Middle East · resolved market
US x Iran meeting by April 11, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xab6d0f685908a9e3d2dc62252cb545b8b62d8d6334d98a46ea24514b7c620b7e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $587,177
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $420,161
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $587,177 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 187 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5d05…6320backed No | 2c | 67,713$1,346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,346.06 | 104 | 17.3%18 W · 86 L | -13.7wins | -0.13per pick | 31cpaid | -69.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6bd4…ed58backed No | 3c | 40,712$1,167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,167.12 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7432…c16abacked No | 2c | 27,530$609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$608.99 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0020…16b9backed No | 2c | 24,166$526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$526.48 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -73.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb171…39eebacked No | 2c | 24,127$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f2a…58afbacked No | 2c | 21,058$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.85 | 174 | 14.4%25 W · 149 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecef…b593backed No | 0c | 20,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 65 | 43.1%28 W · 37 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2779…239abacked No | 7c | 16,358$1,153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,152.81 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | +3.8wins | +0.09per pick | 33cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x993c…6787backed No | 8c | 13,705$1,076 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,075.96 | 177 | 37.3%66 W · 111 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…8360backed No | 0c | 12,000$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 86 | 16.3%14 W · 72 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -65.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf60…c978backed No | 0c | 11,360$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.66 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.27per pick | 6cpaid | +95.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c9…975ebacked No | 3c | 11,184$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.84 | 358 | 19%68 W · 290 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -35%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96ef…5523backed No | 20c | 10,983$2,221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,221.01 | 118 | 42.4%50 W · 68 L | +6.3wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a2b…af20backed No | 7c | 10,000$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 264 | 29.2%77 W · 187 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8214…ef72backed No | 1c | 9,615$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.81 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 25cpaid | -76.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d16…e798backed No | 2c | 9,552$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 25 | 12%3 W · 22 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 6cpaid | +405.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa313…eb44backed No | 17c | 7,186$1,238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,237.89 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +5.1wins | +0.23per pick | 45cpaid | +235.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x95ef…ff92backed No | 6c | 6,952$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -67.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2570…f79cbacked No | 9c | 5,264$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450.21 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked No | 4c | 4,331$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.47 | 310 | 3.9%12 W · 298 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8790…60c2backed No | 7c | 3,810$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.5 | 53 | 13.2%7 W · 46 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 20cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ad0…bf3dbacked No | 1c | 3,280$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.79 | 183 | 38.3%70 W · 113 L | +14.5wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe7…03e0backed No | 5c | 3,138$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x152e…cc3dbacked No | 13c | 2,833$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.93 | 26 | 19.2%5 W · 21 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b76…6984backed No | 1c | 2,700$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.04 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec75…c0efbacked No | 10c | 2,610$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.25per pick | 15cpaid | +276%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58ce…57c4backed No | 17c | 2,565$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424.15 | 69 | 34.8%24 W · 45 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e3f…9ed2backed No | 9c | 2,450$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.5 | 37 | 18.9%7 W · 30 L | -4.0wins | -0.11per pick | 30cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3616…850ebacked No | 7c | 2,445$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -71.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…907ebacked No | 6c | 2,373$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.33 | 113 | 20.4%23 W · 90 L | +10.2wins | +0.09per pick | 11cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x60d5…7839backed No | 5c | 2,355$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 13cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c06…62e3backed No | 6c | 2,224$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.18 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf1…6cdabacked No | 1c | 2,009$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf058…e173backed No | 1c | 2,000$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 159 | 6.9%11 W · 148 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1851…ae47backed No | 1c | 2,000$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 247 | 12.1%30 W · 217 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x884a…aa34backed No | 3c | 1,861$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.34 | 53 | 15.1%8 W · 45 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16a6…a0afbacked No | 8c | 1,851$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.7 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 16cpaid | -87.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50e4…fb34backed Yes | 80c | 1,768$1,414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.61 | 43 | 27.9%12 W · 31 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06e9…6f8fbacked No | 10c | 1,594$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.68 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b77…27cdbacked No | 10c | 1,505$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a3c…2db9backed No | 10c | 1,494$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.49 | 43 | 7%3 W · 40 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -48%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf75f…0988backed No | 4c | 1,493$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.79 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2606…aaddbacked No | 7c | 1,490$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.5 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed No | 7c | 1,395$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.14 | 218 | 31.2%68 W · 150 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e06…9754backed No | 2c | 1,239$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.8 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 9cpaid | +522.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…79bdbacked No | 8c | 1,208$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 9cpaid | +455.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6d…1d0abacked No | 3c | 1,164$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.06 | 501 | 30.5%153 W · 348 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd324…b23cbacked No | 21c | 1,129$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.7 | 149 | 44.3%66 W · 83 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc574…b9dabacked No | 4c | 1,125$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1347…cb49backed No | 9c | 1,112$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.36per pick | 56cpaid | -65.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xae7a…dfa8backed No | 9c | 1,101$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 13cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8923…1f6dbacked No | 9c | 1,083$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc19d…865ebacked No | 6c | 1,000$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.23 | 179 | 34.6%62 W · 117 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f4e…2e3ebacked No | 3c | 1,000$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 12cpaid | -87%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd427…05adbacked No | 4c | 999.99$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 43 | 27.9%12 W · 31 L | +4.2wins | +0.10per pick | 18cpaid | +22%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0368…e741backed No | 8c | 966.11$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.78 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…79e0backed No | 14c | 920.61$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.89 | 59 | 64.4%38 W · 21 L | +10.4wins | +0.18per pick | 47cpaid | +50%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x16bd…ed47backed No | 1c | 910$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.26per pick | 41cpaid | -81.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8296…e9cbbacked No | 11c | 901.24$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.82 | 38 | 15.8%6 W · 32 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5af5…eb78backed No | 7c | 871.43$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1151…c9abbacked No | 15c | 856.36$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.5 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 16cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10fc…9606backed No | 7c | 800$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.8 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6056…c27cbacked No | 5c | 800$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.8 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa7fe…1f3ebacked No | 6c | 783.95$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.36 | 216 | 31.9%69 W · 147 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x817a…389ebacked No | 31c | 775.97$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8454…6ea3backed No | 12c | 761.2$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.16 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 6c | 716.47$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.75 | 678 | 41.6%282 W · 396 L | -20.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4634…d158backed No | 10c | 708.77$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.86 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 21cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee25…7cd3backed No | 17c | 681.32$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.23 | 90 | 31.1%28 W · 62 L | -7.6wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +69.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd28c…2c1ebacked No | 5c | 674.57$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc662…b919backed No | 4c | 650$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 148 | 54.1%80 W · 68 L | +9.9wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd677…a495backed No | 3c | 611.87$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 87 | 44.8%39 W · 48 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf3c…3648backed No | 4c | 610$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.26 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2843…b3d2backed No | 8c | 600$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 289 | 43.6%126 W · 163 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa497…0806backed No | 9c | 555.56$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e2a…06a2backed No | 4c | 544.83$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.29 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec9…58e6backed No | 8c | 528.73$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.97 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40e5…e6adbacked No | 8c | 505.25$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.32 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98d9…0af8backed No | 10c | 504.53$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.38 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9010…d06fbacked No | 19c | 500$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 66 | 25.8%17 W · 49 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4344…f90dbacked No | 4c | 500$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 121 | 38.8%47 W · 74 L | +11.3wins | +0.09per pick | 29cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcaab…24ddbacked No | 8c | 500$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 88 | 34.1%30 W · 58 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d3…76d1backed No | 3c | 500$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63f1…6272backed No | 13c | 499.98$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.5 | 162 | 31.5%51 W · 111 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe1e…2f7bbacked No | 8c | 461.38$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35f1…1475backed No | 22c | 460.26$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.18per pick | 19cpaid | +583.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a3…ea15backed No | 8c | 460$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.8 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8444…1cf9backed No | 12c | 460$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.12 | 89 | 29.2%26 W · 63 L | -6.7wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1315…a84abacked No | 18c | 450$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5968…3fc4backed No | 10c | 449.68$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.16 | 186 | 40.9%76 W · 110 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x135c…85e8backed No | 9c | 439.43$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.63 | 83 | 33.7%28 W · 55 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8390…d0efbacked No | 5c | 428.66$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x156f…ce71backed No | 2c | 406.51$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32d1…b949backed No | 4c | 403.8$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.09 | 104 | 26%27 W · 77 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 20cpaid | +101.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x597d…b97dbacked No | 9c | 400$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.9 | 39 | 5.1%2 W · 37 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 10cpaid | +78.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d84…2c67backed No | 5c | 400$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.84 | 29 | 3.4%1 W · 28 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 9cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x605f…6b3fbacked No | 25c | 394.98$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91a7…046cbacked No | 11c | 392.52$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.34 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60b9…5afebacked No | 5c | 385.73$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa113…93f4backed No | 9c | 383.59$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 71 | 31%22 W · 49 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- US x Iran meeting by April 11, 2026?this page
- US x Iran meeting by April 10, 2026?No won
- US x Iran meeting by April 12, 2026?Yes won
- US x Iran meeting by April 13, 2026?Yes won
- US x Iran meeting by April 14, 2026?Yes won
- US x Iran meeting by April 15, 2026?Yes won
- US x Iran meeting by April 30, 2026?Yes won
- US x Iran meeting by June 15, 2026?Yes won
- US x Iran meeting by June 30, 2026?Yes won
- US x Iran meeting by March 15, 2026?No won
- US x Iran meeting by March 31, 2026?No won
- US x Iran meeting by May 31, 2026?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.