Middle East · resolved market
US x Iran meeting by March 31, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf82ce6cd43d102b5545be8c107dda25697417a7af42ae277c5c8de0f812ae4fb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $739,420
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $724,448
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $739,420 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 640 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6b0e…e3eabacked Yes | 18c | 37,700$6,817 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,817.24 | 428 | 18.7%80 W · 348 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x718e…3ef9backed Yes | 22c | 21,254$4,743 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,742.81 | 26 | 19.2%5 W · 21 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -44%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x54a7…881bbacked No | 77c | 13,286$10,278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,008.59 | 55 | 32.7%18 W · 37 L | -16.9wins | -0.31per pick | 64cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Yes | 15c | 11,226$1,642 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,641.68 | 64 | 9.4%6 W · 58 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 16cpaid | -68.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd66…fb6dbacked Yes | 24c | 11,123$2,708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,708.13 | 170 | 18.2%31 W · 139 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 15cpaid | +77.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1851…ae47backed Yes | 2c | 11,084$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.2 | 247 | 12.1%30 W · 217 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ee5…1d4abacked No | 80c | 10,059$8,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,059.26 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 56cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06dc…af59backed No | 75c | 10,000$7,535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,465.25 | 81 | 50.6%41 W · 40 L | +12.7wins | +0.16per pick | 35cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x6d9f…9790backed No | 73c | 9,474$6,895 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,578.1 | 353 | 47%166 W · 187 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8597…daeebacked No | 72c | 9,068$6,485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,582.42 | 83 | 59%49 W · 34 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked Yes | 28c | 8,752$2,432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,432.37 | 511 | 38.7%198 W · 313 L | +18.7wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb886…81b3backed Yes | 8c | 6,926$524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524.15 | 140 | 39.3%55 W · 85 L | +20.0wins | +0.14per pick | 25cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xbacd…ab35backed Yes | 27c | 6,748$1,851 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,850.96 | 489 | 23.5%115 W · 374 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7bb7…44f2backed Yes | 12c | 6,068$732 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$731.81 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0482…6b0abacked Yes | 17c | 6,009$994 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$993.8 | 215 | 25.1%54 W · 161 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61a2…6200backed Yes | 22c | 5,531$1,212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,211.9 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 28cpaid | +27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66c1…2c72backed Yes | 17c | 5,049$853 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$852.6 | 291 | 29.9%87 W · 204 L | +21.5wins | +0.07per pick | 23cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3bcf…e964backed Yes | 17c | 5,000$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$850 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e84…ef69backed Yes | 16c | 4,396$708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$707.61 | 60 | 26.7%16 W · 44 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe605…ac5fbacked Yes | 19c | 4,195$815 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$815 | 234 | 20.9%49 W · 185 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x597d…b97dbacked Yes | 1c | 4,145$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.77 | 39 | 5.1%2 W · 37 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 10cpaid | +78.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x315f…85c6backed Yes | 3c | 4,036$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.5 | 40 | 10%4 W · 36 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 18cpaid | -75.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8204…56eabacked Yes | 20c | 4,000$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$799.99 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe5…8e3dbacked Yes | 33c | 3,924$1,298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,298 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5081…45dcbacked Yes | 37c | 3,793$1,417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,416.65 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c2d…f8aebacked Yes | 31c | 3,663$1,118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,118.15 | 404 | 33.7%136 W · 268 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77b0…ba0bbacked No | 64c | 3,635$2,325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,310.52 | 177 | 55.4%98 W · 79 L | +17.5wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x68c2…1711backed Yes | 14c | 3,543$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.72 | 312 | 41.7%130 W · 182 L | +15.4wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +66.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf058…e173backed Yes | 1c | 3,404$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.72 | 159 | 6.9%11 W · 148 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3db…0f98backed No | 61c | 3,111$1,884 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,226.64 | 71 | 50.7%36 W · 35 L | +11.2wins | +0.16per pick | 35cpaid | +94.5%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x7a61…af24backed Yes | 25c | 3,044$761 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$761 | 95 | 35.8%34 W · 61 L | +10.0wins | +0.11per pick | 25cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x21a1…2f95backed No | 74c | 3,043$2,252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$791.67 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x162f…798dbacked Yes | 24c | 3,015$733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$733.1 | 166 | 38.6%64 W · 102 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -13%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb10a…ab03backed Yes | 32c | 2,990$945 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$944.52 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.18per pick | 47cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70ef…e25dbacked Yes | 45c | 2,910$1,315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,315.09 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a40…4093backed Yes | 24c | 2,779$676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$675.82 | 98 | 25.5%25 W · 73 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2525…b919backed Yes | 18c | 2,740$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.58 | 276 | 43.5%120 W · 156 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb8a…d63dbacked Yes | 18c | 2,699$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34ab…3eb5backed No | 67c | 2,600$1,744 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$856 | 226 | 27.9%63 W · 163 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb261…7211backed Yes | 7c | 2,600$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177 | 48 | 14.6%7 W · 41 L | -5.5wins | -0.11per pick | 26cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4fdf…4452backed Yes | 20c | 2,500$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490.98 | 191 | 19.9%38 W · 153 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f2a…58afbacked Yes | 10c | 2,460$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.23 | 174 | 14.4%25 W · 149 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4478…02a4backed Yes | 18c | 2,400$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437.36 | 287 | 34.5%99 W · 188 L | +21.3wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4344…f90dbacked Yes | 19c | 2,180$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.75 | 121 | 38.8%47 W · 74 L | +11.3wins | +0.09per pick | 29cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9690…f2d5backed Yes | 2c | 2,176$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.47 | 94 | 41.5%39 W · 55 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4158…ce9fbacked Yes | 25c | 2,135$527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$526.79 | 473 | 34%161 W · 312 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81e0…2c3bbacked Yes | 13c | 2,108$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268 | 92 | 22.8%21 W · 71 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92d0…269ebacked Yes | 23c | 2,102$474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$474.18 | 409 | 39.6%162 W · 247 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0bc…d428backed Yes | 21c | 2,100$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.46 | 486 | 30.5%148 W · 338 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad64…de75backed Yes | 20c | 2,100$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415 | 41 | 29.3%12 W · 29 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | +13%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75ac…33d7backed Yes | 10c | 2,096$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.72 | 490 | 23.5%115 W · 375 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29a6…7159backed Yes | 5c | 2,050$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.04 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 16cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c85…31d4backed Yes | 25c | 2,037$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505.77 | 102 | 26.5%27 W · 75 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e14…2a66backed Yes | 17c | 2,035$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.88 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 23cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x770e…7640backed Yes | 14c | 2,010$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.69 | 206 | 17%35 W · 171 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9e6…1dc2backed Yes | 40c | 1,956$774 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$774.04 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeca4…fda6backed Yes | 34c | 1,946$656 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$655.85 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +2.8wins | +0.15per pick | 18cpaid | +182.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 29c | 1,913$564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$563.56 | 896 | 17.1%153 W · 743 L | -57.2wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -35%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfc2f…10c7backed No | 66c | 1,819$1,198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$621.51 | 356 | 31.7%113 W · 243 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc64b…516dbacked Yes | 18c | 1,803$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.14 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65b9…dc25backed Yes | 2c | 1,775$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.51 | 59 | 10.2%6 W · 53 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 7cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbad…c86ebacked Yes | 1c | 1,751$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.96 | 36 | 2.8%1 W · 35 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 9cpaid | -96.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7a…df1bbacked Yes | 3c | 1,750$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 358 | 8.7%31 W · 327 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 6cpaid | +99.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f42…b88fbacked No | 72c | 1,654$1,191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463.19 | 367 | 50.4%185 W · 182 L | +39.6wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6a31…335fbacked Yes | 3c | 1,630$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.31 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.17per pick | 5cpaid | +450.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6ea…b02abacked Yes | 35c | 1,629$567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$566.81 | 105 | 13.3%14 W · 91 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60fd…89a9backed Yes | 8c | 1,615$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.2 | 371 | 7%26 W · 345 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 4cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa31…7664backed Yes | 2c | 1,600$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.1 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeec5…b6febacked No | 62c | 1,595$996 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$598.57 | 123 | 62.6%77 W · 46 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e9e…02b7backed No | 65c | 1,559$1,017 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.8 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb04a…acfcbacked Yes | 21c | 1,556$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.3 | 290 | 27.9%81 W · 209 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…4b20backed Yes | 6c | 1,544$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.98 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 11cpaid | +53.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x382a…b590backed Yes | 1c | 1,530$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.05 | 50 | 10%5 W · 45 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 17cpaid | -73.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8b…69e3backed Yes | 24c | 1,450$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 50 | 36%18 W · 32 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9f1…db00backed Yes | 35c | 1,427$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502.1 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +95%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f40…eb64backed No | 62c | 1,415$879 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$535.08 | 69 | 55.1%38 W · 31 L | +6.7wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 5c | 1,397$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.53 | 713 | 5.6%40 W · 673 L | +11.7wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1de2…9e23backed Yes | 25c | 1,384$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.78 | 58 | 27.6%16 W · 42 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb63e…76d7backed Yes | 25c | 1,370$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.7 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75d1…7a5fbacked No | 70c | 1,338$931 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.7 | 292 | 54.8%160 W · 132 L | +18.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf900…cd0cbacked No | 78c | 1,309$1,017 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.69 | 98 | 32.7%32 W · 66 L | -14.9wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -46%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x35bb…009bbacked Yes | 25c | 1,298$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.53 | 165 | 53.9%89 W · 76 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x65bf…4b91backed Yes | 30c | 1,241$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.96 | 92 | 17.4%16 W · 76 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbed…804ebacked Yes | 25c | 1,229$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.29 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d31…4421backed Yes | 22c | 1,215$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.09 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47e6…fd61backed Yes | 43c | 1,172$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 16cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5011…220ebacked No | 59c | 1,150$679 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$471 | 109 | 28.4%31 W · 78 L | -15.2wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0b9d…8201backed Yes | 19c | 1,147$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.93 | 114 | 54.4%62 W · 52 L | +15.3wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d3…76d1backed No | 76c | 1,145$869 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.34 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe809…039bbacked Yes | 29c | 1,143$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.76 | 168 | 32.1%54 W · 114 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69c6…2204backed Yes | 18c | 1,137$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb06…250abacked Yes | 5c | 1,134$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.68 | 31 | 6.5%2 W · 29 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 11cpaid | -86.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb4b…5166backed Yes | 6c | 1,100$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcd6b…68f5backed Yes | 23c | 1,082$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.7 | 139 | 42.4%59 W · 80 L | +9.2wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5acd…08fabacked Yes | 26c | 1,078$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.81 | 69 | 39.1%27 W · 42 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf114…8003backed Yes | 29c | 1,072$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.52 | 85 | 15.3%13 W · 72 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bfb…26a7backed No | 73c | 1,056$774 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.59 | 322 | 43.5%140 W · 182 L | +13.2wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cdd…3e97backed No | 73c | 1,033$751 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.26 | 169 | 61.5%104 W · 65 L | +12.6wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe5dc…35f9backed Yes | 11c | 1,023$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.33 | 64 | 54.7%35 W · 29 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xabfb…12e5backed Yes | 6c | 1,010$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.04 | 122 | 23%28 W · 94 L | +12.1wins | +0.10per pick | 13cpaid | +2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- US x Iran meeting by March 31, 2026?this page
- US x Iran meeting by April 10, 2026?No won
- US x Iran meeting by April 11, 2026?Yes won
- US x Iran meeting by April 12, 2026?Yes won
- US x Iran meeting by April 13, 2026?Yes won
- US x Iran meeting by April 14, 2026?Yes won
- US x Iran meeting by April 15, 2026?Yes won
- US x Iran meeting by April 30, 2026?Yes won
- US x Iran meeting by June 15, 2026?Yes won
- US x Iran meeting by June 30, 2026?Yes won
- US x Iran meeting by March 15, 2026?No won
- US x Iran meeting by May 31, 2026?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.