Middle East · resolved market
US x Iran meeting by June 30, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x62b83e6e675cf5890b93e269f46598d5ab3ec06f0b41ab56dfa52b2b6c88a0b0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $197,530
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $187,269
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $197,530 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 184 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x12bf…ddafbacked No | 0c | 38,990$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.33 | 156 | 26.9%42 W · 114 L | -10.6wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -38%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed No | 1c | 8,847$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.37 | 507 | 1.4%7 W · 500 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34ab…3eb5backed No | 2c | 7,747$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.25 | 226 | 27.9%63 W · 163 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x682c…17aebacked No | 10c | 4,966$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.24 | 215 | 21.9%47 W · 168 L | +11.6wins | +0.05per pick | 16cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked No | 2c | 4,049$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.41 | 310 | 3.9%12 W · 298 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbab6…14a7backed No | 1c | 4,037$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 4c | 3,200$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.46 | 643 | 39.3%253 W · 390 L | -59.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x40b1…d3c9backed Yes | 70c | 2,899$2,029 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$870.55 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf27d…e6d3backed No | 14c | 2,700$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.89 | 154 | 36.4%56 W · 98 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa99…dbbfbacked No | 37c | 2,600$962 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$962 | 101 | 41.6%42 W · 59 L | +6.0wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +56.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee25…7cd3backed No | 14c | 2,541$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.76 | 90 | 31.1%28 W · 62 L | -7.6wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +69.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1442…5a8fbacked No | 45c | 2,418$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -4.5wins | -0.17per pick | 43cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9c97…4569backed No | 26c | 2,355$623 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$622.5 | 89 | 39.3%35 W · 54 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2525…b919backed Yes | 68c | 2,211$1,506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$704.55 | 276 | 43.5%120 W · 156 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bc2…597abacked No | 10c | 1,860$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.61 | 117 | 28.2%33 W · 84 L | -7.9wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb4…afe9backed Yes | 74c | 1,700$1,257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | +2.9wins | +0.09per pick | 25cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed No | 2c | 1,667$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.96 | 713 | 5.6%40 W · 673 L | +11.7wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8d4…7a70backed No | 33c | 1,580$516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$515.55 | 54 | 25.9%14 W · 40 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90f7…2501backed No | 20c | 1,413$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.2 | 141 | 47.5%67 W · 74 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb261…7211backed No | 25c | 1,309$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.5 | 48 | 14.6%7 W · 41 L | -5.5wins | -0.11per pick | 26cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9701…c051backed No | 17c | 1,289$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.8 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0d9…d6dbbacked No | 25c | 1,236$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.66 | 84 | 33.3%28 W · 56 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e31…454dbacked Yes | 59c | 1,219$725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$493.84 | 60 | 66.7%40 W · 20 L | +7.3wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7f88…c805backed No | 6c | 1,215$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43e2…5fbdbacked No | 2c | 1,213$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.03 | 75 | 42.7%32 W · 43 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6d…1d0abacked No | 3c | 1,183$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.56 | 501 | 30.5%153 W · 348 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked No | 31c | 1,097$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.99 | 511 | 38.7%198 W · 313 L | +18.7wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f1f…f89bbacked No | 1c | 1,056$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fff…be78backed Yes | 64c | 1,000$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…9bfebacked Yes | 70c | 999.96$702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.99 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7943…b918backed No | 5c | 979.76$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.77 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 12cpaid | +49.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbacd…ab35backed No | 11c | 971.58$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.26 | 489 | 23.5%115 W · 374 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa14b…b944backed No | 44c | 925.12$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.77 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ebd…7ffebacked No | 28c | 899.98$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.99 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab68…1a67backed Yes | 58c | 871.98$506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.23 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 74c | 851.98$634 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.39 | 678 | 41.6%282 W · 396 L | -20.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a17…2a51backed Yes | 58c | 844.5$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.29 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +131.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf19c…6bb4backed Yes | 60c | 820$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb12e…8c6cbacked No | 40c | 757.18$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.87 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -4.7wins | -0.13per pick | 59cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7c9e…db3dbacked No | 4c | 755$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.92 | 133 | 2.3%3 W · 130 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -76.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b40…9624backed Yes | 61c | 743.61$452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.59 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +64.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31dd…a0ebbacked No | 2c | 741.94$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7676…3e69backed Yes | 62c | 729.73$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.73 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -14%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5078…be22backed No | 3c | 640$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa84f…bc44backed No | 42c | 625.9$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.78 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22f1…6415backed No | 4c | 608.72$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.36 | 258 | 43.4%112 W · 146 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -27%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed No | 7c | 551.7$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.45 | 413 | 6.8%28 W · 385 L | -13.6wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0224…1399backed No | 21c | 536.5$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.01 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.6wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b8…4bdfbacked No | 5c | 524.34$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.47 | 118 | 18.6%22 W · 96 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 13cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xefab…b927backed No | 23c | 500$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6dd…98eebacked Yes | 60c | 473.96$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.48 | 201 | 43.3%87 W · 114 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d3…76d1backed No | 42c | 400.99$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.4 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf4d…33edbacked Yes | 64c | 400$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146 | 79 | 46.8%37 W · 42 L | -5.3wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1aac…66fbbacked No | 21c | 399.98$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x958d…3501backed Yes | 58c | 395.28$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.28 | 222 | 62.2%138 W · 84 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e84…ef69backed Yes | 67c | 366.44$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.12 | 60 | 26.7%16 W · 44 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5631…1a1fbacked No | 5c | 366.38$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.82 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -3.5wins | -0.21per pick | 44cpaid | -65.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa344…8141backed Yes | 80c | 366.1$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.91 | 118 | 50%59 W · 59 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d1e…8b40backed Yes | 68c | 359.36$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.97 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +4.3wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +44.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5ca7…8195backed No | 5c | 358.92$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.7 | 60 | 13.3%8 W · 52 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | +64.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2eae…a25fbacked No | 42c | 357.14$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 66 | 33.3%22 W · 44 L | -5.3wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0482…6b0abacked Yes | 59c | 337.51$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.51 | 215 | 25.1%54 W · 161 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b56…9100backed No | 30c | 334.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ecb…aa7dbacked Yes | 61c | 326.35$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.35 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.8wins | +0.28per pick | 52cpaid | +86.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x63f1…6272backed No | 4c | 325$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.48 | 162 | 31.5%51 W · 111 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed No | 15c | 311.37$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.13 | 589 | 27.2%160 W · 429 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x624c…cdc7backed No | 5c | 300$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.17 | 27 | 11.1%3 W · 24 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ee…4b33backed Yes | 67c | 284.08$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.75 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8079…8e85backed No | 5c | 278.89$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe89…b88cbacked Yes | 73c | 272.13$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.13 | 36 | 69.4%25 W · 11 L | +6.1wins | +0.17per pick | 53cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x88bb…1b72backed No | 24c | 271.52$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc157…728cbacked No | 16c | 269.58$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.5 | 84 | 27.4%23 W · 61 L | -8.7wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -57.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2e61…19bdbacked No | 19c | 250$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.5 | 167 | 39.5%66 W · 101 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07a1…5e8fbacked No | 22c | 247.5$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.45 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +2.5wins | +0.41per pick | 25cpaid | +282.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9b36…4fefbacked Yes | 60c | 246.79$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.71 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa395…3eddbacked No | 20c | 225.82$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.16 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 15cpaid | -20%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 61c | 213.11$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.11 | 342 | 34.8%119 W · 223 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe71d…7359backed Yes | 71c | 211.27$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.27 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 71cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x300c…6a92backed No | 42c | 205$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.33 | 194 | 49.5%96 W · 98 L | +12.3wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +16%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6078…dbaebacked Yes | 60c | 200.75$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.99 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 66cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2787…f67dbacked No | 16c | 200.11$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.49 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc03f…249dbacked No | 38c | 200$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 124 | 41.1%51 W · 73 L | -14.5wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x424a…04cebacked No | 40c | 200$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 17cpaid | -80.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc456…8996backed Yes | 77c | 199.99$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +67%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x007e…c290backed No | 32c | 199.44$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.7 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +4.5wins | +0.26per pick | 32cpaid | +437.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xebdf…ac87backed No | 42c | 199.3$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.69 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8d…3a51backed No | 27c | 185.92$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked No | 18c | 183.66$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.15 | 359 | 21.4%77 W · 282 L | -23.8wins | -0.07per pick | 28cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ab…e191backed No | 6c | 181.77$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c15…9667backed Yes | 66c | 173$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.82 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbde…3dc9backed No | 34c | 173$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.82 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb4b…5166backed Yes | 52c | 172.55$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.28 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb51b…b4d9backed Yes | 72c | 167.36$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.36 | 241 | 49.4%119 W · 122 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -17%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90f4…98e2backed Yes | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.15per pick | 58cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb39…9120backed Yes | 54c | 156.23$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.12 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.25per pick | 42cpaid | +62.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1897…051cbacked Yes | 54c | 153.85$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.77 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +206.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0ad0…1f59backed No | 27c | 148.15$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -3.3wins | -0.24per pick | 45cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x03d0…0547backed Yes | 75c | 147.79$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.79 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa705…676dbacked No | 34c | 147.46$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf114…8003backed Yes | 60c | 144.42$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.18 | 85 | 15.3%13 W · 72 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- US x Iran meeting by June 30, 2026?this page
- US x Iran meeting by April 10, 2026?No won
- US x Iran meeting by April 11, 2026?Yes won
- US x Iran meeting by April 12, 2026?Yes won
- US x Iran meeting by April 13, 2026?Yes won
- US x Iran meeting by April 14, 2026?Yes won
- US x Iran meeting by April 15, 2026?Yes won
- US x Iran meeting by April 30, 2026?Yes won
- US x Iran meeting by June 15, 2026?Yes won
- US x Iran meeting by March 15, 2026?No won
- US x Iran meeting by March 31, 2026?No won
- US x Iran meeting by May 31, 2026?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.