 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x92a6…8b84backed Yes | 1c | 7,649$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.62 | 30 | 70%21 W · 9 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37e6…f35cbacked Yes | 6c | 7,645$439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438.71 | 186 | 39.8%74 W · 112 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc53b…7049backed Yes | 53c | 7,568$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | -2.6wins | -0.11per pick | 28cpaid | -56.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6179…6f80backed Yes | 6c | 7,312$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444.09 | 52 | 15.4%8 W · 44 L | -9.6wins | -0.18per pick | 34cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x17e7…c658backed Yes | 3c | 7,271$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.02 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1877…78d7backed Yes | 1c | 7,266$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- US x Iran meeting by April 10, 2026?this page
- US x Iran meeting by April 11, 2026?Yes won
- US x Iran meeting by April 12, 2026?Yes won
- US x Iran meeting by April 13, 2026?Yes won
- US x Iran meeting by April 14, 2026?Yes won
- US x Iran meeting by April 15, 2026?Yes won
- US x Iran meeting by April 30, 2026?Yes won
- US x Iran meeting by June 15, 2026?Yes won
- US x Iran meeting by June 30, 2026?Yes won
- US x Iran meeting by March 15, 2026?No won
- US x Iran meeting by March 31, 2026?No won
- US x Iran meeting by May 31, 2026?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.