TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9010…d06f

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
135
Categories scored
16
Categories below 50
11

Best Category: China Taiwan, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category China Taiwan at 56 out of 100; worst NBA at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT6625.8%17 W · 49 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick25cpaid-39.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 66 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.2
Will JD Vance attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+455.6%+$82
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.1
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.6
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$122Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$78
Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.2
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+334.8%+$77
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$283Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$282.7
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$214Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$214
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.88
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$264Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$264
Will Trump physically sign US x Iran deal?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$88.2
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$100.53
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$116
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$90
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$66
Will Iran close its airspace by June 11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$44
Iran closes its airspace by June 8?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.31
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$134Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+421.6%+$565.8
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 7, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$24
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+166.7%+$125
Showing 25 of 66 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 24, 2026, EDT2025%5 W · 15 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick26cpaid+14.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
AI — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.48
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 24, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$485Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$484.91
Will Anthropic extend Claude Fable 5 paid-plan access again by July 12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+300%+$74.99
Will Claude Mythos 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.7
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$104.06
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$95.49
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+1,011.1%+$181.99
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 10, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$64
Will Apple announce a HomePod mini successor during the WWDC 2026 keynote?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Will a new Gemini flagship be released by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of May 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.4
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.57
Gemini 3.2 released by May 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$31
Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1500?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$35
GPT-5.5 released by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.97
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will ChatGPT be out as the #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by February 18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+385.3%+$115.58
Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$30
All 20 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Aug 4, 2026, EDT1136.4%4 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick36cpaid-45.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Commodities — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$320Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+87.5%+$280
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$146Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+37%+$54
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$51
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $175 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$105
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$256Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$256
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.13
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$272Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$128
Will Israel or the US target Isfahan Nuclear Technology Center nuclear facility?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$94.15
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$102
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$157Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+27.7%+$43.4
All 11 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT110%0 W · 11 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
President Trump to Attend World Cup Final?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.75
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$598Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$597.5
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$77
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.11
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$237Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$237.2
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$409Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$409.4
Will France vs. Iraq end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.99
All 11 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-30.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.30per pick10cpaid+84.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+30.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+25%+$30
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+36.4%+$40.05
All 2 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
IPO — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
Lakers vs. Thunderbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
All 2 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.65per pick35cpaid+185.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$194.97
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+36.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$1,470Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+36.1%+$530
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jul 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump accuse China of election interference by July 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 28, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$91
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.